AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV).

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AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +28.89%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Aug 25 for 30 days) is +1.26%.

3 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 42.86%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, with gains starting in January and peaking in October and November. The stock tends to rise steadily from January through September, culminating in a significant surge into October, reaching +41.3% by October 1. The bullish trend continues into November, peaking around November 11 with an impressive +46.0% gain, before experiencing a pullback through December, ending the year at +28.8% on December 31.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

Potential buying opportunities arise during pullbacks. The first occurs in late February, where gains are reduced to +0.3% by February 26, before recovering in March. Another dip occurs in November after the peak on November 11, with gains receding to +36.8% by November 30. Finally, a more pronounced dip occurs in December, presenting a possible entry point as the stock retraces from its November highs, reaching +28.8% by December 31. These pullbacks could be attributed to profit-taking after periods of strong performance.

3) Summary:

The seasonality data suggests a strategic approach to investing in AVAV. Consider initiating positions during the late February pullback or in December as the stock retraces from its November peak. Given the strong bullish trend throughout the year, holding through October and November could maximize returns, but be mindful of the potential for a pullback in December.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-08-25 241.1500 2025-09-23 298.6100 57.4600 23.83
2023 2023-08-25 94.4100 2023-09-23 112.3300 17.9200 18.98
2022 2022-08-25 100.9500 2022-09-23 88.6500 -12.3000 -12.18
2021 2021-08-25 101.3100 2021-09-23 84.4000 -16.9100 -16.69
2020 2020-08-25 78.1200 2020-09-23 61.2100 -16.9100 -21.65
2017 2017-08-25 38.8300 2017-09-23 51.6900 12.8600 33.12
2016 2016-08-25 29.5700 2016-09-23 24.6600 -4.9100 -16.60
Avg 97.7629 103.0786 5.32 1.26
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +3.88% Feb Total -1.67% Mar Total +6.35% Apr Total +4.70% May Total +7.74% Jun Total +7.42% Jul Total -0.82% Aug Total +3.99% Sep Total +4.00% Oct Total +4.70% Nov Total -1.54% Dec Total -5.72%
1 Avg +0.03% 0.00% +0.46% +0.56% -0.71% +0.18% +0.96% -1.69% -0.45% -0.19% +1.35% +0.96% -1.05%
2 Avg +0.36% +0.02% -0.57% +0.98% -0.09% +1.32% +1.65% -0.55% -0.18% +0.04% +0.31% -0.04% +1.40%
3 Avg -0.09% +0.45% -0.05% -0.13% -0.79% +0.25% +0.32% -0.01% +0.01% -1.03% +0.48% +0.10% -0.64%
4 Avg +0.23% -0.33% +1.46% +0.47% +0.76% +0.46% +0.28% 0.00% +0.49% -0.59% -0.05% -0.32% +0.08%
5 Avg -0.06% -0.22% -0.32% +2.49% +0.28% -0.20% +0.12% -0.58% +0.51% -0.19% -0.68% +0.23% -2.17%
6 Avg +0.59% +0.50% -0.28% +1.51% +0.85% +0.17% -0.35% -0.43% +0.42% +3.63% -0.32% -0.50% +1.84%
7 Avg -0.42% +0.06% -0.66% -1.05% -0.41% +0.10% +0.30% +0.03% -0.14% -0.06% -0.25% +0.96% -3.89%
8 Avg +0.72% +0.77% +0.55% -0.23% +1.24% +1.43% +0.57% -0.16% +0.68% +1.87% +1.14% -0.44% +1.24%
9 Avg 0.00% +0.61% +0.70% +0.25% +1.64% -0.39% -0.42% -0.11% -0.15% -1.89% +0.24% -0.04% -0.47%
10 Avg +0.14% -0.06% +0.64% -0.74% +0.30% +0.01% -0.37% +0.64% +0.25% +1.23% -0.46% +1.90% -1.69%
11 Avg +0.39% +0.34% -0.11% +0.34% +3.15% -0.31% -0.51% +0.95% -0.15% +0.07% +0.32% +0.81% -0.23%
12 Avg -0.05% +0.30% +0.18% -1.07% +0.06% +0.23% +0.06% -0.16% +0.59% +0.64% -0.29% -1.62% +0.48%
13 Avg -0.11% -0.36% -0.34% +0.63% -0.02% -0.09% -0.39% -0.47% +0.29% -0.47% +1.04% -0.64% -0.51%
14 Avg +0.17% +3.35% -0.28% -0.22% -0.06% +1.17% -0.69% -0.45% +0.04% +0.09% -0.44% -0.72% +0.31%
15 Avg -0.08% -0.69% +0.68% -1.22% -0.94% -0.46% +0.30% +0.43% +0.18% +0.15% -0.01% +0.17% +0.49%
16 Avg -0.04% -0.73% -0.44% +1.09% -0.30% -0.21% -1.05% -0.28% +0.76% -0.22% +1.16% -0.05% -0.17%
17 Avg +0.25% +0.22% -0.28% +2.88% +1.09% +0.44% +0.17% +0.32% -0.13% -0.09% -0.90% -0.24% -0.47%
18 Avg -0.02% -0.44% -0.88% -0.70% +0.33% +1.37% +0.24% -0.84% +0.06% +0.66% +0.05% -0.55% +0.42%
19 Avg +0.02% +0.55% +0.78% +1.15% -0.49% -1.05% -0.50% +0.30% -0.76% -0.03% -0.08% -0.92% +1.23%
20 Avg -0.06% -0.02% -0.16% -1.04% -1.11% +1.57% +0.30% +0.55% -0.13% -0.45% +0.77% -0.19% -0.81%
21 Avg -0.03% -0.03% -0.37% -0.16% -1.00% +0.19% -1.08% +0.52% +0.44% +0.41% +0.64% +0.04% +0.03%
22 Avg -0.16% -0.17% -0.58% -0.97% +0.41% +0.28% +0.22% -0.87% +0.23% +0.14% -0.99% +0.16% +0.18%
23 Avg +0.01% +0.34% -1.39% -1.23% +0.79% -0.23% -0.12% +0.68% -0.78% +1.04% +0.44% +0.07% +0.53%
24 Avg +0.27% +0.48% +0.92% +1.05% -0.23% +0.37% -0.17% -0.39% +0.14% -0.71% +1.23% +0.78% -0.20%
25 Avg +0.16% +0.33% -1.35% +0.47% -0.09% -1.15% +2.78% +0.17% +0.54% +0.01% +0.13% +0.08% 0.00%
26 Avg -0.05% -0.10% -0.94% +1.12% +0.23% +0.84% +1.16% +0.08% -1.06% -1.20% -0.66% -0.06% -0.03%
27 Avg +0.10% -1.34% +0.52% -1.11% -0.05% +2.03% +0.20% +0.22% +0.25% +0.53% +0.35% -0.26% -0.10%
28 Avg +0.41% -0.61% +0.46% +0.15% 0.00% -0.36% +1.90% +0.45% +1.62% +0.56% +0.50% +0.65% -0.42%
29 Avg -0.05% -0.15% - -0.28% +0.54% +0.12% +0.34% +0.50% -0.11% -0.10% -0.47% -0.60% -0.39%
30 Avg +0.15% -0.66% - +1.44% -0.67% +0.27% +1.18% +0.18% +1.59% +0.18% -0.37% -1.27% -0.26%
31 Avg +0.00% +1.50% - -0.06% - -0.63% - +0.16% -1.06% - +0.53% - -0.44%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Aug 25 - Sep 23] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses