Amazon (AMZN) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for Amazon (AMZN).

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Amazon (AMZN) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +27.79%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (May 30 for 60 days) is +7.53%.

6 wins 0 losses with a win rate of 100.00%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

Amazon (AMZN) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

Amazon exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, with consistent gains from January through July. The stock typically begins the year with steady growth, accelerating significantly from January 25 (+4.1%) through July 12 (+27.1%). After peaking in mid-July, the stock experiences a period of consolidation and slight pullback through October. A strong bullish phase then resumes, culminating in significant gains into the end of the year, with November 7 showing a +29.6% average gain and December 31 showing a +27.7% average gain.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

While Amazon generally trends upward, there are periods that may present buying opportunities. Following the peak in mid-July, a period of consolidation and potential pullback occurs through October. This period of relative weakness could be attributed to profit-taking after the strong first half of the year. Another potential buying opportunity may arise in mid-November, after the peak on November 7 (+29.6%), as the stock consolidates before the year-end rally.

3) Summary:

Based on historical seasonality, a strategic approach to investing in Amazon could involve accumulating shares during periods of consolidation or slight weakness, particularly in the October and mid-November timeframes. The data suggests that holding through the end of the year is generally advantageous, given the strong bullish tendency in November and December. Investors should consider these seasonal trends alongside fundamental analysis and broader market conditions for optimal entry and exit points.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-05-30 205.0100 2025-07-28 232.7900 27.7800 13.55
2024 2024-05-30 179.3200 2024-07-28 182.5000 3.1800 1.77
2023 2023-05-30 121.6600 2023-07-28 132.2100 10.5500 8.67
2019 2019-05-30 90.8160 2019-07-28 97.1525 6.3365 6.98
2018 2018-05-30 81.2445 2018-07-28 90.8635 9.6190 11.84
2017 2017-05-30 49.8350 2017-07-28 51.0020 1.1670 2.34
Avg 121.3143 131.0863 9.77 7.53
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +6.14% Feb Total -1.49% Mar Total +3.20% Apr Total +4.14% May Total +2.88% Jun Total +4.01% Jul Total +5.49% Aug Total +1.45% Sep Total -2.74% Oct Total -0.12% Nov Total +3.10% Dec Total -1.47%
1 Avg +0.21% 0.00% -0.06% +0.68% +0.44% -0.26% +0.45% +1.27% -0.85% +0.25% +0.21% +0.64% -0.25%
2 Avg +0.11% +0.59% +1.58% +0.28% -0.28% +0.70% +0.80% +0.53% -1.28% -0.11% -0.37% -0.86% -0.21%
3 Avg -0.39% +0.33% -2.59% -0.87% -0.71% -0.08% -0.81% -0.21% +0.16% -0.44% -0.45% +0.67% +0.27%
4 Avg +0.30% -0.71% +1.97% +0.12% +0.10% +0.09% +0.48% 0.00% +1.04% +0.24% +0.52% +0.72% -1.03%
5 Avg 0.00% +0.14% -1.07% -0.02% +0.26% -1.12% +0.60% +0.77% -0.41% -0.07% +0.42% +0.35% +0.15%
6 Avg +0.26% +0.52% +0.21% -0.73% +0.07% +0.34% +0.80% +1.09% +0.69% -0.60% +0.04% +0.29% +0.35%
7 Avg +0.07% -0.23% -0.45% -0.90% +0.22% +0.20% -0.36% +0.29% +0.26% +0.57% -0.38% +1.42% +0.18%
8 Avg +0.00% +0.55% -0.93% -0.29% -0.13% +0.30% +0.48% +0.25% +0.24% -0.33% -0.09% -0.17% +0.18%
9 Avg +0.11% +0.42% -0.16% +0.10% +1.37% -0.19% -0.27% +0.79% -0.33% +0.54% +0.71% -1.26% -0.47%
10 Avg +0.05% +0.12% +0.43% +0.61% -0.08% +0.18% +0.19% +0.21% -0.04% -0.55% -1.04% +0.57% +0.02%
11 Avg +0.12% +1.00% -0.08% +0.13% -0.18% +0.18% -0.49% -0.24% -0.37% +0.81% -0.14% +0.58% +0.24%
12 Avg +0.23% +0.40% +0.51% -0.41% -0.17% +0.56% +0.06% +0.24% +0.40% +0.49% +1.08% -0.44% +0.09%
13 Avg +0.17% -0.32% +0.32% +0.72% +1.40% +0.26% -0.51% -0.08% +0.59% -0.50% +0.02% -0.17% +0.24%
14 Avg -0.07% -0.16% +0.28% +0.38% +0.04% +0.34% +0.07% +0.02% +0.34% -0.11% -0.97% -0.64% -0.48%
15 Avg +0.07% +0.11% +0.22% +0.43% +0.06% -0.15% +0.44% -0.21% +0.03% -0.03% +0.25% -0.21% -0.11%
16 Avg +0.03% -0.08% -0.04% +0.17% +0.36% +0.25% +0.24% -0.32% -0.08% -0.46% +0.35% -0.24% +0.16%
17 Avg +0.01% -0.25% +0.07% +0.62% +0.31% +0.13% +0.46% -0.33% -0.52% -0.53% +0.56% -0.04% -0.41%
18 Avg -0.09% -0.17% -0.24% -0.07% +0.23% -0.40% -0.01% -0.08% +0.24% -0.23% -0.40% -0.12% +0.22%
19 Avg -0.03% -0.07% +0.14% +0.60% +0.23% +0.01% +0.26% +0.33% -0.53% -0.02% -0.44% -0.37% -0.44%
20 Avg -0.03% +0.49% -0.29% +0.31% -0.42% +0.12% +0.29% +0.95% -0.11% -0.54% -0.26% -0.51% -0.45%
21 Avg -0.07% -0.05% -0.51% +0.34% -0.64% -0.45% +0.19% +0.10% +0.16% -0.87% +0.84% +0.07% -0.09%
22 Avg +0.10% +0.33% +0.65% -0.18% +0.20% +0.05% +0.58% -0.15% -0.12% +0.48% -0.44% +0.21% -0.40%
23 Avg +0.04% +0.54% -0.35% +0.14% +0.94% -0.41% +0.57% -0.09% +0.01% -0.83% -0.22% -0.05% +0.24%
24 Avg +0.04% +0.03% -0.55% +0.56% -0.26% +0.19% -0.19% +0.17% -0.18% -0.07% +0.28% +0.58% -0.12%
25 Avg +0.07% +0.25% -0.31% -0.12% -0.16% +0.39% -0.55% -0.18% +0.38% +0.45% +0.07% +0.67% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.28% +0.60% +0.38% +0.54% +0.84% +0.92% +0.43% -0.72% +0.05% -0.53% -1.32% +0.74% +1.38%
27 Avg +0.12% -0.41% -0.78% -0.66% +0.55% +0.42% -0.06% +0.50% -0.06% +0.16% +1.97% +0.20% -0.36%
28 Avg +0.10% +1.27% +0.13% -0.56% -0.14% +0.03% -0.06% +0.27% +0.02% +0.47% -1.19% +0.60% +0.42%
29 Avg +0.04% -0.90% - +1.01% -0.16% +0.14% -0.03% +0.95% +0.60% -0.15% -0.60% -0.39% -0.03%
30 Avg -0.08% +0.22% - +0.37% -0.17% +0.02% -0.04% -1.09% +0.57% -0.24% -0.25% +0.27% -0.57%
31 Avg +0.50% +1.57% - -0.11% - +0.12% - +0.45% +0.56% - +1.11% - -0.19%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [May 30 - Jun 28] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses