Check historical price trends and seasonality for Allianz SE (ALV.DE).
Allianz SE (ALV.DE) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +10.09%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Feb 8 for 30 days) is +3.18%.
7 wins 1 losses with a win rate of 87.50%.
1) Overview:
Allianz SE (ALV.DE) exhibits a strong bullish tendency towards the end of the year. A significant upward trend typically begins in November, accelerating into December, culminating in gains of around +10.4% by December 23 and +10.0% by December 31. Conversely, August 2 tends to be a relative low point, with an average decline of -0.8%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A potential buying opportunity appears around August 2, as the stock tends to experience a dip of -0.8% at this time. This could be a strategic entry point before a generally upward trend resumes later in August and September. Another potential dip occurs between late June and early July, before a slight recovery.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a long-term investment strategy in Allianz SE (ALV.DE) could involve accumulating shares during the late summer dip around August 2. The most opportune time to capitalize on seasonal trends appears to be by holding through the strong performance typically observed in December, particularly leading up to December 23 and December 31.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-02-08 | 243.8500 | 2024-03-08 | 258.8000 | 14.9500 | 6.13 |
| 2023 | 2023-02-08 | 220.7500 | 2023-03-09 | 222.7000 | 1.9500 | 0.88 |
| 2022 | 2022-02-08 | 229.8500 | 2022-03-09 | 201.6000 | -28.2500 | -12.29 |
| 2021 | 2021-02-08 | 195.5800 | 2021-03-09 | 213.3000 | 17.7200 | 9.06 |
| 2019 | 2019-02-08 | 182.7200 | 2019-03-09 | 195.8800 | 13.1600 | 7.20 |
| 2018 | 2018-02-08 | 188.5800 | 2018-03-09 | 190.0200 | 1.4400 | 0.76 |
| 2017 | 2017-02-08 | 155.2500 | 2017-03-09 | 170.0000 | 14.7500 | 9.50 |
| 2016 | 2016-02-08 | 135.1000 | 2016-03-08 | 140.8000 | 5.7000 | 4.22 |
| Avg | 193.9600 | 199.1375 | 5.18 | 3.18 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +2.09% | Feb Total -0.90% | Mar Total +1.87% | Apr Total +3.41% | May Total -4.99% | Jun Total +0.01% | Jul Total +0.95% | Aug Total +0.51% | Sep Total +0.43% | Oct Total +1.23% | Nov Total +5.30% | Dec Total +1.49% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.08% | 0.00% | +0.02% | +0.15% | -0.10% | 0.00% | +0.38% | +0.13% | -0.49% | -0.05% | +0.07% | +0.47% | +0.37% |
| 2 Avg +0.00% | +0.48% | -0.06% | +0.10% | -0.19% | +0.42% | +0.98% | +0.09% | -1.75% | +0.44% | -0.41% | +0.11% | -0.18% |
| 3 Avg +0.19% | +0.06% | -0.26% | +0.43% | -0.11% | +0.04% | +0.93% | +0.63% | +0.50% | -0.23% | -0.19% | +0.48% | +0.04% |
| 4 Avg +0.01% | +0.57% | +0.14% | -0.37% | -0.67% | -0.95% | -0.03% | -0.05% | +0.59% | -0.30% | +0.53% | +0.26% | +0.38% |
| 5 Avg -0.13% | -0.01% | -0.01% | +0.28% | -0.25% | -1.12% | +0.33% | -0.94% | -0.51% | -0.33% | +0.44% | +0.36% | +0.18% |
| 6 Avg +0.09% | +0.84% | -0.24% | -0.17% | +0.90% | -0.42% | +0.07% | -0.40% | +0.17% | -0.02% | +0.31% | -0.07% | +0.12% |
| 7 Avg +0.05% | -0.19% | +0.20% | -0.27% | -0.36% | -0.24% | -0.10% | +0.50% | +0.58% | +0.10% | +0.11% | +0.26% | +0.05% |
| 8 Avg +0.11% | 0.00% | -0.53% | +0.74% | +0.44% | +0.01% | -0.31% | +0.16% | +0.65% | 0.00% | -0.08% | -0.11% | +0.35% |
| 9 Avg +0.05% | +0.21% | -0.30% | -0.09% | -0.18% | -1.53% | -0.53% | +0.23% | +0.31% | +0.51% | +0.08% | +1.67% | +0.18% |
| 10 Avg +0.05% | +0.01% | +0.06% | -0.49% | +0.48% | -0.21% | -1.10% | +0.12% | +0.46% | -0.07% | +0.16% | +1.36% | -0.22% |
| 11 Avg +0.08% | -0.08% | -0.33% | +0.69% | -0.07% | +0.03% | -0.36% | +0.08% | +0.16% | +0.43% | +0.15% | +0.25% | -0.05% |
| 12 Avg +0.03% | +0.32% | +0.64% | -1.14% | +0.50% | -0.99% | +0.06% | +0.53% | +0.19% | +0.70% | +0.13% | -0.39% | -0.17% |
| 13 Avg -0.03% | -0.02% | +0.24% | -0.37% | +0.26% | -0.20% | -0.48% | +0.16% | +0.12% | 0.00% | -0.57% | +0.23% | +0.25% |
| 14 Avg +0.00% | -0.05% | -0.48% | +0.52% | +0.52% | -0.11% | -0.09% | -0.32% | -0.15% | -0.06% | +0.33% | +0.30% | -0.38% |
| 15 Avg +0.12% | -0.10% | +0.92% | -0.12% | -0.14% | +0.25% | +0.12% | -0.02% | +0.15% | +0.27% | -0.01% | 0.00% | +0.13% |
| 16 Avg +0.06% | +0.17% | +0.03% | -0.57% | +0.04% | +0.22% | +0.39% | -0.16% | +0.29% | -0.50% | +0.15% | +0.30% | +0.40% |
| 17 Avg +0.02% | +0.26% | +0.42% | -0.69% | +0.55% | +0.01% | +0.20% | +0.20% | -0.58% | -0.25% | -0.08% | +0.09% | +0.05% |
| 18 Avg -0.04% | +0.13% | -0.43% | -0.54% | +0.14% | +0.47% | -0.28% | -0.16% | +0.03% | 0.00% | +0.22% | -0.05% | +0.03% |
| 19 Avg -0.02% | +0.08% | -0.25% | +0.13% | +0.36% | -0.26% | -0.05% | -0.56% | -0.01% | +0.44% | +0.17% | -0.42% | +0.13% |
| 20 Avg +0.15% | -0.10% | +0.17% | +1.20% | +0.38% | -0.04% | +0.74% | +0.32% | -0.06% | -0.40% | -0.02% | -0.12% | -0.30% |
| 21 Avg +0.01% | -0.24% | +0.02% | +0.23% | -0.15% | +0.18% | -0.17% | -0.01% | -0.07% | -0.07% | -0.07% | +0.41% | +0.03% |
| 22 Avg +0.04% | +0.05% | +0.32% | -0.36% | +0.24% | +0.03% | -0.02% | +0.05% | -0.09% | +0.37% | -0.24% | +0.07% | +0.05% |
| 23 Avg -0.08% | -0.17% | -0.33% | -0.51% | +0.17% | -0.38% | -0.07% | +0.21% | +0.07% | -0.24% | -0.10% | -0.01% | +0.32% |
| 24 Avg +0.04% | +0.07% | -0.83% | +1.24% | -0.16% | +0.03% | -0.91% | -0.23% | +0.34% | 0.00% | +0.61% | +0.27% | 0.00% |
| 25 Avg +0.06% | +0.20% | +0.35% | +0.56% | -0.42% | +0.42% | -0.19% | -0.18% | -0.09% | -0.20% | +0.10% | +0.14% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.10% | +0.39% | +0.41% | +0.17% | +0.17% | +0.57% | -0.10% | +0.29% | -0.36% | +0.01% | -0.07% | -0.25% | 0.00% |
| 27 Avg 0.00% | -0.19% | -0.26% | +0.02% | +0.22% | +0.49% | -0.35% | +0.53% | +0.09% | -0.04% | -0.09% | -0.27% | -0.17% |
| 28 Avg +0.02% | -0.02% | -0.54% | +0.19% | +0.75% | -0.29% | +0.44% | -0.20% | +0.13% | -0.08% | -0.18% | -0.16% | +0.23% |
| 29 Avg +0.10% | +0.11% | - | +0.52% | +0.18% | -0.71% | +0.52% | +0.47% | -0.10% | -0.10% | -0.11% | +0.47% | -0.13% |
| 30 Avg -0.04% | -0.24% | - | +0.29% | -0.09% | +0.18% | +0.01% | -0.48% | +0.22% | +0.11% | +0.08% | -0.36% | -0.18% |
| 31 Avg -0.26% | -0.46% | - | +0.08% | - | -0.92% | - | -0.02% | -0.28% | - | -0.21% | - | 0.00% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
