Atmos Energy (ATO) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for Atmos Energy (ATO).

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Atmos Energy (ATO) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +10.81%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is +0.52%.

4 wins 1 losses with a win rate of 80.00%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

Atmos Energy (ATO) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

Atmos Energy typically experiences a bearish phase in early January, with a notable dip of -1.6% around January 11. A strong bullish trend then emerges, starting in late January and continuing through July, culminating in gains exceeding +11%. The stock maintains these elevated levels through August before experiencing a slight decline through October. The year concludes with a significant rally in November and December, reaching +12.1% by November 26 and +10.8% by December 31.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

The most prominent dip opportunity appears in early January, specifically around January 11, with an average decline of -1.6%. This pullback could be attributed to profit-taking after the year-end rally. Another potential, although less pronounced, buying opportunity may arise from the slight cooling off period after the peak in August, lasting through October. These dips offer strategic entry points before the stock resumes its upward trajectory, especially leading into the strong seasonal performance in November and December.

3) Summary:

A seasonal investment strategy for Atmos Energy might involve initiating a position after the early January dip, around January 11, capitalizing on the subsequent bullish trend that extends through the summer. Consider holding through the slight weakness in the fall, and potentially adding to the position, to benefit from the significant gains typically observed in November and December. Monitoring weather patterns and energy demand forecasts can further refine entry and exit points.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-01-16 144.9400 2025-03-16 149.8900 4.9500 3.42
2024 2024-01-16 114.0800 2024-03-15 114.5500 0.4700 0.41
2020 2020-01-16 114.7100 2020-03-15 100.6700 -14.0400 -12.24
2019 2019-01-16 94.3600 2019-03-16 101.5100 7.1500 7.58
2018 2018-01-16 80.1000 2018-03-16 82.8600 2.7600 3.45
Avg 109.6380 109.8960 0.26 0.52
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +2.03% Feb Total -1.03% Mar Total +4.78% Apr Total +1.22% May Total +0.13% Jun Total +0.76% Jul Total +4.03% Aug Total -1.43% Sep Total -2.29% Oct Total +1.03% Nov Total +3.26% Dec Total -0.45%
1 Avg -0.19% 0.00% -0.26% -0.15% -0.47% -0.19% -0.23% +0.25% +0.11% -0.13% -0.21% -0.30% -0.65%
2 Avg +0.09% -0.52% +0.09% +0.88% -0.05% -0.14% +0.39% +0.11% +0.19% +0.15% -0.19% +0.39% -0.19%
3 Avg +0.15% +0.19% -0.10% +0.30% -0.24% +0.29% +0.52% +0.19% -0.53% +0.09% +0.35% +0.36% +0.33%
4 Avg +0.07% +0.04% -0.18% +1.03% -0.78% +1.25% -0.37% 0.00% -0.24% -0.14% +0.39% -0.29% +0.10%
5 Avg -0.14% -0.47% -0.14% +0.16% +0.55% -0.03% +0.03% -0.22% -0.83% -0.24% -0.14% -0.10% -0.29%
6 Avg +0.14% +0.17% -0.46% -0.08% +1.20% -0.39% -0.04% +0.19% +0.25% -0.13% +0.24% +0.36% +0.39%
7 Avg -0.02% -0.56% +0.19% -0.11% -0.80% -0.11% +0.16% -0.15% +0.49% +0.46% -0.45% +0.41% +0.23%
8 Avg +0.06% +0.32% +0.25% -0.15% +0.66% -0.24% -0.10% -0.20% +0.14% -0.11% +0.27% +0.06% -0.21%
9 Avg -0.07% -0.29% +0.50% -1.05% +0.47% -0.30% -0.09% -0.23% 0.00% -0.43% +0.03% +0.50% 0.00%
10 Avg +0.17% -0.16% +0.14% +0.47% -0.06% +0.15% -0.17% +0.49% -0.08% -0.36% +0.28% +1.18% +0.14%
11 Avg -0.09% -0.25% +0.15% -0.25% -0.02% -0.46% -0.52% +0.27% -0.12% +0.15% -0.13% +0.02% +0.08%
12 Avg -0.03% -0.07% -0.21% -0.57% -0.13% -0.43% +0.58% +0.41% +0.34% +0.14% -0.21% -0.18% 0.00%
13 Avg +0.19% +0.31% +0.20% +0.79% -0.34% +0.07% -0.58% -0.03% +0.22% -0.13% +0.57% +0.52% +0.65%
14 Avg +0.04% +0.25% -0.20% +0.22% +0.57% -0.38% +0.08% +0.11% -0.10% +0.15% +0.02% +0.24% -0.49%
15 Avg +0.19% +0.52% +0.55% +0.71% +0.02% +0.01% +0.23% +0.23% -0.15% -0.56% +0.02% +0.29% +0.40%
16 Avg +0.06% +0.43% +0.17% -0.36% -0.07% +0.04% -0.07% +0.19% +0.17% +0.23% +0.26% -0.12% -0.10%
17 Avg +0.20% +0.01% +0.23% +1.68% +1.00% -0.29% -0.27% +0.36% +0.09% +0.03% +0.30% -0.35% -0.32%
18 Avg -0.16% -0.20% +0.36% -0.30% -0.18% -0.02% -0.12% -0.05% -0.26% -0.40% +0.05% -0.02% -0.83%
19 Avg -0.01% +0.14% -0.13% -0.78% +0.34% -0.08% +0.01% +0.14% -0.03% +0.05% +0.31% +0.02% -0.16%
20 Avg -0.19% -0.13% -0.16% -1.38% -0.45% +0.34% -0.01% -0.10% -0.21% -0.12% -0.10% -0.07% +0.08%
21 Avg -0.01% -0.03% +0.23% -0.11% -0.80% -0.33% +0.56% +0.47% +0.02% -0.07% +0.03% +0.26% -0.41%
22 Avg +0.07% +0.03% -0.42% -0.41% +0.34% +0.07% -0.18% +0.38% +0.02% +0.17% +0.14% +0.17% +0.47%
23 Avg -0.08% +0.09% +0.16% -0.72% -0.06% +0.15% 0.00% +0.08% -0.41% -0.22% -0.03% +0.01% +0.02%
24 Avg +0.25% -0.07% -0.25% +1.71% +0.64% +0.26% +0.36% +0.02% +0.17% +0.19% +0.20% +0.15% -0.42%
25 Avg +0.05% +0.45% +0.12% +0.45% -0.07% -0.09% -0.16% +0.02% -0.15% +0.23% -0.20% +0.04% 0.00%
26 Avg -0.02% +0.40% -0.94% +1.01% -0.13% -0.03% -0.15% +0.42% -0.38% -0.42% -0.13% +0.10% +0.08%
27 Avg +0.02% +0.21% -0.52% +0.63% +0.13% +0.29% +0.33% -0.15% -0.17% -0.43% -0.34% -0.01% +0.28%
28 Avg -0.03% +0.03% -0.39% +0.13% +0.06% -0.10% -0.06% +0.27% -0.03% +0.04% -0.25% -0.09% -0.04%
29 Avg +0.12% +0.34% - +0.70% -0.09% +0.08% -0.15% +0.50% +0.39% -0.26% -0.24% -0.15% +0.25%
30 Avg +0.10% +0.22% - +0.55% -0.02% +0.41% +0.75% -0.12% -0.10% -0.23% +0.09% -0.15% -0.29%
31 Avg +0.18% +0.64% - -0.22% - +0.33% - +0.17% -0.24% - +0.11% - +0.44%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Jan 16 - Feb 14] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses