ASML Holding N.V. (ASML.AS) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for ASML Holding N.V. (ASML.AS).

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ASML Holding N.V. (ASML.AS) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +32.01%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 7 days) is +3.12%.

5 wins 1 losses with a win rate of 83.33%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

ASML Holding N.V. (ASML.AS) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

ASML exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, particularly from January to December. The stock tends to climb steadily from January, experiencing consistent gains, culminating in substantial gains by the end of the year. The most significant gains are typically observed in December, with the stock showing an average increase of +32.2% by December 28 and +32.0% by December 31. This indicates a strong year-end rally.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

While the overall trend is bullish, there are minor pullback periods that could represent buying opportunities. One such period appears in April, with a dip from +12.0% on April 16 to +8.9% on April 20. Another potential dip occurs in early August, with a decrease from +20.6% on August 1 to +18.2% on August 2. These pullbacks are relatively small compared to the overall upward trend, and the stock tends to rebound quickly, making them attractive entry points.

3) Summary:

The seasonality data suggests a buy-and-hold strategy for ASML, capitalizing on the consistent upward trend throughout the year. Consider initiating or adding to positions during minor pullbacks, such as those observed in April or early August, to optimize entry points. The strong performance in December, reaching +32.2% by December 28, indicates that holding through the year-end is generally beneficial.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-01-16 745.4000 2025-01-22 748.1000 2.7000 0.36
2024 2024-01-16 652.3000 2024-01-22 707.5000 55.2000 8.46
2023 2023-01-16 607.2000 2023-01-22 590.4000 -16.8000 -2.77
2020 2020-01-16 270.2000 2020-01-22 270.2000 0.0000 0.00
2019 2019-01-16 139.1000 2019-01-22 141.3600 2.2600 1.62
2018 2018-01-16 153.6500 2018-01-22 166.5500 12.9000 8.40
2017 2017-01-16 107.8000 2017-01-22 114.0500 6.2500 5.80
Avg 382.2357 391.1657 8.93 3.12
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +6.35% Feb Total +1.09% Mar Total +3.45% Apr Total -0.99% May Total +4.25% Jun Total +2.20% Jul Total +4.32% Aug Total -1.00% Sep Total +0.92% Oct Total +1.92% Nov Total +4.93% Dec Total +2.17%
1 Avg +0.24% 0.00% +0.88% +0.49% +0.13% 0.00% +0.38% -0.64% -0.32% +0.23% +0.26% +0.37% +1.11%
2 Avg -0.05% +0.51% +0.11% -0.31% -0.17% +0.25% +0.18% +0.41% -1.97% +0.64% +0.44% +0.35% -1.02%
3 Avg +0.01% -0.68% -0.35% +0.40% -0.34% +0.10% +0.28% +0.35% +0.55% -0.65% -0.06% -0.10% +0.63%
4 Avg -0.06% -0.09% +0.41% -1.10% -0.16% -0.95% +0.15% -0.58% +1.00% -0.83% +0.60% +0.60% +0.19%
5 Avg +0.18% +0.12% +0.07% +0.19% -0.14% +1.04% +1.52% -0.55% -0.65% +0.08% -0.10% +0.42% +0.19%
6 Avg -0.04% +0.39% +0.06% -0.48% +0.20% -0.57% +0.51% +0.10% +0.14% -0.63% +0.35% -0.14% -0.43%
7 Avg +0.28% +0.22% +0.19% +0.28% -0.08% +0.53% +0.09% +0.89% +0.89% -0.49% -0.66% +0.61% +0.94%
8 Avg -0.05% -0.03% -0.91% -0.39% +1.00% +0.51% -0.59% +0.25% +0.21% -0.46% -0.73% +0.19% +0.33%
9 Avg +0.16% +1.27% +0.87% +0.63% -0.46% -0.85% +0.22% +0.16% -0.95% +0.66% +0.63% +0.07% -0.33%
10 Avg -0.16% -1.23% -0.47% -0.76% +0.58% +0.34% -0.41% +0.78% -0.10% +0.03% -0.70% +0.51% -0.47%
11 Avg +0.09% +0.38% +0.30% +0.18% -0.49% +0.11% +0.10% -0.41% -0.03% +0.58% -0.51% +0.46% +0.38%
12 Avg +0.23% +0.60% +0.70% -0.53% +0.07% +0.16% -0.22% +0.89% +0.36% +0.02% +0.41% +0.14% +0.19%
13 Avg +0.26% +0.36% +0.25% -0.68% +0.34% +0.51% -0.38% +0.72% +0.42% +0.15% +0.55% +0.21% +0.64%
14 Avg +0.26% +0.15% +0.13% +0.41% +0.36% +0.39% -0.38% +0.54% -0.24% +0.53% +0.43% +1.14% -0.30%
15 Avg +0.06% -0.45% +1.04% +0.52% -0.13% +0.29% -0.13% +0.04% +0.11% +0.13% -1.09% +0.07% +0.38%
16 Avg -0.02% +0.54% +0.16% +1.41% +0.24% +0.36% -0.26% -1.35% +0.05% -0.36% -0.57% -0.25% -0.19%
17 Avg -0.11% +0.48% -0.38% +0.03% -0.89% +0.05% +0.37% -0.38% -0.91% -0.28% +0.25% +0.55% -0.20%
18 Avg +0.28% +1.84% -0.41% -0.63% -0.18% +0.47% -0.27% +0.89% +0.37% +1.12% -0.29% +0.17% +0.26%
19 Avg +0.10% -0.26% +0.38% +0.87% -1.26% -0.43% -0.21% +0.42% +0.03% +0.87% +1.44% -0.43% -0.22%
20 Avg +0.17% +1.06% -0.30% +0.90% +0.02% +0.40% +0.72% +0.69% -0.02% -0.63% -0.19% -0.01% -0.57%
21 Avg +0.17% +0.51% -0.52% +0.38% -0.01% 0.00% +0.15% +0.59% +0.18% +0.13% +0.46% -0.23% +0.34%
22 Avg +0.17% +0.52% +0.41% +0.24% +0.24% -0.16% +0.08% +0.31% +0.05% +0.29% +0.03% +0.03% -0.05%
23 Avg +0.13% -0.22% -0.34% -0.30% +0.96% +0.12% +0.42% +0.63% +0.11% +0.36% -0.10% -0.27% +0.15%
24 Avg +0.12% +0.60% -0.93% +1.64% +0.19% -0.03% +0.34% -0.72% -0.15% -0.31% +0.63% +0.30% -0.17%
25 Avg +0.12% +0.69% +0.50% +0.21% -0.68% +1.14% -0.46% -0.34% -0.15% -0.08% +0.59% +0.02% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.15% +0.11% +0.52% +0.34% -0.09% +0.65% +0.01% +0.09% -0.03% +0.30% -0.41% +0.28% 0.00%
27 Avg 0.00% -1.65% -0.37% -1.00% +0.27% +0.82% +0.02% +0.84% +0.41% +0.15% +0.30% -0.05% +0.22%
28 Avg -0.05% -0.34% -0.90% -0.87% +0.52% +0.37% +0.11% +0.72% -0.09% -0.38% 0.00% +0.08% +0.25%
29 Avg +0.06% +0.85% - +0.96% -0.47% -0.47% +0.01% -0.61% +0.21% -0.25% +0.25% +0.19% +0.03%
30 Avg -0.10% -0.15% - +0.95% -0.55% +0.19% -0.10% -0.33% -0.09% -0.03% -0.32% -0.38% -0.26%
31 Avg -0.24% +0.27% - -0.54% - -1.11% - -0.07% -0.38% - +0.05% - +0.13%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Jan 16 - Feb 14] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses