Check historical price trends and seasonality for AUDCHF (AUDCHF=X).
AUDCHF (AUDCHF=X) average YTD return over the past 10 years is -3.06%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 18 for 7 days) is +0.39%.
4 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 50.00%.
1) Overview:
The AUDCHF pair generally experiences a bullish trend from early January, peaking around February 23 with an average gain of +1.0%. A significant bearish phase then dominates the rest of the year, starting in late February and extending through December. The most substantial declines occur from August through December, culminating in a low around December 21 with a -3.1% average decrease, followed by a similar drop on December 31 of -3.0%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Based on the data, potential buying opportunities arise during the pronounced bearish period from August to December. Specifically, the sharp decline into December, particularly around December 21 (-3.1%) and December 31 (-3.0%), could present attractive entry points, anticipating a rebound in January. The consistent downward pressure throughout the late summer and fall months suggests multiple chances to accumulate positions at progressively lower prices.
3) Summary:
A seasonal investment strategy for AUDCHF could involve entering long positions in December, capitalizing on the year-end lows around December 21 or December 31. The goal would be to ride the bullish trend that typically emerges in January and peaks around February 23. However, traders should be mindful of the strong bearish trend that follows and plan to exit positions before the end of February to avoid the subsequent declines.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-01-18 | 0.5660 | 2024-01-24 | 0.5728 | 0.0068 | 1.20 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-18 | 0.6442 | 2023-01-24 | 0.6479 | 0.0037 | 0.57 |
| 2022 | 2022-01-18 | 0.6590 | 2022-01-24 | 0.6559 | -0.0031 | -0.47 |
| 2021 | 2021-01-18 | 0.6859 | 2021-01-24 | 0.6866 | 0.0007 | 0.10 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-18 | 0.7146 | 2019-01-24 | 0.7104 | -0.0042 | -0.59 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-18 | 0.7693 | 2018-01-24 | 0.7657 | -0.0036 | -0.47 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-18 | 0.7572 | 2017-01-24 | 0.7561 | -0.0011 | -0.15 |
| 2016 | 2016-01-18 | 0.6870 | 2016-01-24 | 0.7070 | 0.0200 | 2.91 |
| Avg | 0.6854 | 0.6878 | 0.00 | 0.39 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.28% | Feb Total +0.06% | Mar Total -0.38% | Apr Total +0.06% | May Total -0.95% | Jun Total -0.40% | Jul Total -0.15% | Aug Total -0.78% | Sep Total -0.08% | Oct Total +0.25% | Nov Total +0.09% | Dec Total -0.71% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.01% | 0.00% | -0.16% | -0.29% | -0.03% | -0.16% | -0.05% | +0.10% | +0.03% | +0.12% | +0.30% | +0.07% | -0.10% |
| 2 Avg -0.02% | +0.11% | +0.09% | +0.06% | +0.05% | -0.06% | +0.21% | -0.06% | -0.57% | +0.12% | -0.12% | +0.06% | -0.15% |
| 3 Avg +0.00% | +0.01% | -0.25% | +0.17% | -0.18% | 0.00% | +0.24% | +0.09% | -0.09% | -0.05% | +0.04% | +0.02% | +0.07% |
| 4 Avg +0.05% | +0.07% | +0.21% | +0.01% | +0.17% | -0.54% | +0.01% | +0.12% | +0.11% | -0.16% | +0.25% | +0.30% | +0.03% |
| 5 Avg -0.03% | -0.06% | -0.10% | +0.09% | -0.07% | +0.26% | +0.01% | +0.16% | -0.16% | -0.05% | -0.21% | -0.19% | +0.01% |
| 6 Avg -0.02% | -0.01% | +0.06% | +0.02% | -0.18% | +0.15% | +0.06% | -0.05% | -0.10% | +0.09% | -0.03% | +0.20% | -0.46% |
| 7 Avg -0.03% | -0.01% | -0.12% | +0.05% | -0.54% | +0.14% | +0.25% | -0.14% | +0.17% | +0.03% | -0.18% | 0.00% | +0.03% |
| 8 Avg +0.03% | -0.27% | -0.01% | +0.15% | -0.17% | +0.21% | +0.21% | +0.05% | +0.14% | -0.07% | -0.10% | +0.07% | +0.18% |
| 9 Avg -0.02% | +0.19% | -0.21% | -0.30% | +0.01% | -0.17% | -0.03% | -0.09% | +0.34% | -0.20% | +0.06% | +0.17% | +0.04% |
| 10 Avg -0.05% | -0.07% | -0.10% | -0.17% | +0.54% | -0.11% | -0.38% | +0.04% | -0.24% | +0.05% | +0.05% | -0.15% | -0.04% |
| 11 Avg +0.02% | +0.04% | +0.03% | -0.08% | -0.19% | +0.24% | +0.01% | +0.24% | +0.04% | +0.01% | -0.06% | -0.01% | -0.04% |
| 12 Avg +0.04% | +0.40% | +0.27% | +0.21% | -0.16% | -0.09% | -0.10% | -0.11% | -0.06% | +0.20% | +0.06% | -0.15% | +0.05% |
| 13 Avg -0.01% | +0.20% | +0.21% | -0.36% | +0.20% | -0.22% | -0.07% | +0.35% | -0.25% | +0.09% | -0.17% | -0.23% | +0.14% |
| 14 Avg +0.01% | -0.06% | -0.08% | -0.03% | +0.43% | -0.02% | -0.23% | +0.02% | +0.18% | -0.19% | +0.18% | -0.25% | +0.22% |
| 15 Avg +0.02% | -0.01% | +0.20% | +0.02% | +0.20% | -0.08% | +0.09% | +0.06% | -0.22% | -0.04% | -0.09% | +0.05% | +0.04% |
| 16 Avg +0.01% | +0.12% | +0.04% | -0.12% | -0.07% | -0.03% | +0.37% | +0.07% | -0.06% | -0.06% | -0.19% | +0.25% | -0.18% |
| 17 Avg -0.08% | -0.22% | -0.06% | +0.07% | 0.00% | -0.01% | -0.31% | -0.11% | +0.01% | -0.04% | -0.14% | -0.07% | -0.04% |
| 18 Avg -0.06% | -0.20% | +0.19% | +0.12% | +0.09% | -0.03% | -0.11% | -0.29% | -0.36% | -0.04% | +0.26% | -0.17% | -0.15% |
| 19 Avg -0.01% | -0.03% | -0.01% | -0.36% | +0.02% | -0.07% | +0.11% | +0.09% | +0.07% | +0.25% | 0.00% | +0.04% | -0.24% |
| 20 Avg -0.01% | +0.10% | +0.04% | +0.11% | -0.06% | +0.16% | -0.26% | -0.18% | -0.08% | +0.24% | +0.03% | -0.05% | -0.20% |
| 21 Avg -0.02% | +0.15% | +0.04% | +0.08% | +0.15% | -0.18% | -0.06% | +0.08% | -0.06% | -0.05% | -0.08% | -0.23% | -0.10% |
| 22 Avg -0.04% | +0.10% | -0.05% | -0.21% | -0.13% | 0.00% | -0.20% | +0.06% | -0.07% | -0.27% | 0.00% | +0.10% | +0.14% |
| 23 Avg +0.04% | +0.03% | +0.37% | -0.06% | +0.12% | -0.03% | -0.04% | -0.07% | -0.02% | +0.07% | +0.07% | +0.04% | +0.04% |
| 24 Avg -0.03% | -0.01% | -0.19% | -0.02% | +0.11% | -0.17% | -0.02% | -0.33% | +0.02% | -0.08% | +0.04% | +0.18% | +0.13% |
| 25 Avg +0.00% | -0.15% | +0.08% | +0.05% | -0.18% | -0.15% | -0.07% | -0.05% | +0.09% | +0.20% | -0.07% | +0.32% | -0.03% |
| 26 Avg -0.05% | -0.08% | -0.06% | +0.04% | -0.14% | -0.09% | -0.06% | +0.08% | +0.05% | -0.21% | +0.03% | -0.23% | +0.07% |
| 27 Avg +0.09% | +0.13% | -0.19% | +0.18% | +0.01% | +0.13% | +0.14% | -0.06% | +0.27% | +0.01% | +0.29% | -0.02% | +0.19% |
| 28 Avg -0.09% | -0.21% | -0.18% | -0.19% | -0.08% | +0.05% | -0.16% | +0.07% | -0.06% | +0.05% | -0.07% | -0.03% | -0.22% |
| 29 Avg +0.01% | +0.10% | - | +0.31% | +0.10% | +0.06% | 0.00% | -0.12% | -0.17% | +0.06% | -0.12% | -0.05% | -0.11% |
| 30 Avg +0.02% | +0.04% | - | +0.11% | +0.04% | -0.13% | +0.03% | -0.01% | +0.24% | -0.17% | +0.16% | +0.03% | -0.08% |
| 31 Avg -0.03% | -0.13% | - | -0.05% | - | +0.01% | - | -0.16% | +0.02% | - | +0.08% | - | +0.05% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
