Check historical price trends and seasonality for AUDJPY (AUDJPY=X).
AUDJPY (AUDJPY=X) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +2.24%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 18 for 7 days) is +0.61%.
5 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 62.50%.
1) Overview:
AUDJPY exhibits a distinct seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. The currency pair tends to decline from January through May, reaching a low point around April 8 with an average decrease of -1.7%. A strong bullish phase then begins in June, continuing through December. This upward trend culminates around November 16 with an average increase of +2.1%, and remains high through December 31 at +1.9%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most significant pullback period for AUDJPY appears to be between January and April. This bearish trend culminates around April 8, presenting a potential buying opportunity as the currency pair experiences an average decline of -1.7%. Another, less pronounced, dip occurs in May, which could also be considered a buying opportunity before the strong bullish trend that starts in June. These pullbacks could be attributed to shifts in risk sentiment or changes in monetary policy expectations.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a potential investment strategy for AUDJPY involves entering long positions during the pullback period around April 8, capitalizing on the subsequent bullish trend that typically begins in June and extends through the end of the year. Consider exiting positions near November 16 or December 31 to capture the seasonal peak. However, it's crucial to combine this seasonal analysis with other technical and fundamental indicators for a more comprehensive trading approach.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-01-18 | 97.0100 | 2024-01-24 | 97.5940 | 0.5840 | 0.60 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-18 | 89.6370 | 2023-01-24 | 91.7790 | 2.1420 | 2.39 |
| 2022 | 2022-01-18 | 82.6110 | 2022-01-24 | 81.7770 | -0.8340 | -1.01 |
| 2021 | 2021-01-18 | 79.8820 | 2021-01-24 | 80.3230 | 0.4410 | 0.55 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-18 | 78.4770 | 2019-01-24 | 78.2200 | -0.2570 | -0.33 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-18 | 88.7880 | 2018-01-24 | 88.1260 | -0.6620 | -0.75 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-18 | 85.2250 | 2017-01-24 | 85.5020 | 0.2770 | 0.33 |
| 2016 | 2016-01-18 | 80.2100 | 2016-01-24 | 82.7180 | 2.5080 | 3.13 |
| Avg | 85.2300 | 85.7549 | 0.52 | 0.61 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -0.24% | Feb Total -0.17% | Mar Total +0.13% | Apr Total +0.21% | May Total -0.07% | Jun Total +1.27% | Jul Total -0.21% | Aug Total -0.56% | Sep Total +0.39% | Oct Total +1.14% | Nov Total +0.45% | Dec Total +0.37% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.03% | 0.00% | +0.06% | -0.53% | -0.04% | +0.16% | +0.03% | +0.23% | -0.08% | +0.16% | +0.17% | +0.05% | +0.12% |
| 2 Avg -0.04% | -0.06% | +0.16% | +0.06% | -0.04% | -0.05% | +0.28% | -0.05% | -0.67% | +0.15% | -0.08% | +0.17% | -0.33% |
| 3 Avg -0.08% | -0.39% | -0.40% | +0.33% | -0.43% | -0.11% | +0.30% | +0.04% | -0.19% | -0.02% | -0.14% | -0.14% | +0.17% |
| 4 Avg +0.04% | +0.28% | +0.30% | +0.02% | +0.29% | -0.59% | +0.15% | +0.10% | -0.14% | -0.26% | +0.03% | +0.29% | +0.04% |
| 5 Avg +0.02% | +0.26% | 0.00% | +0.17% | -0.07% | +0.21% | +0.17% | +0.19% | -0.31% | +0.07% | -0.04% | -0.24% | -0.19% |
| 6 Avg -0.05% | -0.20% | -0.05% | -0.09% | -0.26% | -0.09% | +0.06% | -0.36% | +0.04% | +0.12% | +0.30% | +0.21% | -0.25% |
| 7 Avg -0.01% | +0.15% | -0.38% | -0.08% | -0.43% | +0.07% | +0.40% | -0.10% | +0.07% | +0.04% | -0.11% | +0.22% | -0.01% |
| 8 Avg +0.05% | -0.20% | -0.17% | 0.00% | -0.13% | +0.23% | +0.26% | -0.01% | +0.32% | +0.08% | +0.03% | +0.18% | 0.00% |
| 9 Avg -0.01% | +0.28% | -0.14% | -0.47% | +0.05% | -0.16% | +0.05% | +0.06% | +0.29% | -0.27% | +0.04% | +0.12% | +0.08% |
| 10 Avg +0.01% | -0.20% | +0.01% | +0.02% | +0.56% | 0.00% | -0.38% | +0.08% | -0.16% | +0.09% | -0.02% | -0.01% | +0.13% |
| 11 Avg +0.01% | -0.15% | -0.06% | -0.09% | +0.01% | +0.29% | -0.04% | +0.06% | +0.02% | -0.03% | +0.04% | -0.10% | +0.15% |
| 12 Avg +0.10% | +0.20% | +0.27% | +0.30% | -0.01% | -0.25% | -0.05% | +0.05% | -0.01% | +0.23% | +0.21% | -0.11% | +0.33% |
| 13 Avg +0.00% | +0.01% | +0.26% | -0.37% | +0.24% | -0.22% | -0.23% | +0.37% | -0.15% | +0.19% | -0.14% | -0.14% | +0.22% |
| 14 Avg +0.06% | -0.09% | -0.10% | +0.24% | +0.31% | +0.02% | -0.21% | +0.21% | +0.24% | -0.04% | +0.20% | -0.07% | +0.02% |
| 15 Avg +0.06% | +0.19% | +0.30% | 0.00% | +0.15% | 0.00% | -0.03% | +0.32% | -0.22% | -0.19% | -0.09% | +0.23% | +0.06% |
| 16 Avg +0.02% | -0.07% | +0.17% | -0.36% | -0.06% | +0.05% | +0.63% | -0.06% | -0.05% | -0.16% | -0.15% | +0.27% | +0.01% |
| 17 Avg -0.07% | -0.20% | -0.15% | +0.23% | -0.04% | +0.09% | -0.33% | -0.11% | +0.10% | -0.11% | +0.02% | -0.27% | -0.07% |
| 18 Avg -0.05% | -0.24% | +0.05% | +0.26% | -0.04% | +0.03% | -0.25% | -0.24% | -0.46% | +0.19% | +0.48% | -0.23% | -0.15% |
| 19 Avg +0.02% | +0.13% | -0.14% | -0.42% | +0.15% | -0.04% | +0.17% | +0.23% | +0.13% | +0.22% | +0.04% | +0.07% | -0.33% |
| 20 Avg +0.09% | +0.20% | +0.08% | +0.13% | +0.10% | +0.26% | +0.09% | -0.10% | -0.22% | +0.16% | +0.11% | -0.09% | +0.32% |
| 21 Avg -0.04% | +0.05% | +0.10% | +0.02% | +0.07% | +0.04% | -0.28% | +0.16% | -0.10% | +0.03% | +0.05% | -0.21% | -0.42% |
| 22 Avg -0.03% | +0.11% | -0.10% | -0.10% | -0.23% | 0.00% | +0.11% | +0.01% | +0.17% | -0.47% | 0.00% | +0.01% | +0.09% |
| 23 Avg +0.05% | +0.04% | +0.18% | 0.00% | -0.02% | -0.05% | +0.23% | -0.09% | +0.02% | +0.01% | +0.11% | +0.18% | +0.02% |
| 24 Avg -0.04% | -0.01% | -0.31% | -0.10% | +0.16% | -0.18% | +0.07% | -0.26% | -0.09% | 0.00% | +0.02% | +0.19% | +0.06% |
| 25 Avg +0.04% | -0.06% | +0.12% | +0.21% | -0.02% | -0.14% | +0.03% | -0.18% | +0.16% | +0.23% | -0.11% | +0.26% | -0.02% |
| 26 Avg -0.05% | -0.16% | +0.05% | -0.02% | -0.12% | +0.01% | -0.06% | +0.09% | -0.02% | -0.22% | -0.04% | -0.23% | +0.08% |
| 27 Avg +0.06% | +0.13% | -0.28% | +0.22% | -0.07% | +0.19% | -0.07% | -0.22% | +0.31% | +0.01% | +0.25% | +0.10% | +0.19% |
| 28 Avg -0.03% | -0.16% | -0.03% | -0.06% | +0.06% | +0.15% | -0.07% | -0.23% | +0.13% | 0.00% | -0.08% | -0.16% | +0.07% |
| 29 Avg +0.08% | +0.23% | - | +0.49% | +0.14% | +0.10% | +0.11% | -0.19% | -0.04% | +0.29% | -0.10% | -0.19% | 0.00% |
| 30 Avg +0.04% | -0.03% | - | +0.14% | -0.05% | -0.20% | +0.13% | -0.02% | +0.49% | -0.12% | -0.03% | +0.10% | +0.01% |
| 31 Avg -0.05% | -0.29% | - | -0.04% | - | +0.11% | - | -0.16% | -0.15% | - | +0.19% | - | -0.04% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
