Check historical price trends and seasonality for AvalonBay Communities (AVB).
AvalonBay Communities (AVB) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +2.87%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 3 for 60 days) is -3.44%.
3 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 42.86%.
1) Overview:
AvalonBay Communities (AVB) exhibits a distinct seasonal pattern. The stock tends to rally strongly from early February, reaching a peak around September 6 with an average gain of 5.2%. Following this high, there is a period of weakness, particularly around March 23, where the stock sees an average decline of -3.4%. The year concludes with a late rally into December, ending on December 31 with an average gain of 2.8%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most significant pullback period for AVB appears to be in March, bottoming around March 23 with an average decline of -3.4%. This dip could represent a buying opportunity as the stock has historically shown a tendency to rebound after this period. Another potential, albeit smaller, buying opportunity may present itself in early April.
3) Summary:
From a seasonal perspective, consider accumulating AVB shares during the pullback around March 23, anticipating a rally into September. Investors should also consider accumulating shares in late December. However, remember that seasonal tendencies are not guarantees, and a comprehensive investment strategy should incorporate fundamental analysis and risk management.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-03-03 | 228.0800 | 2025-05-01 | 209.0000 | -19.0800 | -8.37 |
| 2023 | 2023-03-03 | 172.6800 | 2023-05-01 | 181.6700 | 8.9900 | 5.21 |
| 2022 | 2022-03-03 | 243.1000 | 2022-05-01 | 227.4800 | -15.6200 | -6.43 |
| 2021 | 2021-03-03 | 181.4000 | 2021-05-01 | 192.0000 | 10.6000 | 5.84 |
| 2020 | 2020-03-03 | 208.7300 | 2020-05-01 | 158.4400 | -50.2900 | -24.09 |
| 2017 | 2017-03-03 | 181.1700 | 2017-05-01 | 191.0200 | 9.8500 | 5.44 |
| 2016 | 2016-03-03 | 179.7900 | 2016-05-01 | 176.7900 | -3.0000 | -1.67 |
| Avg | 199.2786 | 190.9143 | -8.36 | -3.44 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.55% | Feb Total -0.54% | Mar Total +0.21% | Apr Total +1.13% | May Total -0.25% | Jun Total +1.38% | Jul Total +1.74% | Aug Total +0.80% | Sep Total -2.80% | Oct Total -2.35% | Nov Total +3.91% | Dec Total -0.91% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.09% | 0.00% | -0.61% | -0.01% | -0.50% | -0.17% | +0.47% | +0.32% | -0.18% | +0.22% | +0.11% | -0.43% | -0.25% |
| 2 Avg +0.10% | -0.54% | +0.69% | +0.84% | -0.26% | +0.06% | +0.61% | +0.11% | -0.35% | -0.23% | -0.09% | +0.21% | +0.19% |
| 3 Avg 0.00% | -0.02% | -0.33% | +0.47% | -0.58% | 0.00% | -0.17% | +0.25% | -0.62% | +0.17% | -0.15% | +0.82% | +0.13% |
| 4 Avg +0.03% | -0.27% | +0.47% | +0.68% | -0.81% | +0.35% | -0.07% | 0.00% | +0.02% | +0.27% | +0.28% | -0.42% | -0.10% |
| 5 Avg -0.02% | -0.35% | -0.63% | -0.05% | +0.04% | -0.17% | +1.22% | +0.10% | -0.21% | -0.06% | -0.33% | +0.68% | -0.48% |
| 6 Avg +0.10% | +0.40% | +0.16% | -0.29% | +1.33% | -0.07% | -0.50% | -0.13% | +0.38% | +0.27% | -0.45% | -0.03% | +0.12% |
| 7 Avg -0.09% | -0.62% | -0.10% | -0.14% | -0.28% | +0.25% | +0.34% | -0.34% | +0.41% | +0.06% | -0.63% | -0.21% | +0.15% |
| 8 Avg +0.21% | +0.32% | -0.18% | +0.44% | +1.04% | -0.07% | +0.08% | +0.15% | +0.14% | -0.36% | +0.12% | +0.62% | +0.24% |
| 9 Avg +0.08% | -0.27% | +0.45% | -0.62% | +1.19% | -0.04% | -0.14% | +0.06% | +0.28% | -0.52% | +0.13% | +0.77% | -0.38% |
| 10 Avg +0.08% | +0.06% | +0.22% | +0.23% | -0.19% | +0.27% | +0.16% | +0.31% | -0.29% | -0.42% | -0.32% | +1.14% | -0.26% |
| 11 Avg -0.19% | +0.26% | 0.00% | -0.70% | -0.24% | -0.58% | -0.80% | -0.12% | -0.23% | +0.13% | +0.30% | -0.27% | -0.09% |
| 12 Avg -0.04% | +0.01% | +0.08% | -0.59% | -0.05% | -0.32% | +0.20% | +0.22% | +0.22% | 0.00% | +0.03% | -0.24% | -0.02% |
| 13 Avg +0.11% | +0.19% | +0.18% | +0.85% | -0.38% | +0.05% | -0.46% | -0.09% | +0.25% | -0.47% | +0.06% | +0.33% | +0.76% |
| 14 Avg +0.11% | -0.04% | -0.15% | +0.11% | +0.36% | -0.15% | +0.25% | +0.25% | -0.01% | +0.40% | -0.08% | +0.38% | -0.01% |
| 15 Avg +0.07% | +0.35% | +0.52% | +0.53% | -0.25% | -0.11% | +0.03% | +0.10% | +0.32% | -0.27% | -0.12% | -0.22% | -0.06% |
| 16 Avg -0.07% | +0.23% | +0.07% | -1.58% | -0.37% | -0.10% | +0.54% | +0.21% | -0.02% | +0.05% | +0.14% | +0.19% | -0.14% |
| 17 Avg +0.22% | +0.22% | -0.06% | +1.32% | +1.06% | +0.04% | -0.04% | -0.04% | +0.15% | -0.06% | +0.57% | -0.23% | -0.24% |
| 18 Avg -0.32% | -0.23% | -0.07% | -1.93% | +0.06% | +0.07% | -0.40% | -0.21% | -0.53% | -0.30% | +0.02% | -0.01% | -0.31% |
| 19 Avg -0.22% | +0.12% | +0.02% | -0.86% | +0.16% | -0.60% | -0.29% | +0.17% | +0.05% | -0.28% | -0.54% | +0.06% | -0.62% |
| 20 Avg -0.17% | -0.07% | -0.15% | -0.92% | -0.69% | +0.18% | +0.03% | -0.09% | +0.05% | -0.23% | -0.09% | +0.05% | -0.12% |
| 21 Avg -0.10% | +0.10% | -0.10% | -0.18% | -0.18% | -0.21% | +0.29% | -0.09% | -0.14% | -0.55% | +0.10% | -0.01% | -0.22% |
| 22 Avg +0.08% | -0.09% | +0.10% | -0.42% | +0.23% | -0.02% | -0.15% | +0.41% | -0.01% | +0.33% | -0.09% | +0.10% | +0.50% |
| 23 Avg -0.03% | +0.17% | +0.35% | -1.12% | +0.17% | -0.07% | +0.07% | -0.08% | -0.06% | +0.35% | +0.07% | -0.05% | -0.17% |
| 24 Avg +0.07% | -0.15% | +0.13% | +1.04% | +0.33% | +0.13% | -0.40% | -0.41% | +0.37% | -0.46% | +0.08% | +0.34% | -0.21% |
| 25 Avg +0.10% | +0.05% | +0.10% | +1.18% | +0.09% | +0.05% | -0.23% | -0.35% | +0.15% | +0.12% | -0.08% | +0.14% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.09% | +0.39% | -0.50% | +0.96% | -0.15% | +0.47% | +0.06% | +0.24% | -0.27% | -0.36% | -0.19% | +0.01% | +0.39% |
| 27 Avg -0.03% | -0.11% | -0.87% | +0.81% | +0.44% | +0.32% | +0.38% | -0.25% | +0.48% | -0.78% | -0.79% | -0.18% | +0.20% |
| 28 Avg +0.17% | +0.20% | -0.32% | +0.48% | +0.19% | -0.11% | +0.15% | +0.86% | +0.36% | +0.65% | -0.34% | +0.02% | -0.06% |
| 29 Avg -0.03% | -0.38% | - | +0.62% | -0.62% | -0.27% | -0.01% | +0.87% | +0.15% | -0.57% | -0.22% | +0.07% | -0.01% |
| 30 Avg -0.01% | -0.05% | - | -0.74% | -0.02% | +0.44% | +0.14% | -0.54% | +0.04% | +0.07% | +0.35% | +0.29% | -0.04% |
| 31 Avg +0.05% | +0.69% | - | -0.19% | - | +0.12% | - | -0.14% | -0.12% | - | -0.20% | - | +0.19% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
