Check historical price trends and seasonality for Broadcom (AVGO).
Broadcom (AVGO) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +42.15%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Feb 17 for 60 days) is +4.86%.
3 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 60.00%.
1) Overview:
Broadcom's stock exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, particularly in the second half. The stock experiences a bearish phase in early January, with a notable dip around January 13, averaging -2.4%. However, the stock recovers and enters a strong bullish phase that lasts until the end of the year, culminating in significant gains around December 26 (+43.8%) and December 31 (+42.1%). This suggests a pattern of accumulation throughout the year, leading to a substantial rally towards the year's end.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most prominent buy-the-dip opportunity appears in January, specifically around January 13, where the stock tends to decline by an average of -2.4%. This early-year weakness could be attributed to profit-taking or portfolio rebalancing after the holiday season. The stock typically rebounds from this dip as it begins its ascent in February and March. Therefore, investors could consider accumulating shares during this period of weakness in January.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a potential investment strategy for Broadcom would involve taking advantage of the early January weakness, specifically around January 13, to establish or increase positions. The strong bullish trend throughout the rest of the year, especially the significant gains observed near the end of December, suggests that holding the stock through the year-end could be beneficial. However, investors should be aware of potential volatility and manage their risk accordingly.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2023-02-17 | 59.5590 | 2023-04-17 | 62.7360 | 3.1770 | 5.33 |
| 2022 | 2022-02-17 | 57.9000 | 2022-04-17 | 57.3850 | -0.5150 | -0.89 |
| 2021 | 2021-02-17 | 48.2480 | 2021-04-17 | 47.8790 | -0.3690 | -0.76 |
| 2017 | 2017-02-17 | 21.0410 | 2017-04-17 | 21.3870 | 0.3460 | 1.64 |
| 2016 | 2016-02-17 | 13.0680 | 2016-04-16 | 15.5490 | 2.4810 | 18.99 |
| Avg | 39.9632 | 40.9872 | 1.02 | 4.86 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.40% | Feb Total +0.47% | Mar Total +2.21% | Apr Total +1.39% | May Total +7.05% | Jun Total +4.36% | Jul Total +2.84% | Aug Total +2.10% | Sep Total +0.51% | Oct Total +2.94% | Nov Total +7.10% | Dec Total +7.92% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.04% | 0.00% | +1.03% | +1.34% | +0.29% | -0.36% | -0.47% | -0.22% | -0.99% | -0.35% | +0.05% | +0.12% | -0.97% |
| 2 Avg +0.28% | +0.29% | +0.21% | +0.93% | +0.30% | +0.32% | +1.86% | +0.16% | -0.73% | +0.38% | -0.25% | +0.01% | -0.17% |
| 3 Avg -0.24% | -1.30% | -0.95% | -0.82% | -0.54% | -0.09% | +0.80% | +0.12% | +0.42% | -1.27% | +0.16% | +0.42% | +0.14% |
| 4 Avg +0.46% | -0.31% | +1.26% | +1.03% | -1.01% | +0.40% | +1.00% | 0.00% | +0.76% | +0.86% | +0.91% | +0.82% | -0.22% |
| 5 Avg +0.12% | -0.87% | -0.29% | -0.54% | -0.08% | +0.05% | +0.66% | -0.32% | -0.48% | +1.08% | +0.73% | +1.42% | +0.02% |
| 6 Avg +0.09% | +0.42% | +0.73% | -0.80% | +0.25% | +0.12% | -0.26% | +0.42% | +0.29% | -1.39% | +0.20% | +0.69% | +0.41% |
| 7 Avg +0.24% | -0.34% | -0.38% | +0.25% | +0.43% | +0.50% | +0.30% | +0.24% | +0.04% | +0.47% | -0.47% | +0.75% | +1.03% |
| 8 Avg +0.11% | +0.08% | -0.31% | -1.44% | +0.29% | +0.51% | -0.28% | +0.39% | +0.32% | -0.05% | +0.43% | +0.63% | +0.77% |
| 9 Avg +0.17% | +0.11% | +0.26% | +0.49% | +1.81% | -0.42% | -0.75% | +0.43% | -0.32% | +0.05% | +0.76% | -0.92% | +0.53% |
| 10 Avg +0.19% | -0.34% | -0.14% | +0.03% | -0.37% | +0.80% | +0.07% | +0.46% | -0.27% | +1.92% | -1.53% | +0.72% | +0.93% |
| 11 Avg +0.21% | +0.24% | -0.12% | +0.23% | +0.84% | -0.19% | +0.08% | -0.65% | -0.20% | +0.44% | -0.13% | +0.22% | +1.77% |
| 12 Avg +0.18% | +0.36% | +1.19% | -0.57% | -0.49% | +0.14% | +1.08% | -0.59% | +0.88% | +0.54% | +0.43% | -0.62% | -0.16% |
| 13 Avg +0.36% | -0.72% | +0.17% | +0.32% | +1.17% | +0.40% | +0.56% | -0.67% | +0.54% | -0.27% | +0.76% | -0.60% | +2.66% |
| 14 Avg +0.17% | +0.38% | -0.10% | +0.07% | -0.49% | +1.04% | +0.37% | +0.49% | +0.08% | +0.82% | -0.23% | -0.31% | -0.09% |
| 15 Avg +0.36% | -0.35% | +0.75% | +1.75% | -0.77% | +0.41% | +0.04% | +0.47% | +0.40% | +0.30% | +0.25% | +0.79% | +0.30% |
| 16 Avg -0.18% | +0.03% | +0.06% | -2.05% | +0.07% | -0.43% | -0.54% | -0.50% | -0.12% | -0.47% | +0.45% | +0.23% | +1.15% |
| 17 Avg -0.03% | +0.48% | -0.06% | +0.68% | +0.14% | -0.26% | +0.50% | -0.07% | -0.62% | -0.59% | -0.13% | +0.16% | -0.59% |
| 18 Avg -0.12% | +0.66% | -0.66% | -1.96% | -0.04% | +0.38% | +0.18% | +0.37% | +0.23% | -0.12% | -0.30% | +0.15% | -0.34% |
| 19 Avg +0.10% | +0.37% | +0.42% | +1.97% | -1.11% | -0.38% | -0.45% | +0.21% | -0.06% | +0.48% | -0.14% | +0.24% | -0.34% |
| 20 Avg -0.17% | +0.51% | -0.35% | -0.24% | -0.29% | +0.36% | -0.35% | +0.21% | -0.27% | -0.91% | -0.18% | -0.32% | -0.16% |
| 21 Avg -0.04% | 0.00% | -0.75% | +0.50% | -0.87% | -0.18% | -0.64% | +0.37% | +0.90% | -0.67% | +0.30% | +0.29% | +0.34% |
| 22 Avg +0.06% | -0.04% | +0.31% | +0.08% | +0.48% | -0.07% | +0.05% | -0.11% | -0.38% | +0.35% | -0.10% | +0.10% | +0.02% |
| 23 Avg +0.10% | +0.42% | -0.42% | -0.42% | +0.70% | -0.50% | +0.17% | +0.82% | +0.18% | -0.36% | -0.36% | +0.20% | +0.80% |
| 24 Avg +0.39% | +1.12% | -0.41% | +1.33% | +0.86% | +0.46% | -0.25% | -0.53% | -0.15% | +0.10% | +0.50% | +1.64% | +0.06% |
| 25 Avg +0.08% | -0.29% | -0.68% | +0.17% | +0.29% | +1.34% | -0.52% | +0.45% | +0.12% | -0.34% | +0.13% | +0.25% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.37% | +0.64% | +0.89% | +1.38% | 0.00% | +1.70% | +0.27% | +0.06% | -0.40% | -0.22% | -0.81% | +0.23% | +0.75% |
| 27 Avg -0.30% | -3.10% | -1.13% | -1.33% | +0.26% | +1.27% | -0.48% | +0.22% | +0.51% | +0.09% | +0.27% | -0.32% | +0.09% |
| 28 Avg +0.19% | +1.36% | -0.06% | -0.20% | -0.14% | +0.08% | +0.86% | +0.09% | +0.35% | +0.33% | +0.30% | -0.45% | -0.22% |
| 29 Avg +0.11% | +0.33% | - | +0.05% | -0.03% | +0.21% | +0.15% | +0.12% | 0.00% | -0.58% | +0.84% | +0.19% | -0.06% |
| 30 Avg +0.03% | 0.00% | - | +0.15% | -0.56% | -0.27% | +0.36% | -0.02% | +0.52% | -0.10% | +0.34% | +0.41% | -0.46% |
| 31 Avg +0.06% | +0.24% | - | -0.16% | - | -0.29% | - | +0.42% | +0.56% | - | -0.27% | - | -0.08% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
