APA Corporation (APA) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for APA Corporation (APA).

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APA Corporation (APA) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +3.46%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Aug 15 for 30 days) is +6.34%.

6 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 75.00%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

APA Corporation (APA) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

APA Corporation exhibits a strong bullish tendency from early January, peaking around January 14 with an average gain of +9.3%. This upward trend gradually fades through February and into March. A significant bearish phase then sets in, lasting from March through August, culminating in a low around August 16 with an average loss of -7.4%. The stock then recovers through the remainder of the year, ending with a +3.4% gain on December 31.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

The most significant dip to consider buying occurs in August, particularly around August 16, where the stock tends to decline by -7.4% on average. This pullback presents a potential buying opportunity, as the stock typically begins a recovery phase afterward. Another potential, though less pronounced, buying opportunity arises in March and April as the stock declines from its January highs.

3) Summary:

Based on historical seasonality, a potential investment strategy for APA Corporation involves entering a long position around August 16 to capitalize on the stock's tendency to rebound after this period of weakness. Another entry point could be in late March or early April. Investors should be aware of the strong bullish trend in early January, which could be a time to take profits, and the overall volatility associated with energy stocks.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-08-15 20.4800 2025-09-13 22.8400 2.3600 11.52
2024 2024-08-15 29.4800 2024-09-13 23.9400 -5.5400 -18.79
2023 2023-08-15 43.8600 2023-09-13 42.1000 -1.7600 -4.01
2022 2022-08-15 33.5700 2022-09-13 39.1100 5.5400 16.50
2019 2019-08-15 19.9300 2019-09-13 24.3400 4.4100 22.13
2018 2018-08-15 41.9800 2018-09-13 44.5400 2.5600 6.10
2017 2017-08-15 41.5400 2017-09-13 42.3400 0.8000 1.93
2016 2016-08-15 49.8800 2016-09-13 57.5100 7.6300 15.30
Avg 35.0900 37.0900 2.00 6.34
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +3.46% Feb Total -3.30% Mar Total -7.56% Apr Total +11.39% May Total -2.27% Jun Total +4.75% Jul Total +2.07% Aug Total -1.54% Sep Total +1.36% Oct Total -2.69% Nov Total +5.97% Dec Total +0.49%
1 Avg +0.14% 0.00% -0.18% +0.97% +0.54% -1.68% +1.86% +0.57% -1.86% +0.04% +0.44% +1.02% 0.00%
2 Avg -0.01% +0.92% -0.86% +1.37% +1.35% -1.60% +1.17% -0.87% -1.61% +0.87% -0.77% +0.17% -0.25%
3 Avg +0.40% +0.41% +1.04% +0.23% +0.26% +0.01% +0.58% +0.51% +0.50% -1.29% +1.61% +0.23% +0.67%
4 Avg +0.19% +0.55% +0.58% +1.17% -1.31% +0.42% +0.68% 0.00% -1.62% +0.31% -0.35% +1.61% +0.30%
5 Avg +0.11% +0.24% -0.97% +1.04% -0.06% +0.11% +2.01% -1.55% +0.08% +0.23% +0.63% +0.31% -0.71%
6 Avg -0.02% +0.02% -0.55% -1.80% +1.55% +1.01% +1.42% -0.81% -0.74% -0.86% -0.09% +1.26% -0.66%
7 Avg +0.32% +2.56% -0.92% -0.22% +0.92% +0.17% +1.56% +0.08% +0.35% +0.43% +0.10% -0.82% -0.32%
8 Avg +0.08% -0.34% -0.81% -1.55% +1.34% +1.36% +0.71% +0.77% +1.53% -1.13% +0.29% -0.84% -0.33%
9 Avg -0.47% -0.06% -1.29% -6.07% +2.36% -0.86% -1.05% -0.04% -0.96% +0.59% +0.16% +1.05% +0.55%
10 Avg +0.16% -0.31% +1.41% +1.39% -0.24% +0.31% -1.22% +1.22% +0.96% -0.55% -2.16% +0.32% +0.82%
11 Avg -0.10% +1.24% -0.05% -1.42% -0.22% -0.30% -0.60% +0.21% +0.39% -0.22% -0.27% +0.51% -0.44%
12 Avg +0.47% +1.94% +1.31% -0.27% +0.83% +0.46% +0.03% -0.02% +0.16% +1.23% -0.14% -0.96% +1.11%
13 Avg +0.06% -0.37% -0.42% +0.24% +0.68% -0.64% +0.29% +0.21% -0.73% +0.31% +0.90% +0.39% -0.15%
14 Avg -0.02% +1.92% -0.49% -0.10% +0.44% +0.56% -0.82% -0.87% -0.93% +0.56% +0.36% +0.38% -1.21%
15 Avg +0.01% -0.76% +0.42% -0.98% -0.91% +0.13% +0.32% -0.03% -0.67% +0.93% +0.10% +1.28% +0.25%
16 Avg -0.35% -1.00% +0.70% -2.81% -0.38% +0.19% -0.87% -1.16% -0.15% +2.73% -0.23% -0.08% -1.10%
17 Avg -0.15% -0.36% +0.27% -0.85% +1.67% +0.82% -1.24% -0.38% -0.21% -0.83% -0.15% -0.37% -0.16%
18 Avg -0.04% -0.24% -0.49% -0.79% +0.08% +0.63% +0.39% -0.24% +1.13% -0.09% +0.43% -0.53% -0.69%
19 Avg +0.01% -0.20% -0.02% +1.53% -0.08% -0.40% -0.02% +0.49% +0.03% -0.21% +0.31% -1.39% +0.02%
20 Avg -0.19% -0.59% +0.06% +0.57% -1.13% +0.46% +0.40% +0.38% -0.70% -1.12% +0.18% -0.38% -0.37%
21 Avg +0.20% -0.65% -0.61% +1.82% -0.78% +0.22% +0.72% +0.61% -0.40% -0.35% -0.32% +0.88% +1.28%
22 Avg -0.02% +0.28% -0.37% -1.17% +1.78% -0.97% -0.83% -0.80% +0.37% +0.62% +0.67% +0.87% -0.67%
23 Avg +0.19% -0.34% +0.13% -2.08% +1.05% -0.08% -1.05% +0.14% +1.16% -1.07% -0.32% +1.63% +3.06%
24 Avg +0.35% +0.24% +0.77% +3.63% +0.20% -0.38% -0.95% +0.21% +0.79% +0.16% -0.89% +1.15% -0.68%
25 Avg -0.18% +0.16% -0.80% +1.00% -0.98% -1.29% -0.55% +0.70% +0.70% -0.64% -0.18% -0.26% 0.00%
26 Avg -0.02% +0.52% -0.63% -0.08% -0.17% +0.93% +0.63% +0.31% -0.50% -0.77% -0.75% -0.78% +1.07%
27 Avg +0.06% -0.69% -0.54% -1.24% +0.25% +0.77% +0.14% -0.30% +1.03% +2.02% -0.75% -0.54% +0.61%
28 Avg +0.09% +0.82% 0.00% +0.01% +1.45% -0.65% +0.83% +0.50% +0.48% +0.97% -1.69% -0.27% -1.39%
29 Avg +0.12% -0.38% - +0.43% +1.94% -1.20% +0.13% +0.50% +1.21% -1.23% -0.23% +0.32% -0.13%
30 Avg -0.29% -0.91% - -1.89% -1.03% -0.22% +0.08% +2.10% -1.06% -0.29% +0.08% -0.15% +0.14%
31 Avg -0.25% -1.14% - +0.38% - -0.58% - -0.36% -0.27% - +0.36% - -0.12%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Aug 27 - Sep 25] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses