Check historical price trends and seasonality for AUDUSD (AUDUSD=X).
AUDUSD (AUDUSD=X) average YTD return over the past 10 years is -0.63%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 17 for 60 days) is -1.65%.
3 wins 5 losses with a win rate of 37.50%.
1) Overview:
AUDUSD exhibits a generally bearish tendency throughout much of the year. The currency pair experiences a strong downward trend from March, reaching significant lows in May. This bearish phase extends through the summer months, with further weakness observed in September and October, culminating in a notable low around October 17 (-2.1%). There is a slight bullish tendency around January 16 (+0.5%), but the year typically ends with a dip around December 31 (-0.7%).
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Several periods present potential buying opportunities following significant pullbacks. The most pronounced dip occurs in October, particularly around October 17 (-2.1%), suggesting a possible entry point for long positions anticipating a reversal. Another, albeit smaller, dip occurs around December 31 (-0.7%), which could also be considered a potential buying opportunity for those expecting a rebound in the new year.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to trading AUDUSD involves recognizing its bearish tendencies and capitalizing on potential reversals. Consider entering long positions after the significant dip in October around October 17, anticipating a potential recovery. However, be mindful of the year-end weakness around December 31 and adjust positions accordingly.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-17 | 0.6210 | 2025-03-17 | 0.6326 | 0.0116 | 1.87 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-17 | 0.6589 | 2024-03-16 | 0.6579 | -0.0010 | -0.15 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-17 | 0.6966 | 2023-03-17 | 0.6663 | -0.0303 | -4.35 |
| 2022 | 2022-01-17 | 0.7217 | 2022-03-17 | 0.7289 | 0.0072 | 1.00 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-17 | 0.6901 | 2020-03-16 | 0.6178 | -0.0723 | -10.48 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-17 | 0.7173 | 2019-03-17 | 0.7068 | -0.0105 | -1.46 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-17 | 0.7971 | 2018-03-17 | 0.7789 | -0.0182 | -2.28 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-17 | 0.7473 | 2017-03-17 | 0.7670 | 0.0197 | 2.64 |
| Avg | 0.7063 | 0.6945 | -0.01 | -1.65 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.13% | Feb Total -0.32% | Mar Total -0.17% | Apr Total -0.01% | May Total -0.60% | Jun Total +0.52% | Jul Total +0.62% | Aug Total -0.33% | Sep Total -0.75% | Oct Total -0.63% | Nov Total +0.52% | Dec Total +0.67% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.04% | 0.00% | -0.06% | -0.40% | -0.07% | -0.25% | +0.05% | +0.15% | +0.11% | +0.08% | +0.16% | -0.13% | -0.07% |
| 2 Avg +0.03% | +0.01% | +0.31% | +0.04% | -0.04% | -0.07% | +0.25% | -0.06% | -0.44% | +0.03% | -0.07% | +0.32% | +0.04% |
| 3 Avg -0.07% | -0.26% | -0.31% | +0.14% | -0.27% | +0.10% | +0.44% | +0.05% | -0.32% | -0.17% | -0.33% | -0.07% | +0.18% |
| 4 Avg +0.09% | -0.06% | +0.33% | +0.16% | +0.45% | -0.42% | -0.01% | +0.06% | +0.16% | -0.09% | +0.04% | +0.26% | +0.27% |
| 5 Avg +0.04% | +0.10% | -0.19% | +0.05% | -0.03% | +0.34% | +0.23% | +0.22% | +0.15% | -0.02% | -0.02% | -0.25% | -0.14% |
| 6 Avg -0.01% | 0.00% | -0.14% | +0.15% | -0.21% | -0.06% | +0.15% | -0.22% | +0.09% | +0.16% | +0.01% | +0.32% | -0.36% |
| 7 Avg -0.03% | +0.06% | -0.29% | +0.15% | -0.43% | +0.09% | +0.32% | -0.04% | +0.05% | +0.04% | -0.35% | +0.11% | -0.09% |
| 8 Avg -0.02% | -0.23% | -0.04% | -0.12% | -0.20% | +0.11% | +0.19% | -0.10% | -0.05% | +0.04% | -0.12% | +0.16% | +0.13% |
| 9 Avg +0.00% | +0.17% | -0.06% | -0.31% | +0.22% | -0.42% | +0.07% | +0.08% | +0.21% | -0.12% | +0.05% | +0.13% | +0.01% |
| 10 Avg -0.05% | -0.04% | -0.06% | +0.10% | +0.48% | -0.13% | -0.43% | +0.07% | -0.23% | -0.01% | -0.02% | -0.35% | +0.01% |
| 11 Avg +0.05% | -0.10% | +0.07% | -0.09% | +0.08% | +0.21% | +0.05% | +0.15% | +0.18% | +0.03% | -0.06% | +0.07% | +0.03% |
| 12 Avg +0.03% | +0.27% | +0.19% | +0.19% | -0.05% | -0.17% | -0.17% | -0.06% | -0.06% | +0.13% | +0.13% | -0.14% | +0.11% |
| 13 Avg +0.01% | +0.34% | +0.10% | -0.16% | +0.28% | -0.43% | -0.11% | +0.33% | -0.11% | +0.23% | -0.25% | -0.25% | +0.16% |
| 14 Avg +0.06% | -0.03% | -0.04% | +0.09% | +0.38% | +0.15% | -0.21% | +0.10% | +0.15% | -0.36% | +0.10% | +0.05% | +0.38% |
| 15 Avg -0.01% | +0.13% | +0.22% | -0.25% | +0.14% | -0.13% | -0.14% | +0.20% | -0.36% | -0.02% | -0.09% | +0.17% | -0.06% |
| 16 Avg +0.02% | +0.13% | +0.11% | -0.29% | -0.16% | +0.15% | +0.50% | -0.05% | -0.11% | +0.03% | -0.04% | +0.25% | -0.27% |
| 17 Avg -0.07% | -0.31% | -0.06% | +0.20% | -0.03% | +0.05% | -0.25% | -0.09% | +0.16% | -0.07% | -0.15% | -0.27% | -0.04% |
| 18 Avg -0.04% | -0.21% | +0.13% | +0.25% | -0.04% | +0.04% | -0.21% | -0.13% | -0.32% | 0.00% | +0.36% | -0.29% | -0.10% |
| 19 Avg -0.03% | -0.04% | -0.09% | -0.48% | +0.05% | -0.09% | +0.10% | +0.17% | +0.10% | +0.01% | -0.01% | +0.16% | -0.28% |
| 20 Avg -0.01% | +0.11% | -0.03% | -0.06% | -0.09% | +0.17% | -0.16% | -0.05% | -0.16% | +0.17% | +0.07% | 0.00% | -0.04% |
| 21 Avg +0.02% | +0.18% | +0.06% | +0.07% | +0.12% | +0.10% | -0.10% | -0.02% | +0.16% | -0.06% | +0.02% | -0.28% | -0.06% |
| 22 Avg -0.04% | +0.05% | -0.11% | -0.19% | -0.15% | +0.13% | -0.04% | +0.25% | -0.10% | -0.35% | -0.06% | -0.02% | +0.16% |
| 23 Avg +0.02% | +0.04% | +0.24% | +0.12% | -0.19% | -0.14% | +0.05% | +0.08% | -0.13% | -0.01% | -0.09% | +0.17% | +0.10% |
| 24 Avg -0.01% | +0.10% | -0.11% | -0.13% | +0.01% | -0.08% | +0.10% | -0.25% | +0.04% | -0.03% | +0.12% | +0.11% | +0.05% |
| 25 Avg -0.01% | -0.12% | +0.02% | +0.03% | -0.23% | -0.10% | +0.06% | -0.08% | +0.01% | +0.16% | -0.17% | +0.21% | +0.05% |
| 26 Avg -0.05% | -0.03% | -0.04% | +0.03% | -0.16% | -0.01% | -0.05% | +0.10% | +0.22% | -0.55% | +0.04% | -0.20% | +0.01% |
| 27 Avg +0.07% | +0.01% | -0.31% | +0.30% | -0.03% | +0.26% | -0.02% | +0.01% | +0.24% | -0.11% | +0.20% | +0.11% | +0.13% |
| 28 Avg -0.09% | -0.22% | -0.15% | -0.18% | -0.19% | -0.08% | -0.13% | -0.01% | +0.12% | -0.19% | -0.15% | +0.03% | +0.05% |
| 29 Avg +0.05% | +0.19% | - | +0.15% | +0.27% | 0.00% | -0.09% | -0.10% | -0.26% | +0.31% | 0.00% | +0.15% | -0.04% |
| 30 Avg +0.07% | -0.01% | - | +0.32% | +0.06% | -0.09% | +0.07% | +0.04% | +0.30% | 0.00% | -0.08% | +0.01% | +0.19% |
| 31 Avg -0.01% | -0.10% | - | -0.05% | - | +0.15% | - | -0.16% | -0.16% | - | +0.12% | - | +0.13% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
