Builders FirstSource (BLDR) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for Builders FirstSource (BLDR).

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Builders FirstSource (BLDR) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +44.18%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 3 for 60 days) is -1.31%.

4 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 57.14%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

Builders FirstSource (BLDR) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

Builders FirstSource exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, starting with gains in February and accelerating into March, peaking around March 4 with an average gain of +9.8%. After March, the stock experiences some volatility but generally maintains positive momentum through the summer, reaching a high point around August 12 with an average gain of +26.2%. The strongest bullish phase occurs from November through December, culminating in a peak around December 27 with an average gain of +45.5%.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

Potential buying opportunities may arise during pullbacks in late March, as the stock consolidates after its initial surge. Another possible entry point could be in late October, before the significant rally that typically occurs in November. Monitoring the stock around January 19 (+0.0%) might present a low-risk entry point, although the gains in early January are generally small.

3) Summary:

Seasonality suggests a bullish investment strategy for Builders FirstSource. Consider initiating positions in late October or early November to capitalize on the strong year-end rally, or during pullbacks in late March. Be aware that while January 19 shows minimal gain, the most substantial gains tend to occur later in the year.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-03-03 134.9200 2025-05-01 111.9300 -22.9900 -17.04
2023 2023-03-03 89.1800 2023-05-01 93.8500 4.6700 5.24
2022 2022-03-03 74.8700 2022-05-01 61.5700 -13.3000 -17.76
2021 2021-03-03 43.2500 2021-05-01 48.6700 5.4200 12.53
2020 2020-03-03 23.7200 2020-05-01 17.2400 -6.4800 -27.32
2017 2017-03-03 15.1500 2017-05-01 16.2100 1.0600 7.00
2016 2016-03-03 8.6500 2016-05-01 11.0900 2.4400 28.21
Avg 55.6771 51.5086 -4.17 -1.31
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total -0.10% Feb Total +2.89% Mar Total +0.36% Apr Total +4.14% May Total +1.93% Jun Total +1.15% Jul Total +9.72% Aug Total +6.14% Sep Total -1.67% Oct Total -4.03% Nov Total +12.40% Dec Total +0.84%
1 Avg +0.83% 0.00% +1.64% +3.74% -0.14% -0.41% +0.32% +1.36% +0.52% +0.49% +0.44% +2.25% -0.26%
2 Avg +0.43% +0.49% -0.04% +1.78% -0.51% +1.42% +1.02% +0.25% +0.20% +0.16% -0.09% +0.87% -0.38%
3 Avg +0.14% +0.29% -0.41% -0.59% -1.07% +2.75% -0.67% -0.03% +1.36% -1.10% -0.07% +0.51% +0.66%
4 Avg +0.50% +0.92% +0.73% +1.90% +0.68% +0.42% +0.84% 0.00% +1.06% +0.45% +0.41% +0.84% -2.28%
5 Avg -0.07% -0.19% -0.63% -0.73% +0.02% +0.03% +0.56% -0.08% -0.12% -0.20% -0.28% +0.24% +0.59%
6 Avg +0.09% -0.26% -0.19% -1.14% +1.82% -0.46% -0.10% -0.45% +0.32% +0.35% +0.59% -0.31% +0.93%
7 Avg -0.03% -0.60% -0.60% -0.85% -0.19% -1.28% +0.33% +0.66% +0.57% +0.07% -0.25% +0.17% +1.54%
8 Avg +0.26% -0.32% -0.03% +0.29% -0.28% +1.25% +0.55% +1.05% +0.19% -0.04% +0.48% +0.13% -0.10%
9 Avg -0.07% +0.28% -0.17% -1.28% +1.65% +0.57% -0.12% +0.25% -0.18% -0.41% -0.44% -1.03% +0.08%
10 Avg +0.32% -0.42% +0.17% +1.43% -0.32% -0.46% -0.70% +0.54% +0.07% +0.86% 0.00% +2.56% +0.08%
11 Avg +0.09% +0.10% 0.00% -1.00% +1.11% -0.79% -1.18% +0.76% +0.03% +0.98% +0.04% +0.97% +0.05%
12 Avg +0.03% +0.13% +0.52% -1.99% -0.12% -1.07% +1.29% +1.51% +1.78% +0.09% -0.98% -0.39% -0.45%
13 Avg -0.28% +0.29% +0.38% +0.15% -0.64% -0.12% -1.26% -0.57% +0.54% -1.54% -0.32% +0.10% -0.33%
14 Avg +0.03% +0.67% +0.53% -0.35% -0.11% +0.04% -1.17% +0.59% -0.13% -0.11% -0.18% +0.74% -0.10%
15 Avg +0.04% +0.23% +0.80% -0.47% -0.83% +0.46% +0.98% +0.41% -0.25% -0.69% +0.45% -0.73% +0.06%
16 Avg -0.19% -0.50% +0.06% -1.49% -0.46% +0.20% -1.01% +0.66% -0.28% -0.15% +0.59% +0.81% -0.75%
17 Avg -0.15% +0.31% -0.55% -0.05% +1.56% +0.01% -0.67% -0.30% -1.98% -0.60% -0.61% +0.43% +0.61%
18 Avg +0.03% -0.40% -0.43% -0.59% +0.51% +0.82% -0.34% +0.02% +0.13% +0.15% -0.78% +0.78% +0.44%
19 Avg -0.27% -1.48% +0.41% +1.28% -0.37% -0.68% -0.18% -0.10% -0.35% +0.49% -1.19% -0.09% -1.02%
20 Avg -0.16% 0.00% -0.32% -0.50% -0.50% -0.03% +1.56% -0.02% -0.64% -1.22% +0.23% -0.36% -0.17%
21 Avg -0.14% +0.37% -1.55% -0.20% -0.83% -0.53% -0.31% +0.45% +0.49% -0.82% -0.05% +0.14% +1.17%
22 Avg +0.24% +0.93% +1.35% -0.98% -0.32% +0.01% -0.61% +1.24% +0.41% +0.66% -0.87% +0.81% +0.26%
23 Avg +0.18% -0.42% -0.11% -1.17% +1.34% -0.89% +1.37% +0.72% +0.76% -0.71% +0.56% +0.62% +0.14%
24 Avg +0.18% +0.66% +0.77% +2.13% +0.96% -0.02% -0.68% -0.98% -0.59% -0.41% +0.19% +0.11% +0.01%
25 Avg +0.25% -0.13% -0.66% +0.86% +0.35% +0.94% -0.83% +0.83% -0.08% +0.12% -0.29% +1.89% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.05% -0.21% +0.83% +0.17% -0.43% +1.19% -0.14% +0.26% -0.67% -0.56% -0.42% -0.16% +0.78%
27 Avg +0.24% -0.94% -0.12% -0.40% +0.73% +1.32% +0.12% +0.22% +0.96% +0.71% -0.49% +0.39% +0.35%
28 Avg +0.28% +0.66% +0.51% +0.30% +1.11% -1.94% +1.27% -0.32% +1.01% +1.35% -0.17% +0.19% -0.59%
29 Avg +0.16% +0.12% - +0.73% +0.88% -0.36% +0.20% +0.46% +1.22% -0.27% -1.41% +0.06% +0.16%
30 Avg -0.15% -0.36% - -0.70% -1.45% +0.01% +0.70% -0.18% +0.34% +0.22% +0.28% -0.14% -0.36%
31 Avg -0.06% -0.28% - +0.07% - -0.46% - +0.49% -0.55% - +0.58% - -0.25%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Mar 3 - Apr 1] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses