Check historical price trends and seasonality for American Express (AXP).
American Express (AXP) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +19.98%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 30 for 7 days) is +0.09%.
6 wins 1 losses with a win rate of 85.71%.
1) Overview:
American Express exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, with a significant rally starting in early January and continuing through July. From January 25 to July 18, the stock tends to climb from +1.8% to +10.7%. After peaking in July, the stock experiences a period of consolidation and slight pullback through early September. A second bullish phase emerges from early September, culminating in substantial gains by the end of the year, with the highest points around December 12 (+21.2%) and December 31 (+19.9%).
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A potential buying opportunity arises in March, specifically around March 23, where the average gain is only +0.1%, representing a relative low point after the initial bullish run. Another pullback period appears from late July into early September, offering another chance to buy before the year-end rally. These pullbacks could be attributed to profit-taking after strong gains, presenting strategic entry points for long-term investors.
3) Summary:
The seasonality data suggests a buy-and-hold strategy with tactical entries during pullback periods. Consider initiating positions in late March or during the late summer consolidation to capitalize on the subsequent rallies. The significant gains typically seen in December make American Express a potentially attractive holding through the end of the year.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-30 | 318.9500 | 2025-02-05 | 320.5300 | 1.5800 | 0.50 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-30 | 204.1500 | 2024-02-05 | 205.9400 | 1.7900 | 0.88 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-30 | 172.6600 | 2023-02-05 | 178.8600 | 6.2000 | 3.59 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-30 | 133.2200 | 2020-02-05 | 133.6000 | 0.3800 | 0.29 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-30 | 102.6700 | 2019-02-05 | 103.9000 | 1.2300 | 1.20 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-30 | 98.7100 | 2018-02-05 | 92.0100 | -6.7000 | -6.79 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-30 | 77.2800 | 2017-02-05 | 78.0400 | 0.7600 | 0.98 |
| Avg | 158.2343 | 158.9829 | 0.75 | 0.09 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +2.87% | Feb Total +2.20% | Mar Total -1.79% | Apr Total +3.35% | May Total +1.44% | Jun Total +0.90% | Jul Total +2.26% | Aug Total +1.78% | Sep Total -0.97% | Oct Total +1.76% | Nov Total +7.45% | Dec Total +0.43% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.08% | 0.00% | +0.69% | -0.05% | -0.46% | -0.51% | +0.68% | +0.43% | -0.42% | -0.07% | +0.28% | +0.35% | +0.08% |
| 2 Avg +0.04% | +0.22% | -0.08% | +0.37% | -0.37% | -0.20% | +0.97% | +0.43% | -1.07% | 0.00% | -0.08% | +0.10% | +0.20% |
| 3 Avg -0.02% | +0.19% | +0.64% | -0.12% | -1.33% | -0.11% | +0.32% | +0.18% | +0.43% | -0.79% | +0.03% | +0.16% | +0.16% |
| 4 Avg +0.19% | +0.78% | +0.60% | -0.06% | -1.00% | -0.16% | +0.42% | 0.00% | +0.15% | +0.39% | +0.77% | +0.34% | 0.00% |
| 5 Avg +0.02% | -0.48% | -0.14% | -0.04% | +0.03% | +0.03% | +0.28% | -0.29% | -0.01% | -0.14% | +0.34% | +0.85% | -0.22% |
| 6 Avg +0.12% | +0.31% | +0.12% | -0.58% | +0.90% | -0.36% | +0.77% | -0.15% | +0.52% | -0.50% | -0.55% | +0.61% | +0.39% |
| 7 Avg +0.11% | -0.11% | +0.06% | -0.88% | +0.27% | +0.43% | +0.42% | -0.18% | +0.47% | +0.23% | -0.32% | +0.44% | +0.54% |
| 8 Avg +0.19% | +0.14% | -0.25% | +0.34% | +0.62% | +0.72% | +0.24% | -0.15% | +0.50% | -0.15% | -0.11% | +0.55% | -0.11% |
| 9 Avg +0.26% | +0.17% | +0.58% | -0.66% | +1.44% | -0.18% | -0.76% | +0.39% | +0.12% | +0.42% | +0.20% | +1.88% | -0.44% |
| 10 Avg -0.05% | -0.27% | -0.13% | -0.17% | -0.46% | +0.21% | -0.97% | +0.78% | +0.02% | -0.49% | -0.40% | +0.86% | +0.41% |
| 11 Avg -0.15% | +0.25% | -0.32% | -0.90% | -0.25% | -1.06% | -0.86% | +0.06% | +0.41% | +0.95% | -0.09% | -0.16% | +0.11% |
| 12 Avg +0.07% | -0.03% | +0.81% | -0.93% | +0.07% | -0.37% | +0.20% | +0.33% | -0.09% | +0.48% | +0.12% | -0.22% | +0.49% |
| 13 Avg +0.01% | 0.00% | +0.21% | +1.18% | -0.07% | -0.43% | -1.10% | +0.01% | +0.15% | -0.21% | +0.14% | +0.22% | +0.03% |
| 14 Avg +0.23% | +0.02% | +0.44% | +0.95% | +0.25% | +1.07% | -0.47% | -0.01% | +0.16% | +0.38% | +0.08% | +0.24% | -0.36% |
| 15 Avg +0.18% | +0.24% | +0.48% | -0.28% | -0.43% | +0.05% | +0.36% | +0.70% | -0.01% | +0.38% | +0.24% | +0.27% | +0.21% |
| 16 Avg -0.13% | +0.05% | +0.06% | -1.04% | -0.20% | -0.13% | -0.22% | -0.02% | +0.31% | -0.26% | +0.14% | 0.00% | -0.30% |
| 17 Avg +0.12% | +0.03% | -0.23% | +0.22% | +0.81% | +0.21% | +0.22% | +0.08% | -0.50% | +0.48% | +1.40% | -0.58% | -0.72% |
| 18 Avg -0.17% | -0.29% | +0.09% | -1.18% | +0.48% | +0.47% | -0.09% | +0.23% | -0.26% | -0.21% | -0.40% | -0.52% | -0.40% |
| 19 Avg +0.08% | -0.29% | +0.28% | +0.50% | +1.59% | -0.40% | -0.10% | -0.84% | -0.29% | +0.52% | +0.08% | -0.13% | 0.00% |
| 20 Avg +0.02% | +0.47% | -0.16% | -0.16% | +0.01% | +0.53% | +0.04% | +0.31% | -0.10% | -0.56% | +0.55% | -0.24% | -0.52% |
| 21 Avg -0.14% | -0.22% | -0.64% | +0.23% | -0.58% | -0.16% | +0.35% | -0.14% | -0.12% | -0.74% | -0.22% | +0.50% | +0.12% |
| 22 Avg +0.01% | -1.04% | +0.63% | -0.83% | +0.27% | +0.07% | -0.17% | +0.48% | +0.08% | -0.15% | +0.60% | +0.32% | -0.10% |
| 23 Avg +0.00% | +0.21% | +0.02% | -1.33% | +0.49% | -0.30% | +0.13% | +0.66% | -0.18% | -0.19% | -0.27% | +0.36% | +0.42% |
| 24 Avg +0.27% | +0.59% | -0.48% | +2.62% | +0.27% | +0.18% | -0.16% | -0.57% | +0.36% | -0.05% | 0.00% | +0.50% | +0.03% |
| 25 Avg +0.26% | +0.78% | -0.47% | +1.10% | -0.27% | +0.32% | +0.35% | +0.13% | +0.39% | +0.15% | +0.21% | +0.47% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.12% | +0.38% | +0.16% | +0.54% | +0.39% | +1.30% | -0.32% | -0.03% | -0.12% | -0.42% | -0.49% | -0.51% | +0.51% |
| 27 Avg +0.06% | +0.08% | -0.66% | -0.53% | +0.27% | +1.41% | -0.46% | -0.06% | +0.67% | +0.27% | -0.35% | +0.02% | +0.06% |
| 28 Avg +0.08% | +0.55% | -0.13% | -0.31% | +0.75% | -0.45% | -0.08% | -0.05% | +0.50% | +0.24% | -0.22% | +0.27% | -0.09% |
| 29 Avg +0.06% | -0.22% | - | +0.38% | +0.72% | -0.72% | +0.39% | +0.47% | +0.33% | -0.55% | -0.33% | +0.32% | -0.10% |
| 30 Avg -0.03% | +0.57% | - | +0.19% | -0.86% | +0.12% | +0.51% | -0.62% | -0.36% | -0.40% | +0.38% | +0.16% | -0.07% |
| 31 Avg -0.16% | -0.22% | - | -0.34% | - | -0.12% | - | -0.29% | -0.25% | - | +0.01% | - | +0.09% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
