Check historical price trends and seasonality for Aspen Technology (AZPN).
Aspen Technology (AZPN) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +21.70%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 3 for 60 days) is -3.16%.
3 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 50.00%.
1) Overview:
Aspen Technology exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, particularly from late March through October. The stock price tends to increase steadily from March 26 (+2.8%) reaching a peak around October 13 (+24.9%). Following this peak, there is a slight decline, but the stock generally maintains high levels, consolidating until the end of the year, reaching +21.7% on December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Potential buying opportunities appear in early January, although the movement is small. Another opportunity may arise after the peak in October, as the stock experiences a slight pullback. This dip could represent a chance to enter or add to a position before the year-end rally.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to Aspen Technology might involve accumulating shares during the pullback after October 13 (+24.9%) to capitalize on the continued strength into the end of the year, with a final gain of +21.7% on December 31. Investors should consider these seasonal tendencies alongside fundamental analysis and broader market conditions for informed decision-making.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2023-03-03 | 220.3000 | 2023-05-01 | 176.4800 | -43.8200 | -19.89 |
| 2022 | 2022-03-03 | 148.5900 | 2022-05-01 | 158.5400 | 9.9500 | 6.70 |
| 2021 | 2021-03-03 | 149.9400 | 2021-05-01 | 130.8400 | -19.1000 | -12.74 |
| 2020 | 2020-03-03 | 106.7800 | 2020-05-01 | 95.0400 | -11.7400 | -10.99 |
| 2017 | 2017-03-03 | 59.3000 | 2017-05-01 | 62.0500 | 2.7500 | 4.64 |
| 2016 | 2016-03-03 | 33.5500 | 2016-05-01 | 38.0300 | 4.4800 | 13.35 |
| Avg | 119.7433 | 110.1633 | -9.58 | -3.16 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.13% | Feb Total +2.54% | Mar Total +3.40% | Apr Total +0.32% | May Total +3.01% | Jun Total -0.28% | Jul Total +2.95% | Aug Total +9.59% | Sep Total +0.91% | Oct Total -2.81% | Nov Total +4.44% | Dec Total +0.17% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.36% | 0.00% | +0.73% | +1.12% | +0.31% | -0.82% | +1.00% | +0.84% | +0.37% | +0.31% | -0.18% | -0.15% | +0.75% |
| 2 Avg +0.01% | +0.09% | -0.31% | +0.25% | -0.42% | +0.15% | +0.45% | +0.22% | +0.60% | +0.30% | -0.64% | -0.23% | -0.30% |
| 3 Avg +0.07% | -0.59% | +0.08% | -0.21% | +0.36% | -0.23% | +0.02% | +0.23% | +0.19% | -0.74% | +0.49% | +0.57% | +0.63% |
| 4 Avg +0.32% | +1.16% | +0.75% | +0.19% | -0.22% | +0.21% | +0.29% | 0.00% | -0.07% | +0.21% | +0.50% | +0.83% | -0.04% |
| 5 Avg -0.03% | -0.17% | +0.21% | -0.31% | -0.26% | +0.67% | +0.77% | -0.02% | -0.56% | -0.32% | +0.25% | +0.18% | -0.78% |
| 6 Avg +0.03% | +0.48% | +0.47% | -0.48% | +0.64% | -0.35% | +0.14% | +0.21% | +1.01% | -0.38% | -0.04% | -0.81% | -0.51% |
| 7 Avg +0.30% | +0.34% | -0.02% | +0.58% | -0.40% | -1.17% | +0.06% | +0.13% | +1.70% | +0.36% | +1.20% | +0.54% | +0.27% |
| 8 Avg +0.09% | +0.63% | -0.71% | -0.43% | +0.32% | +0.52% | +0.10% | +0.30% | +0.91% | 0.00% | -0.01% | -0.52% | -0.05% |
| 9 Avg -0.17% | +0.16% | +0.43% | -0.31% | +0.48% | +0.37% | -1.45% | -0.22% | +0.01% | -0.38% | +0.31% | -0.71% | -0.70% |
| 10 Avg +0.04% | +0.16% | -0.32% | -0.37% | +0.66% | +0.45% | -0.04% | -0.23% | +0.34% | -0.37% | -0.76% | +0.77% | +0.25% |
| 11 Avg +0.23% | +0.27% | -0.22% | +0.20% | +0.34% | +0.27% | -0.87% | +0.63% | +0.24% | -0.11% | +1.16% | +0.56% | +0.25% |
| 12 Avg +0.15% | +0.53% | +0.61% | -0.97% | +0.28% | +0.52% | +0.33% | +0.38% | -0.54% | +1.01% | +0.24% | -0.70% | +0.05% |
| 13 Avg +0.09% | -0.83% | -0.18% | +0.99% | -0.04% | -0.92% | -0.53% | -0.71% | +3.01% | -0.44% | +0.38% | +0.18% | +0.14% |
| 14 Avg +0.02% | +0.39% | +0.61% | -0.15% | +0.12% | +0.51% | -0.91% | -0.29% | -0.78% | +0.47% | -0.11% | +0.62% | -0.18% |
| 15 Avg +0.13% | +0.21% | +0.49% | -0.92% | -0.66% | +0.60% | +0.08% | +0.54% | +0.39% | +0.17% | -0.23% | +1.07% | -0.12% |
| 16 Avg +0.07% | 0.00% | -0.10% | -0.44% | +0.39% | +0.18% | -0.11% | +0.04% | -0.10% | +0.36% | -0.15% | +0.84% | -0.14% |
| 17 Avg +0.15% | +0.22% | +0.18% | +0.25% | -0.10% | +0.90% | +0.25% | +0.09% | -0.20% | -0.03% | +0.44% | +0.27% | -0.52% |
| 18 Avg -0.04% | -0.56% | +0.39% | +0.14% | 0.00% | -0.37% | -0.08% | -0.37% | +0.58% | +0.10% | -0.40% | -0.04% | +0.09% |
| 19 Avg +0.10% | +0.18% | +0.29% | +0.14% | -0.15% | +0.44% | 0.00% | +0.17% | -0.02% | +0.76% | -0.66% | -0.13% | +0.15% |
| 20 Avg -0.08% | +0.20% | -0.37% | -1.05% | +0.19% | +0.60% | +0.11% | -0.05% | +0.24% | -0.52% | -0.53% | +0.24% | -0.09% |
| 21 Avg -0.07% | -0.48% | -0.07% | -0.03% | -0.43% | +0.09% | +0.57% | -0.14% | +0.64% | -0.74% | +0.05% | -0.19% | -0.08% |
| 22 Avg +0.07% | +0.10% | +0.49% | -0.38% | +0.11% | +0.23% | -0.33% | +0.23% | -0.18% | +0.49% | -0.46% | +0.45% | +0.04% |
| 23 Avg -0.02% | -0.11% | +0.21% | +0.21% | +0.39% | -0.11% | -0.01% | -0.09% | -0.03% | -0.55% | -0.46% | +0.28% | -0.03% |
| 24 Avg +0.09% | +1.53% | -0.62% | +0.43% | +0.09% | +0.10% | -0.22% | +0.01% | +0.32% | -0.03% | -0.09% | -0.25% | -0.17% |
| 25 Avg +0.09% | -0.95% | -0.07% | +1.02% | +0.51% | -0.01% | -0.08% | +0.52% | +0.11% | -0.13% | -0.53% | +0.73% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.21% | +0.47% | +0.04% | +1.30% | +0.74% | +0.01% | -0.30% | +0.27% | -0.06% | +0.03% | -0.75% | +0.07% | +0.71% |
| 27 Avg -0.30% | -1.29% | -0.61% | +0.11% | -2.56% | +0.71% | +0.14% | +0.46% | +0.09% | +0.59% | -1.44% | -0.23% | +0.42% |
| 28 Avg +0.25% | -0.57% | +0.15% | +0.42% | +0.97% | -0.06% | +0.39% | +0.12% | +0.35% | +0.58% | +0.69% | +0.20% | -0.26% |
| 29 Avg -0.04% | -0.11% | - | +1.22% | -0.80% | -0.23% | +0.17% | +0.07% | +0.62% | -0.23% | -0.78% | -0.65% | +0.30% |
| 30 Avg -0.08% | -1.22% | - | +0.47% | -0.54% | +0.09% | -0.20% | -0.41% | +0.33% | +0.16% | -0.17% | +0.64% | -0.04% |
| 31 Avg +0.01% | -0.06% | - | +0.42% | - | -0.34% | - | +0.03% | +0.06% | - | -0.14% | - | +0.14% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
