Check historical price trends and seasonality for Amazon (AMZN).
Amazon (AMZN) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +27.79%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 23 for 60 days) is +2.59%.
5 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 71.43%.
1) Overview:
Amazon exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, with consistent gains from January through July. The stock typically begins the year with steady growth, accelerating significantly from January 25 (+4.1%) through July 12 (+27.1%). After peaking in mid-July, the stock experiences a period of consolidation and slight pullback through October. A strong bullish phase then resumes, culminating in significant gains into the end of the year, with November 7 showing a +29.6% average gain and December 31 showing a +27.7% average gain.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
While Amazon generally trends upward, there are periods that may present buying opportunities. Following the peak in mid-July, a period of consolidation and potential pullback occurs through October. This period of relative weakness could be attributed to profit-taking after the strong first half of the year. Another potential buying opportunity may arise in mid-November, after the peak on November 7 (+29.6%), as the stock consolidates before the year-end rally.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a strategic approach to investing in Amazon could involve accumulating shares during periods of consolidation or slight weakness, particularly in the October and mid-November timeframes. The data suggests that holding through the end of the year is generally advantageous, given the strong bullish tendency in November and December. Investors should consider these seasonal trends alongside fundamental analysis and broader market conditions for optimal entry and exit points.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-23 | 235.4200 | 2025-03-23 | 196.2100 | -39.2100 | -16.66 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-23 | 156.0200 | 2024-03-22 | 178.8700 | 22.8500 | 14.65 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-23 | 97.5200 | 2023-03-23 | 98.7100 | 1.1900 | 1.22 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-23 | 94.2290 | 2020-03-22 | 92.3045 | -1.9245 | -2.04 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-23 | 82.0010 | 2019-03-23 | 88.2385 | 6.2375 | 7.61 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-23 | 68.1270 | 2018-03-23 | 74.7780 | 6.6510 | 9.76 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-23 | 40.8940 | 2017-03-23 | 42.3690 | 1.4750 | 3.61 |
| Avg | 110.6016 | 110.2114 | -0.39 | 2.59 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +6.14% | Feb Total -1.49% | Mar Total +3.20% | Apr Total +4.14% | May Total +2.88% | Jun Total +4.01% | Jul Total +5.49% | Aug Total +1.45% | Sep Total -2.74% | Oct Total -0.12% | Nov Total +3.10% | Dec Total -1.47% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.21% | 0.00% | -0.06% | +0.68% | +0.44% | -0.26% | +0.45% | +1.27% | -0.85% | +0.25% | +0.21% | +0.64% | -0.25% |
| 2 Avg +0.11% | +0.59% | +1.58% | +0.28% | -0.28% | +0.70% | +0.80% | +0.53% | -1.28% | -0.11% | -0.37% | -0.86% | -0.21% |
| 3 Avg -0.39% | +0.33% | -2.59% | -0.87% | -0.71% | -0.08% | -0.81% | -0.21% | +0.16% | -0.44% | -0.45% | +0.67% | +0.27% |
| 4 Avg +0.30% | -0.71% | +1.97% | +0.12% | +0.10% | +0.09% | +0.48% | 0.00% | +1.04% | +0.24% | +0.52% | +0.72% | -1.03% |
| 5 Avg 0.00% | +0.14% | -1.07% | -0.02% | +0.26% | -1.12% | +0.60% | +0.77% | -0.41% | -0.07% | +0.42% | +0.35% | +0.15% |
| 6 Avg +0.26% | +0.52% | +0.21% | -0.73% | +0.07% | +0.34% | +0.80% | +1.09% | +0.69% | -0.60% | +0.04% | +0.29% | +0.35% |
| 7 Avg +0.07% | -0.23% | -0.45% | -0.90% | +0.22% | +0.20% | -0.36% | +0.29% | +0.26% | +0.57% | -0.38% | +1.42% | +0.18% |
| 8 Avg +0.00% | +0.55% | -0.93% | -0.29% | -0.13% | +0.30% | +0.48% | +0.25% | +0.24% | -0.33% | -0.09% | -0.17% | +0.18% |
| 9 Avg +0.11% | +0.42% | -0.16% | +0.10% | +1.37% | -0.19% | -0.27% | +0.79% | -0.33% | +0.54% | +0.71% | -1.26% | -0.47% |
| 10 Avg +0.05% | +0.12% | +0.43% | +0.61% | -0.08% | +0.18% | +0.19% | +0.21% | -0.04% | -0.55% | -1.04% | +0.57% | +0.02% |
| 11 Avg +0.12% | +1.00% | -0.08% | +0.13% | -0.18% | +0.18% | -0.49% | -0.24% | -0.37% | +0.81% | -0.14% | +0.58% | +0.24% |
| 12 Avg +0.23% | +0.40% | +0.51% | -0.41% | -0.17% | +0.56% | +0.06% | +0.24% | +0.40% | +0.49% | +1.08% | -0.44% | +0.09% |
| 13 Avg +0.17% | -0.32% | +0.32% | +0.72% | +1.40% | +0.26% | -0.51% | -0.08% | +0.59% | -0.50% | +0.02% | -0.17% | +0.24% |
| 14 Avg -0.07% | -0.16% | +0.28% | +0.38% | +0.04% | +0.34% | +0.07% | +0.02% | +0.34% | -0.11% | -0.97% | -0.64% | -0.48% |
| 15 Avg +0.07% | +0.11% | +0.22% | +0.43% | +0.06% | -0.15% | +0.44% | -0.21% | +0.03% | -0.03% | +0.25% | -0.21% | -0.11% |
| 16 Avg +0.03% | -0.08% | -0.04% | +0.17% | +0.36% | +0.25% | +0.24% | -0.32% | -0.08% | -0.46% | +0.35% | -0.24% | +0.16% |
| 17 Avg +0.01% | -0.25% | +0.07% | +0.62% | +0.31% | +0.13% | +0.46% | -0.33% | -0.52% | -0.53% | +0.56% | -0.04% | -0.41% |
| 18 Avg -0.09% | -0.17% | -0.24% | -0.07% | +0.23% | -0.40% | -0.01% | -0.08% | +0.24% | -0.23% | -0.40% | -0.12% | +0.22% |
| 19 Avg -0.03% | -0.07% | +0.14% | +0.60% | +0.23% | +0.01% | +0.26% | +0.33% | -0.53% | -0.02% | -0.44% | -0.37% | -0.44% |
| 20 Avg -0.03% | +0.49% | -0.29% | +0.31% | -0.42% | +0.12% | +0.29% | +0.95% | -0.11% | -0.54% | -0.26% | -0.51% | -0.45% |
| 21 Avg -0.07% | -0.05% | -0.51% | +0.34% | -0.64% | -0.45% | +0.19% | +0.10% | +0.16% | -0.87% | +0.84% | +0.07% | -0.09% |
| 22 Avg +0.10% | +0.33% | +0.65% | -0.18% | +0.20% | +0.05% | +0.58% | -0.15% | -0.12% | +0.48% | -0.44% | +0.21% | -0.40% |
| 23 Avg +0.04% | +0.54% | -0.35% | +0.14% | +0.94% | -0.41% | +0.57% | -0.09% | +0.01% | -0.83% | -0.22% | -0.05% | +0.24% |
| 24 Avg +0.04% | +0.03% | -0.55% | +0.56% | -0.26% | +0.19% | -0.19% | +0.17% | -0.18% | -0.07% | +0.28% | +0.58% | -0.12% |
| 25 Avg +0.07% | +0.25% | -0.31% | -0.12% | -0.16% | +0.39% | -0.55% | -0.18% | +0.38% | +0.45% | +0.07% | +0.67% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.28% | +0.60% | +0.38% | +0.54% | +0.84% | +0.92% | +0.43% | -0.72% | +0.05% | -0.53% | -1.32% | +0.74% | +1.38% |
| 27 Avg +0.12% | -0.41% | -0.78% | -0.66% | +0.55% | +0.42% | -0.06% | +0.50% | -0.06% | +0.16% | +1.97% | +0.20% | -0.36% |
| 28 Avg +0.10% | +1.27% | +0.13% | -0.56% | -0.14% | +0.03% | -0.06% | +0.27% | +0.02% | +0.47% | -1.19% | +0.60% | +0.42% |
| 29 Avg +0.04% | -0.90% | - | +1.01% | -0.16% | +0.14% | -0.03% | +0.95% | +0.60% | -0.15% | -0.60% | -0.39% | -0.03% |
| 30 Avg -0.08% | +0.22% | - | +0.37% | -0.17% | +0.02% | -0.04% | -1.09% | +0.57% | -0.24% | -0.25% | +0.27% | -0.57% |
| 31 Avg +0.50% | +1.57% | - | -0.11% | - | +0.12% | - | +0.45% | +0.56% | - | +1.11% | - | -0.19% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
