Applied Materials (AMAT) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for Applied Materials (AMAT).

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Applied Materials (AMAT) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +39.21%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 7 days) is +4.64%.

5 wins 0 losses with a win rate of 100.00%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

Applied Materials (AMAT) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

Applied Materials typically experiences a strong bullish trend throughout the year. The stock tends to rise steadily from January, gaining momentum and reaching a peak around December. Specifically, the data shows a consistent climb from January, reaching +12.0% by March 31, +21.2% by June 5, and +25.6% by July 31. The year culminates with substantial gains, reaching +40.8% by December 27 and +39.2% by December 31.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

While the overall trend is bullish, there are periods where pullbacks occur, potentially offering buying opportunities. For instance, there is a slight dip in early April, with the stock decreasing from +13.0% on April 1 to +9.5% by April 21. Another potential pullback occurs in early August, decreasing from +24.2% on August 1 to +21.8% by August 11. These dips could be attributed to profit-taking or broader market corrections, but the stock generally rebounds quickly, making them attractive entry points.

3) Summary:

The seasonality data suggests a long-term bullish strategy for Applied Materials. Consider initiating positions during pullback periods, such as in April or August, to capitalize on the stock's tendency to rebound. Given the significant gains typically seen towards the end of the year, holding through December could be particularly rewarding, with the potential to capture gains exceeding +40% by December 27.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-01-16 186.4800 2025-01-22 195.5100 9.0300 4.84
2024 2024-01-16 153.7600 2024-01-22 168.3000 14.5400 9.46
2020 2020-01-16 63.2100 2020-01-22 63.8900 0.6800 1.08
2019 2019-01-16 33.6400 2019-01-22 34.4400 0.8000 2.38
2018 2018-01-16 54.5000 2018-01-22 57.4600 2.9600 5.43
Avg 98.3180 103.9200 5.60 4.64
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +4.92% Feb Total +5.25% Mar Total +2.10% Apr Total -0.97% May Total +7.75% Jun Total +1.59% Jul Total +4.85% Aug Total -3.13% Sep Total +0.80% Oct Total +1.35% Nov Total +10.89% Dec Total -0.37%
1 Avg +0.20% 0.00% +1.56% +1.08% +0.35% -0.56% +0.09% -0.72% -1.02% -0.09% +0.57% +1.48% -0.31%
2 Avg +0.17% +0.39% +0.05% +0.47% -0.52% +0.71% +0.58% +0.39% -1.65% +0.24% +0.18% +0.29% +0.89%
3 Avg -0.15% -0.38% -0.55% -0.97% -0.48% +0.45% +0.18% -0.04% +0.77% -1.33% -0.10% +0.42% +0.21%
4 Avg +0.24% +0.82% +0.87% -0.45% -0.60% +0.46% +0.66% 0.00% +0.31% +0.30% +0.21% +1.26% -1.02%
5 Avg +0.06% -0.11% -0.68% +0.20% -0.90% +0.28% +1.10% -0.04% -0.63% +0.15% +0.52% +1.47% -0.68%
6 Avg +0.11% +0.75% +0.35% -0.09% -0.02% +0.31% +0.10% +0.45% +0.18% -0.97% +0.26% -0.01% +0.04%
7 Avg +0.25% +0.25% -0.27% -0.58% +0.97% +0.11% +0.01% +0.53% +0.71% -0.11% -1.13% +1.21% +1.30%
8 Avg -0.02% -0.18% -0.46% -0.65% +0.37% +0.47% -0.42% +0.49% +0.80% -1.21% -0.01% +0.37% +0.19%
9 Avg +0.10% +0.71% +1.42% +0.68% +1.20% -0.74% -0.88% +0.73% -1.35% +0.37% +0.56% -0.63% -0.84%
10 Avg +0.03% -0.44% -0.07% +0.18% -0.29% +0.28% +0.47% +0.58% -0.27% -0.01% -1.32% +1.03% +0.26%
11 Avg +0.09% +0.80% +0.18% -0.32% +0.34% -0.32% -0.85% -0.88% -0.33% +1.22% -0.62% +0.91% +0.96%
12 Avg +0.08% +0.68% +1.09% -1.39% -0.67% -0.09% +0.54% +0.79% +0.67% -0.49% +0.61% -0.53% -0.25%
13 Avg +0.26% -0.54% +0.45% +1.10% +0.35% +0.48% -0.55% +0.40% +0.69% +0.09% +0.60% +0.35% -0.30%
14 Avg +0.46% +1.78% -0.07% +0.56% +0.15% +1.51% -0.50% +0.63% +0.47% +0.62% +0.10% +0.28% 0.00%
15 Avg +0.09% -0.51% +0.84% +0.70% -0.49% +0.76% -0.21% +0.30% -1.04% +0.03% -0.64% +0.82% +0.55%
16 Avg -0.04% +0.99% +1.03% -0.90% +0.38% -0.29% -0.41% -0.57% -0.38% +0.06% -0.07% +0.35% -0.67%
17 Avg -0.07% +0.81% -0.15% +1.44% -0.08% +0.19% +0.12% -0.71% -1.64% +0.02% -0.04% -0.39% -0.36%
18 Avg 0.00% +0.07% -0.50% -1.51% -0.67% -0.24% 0.00% +0.40% +0.92% +1.13% +0.05% +0.38% -0.05%
19 Avg +0.16% +0.38% +1.75% +0.34% -0.84% +0.22% +0.47% -0.31% +0.60% +0.51% -0.06% -0.49% -0.66%
20 Avg -0.09% -0.09% -0.34% -0.25% -0.11% +1.50% -0.50% +0.48% -0.91% -1.06% +0.44% +0.02% -0.22%
21 Avg +0.10% +0.09% -0.73% +0.34% -0.47% -0.34% +0.58% +0.67% +0.11% +0.03% +0.41% +0.01% +0.53%
22 Avg -0.05% -0.09% +0.07% -0.24% +0.51% -0.32% -0.10% +0.80% -0.72% +0.74% -0.54% -0.20% -0.51%
23 Avg +0.11% +0.08% +0.02% -0.48% +0.42% -0.01% +0.36% -0.19% +0.31% +0.08% 0.00% +0.67% +0.11%
24 Avg +0.43% +1.08% +0.31% +2.08% +0.80% +0.24% +0.07% -0.77% -0.35% +0.07% +1.07% +0.72% -0.14%
25 Avg +0.01% -0.09% -0.93% -0.60% +0.14% +1.29% -0.14% -0.55% +0.49% -0.24% +0.18% +0.51% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.48% +0.14% +1.39% +2.08% +0.43% +1.26% +0.12% +0.52% -0.61% +0.26% -0.36% 0.00% +0.48%
27 Avg -0.18% -2.29% -1.51% -1.76% -0.05% +1.25% -0.26% +1.08% +0.22% +0.29% 0.00% +0.06% +0.75%
28 Avg +0.08% +0.17% +0.10% -0.77% -0.05% -0.40% +0.60% +0.59% +0.23% +0.43% +0.33% +0.05% -0.28%
29 Avg +0.18% -0.13% - +1.13% +0.13% +0.37% +0.05% -0.03% +0.17% -0.18% +0.41% -0.07% +0.11%
30 Avg -0.05% -0.26% - +0.60% -1.28% -0.22% +0.32% -0.08% +0.51% -0.16% -0.23% +0.54% -0.31%
31 Avg -0.20% +0.06% - +0.06% - -0.85% - -0.07% -0.38% - -0.02% - -0.16%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Jan 16 - Feb 14] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses