TopBuild Corp. (BLD) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for TopBuild Corp. (BLD).

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TopBuild Corp. (BLD) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +45.85%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 3 for 7 days) is -1.49%.

4 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 57.14%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

TopBuild Corp. (BLD) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

TopBuild Corp. exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year. Starting in January, the stock price gradually increases, experiencing a significant surge from March 1st (+6.2%) to August 13th (+35.0%). After peaking in mid-August, the stock consolidates, maintaining gains until late November. A final push occurs from November 10th (+36.2%) leading to the year's peak around December 27th (+48.2%) and December 31st (+45.8%).

2) Buy-the-dip points:

Potential buying opportunities may arise during consolidation periods. After the strong gains through August, the stock experiences some volatility. This consolidation period, from mid-August through September, could provide entry points for investors looking to capitalize on the year-end rally.

3) Summary:

The seasonality data suggests a bullish investment strategy for TopBuild Corp., particularly focusing on the period from January to December. Consider initiating positions during consolidation periods in late summer or early fall to capitalize on the strong year-end surge. Be aware of potential volatility during consolidation phases and manage risk accordingly.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-03-03 296.1200 2025-03-09 308.0600 11.9400 4.03
2023 2023-03-03 210.3600 2023-03-09 200.0300 -10.3300 -4.91
2022 2022-03-03 210.0800 2022-03-09 214.6400 4.5600 2.17
2021 2021-03-03 190.0000 2021-03-09 192.6800 2.6800 1.41
2020 2020-03-03 107.3000 2020-03-09 92.2500 -15.0500 -14.03
2017 2017-03-03 43.9400 2017-03-09 43.7900 -0.1500 -0.34
2016 2016-03-03 28.4600 2016-03-09 28.8100 0.3500 1.23
Avg 155.1800 154.3229 -0.86 -1.49
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +4.73% Feb Total -0.60% Mar Total +2.46% Apr Total +6.61% May Total +4.81% Jun Total +2.00% Jul Total +8.04% Aug Total +1.14% Sep Total -1.89% Oct Total -1.72% Nov Total +9.66% Dec Total -0.25%
1 Avg +0.47% 0.00% +0.90% +1.75% -0.93% -0.45% +0.37% +0.68% +0.59% +0.89% +0.30% +1.42% +0.14%
2 Avg +0.01% -0.19% +0.08% +1.16% -0.04% +0.21% +0.97% -0.34% -0.63% -0.23% -0.48% -0.28% -0.16%
3 Avg -0.15% +0.09% -0.70% -0.62% -1.54% +0.26% +0.38% +0.19% +1.20% -1.42% +0.15% -0.12% +0.32%
4 Avg +0.38% +0.76% +0.39% +0.87% +0.86% +0.20% -0.01% 0.00% +0.33% +0.13% +0.67% +1.58% -1.21%
5 Avg +0.11% -0.22% -0.29% +0.40% +0.13% +1.26% +1.04% +0.30% +0.22% -0.88% -0.45% +0.43% -0.66%
6 Avg +0.22% +0.35% -0.33% -0.25% +1.88% 0.00% +0.12% +0.15% -0.46% +0.04% +0.36% +0.30% +0.52%
7 Avg +0.08% -0.95% -0.04% -0.17% -0.65% +0.73% +0.42% -0.05% +0.76% +0.15% -0.31% +0.63% +0.42%
8 Avg +0.18% -0.32% -0.41% -0.29% +0.22% +0.14% -0.01% +1.14% +0.36% +0.11% +1.40% -0.40% +0.26%
9 Avg +0.21% +0.40% +0.44% -0.30% +1.68% +1.06% +0.41% +0.34% -0.39% +0.10% -0.16% -0.84% -0.24%
10 Avg +0.26% -0.06% -0.25% +0.49% -0.52% +0.48% -1.01% +0.53% +0.55% +0.22% -0.01% +2.45% +0.21%
11 Avg +0.02% +1.28% -0.43% -0.76% +0.82% -1.32% -1.38% +0.60% +0.19% +0.58% -0.01% +0.82% -0.16%
12 Avg 0.00% -0.18% +0.91% -1.07% -0.10% -0.63% +1.33% +0.89% +0.46% -0.02% -0.96% -0.18% -0.49%
13 Avg -0.16% +0.58% -0.11% +0.39% -0.72% +0.86% -1.30% -0.42% +0.43% -0.93% -0.37% -0.25% -0.08%
14 Avg +0.14% -0.14% +0.32% -0.22% +0.38% +0.25% -0.59% +0.17% -0.18% -0.17% +0.30% +0.43% +1.14%
15 Avg +0.20% +0.46% +0.93% +0.54% -1.12% +0.36% +1.38% +0.26% +0.06% -0.43% +0.17% -0.80% +0.62%
16 Avg -0.23% -0.11% -0.02% -2.07% -0.37% -0.64% -1.43% +0.95% -0.07% +0.64% +0.58% +0.33% -0.50%
17 Avg +0.07% +0.04% -0.49% +1.59% +1.27% -0.14% -0.19% -0.46% -1.18% -0.24% +0.32% +0.54% -0.20%
18 Avg +0.06% +0.22% -0.29% -0.66% +1.19% +0.96% -0.51% -0.19% -0.29% +0.40% -1.03% +0.52% +0.43%
19 Avg +0.09% +0.06% +0.55% +1.09% +0.55% -0.98% +0.04% +0.12% +0.20% +1.83% -1.27% +0.06% -1.13%
20 Avg -0.07% +1.02% -0.49% +0.36% -0.03% +0.34% +0.67% +0.23% -1.06% -1.66% -0.26% +0.26% -0.22%
21 Avg +0.13% +0.28% -0.72% +0.15% -0.52% -0.15% -0.11% +0.09% +0.77% -0.62% -0.05% +1.17% +1.22%
22 Avg +0.20% +1.05% +0.91% -0.73% -0.27% +0.35% -0.66% +0.89% +0.15% +0.03% +0.13% +0.67% -0.11%
23 Avg 0.00% +0.40% -0.74% -1.69% +1.18% -0.44% +1.24% +0.14% +0.30% -0.68% -0.10% +0.28% +0.08%
24 Avg +0.24% +0.14% +0.62% +1.77% +0.73% +0.63% -0.11% -0.72% -0.18% +0.07% +0.13% -0.25% +0.02%
25 Avg -0.03% -0.92% -0.42% +0.67% +0.08% +0.54% -1.05% +0.38% -0.51% -0.18% -0.13% +1.21% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.10% -0.06% -0.36% +1.36% +0.47% +1.38% -0.17% +0.33% -0.90% -0.88% -0.48% -0.20% +0.65%
27 Avg +0.20% -0.87% +0.35% -0.45% +0.97% +1.08% +0.14% +0.86% -0.19% +0.67% -0.58% +0.23% +0.24%
28 Avg +0.09% +0.37% -0.90% +0.02% +1.12% -1.37% +1.14% +0.31% +0.26% +0.80% -0.03% +0.16% -0.83%
29 Avg +0.17% +0.51% - +0.34% +1.04% -0.33% +0.39% +0.84% +0.29% -0.18% -1.11% -0.08% +0.15%
30 Avg -0.22% +0.02% - -1.17% -1.13% +0.46% +0.47% +0.23% -0.13% -0.02% -0.21% -0.43% -0.51%
31 Avg +0.25% +0.72% - -0.01% - -0.28% - -0.41% +0.18% - +1.74% - -0.20%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Mar 3 - Apr 1] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses