Check historical price trends and seasonality for Bitcoin (BTC-USD).
Bitcoin (BTC-USD) average YTD return over the past 5 years is +50.16%.
Over the past 5 years, the return for the specified period (Jun 15 for 30 days) is -0.73%.
2 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 40.00%.
1) Overview:
Bitcoin exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, particularly from January to December. The most significant gains typically occur in December, with a notable peak around December 8, showing an average increase of +62.9%. The year generally ends on a high note, with December 31 showing an average increase of +53.1%, suggesting a strong year-end rally. The period from January 14 to March 31 also demonstrates substantial growth, moving from +11.4% to +46.1%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
While Bitcoin generally trends upward, there are periods that may present buying opportunities. After the strong gains in the first quarter, there is a slight pullback in April, from +46.2% on April 1 to +35.3% on April 24. Another potential dip occurs in May, from +41.6% on May 5 to +24.5% on May 23. These pullbacks could be attributed to profit-taking after significant rallies, presenting opportunities to buy before the next upward trend.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to Bitcoin investment could involve accumulating positions during the pullback periods in April and May. The strongest returns are typically seen towards the end of the year, particularly in December, suggesting that holding through this period could be beneficial. Investors should consider these seasonal tendencies alongside other market factors and conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-06-15 | 105,552.0234 | 2025-07-14 | 119,849.7031 | 14,297.6797 | 13.55 |
| 2024 | 2024-06-15 | 66,191.0000 | 2024-07-14 | 60,787.7930 | -5,403.2070 | -8.16 |
| 2023 | 2023-06-15 | 25,576.3945 | 2023-07-14 | 30,334.0684 | 4,757.6738 | 18.60 |
| 2022 | 2022-06-15 | 22,572.8398 | 2022-07-14 | 20,569.9199 | -2,002.9199 | -8.87 |
| 2021 | 2021-06-15 | 40,406.2695 | 2021-07-14 | 32,822.3477 | -7,583.9219 | -18.77 |
| Avg | 52,059.7055 | 52,872.7664 | 813.06 | -0.73 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +7.37% | Feb Total +14.12% | Mar Total +14.71% | Apr Total -3.05% | May Total -7.28% | Jun Total -7.68% | Jul Total +8.99% | Aug Total -4.90% | Sep Total +2.16% | Oct Total +15.03% | Nov Total +0.66% | Dec Total -3.05% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.24% | 0.00% | +0.79% | +3.33% | +0.52% | -0.68% | -1.64% | -1.50% | -0.70% | +0.32% | +2.62% | +0.22% | -0.37% |
| 2 Avg +0.24% | +2.69% | -0.50% | +0.94% | -2.08% | +0.42% | +1.31% | +0.52% | -2.37% | +1.07% | -0.49% | +0.18% | +1.16% |
| 3 Avg -0.05% | -0.66% | +1.87% | -2.10% | -0.32% | +1.09% | +0.47% | +0.41% | -0.57% | -0.25% | +1.04% | -1.05% | -0.47% |
| 4 Avg +0.18% | +0.13% | +1.06% | -0.45% | +1.69% | -0.44% | -0.68% | -0.27% | -0.12% | +0.01% | +1.83% | -0.55% | -0.10% |
| 5 Avg -0.19% | +0.23% | +0.09% | -0.19% | -0.63% | +0.57% | -2.14% | -1.16% | -0.46% | -0.11% | +0.71% | +0.91% | -0.15% |
| 6 Avg +0.70% | +2.30% | +1.08% | +0.07% | -2.37% | -0.91% | +2.76% | +1.01% | +1.58% | -1.53% | +2.11% | +1.10% | +1.14% |
| 7 Avg -0.21% | -0.39% | +1.49% | +0.10% | -0.29% | -0.48% | -2.24% | +0.12% | +1.16% | -1.11% | -1.67% | +0.99% | -0.19% |
| 8 Avg +0.81% | +1.96% | +4.03% | +0.58% | +0.17% | +0.07% | -0.51% | -0.10% | +2.90% | -0.10% | +0.18% | -0.58% | +1.10% |
| 9 Avg +0.18% | -0.95% | +0.06% | +0.18% | +1.44% | -1.87% | +3.17% | +1.25% | +0.19% | +2.94% | -0.62% | -1.93% | -1.74% |
| 10 Avg -0.15% | 0.00% | -0.72% | -1.31% | +0.90% | -0.74% | -1.55% | +0.06% | +0.75% | +0.24% | -2.02% | +3.10% | -0.46% |
| 11 Avg +0.14% | -0.60% | +0.88% | +2.76% | +0.06% | -1.60% | -1.00% | -0.16% | -0.84% | -0.13% | +0.81% | +0.74% | +0.75% |
| 12 Avg -0.31% | -0.85% | +0.81% | +1.41% | -0.23% | -2.77% | -2.35% | -1.25% | +0.33% | +1.84% | +0.55% | -0.99% | -0.19% |
| 13 Avg +0.69% | +2.49% | -0.52% | +2.47% | +0.52% | +1.11% | -1.59% | +2.11% | +2.39% | -1.21% | +0.71% | -0.52% | +0.31% |
| 14 Avg +0.25% | +2.25% | +2.27% | +1.03% | +0.14% | +0.18% | -0.63% | +0.35% | -1.72% | +0.85% | +0.41% | -1.69% | -0.44% |
| 15 Avg +0.43% | -0.10% | +2.55% | -2.08% | -0.65% | +1.31% | +0.85% | +0.60% | -0.90% | -0.29% | +1.48% | +2.17% | +0.14% |
| 16 Avg -0.59% | +0.05% | -0.52% | +0.20% | -0.41% | -1.53% | -2.00% | +0.32% | -0.50% | -0.21% | +0.69% | -2.63% | -0.52% |
| 17 Avg -0.14% | +0.13% | +0.16% | +3.83% | -1.80% | -0.11% | -0.38% | -0.59% | -2.25% | +0.78% | +0.06% | -0.26% | -1.22% |
| 18 Avg -0.49% | -0.62% | -0.24% | -0.83% | +0.36% | -1.23% | -3.10% | +1.36% | -1.06% | +0.45% | +0.31% | -0.79% | -0.46% |
| 19 Avg +0.16% | -0.68% | +1.52% | +0.48% | -0.63% | -1.96% | +1.82% | +1.07% | -1.36% | +0.22% | +1.05% | +0.95% | -0.50% |
| 20 Avg +0.57% | +0.91% | +0.19% | +0.67% | +0.19% | +3.27% | +0.89% | -0.84% | +1.56% | -2.51% | +1.66% | -0.54% | +1.40% |
| 21 Avg -0.99% | -3.89% | -1.13% | -0.80% | -1.48% | -1.65% | -1.37% | +1.88% | +0.53% | -1.79% | -1.72% | -1.30% | +0.83% |
| 22 Avg +0.02% | -0.87% | -0.82% | -1.61% | +1.15% | +0.88% | -0.45% | -0.09% | +0.51% | +2.00% | -0.55% | +0.58% | -0.52% |
| 23 Avg +0.39% | +0.56% | -2.99% | +1.70% | -0.62% | -3.13% | +2.95% | +0.08% | +1.49% | +0.26% | +2.83% | +1.16% | +0.40% |
| 24 Avg +0.04% | +0.37% | -0.39% | +0.51% | -1.05% | +2.26% | -0.23% | -0.29% | -1.38% | -0.99% | +0.81% | +0.16% | +0.63% |
| 25 Avg -0.04% | +0.55% | -1.13% | +0.58% | +0.88% | +0.33% | -0.78% | -0.45% | +0.09% | -1.28% | +1.49% | -0.92% | +0.16% |
| 26 Avg +0.15% | +0.55% | +0.05% | +1.64% | +0.73% | +0.31% | -0.63% | +1.80% | -2.24% | +1.38% | +0.24% | -1.04% | -0.95% |
| 27 Avg +0.40% | -1.09% | +0.21% | +0.65% | +1.41% | -0.59% | +1.81% | +2.83% | -0.43% | -0.28% | -1.02% | +1.36% | -0.10% |
| 28 Avg +0.51% | +2.11% | +3.95% | -0.06% | +0.27% | -0.92% | -1.33% | +1.05% | -0.40% | +0.74% | +1.52% | +0.78% | -1.56% |
| 29 Avg +0.47% | +2.40% | - | +0.92% | -1.03% | -1.02% | +1.28% | -0.42% | +1.29% | +0.66% | +1.30% | +0.85% | -1.12% |
| 30 Avg +0.00% | -0.89% | - | -0.12% | +0.10% | +2.05% | -0.40% | +0.73% | -1.55% | +0.21% | -0.73% | +0.22% | +0.40% |
| 31 Avg -0.47% | -0.73% | - | +0.21% | - | +0.49% | - | -1.42% | -0.85% | - | -0.58% | - | -0.42% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
