Aspen Technology (AZPN) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for Aspen Technology (AZPN).

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Aspen Technology (AZPN) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +21.70%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -2.90%.

2 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 50.00%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

Aspen Technology (AZPN) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

Aspen Technology exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, particularly from late March through October. The stock price tends to increase steadily from March 26 (+2.8%) reaching a peak around October 13 (+24.9%). Following this peak, there is a slight decline, but the stock generally maintains high levels, consolidating until the end of the year, reaching +21.7% on December 31.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

Potential buying opportunities appear in early January, although the movement is small. Another opportunity may arise after the peak in October, as the stock experiences a slight pullback. This dip could represent a chance to enter or add to a position before the year-end rally.

3) Summary:

Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to Aspen Technology might involve accumulating shares during the pullback after October 13 (+24.9%) to capitalize on the continued strength into the end of the year, with a final gain of +21.7% on December 31. Investors should consider these seasonal tendencies alongside fundamental analysis and broader market conditions for informed decision-making.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2024 2024-01-16 198.4000 2024-03-15 194.9200 -3.4800 -1.75
2020 2020-01-16 140.4000 2020-03-15 96.1300 -44.2700 -31.53
2019 2019-01-16 89.7300 2019-03-16 102.2200 12.4900 13.92
2018 2018-01-16 75.0300 2018-03-16 80.8600 5.8300 7.77
Avg 125.8900 118.5325 -7.36 -2.90
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +0.13% Feb Total +2.54% Mar Total +3.40% Apr Total +0.32% May Total +3.01% Jun Total -0.28% Jul Total +2.95% Aug Total +9.59% Sep Total +0.91% Oct Total -2.81% Nov Total +4.44% Dec Total +0.17%
1 Avg +0.36% 0.00% +0.73% +1.12% +0.31% -0.82% +1.00% +0.84% +0.37% +0.31% -0.18% -0.15% +0.75%
2 Avg +0.01% +0.09% -0.31% +0.25% -0.42% +0.15% +0.45% +0.22% +0.60% +0.30% -0.64% -0.23% -0.30%
3 Avg +0.07% -0.59% +0.08% -0.21% +0.36% -0.23% +0.02% +0.23% +0.19% -0.74% +0.49% +0.57% +0.63%
4 Avg +0.32% +1.16% +0.75% +0.19% -0.22% +0.21% +0.29% 0.00% -0.07% +0.21% +0.50% +0.83% -0.04%
5 Avg -0.03% -0.17% +0.21% -0.31% -0.26% +0.67% +0.77% -0.02% -0.56% -0.32% +0.25% +0.18% -0.78%
6 Avg +0.03% +0.48% +0.47% -0.48% +0.64% -0.35% +0.14% +0.21% +1.01% -0.38% -0.04% -0.81% -0.51%
7 Avg +0.30% +0.34% -0.02% +0.58% -0.40% -1.17% +0.06% +0.13% +1.70% +0.36% +1.20% +0.54% +0.27%
8 Avg +0.09% +0.63% -0.71% -0.43% +0.32% +0.52% +0.10% +0.30% +0.91% 0.00% -0.01% -0.52% -0.05%
9 Avg -0.17% +0.16% +0.43% -0.31% +0.48% +0.37% -1.45% -0.22% +0.01% -0.38% +0.31% -0.71% -0.70%
10 Avg +0.04% +0.16% -0.32% -0.37% +0.66% +0.45% -0.04% -0.23% +0.34% -0.37% -0.76% +0.77% +0.25%
11 Avg +0.23% +0.27% -0.22% +0.20% +0.34% +0.27% -0.87% +0.63% +0.24% -0.11% +1.16% +0.56% +0.25%
12 Avg +0.15% +0.53% +0.61% -0.97% +0.28% +0.52% +0.33% +0.38% -0.54% +1.01% +0.24% -0.70% +0.05%
13 Avg +0.09% -0.83% -0.18% +0.99% -0.04% -0.92% -0.53% -0.71% +3.01% -0.44% +0.38% +0.18% +0.14%
14 Avg +0.02% +0.39% +0.61% -0.15% +0.12% +0.51% -0.91% -0.29% -0.78% +0.47% -0.11% +0.62% -0.18%
15 Avg +0.13% +0.21% +0.49% -0.92% -0.66% +0.60% +0.08% +0.54% +0.39% +0.17% -0.23% +1.07% -0.12%
16 Avg +0.07% 0.00% -0.10% -0.44% +0.39% +0.18% -0.11% +0.04% -0.10% +0.36% -0.15% +0.84% -0.14%
17 Avg +0.15% +0.22% +0.18% +0.25% -0.10% +0.90% +0.25% +0.09% -0.20% -0.03% +0.44% +0.27% -0.52%
18 Avg -0.04% -0.56% +0.39% +0.14% 0.00% -0.37% -0.08% -0.37% +0.58% +0.10% -0.40% -0.04% +0.09%
19 Avg +0.10% +0.18% +0.29% +0.14% -0.15% +0.44% 0.00% +0.17% -0.02% +0.76% -0.66% -0.13% +0.15%
20 Avg -0.08% +0.20% -0.37% -1.05% +0.19% +0.60% +0.11% -0.05% +0.24% -0.52% -0.53% +0.24% -0.09%
21 Avg -0.07% -0.48% -0.07% -0.03% -0.43% +0.09% +0.57% -0.14% +0.64% -0.74% +0.05% -0.19% -0.08%
22 Avg +0.07% +0.10% +0.49% -0.38% +0.11% +0.23% -0.33% +0.23% -0.18% +0.49% -0.46% +0.45% +0.04%
23 Avg -0.02% -0.11% +0.21% +0.21% +0.39% -0.11% -0.01% -0.09% -0.03% -0.55% -0.46% +0.28% -0.03%
24 Avg +0.09% +1.53% -0.62% +0.43% +0.09% +0.10% -0.22% +0.01% +0.32% -0.03% -0.09% -0.25% -0.17%
25 Avg +0.09% -0.95% -0.07% +1.02% +0.51% -0.01% -0.08% +0.52% +0.11% -0.13% -0.53% +0.73% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.21% +0.47% +0.04% +1.30% +0.74% +0.01% -0.30% +0.27% -0.06% +0.03% -0.75% +0.07% +0.71%
27 Avg -0.30% -1.29% -0.61% +0.11% -2.56% +0.71% +0.14% +0.46% +0.09% +0.59% -1.44% -0.23% +0.42%
28 Avg +0.25% -0.57% +0.15% +0.42% +0.97% -0.06% +0.39% +0.12% +0.35% +0.58% +0.69% +0.20% -0.26%
29 Avg -0.04% -0.11% - +1.22% -0.80% -0.23% +0.17% +0.07% +0.62% -0.23% -0.78% -0.65% +0.30%
30 Avg -0.08% -1.22% - +0.47% -0.54% +0.09% -0.20% -0.41% +0.33% +0.16% -0.17% +0.64% -0.04%
31 Avg +0.01% -0.06% - +0.42% - -0.34% - +0.03% +0.06% - -0.14% - +0.14%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Jan 16 - Feb 14] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses