Check historical price trends and seasonality for Amgen (AMGN).
Amgen (AMGN) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +8.05%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -2.67%.
2 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 40.00%.
1) Overview:
Amgen's historical data suggests a strong bullish tendency from June through the end of the year. From June, the stock price tends to rise steadily, culminating in significant gains by November and December. Specifically, the stock shows an average increase of +9.7% around November 10 and +8.0% around December 31. However, there is a notable bearish phase around March 23, where the stock tends to decline by -0.8%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most prominent pullback period appears around March 23, presenting a potential buying opportunity as the stock tends to decline by -0.8%. This dip could be a strategic entry point, anticipating the subsequent bullish trend that typically begins in June. Investors might consider accumulating shares during this period, expecting a rebound and continuation of the upward trend later in the year.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a potential investment strategy for Amgen could involve taking advantage of the dip around March 23. Given the strong bullish tendencies later in the year, accumulating shares during this period could position investors to benefit from the subsequent price appreciation. However, it's crucial to consider other market factors and conduct thorough due diligence before making any investment decisions.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 269.4300 | 2025-03-16 | 313.7100 | 44.2800 | 16.43 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 303.4800 | 2024-03-15 | 268.8700 | -34.6100 | -11.40 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 240.5000 | 2020-03-15 | 202.1000 | -38.4000 | -15.97 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 198.8900 | 2019-03-16 | 191.2400 | -7.6500 | -3.85 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 185.5400 | 2018-03-16 | 188.2400 | 2.7000 | 1.46 |
| Avg | 239.5680 | 232.8320 | -6.74 | -2.67 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1.46% | Feb Total -1.70% | Mar Total +1.76% | Apr Total +0.20% | May Total -0.06% | Jun Total +2.03% | Jul Total +4.44% | Aug Total +1.65% | Sep Total -1.17% | Oct Total -1.79% | Nov Total +3.40% | Dec Total -0.20% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.20% | 0.00% | +0.28% | +0.52% | +0.01% | -1.02% | -0.43% | +1.65% | +0.03% | +0.09% | +0.59% | +0.58% | +0.06% |
| 2 Avg +0.05% | +0.27% | -0.12% | +0.68% | +0.05% | -0.15% | +0.21% | +0.46% | -0.15% | +0.23% | -0.67% | -0.15% | -0.01% |
| 3 Avg +0.17% | +0.50% | +0.29% | -0.17% | +0.16% | +0.91% | +0.30% | +0.30% | +0.46% | -0.73% | +0.15% | -0.08% | +0.01% |
| 4 Avg +0.09% | +0.29% | +0.05% | +0.39% | -0.19% | +0.34% | +0.19% | 0.00% | -0.15% | -0.22% | +0.31% | +0.23% | -0.17% |
| 5 Avg +0.17% | +0.07% | +0.17% | +0.39% | +0.24% | +0.38% | +0.25% | +0.17% | -0.44% | -0.16% | +0.39% | +1.06% | -0.46% |
| 6 Avg -0.12% | +0.69% | -0.40% | -0.35% | +0.62% | -0.63% | +0.02% | -0.30% | -0.42% | -0.24% | -0.45% | -0.01% | +0.07% |
| 7 Avg -0.08% | +0.06% | -1.08% | -0.39% | -0.34% | +0.03% | +0.13% | -0.40% | 0.00% | +0.23% | +0.17% | +1.26% | -0.62% |
| 8 Avg +0.10% | +0.52% | +0.43% | -0.33% | +0.02% | -0.04% | -0.01% | +0.27% | +0.62% | -0.19% | -0.69% | +0.64% | -0.09% |
| 9 Avg +0.02% | 0.00% | -0.34% | -0.61% | +0.46% | +0.33% | -0.17% | +0.30% | +0.28% | -0.32% | +0.22% | +0.18% | -0.13% |
| 10 Avg +0.12% | +0.17% | -0.07% | +0.59% | -0.35% | -0.14% | +0.23% | +0.65% | -0.13% | -0.20% | -0.16% | +0.89% | +0.01% |
| 11 Avg -0.06% | -0.52% | -0.28% | -0.03% | +0.15% | +0.21% | -0.66% | -0.49% | -0.29% | +0.50% | +0.56% | -0.16% | +0.25% |
| 12 Avg -0.01% | +0.27% | +0.52% | -1.11% | -0.19% | +0.17% | +0.22% | +0.18% | +0.74% | -0.20% | +0.06% | -0.99% | +0.26% |
| 13 Avg +0.15% | -0.02% | -0.12% | +1.48% | +0.29% | -0.52% | -0.23% | +0.26% | +0.35% | -0.34% | +0.37% | -0.06% | +0.34% |
| 14 Avg +0.02% | +0.72% | -0.37% | -0.21% | +0.62% | -0.05% | +0.02% | +0.36% | -0.29% | +0.29% | -0.03% | -0.40% | -0.42% |
| 15 Avg +0.26% | +0.31% | +0.45% | +0.62% | -0.03% | +0.62% | +0.13% | +0.14% | +0.59% | +0.05% | +0.07% | -0.34% | +0.56% |
| 16 Avg -0.04% | -0.13% | -0.49% | -0.65% | -0.16% | -0.18% | +0.09% | +0.47% | +0.22% | +0.08% | +0.18% | -0.08% | +0.21% |
| 17 Avg +0.14% | +0.28% | +0.68% | +0.64% | -0.21% | -0.44% | +0.11% | +0.14% | -0.04% | +0.24% | +0.39% | -0.06% | -0.04% |
| 18 Avg -0.24% | -0.10% | -0.31% | +0.10% | -0.43% | -0.24% | +0.30% | -0.18% | -0.50% | +0.06% | -0.31% | -0.55% | -0.68% |
| 19 Avg +0.03% | -0.01% | +0.05% | -0.59% | +0.21% | -0.45% | +0.71% | +0.03% | +0.23% | +0.44% | -0.56% | +0.17% | +0.07% |
| 20 Avg +0.11% | +0.41% | +0.05% | -0.30% | +0.17% | +0.31% | +0.30% | +0.11% | -0.19% | +0.36% | +0.18% | +0.08% | -0.18% |
| 21 Avg -0.10% | -0.27% | -0.01% | +0.08% | -0.37% | -0.21% | +0.46% | -0.02% | -0.02% | -0.44% | -0.34% | +0.05% | -0.15% |
| 22 Avg 0.00% | +0.33% | -0.03% | -0.30% | -0.26% | -0.07% | +0.11% | +0.39% | -0.33% | +0.26% | -0.20% | +0.08% | +0.01% |
| 23 Avg -0.10% | -0.17% | +0.45% | -0.85% | +0.63% | +0.13% | -0.47% | -0.05% | -0.22% | -0.20% | -0.72% | -0.04% | +0.25% |
| 24 Avg -0.08% | -0.91% | -0.33% | +1.19% | +0.17% | -0.07% | +0.06% | +0.01% | -0.32% | -0.52% | -0.03% | -0.16% | -0.04% |
| 25 Avg -0.02% | -0.03% | +0.19% | -0.42% | +0.40% | -0.11% | +0.31% | +0.04% | +0.23% | -0.75% | -0.43% | +0.38% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.02% | +0.19% | -0.14% | +0.97% | -0.33% | -0.37% | -0.49% | -0.08% | +0.27% | +0.22% | +0.02% | -0.43% | +0.40% |
| 27 Avg -0.04% | -0.06% | -0.76% | -0.29% | +0.16% | +0.42% | -0.46% | +0.16% | +0.27% | -0.02% | -0.44% | +0.29% | +0.29% |
| 28 Avg -0.19% | -0.40% | -0.45% | +0.07% | -1.28% | -0.28% | +0.31% | -0.02% | +0.19% | +0.22% | -0.87% | +0.26% | -0.03% |
| 29 Avg +0.14% | +0.36% | - | +0.34% | -0.10% | +0.28% | +0.10% | -0.32% | +0.22% | -0.17% | +0.32% | +0.47% | +0.11% |
| 30 Avg +0.07% | -0.90% | - | +0.45% | +0.08% | +0.47% | +0.38% | -0.27% | +0.22% | +0.29% | +0.11% | +0.28% | -0.37% |
| 31 Avg +0.10% | -0.47% | - | -0.17% | - | +0.31% | - | +0.50% | +0.23% | - | +0.02% | - | +0.30% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
