Check historical price trends and seasonality for AUDSGD (AUDSGD=X).
AUDSGD (AUDSGD=X) average YTD return over the past 10 years is -1.57%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -1.98%.
1 wins 6 losses with a win rate of 14.29%.
1) Overview:
The AUDSGD pair exhibits a generally bearish tendency throughout the year. The most significant downward pressure typically occurs around October 17, with an average decline of -2.4%. This bearish trend often begins in March and extends through the end of the year, with a slight positive movement around January 16 (+0.2%) before resuming its downward trajectory. The year concludes with a notable dip around December 31, averaging -1.7%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Several periods present potential buying opportunities based on historical pullbacks. The period around January 16, which shows a slight positive movement of +0.2%, could be considered a minor dip. However, the most significant pullback occurs around October 17 (-2.4%), followed by late December, offering a chance to capitalize on the seasonal weakness. These dips may be attributed to end-of-year profit-taking or specific economic factors affecting the Australian and Singaporean currencies.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to AUDSGD would involve recognizing the overall bearish trend. Consider entering short positions or reducing long exposure leading up to October and December to capitalize on the expected declines. Conversely, monitor for potential buying opportunities around January 16, and especially after the significant dips in October and late December, anticipating a possible rebound from these oversold conditions.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 0.8519 | 2025-03-16 | 0.8397 | -0.0122 | -1.43 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 0.8871 | 2024-03-15 | 0.8791 | -0.0080 | -0.90 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-16 | 0.9203 | 2023-03-16 | 0.8941 | -0.0262 | -2.85 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 0.9296 | 2020-03-15 | 0.8844 | -0.0452 | -4.86 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 0.9766 | 2019-03-16 | 0.9580 | -0.0186 | -1.90 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 1.0526 | 2018-03-16 | 1.0236 | -0.0290 | -2.76 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-16 | 1.0706 | 2017-03-16 | 1.0799 | 0.0093 | 0.87 |
| Avg | 0.9555 | 0.9370 | -0.02 | -1.98 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -0.14% | Feb Total -0.01% | Mar Total -0.52% | Apr Total -0.09% | May Total -0.42% | Jun Total +0.42% | Jul Total +0.21% | Aug Total -0.37% | Sep Total -0.38% | Oct Total -0.34% | Nov Total +0.11% | Dec Total +0.11% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.05% | 0.00% | -0.19% | -0.34% | -0.13% | -0.21% | -0.01% | +0.08% | +0.06% | +0.08% | +0.16% | -0.06% | -0.05% |
| 2 Avg +0.03% | +0.07% | +0.20% | -0.02% | +0.09% | -0.03% | +0.30% | -0.01% | -0.38% | +0.07% | -0.03% | +0.21% | -0.05% |
| 3 Avg -0.02% | -0.16% | -0.09% | +0.13% | -0.23% | +0.06% | +0.24% | +0.06% | -0.16% | -0.06% | -0.17% | -0.10% | +0.21% |
| 4 Avg +0.06% | -0.01% | +0.21% | +0.09% | +0.27% | -0.33% | -0.06% | +0.08% | +0.04% | -0.08% | +0.07% | +0.23% | +0.16% |
| 5 Avg +0.00% | +0.05% | -0.16% | -0.02% | +0.03% | +0.24% | +0.20% | +0.17% | -0.01% | -0.01% | -0.05% | -0.23% | -0.15% |
| 6 Avg -0.02% | -0.01% | -0.01% | +0.07% | -0.07% | -0.05% | +0.04% | -0.11% | +0.11% | +0.09% | -0.03% | +0.17% | -0.39% |
| 7 Avg -0.02% | +0.04% | -0.21% | +0.11% | -0.46% | +0.12% | +0.22% | -0.05% | +0.04% | -0.01% | -0.19% | +0.12% | -0.04% |
| 8 Avg -0.01% | -0.18% | +0.08% | -0.07% | -0.12% | +0.14% | +0.13% | -0.05% | +0.04% | -0.03% | -0.10% | 0.00% | +0.10% |
| 9 Avg +0.03% | +0.21% | +0.02% | -0.16% | +0.21% | -0.29% | 0.00% | +0.02% | +0.25% | -0.09% | +0.06% | +0.06% | +0.05% |
| 10 Avg -0.04% | -0.10% | -0.06% | +0.02% | +0.30% | 0.00% | -0.29% | +0.04% | -0.19% | -0.04% | -0.01% | -0.19% | +0.01% |
| 11 Avg +0.04% | -0.01% | 0.00% | -0.04% | 0.00% | +0.11% | +0.06% | +0.09% | +0.15% | +0.06% | -0.14% | +0.14% | +0.03% |
| 12 Avg +0.02% | +0.06% | +0.11% | +0.15% | -0.04% | -0.15% | -0.12% | -0.04% | -0.01% | +0.12% | +0.08% | -0.07% | +0.18% |
| 13 Avg 0.00% | +0.23% | +0.08% | -0.19% | +0.18% | -0.20% | -0.05% | +0.19% | -0.12% | +0.11% | -0.19% | -0.12% | +0.03% |
| 14 Avg +0.03% | -0.04% | -0.03% | +0.08% | +0.31% | +0.11% | -0.25% | +0.06% | +0.08% | -0.22% | +0.06% | -0.02% | +0.23% |
| 15 Avg -0.01% | +0.10% | +0.15% | -0.16% | +0.15% | -0.08% | -0.11% | +0.14% | -0.20% | -0.05% | -0.14% | +0.01% | +0.05% |
| 16 Avg +0.02% | +0.12% | +0.07% | -0.24% | -0.04% | +0.02% | +0.37% | -0.03% | -0.02% | -0.04% | -0.05% | +0.22% | -0.16% |
| 17 Avg -0.07% | -0.24% | 0.00% | +0.05% | -0.02% | +0.03% | -0.10% | -0.12% | +0.08% | -0.07% | -0.11% | -0.28% | -0.03% |
| 18 Avg -0.04% | -0.16% | +0.10% | +0.08% | -0.04% | +0.05% | -0.09% | -0.12% | -0.25% | -0.03% | +0.31% | -0.21% | -0.08% |
| 19 Avg -0.02% | -0.01% | -0.06% | -0.37% | 0.00% | -0.02% | +0.05% | +0.18% | +0.02% | +0.09% | +0.03% | +0.10% | -0.22% |
| 20 Avg +0.00% | +0.05% | +0.01% | -0.02% | -0.13% | +0.12% | -0.06% | +0.02% | -0.18% | +0.15% | +0.08% | +0.02% | -0.07% |
| 21 Avg +0.00% | +0.07% | +0.05% | +0.07% | +0.09% | +0.06% | -0.09% | +0.04% | +0.07% | 0.00% | -0.02% | -0.23% | -0.09% |
| 22 Avg -0.02% | +0.02% | 0.00% | -0.12% | -0.08% | -0.02% | -0.04% | +0.15% | +0.01% | -0.31% | -0.01% | +0.03% | +0.15% |
| 23 Avg +0.02% | 0.00% | +0.07% | +0.06% | -0.08% | -0.02% | +0.04% | 0.00% | -0.02% | -0.02% | -0.01% | +0.13% | +0.06% |
| 24 Avg +0.01% | +0.04% | -0.06% | -0.03% | +0.03% | -0.07% | +0.12% | -0.22% | -0.01% | +0.01% | +0.07% | +0.19% | +0.02% |
| 25 Avg -0.03% | -0.12% | +0.01% | +0.07% | -0.18% | -0.12% | +0.02% | -0.08% | +0.04% | +0.12% | -0.15% | +0.16% | -0.07% |
| 26 Avg -0.05% | -0.15% | +0.02% | -0.02% | -0.08% | -0.03% | -0.03% | +0.07% | +0.13% | -0.28% | -0.03% | -0.17% | 0.00% |
| 27 Avg +0.04% | +0.05% | -0.32% | +0.18% | -0.05% | +0.11% | +0.11% | -0.07% | +0.15% | 0.00% | +0.21% | +0.03% | +0.11% |
| 28 Avg -0.06% | -0.12% | -0.01% | -0.10% | -0.15% | -0.03% | -0.14% | -0.06% | +0.03% | -0.08% | -0.05% | -0.04% | 0.00% |
| 29 Avg +0.03% | +0.14% | - | +0.15% | +0.21% | +0.02% | -0.11% | -0.07% | -0.13% | +0.19% | -0.06% | +0.03% | 0.00% |
| 30 Avg +0.03% | +0.01% | - | +0.16% | -0.04% | -0.03% | +0.08% | -0.01% | +0.16% | -0.04% | +0.01% | -0.02% | +0.07% |
| 31 Avg -0.06% | -0.11% | - | -0.11% | - | +0.03% | - | -0.15% | -0.14% | - | +0.05% | - | +0.03% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
