Applied Materials (AMAT) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for Applied Materials (AMAT).

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Applied Materials (AMAT) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +39.21%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 3 for 60 days) is -1.22%.

3 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 42.86%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

Applied Materials (AMAT) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

Applied Materials typically experiences a strong bullish trend throughout the year. The stock tends to rise steadily from January, gaining momentum and reaching a peak around December. Specifically, the data shows a consistent climb from January, reaching +12.0% by March 31, +21.2% by June 5, and +25.6% by July 31. The year culminates with substantial gains, reaching +40.8% by December 27 and +39.2% by December 31.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

While the overall trend is bullish, there are periods where pullbacks occur, potentially offering buying opportunities. For instance, there is a slight dip in early April, with the stock decreasing from +13.0% on April 1 to +9.5% by April 21. Another potential pullback occurs in early August, decreasing from +24.2% on August 1 to +21.8% by August 11. These dips could be attributed to profit-taking or broader market corrections, but the stock generally rebounds quickly, making them attractive entry points.

3) Summary:

The seasonality data suggests a long-term bullish strategy for Applied Materials. Consider initiating positions during pullback periods, such as in April or August, to capitalize on the stock's tendency to rebound. Given the significant gains typically seen towards the end of the year, holding through December could be particularly rewarding, with the potential to capture gains exceeding +40% by December 27.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-03-03 152.1300 2025-05-01 148.9600 -3.1700 -2.08
2023 2023-03-03 118.9600 2023-05-01 112.9500 -6.0100 -5.05
2022 2022-03-03 130.6400 2022-05-01 110.3500 -20.2900 -15.53
2021 2021-03-03 115.4400 2021-05-01 132.7100 17.2700 14.96
2020 2020-03-03 58.0400 2020-05-01 46.8900 -11.1500 -19.21
2017 2017-03-03 36.8700 2017-05-01 41.7000 4.8300 13.10
2016 2016-03-03 19.4500 2016-05-01 20.4700 1.0200 5.24
Avg 90.2186 87.7186 -2.50 -1.22
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +4.92% Feb Total +5.25% Mar Total +2.10% Apr Total -0.97% May Total +7.75% Jun Total +1.59% Jul Total +4.85% Aug Total -3.13% Sep Total +0.80% Oct Total +1.35% Nov Total +10.89% Dec Total -0.37%
1 Avg +0.20% 0.00% +1.56% +1.08% +0.35% -0.56% +0.09% -0.72% -1.02% -0.09% +0.57% +1.48% -0.31%
2 Avg +0.17% +0.39% +0.05% +0.47% -0.52% +0.71% +0.58% +0.39% -1.65% +0.24% +0.18% +0.29% +0.89%
3 Avg -0.15% -0.38% -0.55% -0.97% -0.48% +0.45% +0.18% -0.04% +0.77% -1.33% -0.10% +0.42% +0.21%
4 Avg +0.24% +0.82% +0.87% -0.45% -0.60% +0.46% +0.66% 0.00% +0.31% +0.30% +0.21% +1.26% -1.02%
5 Avg +0.06% -0.11% -0.68% +0.20% -0.90% +0.28% +1.10% -0.04% -0.63% +0.15% +0.52% +1.47% -0.68%
6 Avg +0.11% +0.75% +0.35% -0.09% -0.02% +0.31% +0.10% +0.45% +0.18% -0.97% +0.26% -0.01% +0.04%
7 Avg +0.25% +0.25% -0.27% -0.58% +0.97% +0.11% +0.01% +0.53% +0.71% -0.11% -1.13% +1.21% +1.30%
8 Avg -0.02% -0.18% -0.46% -0.65% +0.37% +0.47% -0.42% +0.49% +0.80% -1.21% -0.01% +0.37% +0.19%
9 Avg +0.10% +0.71% +1.42% +0.68% +1.20% -0.74% -0.88% +0.73% -1.35% +0.37% +0.56% -0.63% -0.84%
10 Avg +0.03% -0.44% -0.07% +0.18% -0.29% +0.28% +0.47% +0.58% -0.27% -0.01% -1.32% +1.03% +0.26%
11 Avg +0.09% +0.80% +0.18% -0.32% +0.34% -0.32% -0.85% -0.88% -0.33% +1.22% -0.62% +0.91% +0.96%
12 Avg +0.08% +0.68% +1.09% -1.39% -0.67% -0.09% +0.54% +0.79% +0.67% -0.49% +0.61% -0.53% -0.25%
13 Avg +0.26% -0.54% +0.45% +1.10% +0.35% +0.48% -0.55% +0.40% +0.69% +0.09% +0.60% +0.35% -0.30%
14 Avg +0.46% +1.78% -0.07% +0.56% +0.15% +1.51% -0.50% +0.63% +0.47% +0.62% +0.10% +0.28% 0.00%
15 Avg +0.09% -0.51% +0.84% +0.70% -0.49% +0.76% -0.21% +0.30% -1.04% +0.03% -0.64% +0.82% +0.55%
16 Avg -0.04% +0.99% +1.03% -0.90% +0.38% -0.29% -0.41% -0.57% -0.38% +0.06% -0.07% +0.35% -0.67%
17 Avg -0.07% +0.81% -0.15% +1.44% -0.08% +0.19% +0.12% -0.71% -1.64% +0.02% -0.04% -0.39% -0.36%
18 Avg 0.00% +0.07% -0.50% -1.51% -0.67% -0.24% 0.00% +0.40% +0.92% +1.13% +0.05% +0.38% -0.05%
19 Avg +0.16% +0.38% +1.75% +0.34% -0.84% +0.22% +0.47% -0.31% +0.60% +0.51% -0.06% -0.49% -0.66%
20 Avg -0.09% -0.09% -0.34% -0.25% -0.11% +1.50% -0.50% +0.48% -0.91% -1.06% +0.44% +0.02% -0.22%
21 Avg +0.10% +0.09% -0.73% +0.34% -0.47% -0.34% +0.58% +0.67% +0.11% +0.03% +0.41% +0.01% +0.53%
22 Avg -0.05% -0.09% +0.07% -0.24% +0.51% -0.32% -0.10% +0.80% -0.72% +0.74% -0.54% -0.20% -0.51%
23 Avg +0.11% +0.08% +0.02% -0.48% +0.42% -0.01% +0.36% -0.19% +0.31% +0.08% 0.00% +0.67% +0.11%
24 Avg +0.43% +1.08% +0.31% +2.08% +0.80% +0.24% +0.07% -0.77% -0.35% +0.07% +1.07% +0.72% -0.14%
25 Avg +0.01% -0.09% -0.93% -0.60% +0.14% +1.29% -0.14% -0.55% +0.49% -0.24% +0.18% +0.51% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.48% +0.14% +1.39% +2.08% +0.43% +1.26% +0.12% +0.52% -0.61% +0.26% -0.36% 0.00% +0.48%
27 Avg -0.18% -2.29% -1.51% -1.76% -0.05% +1.25% -0.26% +1.08% +0.22% +0.29% 0.00% +0.06% +0.75%
28 Avg +0.08% +0.17% +0.10% -0.77% -0.05% -0.40% +0.60% +0.59% +0.23% +0.43% +0.33% +0.05% -0.28%
29 Avg +0.18% -0.13% - +1.13% +0.13% +0.37% +0.05% -0.03% +0.17% -0.18% +0.41% -0.07% +0.11%
30 Avg -0.05% -0.26% - +0.60% -1.28% -0.22% +0.32% -0.08% +0.51% -0.16% -0.23% +0.54% -0.31%
31 Avg -0.20% +0.06% - +0.06% - -0.85% - -0.07% -0.38% - -0.02% - -0.16%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Mar 3 - Apr 1] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses