Check historical price trends and seasonality for AutoZone (AZO).
AutoZone (AZO) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +18.51%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is +3.11%.
3 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 60.00%.
1) Overview:
AutoZone exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, starting with a significant climb in March, gaining +1.2% by March 5 and peaking around late November. From March to August, the stock experiences a steady climb, reaching +9.5% by August 3. The strongest period is from November into December, culminating in a +19.9% gain by December 7 and remaining high through the end of the year, with +18.5% by December 31. A notable bearish phase occurs around February 11, with an average decline of -1.2%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most prominent dip opportunity appears around February 11, where the stock tends to decline by -1.2%. This pullback in February could be attributed to seasonal factors or profit-taking after the holiday season. A rebound typically follows this dip, leading into the bullish phase that begins in March. Therefore, February presents a potential entry point for investors looking to capitalize on the subsequent upward trend.
3) Summary:
AutoZone's seasonality suggests a strategic entry point in February to capitalize on the subsequent rally that typically begins in March and extends through the end of the year. The significant gains observed in December, particularly around December 7 (+19.9%) and December 31 (+18.5%), highlight the potential for substantial returns during this period. Investors should consider the February dip as a buying opportunity, keeping in mind that these are average tendencies and not guarantees of future performance.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 3,193.9600 | 2025-03-16 | 3,554.9099 | 360.9499 | 11.30 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 2,669.5601 | 2024-03-15 | 3,124.3301 | 454.7700 | 17.04 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 1,142.1200 | 2020-03-15 | 1,012.7300 | -129.3900 | -11.33 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 832.9600 | 2019-03-16 | 962.2300 | 129.2700 | 15.52 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 781.0200 | 2018-03-16 | 648.4900 | -132.5300 | -16.97 |
| Avg | 1,723.9240 | 1,860.5380 | 136.61 | 3.11 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -0.79% | Feb Total +1.23% | Mar Total +3.37% | Apr Total +1.04% | May Total -1.07% | Jun Total +2.88% | Jul Total +2.75% | Aug Total +0.43% | Sep Total +2.73% | Oct Total -0.75% | Nov Total +5.74% | Dec Total +1.05% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.01% | 0.00% | +0.75% | -0.20% | -0.84% | -0.36% | +0.11% | -0.08% | +0.28% | +0.56% | -0.22% | +0.03% | +0.03% |
| 2 Avg +0.19% | +0.43% | +0.33% | +0.51% | -0.21% | +0.79% | +0.12% | +0.47% | -0.08% | -0.13% | -0.72% | +0.71% | +0.07% |
| 3 Avg -0.03% | -0.07% | -0.33% | -0.27% | -0.04% | +0.10% | +0.13% | +0.34% | +0.12% | -0.27% | -0.15% | +0.14% | -0.02% |
| 4 Avg +0.29% | +0.12% | +0.41% | +0.37% | -0.58% | +0.82% | -0.09% | 0.00% | +0.34% | +0.51% | -0.17% | +0.30% | +1.44% |
| 5 Avg -0.08% | -0.15% | -0.33% | +0.45% | +0.38% | -0.27% | +0.11% | -1.03% | -0.42% | -0.07% | +0.53% | +0.10% | -0.25% |
| 6 Avg +0.32% | +0.62% | +0.13% | +0.63% | +1.22% | +0.32% | +0.02% | -0.09% | +0.23% | -0.01% | -0.32% | +0.97% | +0.14% |
| 7 Avg +0.01% | -0.44% | -0.28% | -0.59% | +0.07% | -0.16% | +0.46% | -0.25% | +0.03% | +0.20% | -0.22% | +0.43% | +0.88% |
| 8 Avg -0.02% | -0.36% | -0.59% | -0.20% | +0.28% | +0.30% | +0.09% | +0.16% | +0.17% | +0.41% | +0.21% | -0.17% | -0.50% |
| 9 Avg +0.06% | -0.19% | +0.18% | +0.59% | +0.34% | -0.03% | +0.07% | +0.14% | -0.10% | +0.14% | -0.20% | +0.39% | -0.64% |
| 10 Avg +0.21% | -0.16% | -0.43% | +0.87% | +0.41% | -0.02% | -0.41% | +0.53% | -0.01% | -0.07% | +0.57% | +0.31% | +0.93% |
| 11 Avg -0.08% | +0.16% | -0.05% | -0.73% | -0.17% | -0.64% | -0.08% | -0.30% | +0.26% | +0.20% | +0.09% | +0.32% | +0.02% |
| 12 Avg +0.07% | +0.50% | +0.50% | -1.03% | +0.03% | +0.07% | +0.52% | +0.27% | +0.02% | +0.01% | +0.06% | -0.20% | +0.06% |
| 13 Avg +0.04% | -0.72% | +0.03% | +0.66% | -0.24% | -0.05% | -0.33% | +0.04% | -0.06% | +0.29% | +0.63% | +0.30% | -0.08% |
| 14 Avg +0.09% | +0.04% | 0.00% | +0.23% | +0.59% | +0.17% | -0.08% | +0.66% | +0.22% | -0.10% | +0.04% | +0.14% | -0.82% |
| 15 Avg +0.19% | -0.16% | +0.44% | +0.25% | -0.61% | +0.15% | +0.82% | +0.34% | +0.04% | 0.00% | +0.39% | +0.01% | +0.60% |
| 16 Avg +0.02% | +0.38% | +0.39% | -1.28% | +0.46% | -0.14% | -0.35% | +0.26% | +0.69% | -0.25% | +0.08% | +0.38% | -0.35% |
| 17 Avg +0.02% | +0.39% | +0.13% | +0.55% | +0.35% | -0.16% | +0.36% | -0.19% | -0.32% | +0.02% | -0.25% | -0.07% | -0.54% |
| 18 Avg -0.18% | -0.24% | +0.20% | -1.03% | +0.28% | -0.89% | -0.08% | -0.44% | -0.01% | -0.69% | +0.42% | +0.16% | +0.09% |
| 19 Avg -0.07% | -0.02% | +0.04% | +0.58% | +0.10% | +0.38% | -0.07% | +0.36% | +0.35% | -0.70% | -0.98% | -0.41% | -0.45% |
| 20 Avg -0.10% | -0.09% | +0.10% | -1.06% | +0.42% | -0.49% | +0.10% | 0.00% | +0.09% | +0.73% | -0.41% | -0.64% | +0.02% |
| 21 Avg +0.17% | +0.38% | -0.32% | +0.32% | -0.65% | +0.22% | -0.02% | -0.20% | +0.10% | +0.26% | +0.62% | +1.07% | +0.31% |
| 22 Avg -0.03% | -0.05% | -0.40% | -0.21% | +0.02% | -1.21% | +0.54% | +0.36% | -0.41% | +0.42% | +0.01% | +0.53% | +0.09% |
| 23 Avg -0.23% | -0.19% | -0.33% | -0.10% | +0.12% | -1.67% | +0.29% | +0.08% | -0.35% | -0.29% | -0.55% | +0.18% | +0.05% |
| 24 Avg +0.21% | -0.31% | +0.16% | +1.76% | +0.58% | +1.21% | -0.33% | +0.03% | -0.70% | -0.33% | +0.36% | -0.07% | +0.21% |
| 25 Avg +0.17% | -0.54% | -0.16% | +0.64% | +0.05% | +0.56% | -0.44% | +0.35% | +0.36% | +0.44% | +0.29% | +0.44% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.16% | +0.36% | +0.39% | +0.89% | -0.15% | +0.39% | +0.24% | +0.08% | -0.49% | +0.54% | -0.12% | -0.07% | -0.11% |
| 27 Avg -0.02% | -0.63% | -0.39% | +0.09% | +0.22% | +0.14% | +0.08% | -0.01% | -0.19% | +0.30% | -0.22% | +0.08% | +0.25% |
| 28 Avg +0.08% | +0.19% | +0.66% | -0.10% | -1.08% | -0.03% | +0.34% | +0.20% | +0.25% | +0.34% | -0.01% | +0.20% | -0.01% |
| 29 Avg +0.13% | -0.03% | - | +0.80% | +0.08% | -0.65% | +0.08% | +0.40% | +0.38% | +0.45% | -0.35% | +0.28% | 0.00% |
| 30 Avg +0.07% | +0.38% | - | +0.20% | -0.39% | +0.73% | +0.69% | +0.22% | -0.23% | -0.19% | +0.09% | -0.14% | -0.59% |
| 31 Avg -0.21% | -0.40% | - | -0.25% | - | -0.67% | - | +0.04% | -0.13% | - | -0.27% | - | +0.23% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
