Check historical price trends and seasonality for Ally Financial (ALLY).
Ally Financial (ALLY) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +14.12%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -6.27%.
2 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 40.00%.
1) Overview:
Ally Financial exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, starting with a significant climb from early January and peaking in December. The stock generally rises steadily from January, reaching a high point around December 15 with an average gain of +14.9%. There is a notable bearish period in March, specifically around March 23, where the stock tends to decline by -2.6% on average. The year concludes with another peak around December 31, showing an average increase of +14.1%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most prominent dip opportunity occurs around March 23, where the stock experiences an average decline of -2.6%. This pullback could be considered a strategic entry point, as the stock tends to recover and continue its upward trajectory in the following months. Another potential, albeit less pronounced, buying opportunity arises in early April.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a potential investment strategy for Ally Financial involves capitalizing on the dip in March around March 23, aiming to benefit from the subsequent bullish trend that culminates in December. Consider that seasonality is just one factor and should be combined with fundamental analysis for informed decisions. The significant gains typically seen by December 15 and December 31, averaging +14.9% and +14.1% respectively, suggest that holding the stock through year-end has historically been advantageous.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 37.3700 | 2025-03-16 | 34.0800 | -3.2900 | -8.80 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 33.0400 | 2024-03-15 | 37.6200 | 4.5800 | 13.86 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 30.7600 | 2020-03-15 | 20.5700 | -10.1900 | -33.13 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 25.6400 | 2019-03-16 | 27.0100 | 1.3700 | 5.34 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 30.3100 | 2018-03-16 | 27.6900 | -2.6200 | -8.64 |
| Avg | 31.4240 | 29.3940 | -2.03 | -6.27 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +6.89% | Feb Total -0.66% | Mar Total -5.51% | Apr Total +1.05% | May Total +2.72% | Jun Total +1.42% | Jul Total +5.05% | Aug Total +2.01% | Sep Total -2.65% | Oct Total -2.07% | Nov Total +6.68% | Dec Total +1.84% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.15% | 0.00% | +1.55% | +0.07% | -0.50% | -0.62% | +1.07% | +0.17% | -1.05% | +0.10% | -0.27% | +0.51% | +0.76% |
| 2 Avg +0.17% | +0.30% | +0.36% | +0.66% | -0.24% | +0.27% | +0.95% | +0.67% | -1.50% | +0.19% | -0.25% | +0.44% | +0.16% |
| 3 Avg -0.08% | -0.12% | +0.60% | -0.73% | -1.85% | -0.41% | +0.14% | +0.50% | +0.52% | -0.49% | +0.69% | +0.48% | -0.25% |
| 4 Avg +0.31% | +1.13% | +0.61% | -0.13% | -0.81% | +0.07% | +0.64% | 0.00% | +0.34% | +1.07% | +1.09% | -0.30% | -0.04% |
| 5 Avg +0.00% | +0.26% | -0.45% | -0.14% | -0.61% | +0.44% | +0.44% | -0.69% | -0.10% | -0.24% | +0.40% | +1.01% | -0.26% |
| 6 Avg +0.09% | +0.77% | -0.30% | -0.79% | +1.70% | -0.70% | +1.10% | -0.33% | +0.50% | -0.75% | -0.20% | +0.07% | +0.04% |
| 7 Avg 0.00% | -0.36% | +0.25% | -1.10% | -0.01% | +0.70% | +0.33% | +0.08% | +0.23% | -0.34% | -0.29% | +0.32% | +0.15% |
| 8 Avg +0.02% | -0.29% | -0.73% | -0.34% | +0.39% | +0.72% | +0.06% | +0.27% | +0.94% | +0.01% | -0.56% | -0.92% | +0.73% |
| 9 Avg +0.15% | +0.03% | -0.28% | -1.33% | +2.23% | +0.24% | -0.57% | +0.62% | -0.35% | +0.52% | +0.27% | +0.11% | +0.27% |
| 10 Avg -0.08% | -0.24% | +0.15% | -0.12% | -0.32% | +0.07% | -1.99% | +0.67% | +0.55% | -1.81% | -0.46% | +1.79% | +0.69% |
| 11 Avg -0.06% | +0.52% | -0.61% | -0.53% | +0.28% | -1.78% | -0.54% | +0.43% | +0.58% | +0.67% | -0.30% | +0.51% | +0.08% |
| 12 Avg +0.20% | +0.01% | +0.94% | -0.17% | +0.04% | -0.42% | +0.80% | +1.09% | -0.03% | +0.66% | -0.29% | -0.26% | +0.02% |
| 13 Avg -0.17% | +0.36% | -0.04% | -0.71% | -0.75% | -0.12% | -0.92% | +0.13% | +0.45% | -0.75% | +0.37% | +0.05% | -0.08% |
| 14 Avg +0.09% | +0.75% | +0.35% | -0.31% | -0.59% | +1.34% | -1.40% | -0.31% | 0.00% | +0.05% | +0.40% | +0.47% | +0.29% |
| 15 Avg +0.37% | +0.51% | +0.72% | +0.13% | -0.83% | +0.45% | +1.15% | +0.70% | -0.21% | +1.19% | +0.40% | +0.09% | +0.13% |
| 16 Avg -0.25% | +0.34% | +0.02% | -1.79% | -0.64% | -0.35% | -0.90% | +0.16% | +0.59% | +0.19% | +0.19% | -0.33% | -0.47% |
| 17 Avg -0.06% | -0.44% | -0.46% | +0.02% | +1.65% | +0.71% | -0.59% | -0.66% | -1.13% | +0.49% | +0.67% | -0.53% | -0.50% |
| 18 Avg -0.11% | -0.45% | +0.01% | -2.07% | +1.22% | +0.73% | +0.17% | +0.80% | +0.05% | 0.00% | -0.83% | -0.26% | -0.75% |
| 19 Avg -0.21% | +0.28% | -0.92% | +0.29% | +0.93% | -0.68% | -0.56% | -0.34% | -0.15% | +0.31% | -1.11% | -0.14% | -0.42% |
| 20 Avg +0.03% | +1.98% | +0.53% | +0.25% | -0.47% | +0.01% | -0.02% | +0.54% | -0.29% | -1.00% | +0.18% | -0.77% | -0.66% |
| 21 Avg -0.25% | -0.40% | -1.37% | +0.54% | -1.23% | -0.51% | -0.08% | +0.30% | -0.01% | -0.73% | -0.64% | +0.44% | +0.62% |
| 22 Avg +0.06% | +1.30% | +0.03% | -1.03% | +0.20% | +0.14% | -0.12% | -0.15% | -0.04% | -0.35% | -0.34% | +1.18% | -0.12% |
| 23 Avg +0.11% | +0.33% | -0.32% | -0.83% | +0.55% | -0.23% | +0.53% | +0.36% | +0.42% | -0.88% | -0.25% | +0.92% | +0.67% |
| 24 Avg +0.23% | -0.79% | -0.60% | +2.35% | +0.98% | +0.18% | -0.25% | -0.01% | +0.95% | -0.26% | -0.27% | +0.78% | -0.29% |
| 25 Avg +0.43% | +0.58% | -0.62% | +1.88% | -0.35% | +0.33% | +0.86% | +0.06% | +0.41% | +0.20% | +1.39% | +0.45% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg 0.00% | +0.27% | +0.39% | +0.78% | -0.01% | +1.33% | -0.60% | -0.32% | -0.76% | -1.12% | -0.84% | +0.07% | +0.83% |
| 27 Avg -0.01% | -0.86% | -0.32% | -0.76% | -0.24% | +1.96% | -0.40% | +0.48% | +0.67% | +0.58% | -1.12% | -0.08% | 0.00% |
| 28 Avg +0.29% | +0.25% | -0.15% | +0.37% | +1.09% | -0.32% | +0.74% | +0.19% | -0.04% | +0.43% | +0.36% | +0.43% | +0.11% |
| 29 Avg +0.12% | +0.06% | - | +0.72% | +0.78% | -0.79% | +0.74% | +0.51% | -0.09% | -0.51% | -0.30% | +0.26% | -0.07% |
| 30 Avg +0.02% | +0.77% | - | +0.22% | -1.54% | -0.15% | +0.64% | -0.33% | +0.33% | -0.09% | +0.57% | -0.11% | -0.09% |
| 31 Avg -0.22% | +0.02% | - | -0.94% | - | +0.08% | - | -0.51% | +0.23% | - | -0.73% | - | +0.28% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
