Check historical price trends and seasonality for Atmos Energy (ATO).
Atmos Energy (ATO) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +10.81%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 30 days) is +1.40%.
4 wins 1 losses with a win rate of 80.00%.
1) Overview:
Atmos Energy typically experiences a bearish phase in early January, with a notable dip of -1.6% around January 11. A strong bullish trend then emerges, starting in late January and continuing through July, culminating in gains exceeding +11%. The stock maintains these elevated levels through August before experiencing a slight decline through October. The year concludes with a significant rally in November and December, reaching +12.1% by November 26 and +10.8% by December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most prominent dip opportunity appears in early January, specifically around January 11, with an average decline of -1.6%. This pullback could be attributed to profit-taking after the year-end rally. Another potential, although less pronounced, buying opportunity may arise from the slight cooling off period after the peak in August, lasting through October. These dips offer strategic entry points before the stock resumes its upward trajectory, especially leading into the strong seasonal performance in November and December.
3) Summary:
A seasonal investment strategy for Atmos Energy might involve initiating a position after the early January dip, around January 11, capitalizing on the subsequent bullish trend that extends through the summer. Consider holding through the slight weakness in the fall, and potentially adding to the position, to benefit from the significant gains typically observed in November and December. Monitoring weather patterns and energy demand forecasts can further refine entry and exit points.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 144.9400 | 2025-02-14 | 146.5100 | 1.5700 | 1.08 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 114.0800 | 2024-02-14 | 112.9800 | -1.1000 | -0.96 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 114.7100 | 2020-02-14 | 120.4500 | 5.7400 | 5.00 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 94.3600 | 2019-02-14 | 95.9600 | 1.6000 | 1.70 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 80.1000 | 2018-02-14 | 80.2400 | 0.1400 | 0.17 |
| Avg | 109.6380 | 111.2280 | 1.59 | 1.40 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +2.03% | Feb Total -1.03% | Mar Total +4.78% | Apr Total +1.22% | May Total +0.13% | Jun Total +0.76% | Jul Total +4.03% | Aug Total -1.43% | Sep Total -2.29% | Oct Total +1.03% | Nov Total +3.26% | Dec Total -0.45% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.19% | 0.00% | -0.26% | -0.15% | -0.47% | -0.19% | -0.23% | +0.25% | +0.11% | -0.13% | -0.21% | -0.30% | -0.65% |
| 2 Avg +0.09% | -0.52% | +0.09% | +0.88% | -0.05% | -0.14% | +0.39% | +0.11% | +0.19% | +0.15% | -0.19% | +0.39% | -0.19% |
| 3 Avg +0.15% | +0.19% | -0.10% | +0.30% | -0.24% | +0.29% | +0.52% | +0.19% | -0.53% | +0.09% | +0.35% | +0.36% | +0.33% |
| 4 Avg +0.07% | +0.04% | -0.18% | +1.03% | -0.78% | +1.25% | -0.37% | 0.00% | -0.24% | -0.14% | +0.39% | -0.29% | +0.10% |
| 5 Avg -0.14% | -0.47% | -0.14% | +0.16% | +0.55% | -0.03% | +0.03% | -0.22% | -0.83% | -0.24% | -0.14% | -0.10% | -0.29% |
| 6 Avg +0.14% | +0.17% | -0.46% | -0.08% | +1.20% | -0.39% | -0.04% | +0.19% | +0.25% | -0.13% | +0.24% | +0.36% | +0.39% |
| 7 Avg -0.02% | -0.56% | +0.19% | -0.11% | -0.80% | -0.11% | +0.16% | -0.15% | +0.49% | +0.46% | -0.45% | +0.41% | +0.23% |
| 8 Avg +0.06% | +0.32% | +0.25% | -0.15% | +0.66% | -0.24% | -0.10% | -0.20% | +0.14% | -0.11% | +0.27% | +0.06% | -0.21% |
| 9 Avg -0.07% | -0.29% | +0.50% | -1.05% | +0.47% | -0.30% | -0.09% | -0.23% | 0.00% | -0.43% | +0.03% | +0.50% | 0.00% |
| 10 Avg +0.17% | -0.16% | +0.14% | +0.47% | -0.06% | +0.15% | -0.17% | +0.49% | -0.08% | -0.36% | +0.28% | +1.18% | +0.14% |
| 11 Avg -0.09% | -0.25% | +0.15% | -0.25% | -0.02% | -0.46% | -0.52% | +0.27% | -0.12% | +0.15% | -0.13% | +0.02% | +0.08% |
| 12 Avg -0.03% | -0.07% | -0.21% | -0.57% | -0.13% | -0.43% | +0.58% | +0.41% | +0.34% | +0.14% | -0.21% | -0.18% | 0.00% |
| 13 Avg +0.19% | +0.31% | +0.20% | +0.79% | -0.34% | +0.07% | -0.58% | -0.03% | +0.22% | -0.13% | +0.57% | +0.52% | +0.65% |
| 14 Avg +0.04% | +0.25% | -0.20% | +0.22% | +0.57% | -0.38% | +0.08% | +0.11% | -0.10% | +0.15% | +0.02% | +0.24% | -0.49% |
| 15 Avg +0.19% | +0.52% | +0.55% | +0.71% | +0.02% | +0.01% | +0.23% | +0.23% | -0.15% | -0.56% | +0.02% | +0.29% | +0.40% |
| 16 Avg +0.06% | +0.43% | +0.17% | -0.36% | -0.07% | +0.04% | -0.07% | +0.19% | +0.17% | +0.23% | +0.26% | -0.12% | -0.10% |
| 17 Avg +0.20% | +0.01% | +0.23% | +1.68% | +1.00% | -0.29% | -0.27% | +0.36% | +0.09% | +0.03% | +0.30% | -0.35% | -0.32% |
| 18 Avg -0.16% | -0.20% | +0.36% | -0.30% | -0.18% | -0.02% | -0.12% | -0.05% | -0.26% | -0.40% | +0.05% | -0.02% | -0.83% |
| 19 Avg -0.01% | +0.14% | -0.13% | -0.78% | +0.34% | -0.08% | +0.01% | +0.14% | -0.03% | +0.05% | +0.31% | +0.02% | -0.16% |
| 20 Avg -0.19% | -0.13% | -0.16% | -1.38% | -0.45% | +0.34% | -0.01% | -0.10% | -0.21% | -0.12% | -0.10% | -0.07% | +0.08% |
| 21 Avg -0.01% | -0.03% | +0.23% | -0.11% | -0.80% | -0.33% | +0.56% | +0.47% | +0.02% | -0.07% | +0.03% | +0.26% | -0.41% |
| 22 Avg +0.07% | +0.03% | -0.42% | -0.41% | +0.34% | +0.07% | -0.18% | +0.38% | +0.02% | +0.17% | +0.14% | +0.17% | +0.47% |
| 23 Avg -0.08% | +0.09% | +0.16% | -0.72% | -0.06% | +0.15% | 0.00% | +0.08% | -0.41% | -0.22% | -0.03% | +0.01% | +0.02% |
| 24 Avg +0.25% | -0.07% | -0.25% | +1.71% | +0.64% | +0.26% | +0.36% | +0.02% | +0.17% | +0.19% | +0.20% | +0.15% | -0.42% |
| 25 Avg +0.05% | +0.45% | +0.12% | +0.45% | -0.07% | -0.09% | -0.16% | +0.02% | -0.15% | +0.23% | -0.20% | +0.04% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg -0.02% | +0.40% | -0.94% | +1.01% | -0.13% | -0.03% | -0.15% | +0.42% | -0.38% | -0.42% | -0.13% | +0.10% | +0.08% |
| 27 Avg +0.02% | +0.21% | -0.52% | +0.63% | +0.13% | +0.29% | +0.33% | -0.15% | -0.17% | -0.43% | -0.34% | -0.01% | +0.28% |
| 28 Avg -0.03% | +0.03% | -0.39% | +0.13% | +0.06% | -0.10% | -0.06% | +0.27% | -0.03% | +0.04% | -0.25% | -0.09% | -0.04% |
| 29 Avg +0.12% | +0.34% | - | +0.70% | -0.09% | +0.08% | -0.15% | +0.50% | +0.39% | -0.26% | -0.24% | -0.15% | +0.25% |
| 30 Avg +0.10% | +0.22% | - | +0.55% | -0.02% | +0.41% | +0.75% | -0.12% | -0.10% | -0.23% | +0.09% | -0.15% | -0.29% |
| 31 Avg +0.18% | +0.64% | - | -0.22% | - | +0.33% | - | +0.17% | -0.24% | - | +0.11% | - | +0.44% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
