Check historical price trends and seasonality for Allegion (ALLE).
Allegion (ALLE) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +10.99%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is +0.60%.
3 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 60.00%.
1) Overview:
Allegion (ALLE) exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, particularly from February to December. The stock price tends to increase significantly from February, reaching a peak in late July around +9.6%. A notable bearish period occurs around March 23, with an average decline of -2.2%. The stock then recovers and experiences a strong rally into the end of the year, with significant gains around November 25 (+12.6%) and December 31 (+10.9%).
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A potential buy-the-dip opportunity arises around March 23, where the stock tends to experience a pullback of -2.2%. This dip could be attributed to profit-taking after the initial gains in February and early March. The stock price tends to rebound relatively quickly after this dip, presenting a favorable entry point for investors.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to investing in Allegion (ALLE) would involve considering an entry point around March 23 to capitalize on the typical pullback. Given the strong positive seasonality towards the end of the year, holding the stock through November and December could be advantageous. Investors should be aware of the potential for short-term declines in late March.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 132.6200 | 2025-03-16 | 126.6600 | -5.9600 | -4.49 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 119.4100 | 2024-03-15 | 130.3900 | 10.9800 | 9.20 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 128.5100 | 2020-03-15 | 111.8100 | -16.7000 | -13.00 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 81.0100 | 2019-03-16 | 88.4100 | 7.4000 | 9.13 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 84.0700 | 2018-03-16 | 85.8800 | 1.8100 | 2.15 |
| Avg | 109.1240 | 108.6300 | -0.49 | 0.60 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.95% | Feb Total +0.00% | Mar Total +0.13% | Apr Total +2.91% | May Total +0.09% | Jun Total +2.28% | Jul Total +3.49% | Aug Total -0.39% | Sep Total +0.09% | Oct Total -0.68% | Nov Total +4.58% | Dec Total -1.09% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.07% | 0.00% | +0.59% | +0.34% | -0.14% | -0.51% | +0.37% | +0.25% | -0.63% | +0.21% | -0.29% | +0.61% | +0.08% |
| 2 Avg +0.02% | -0.07% | -0.48% | +0.88% | -0.25% | +0.09% | +0.37% | +0.01% | -0.85% | +0.37% | -0.01% | +0.01% | +0.22% |
| 3 Avg +0.02% | -0.24% | +0.10% | -0.11% | -0.21% | +0.30% | +0.34% | -0.16% | +0.03% | -0.64% | +0.33% | +0.33% | +0.23% |
| 4 Avg 0.00% | +0.37% | +0.66% | -0.08% | -0.89% | +0.06% | -0.01% | 0.00% | -0.11% | +0.28% | +0.22% | +0.04% | -0.54% |
| 5 Avg -0.01% | -0.24% | -0.79% | +0.31% | +0.07% | -0.17% | +1.25% | -0.03% | -0.23% | +0.09% | +0.03% | +0.36% | -0.78% |
| 6 Avg +0.08% | +0.05% | -0.01% | -0.15% | +1.29% | +0.41% | +0.08% | -0.30% | -0.05% | -0.29% | -0.02% | -0.04% | +0.02% |
| 7 Avg +0.04% | -0.28% | +0.26% | -0.01% | -0.63% | +0.04% | +0.39% | +0.20% | +0.08% | -0.22% | -0.19% | +0.91% | -0.04% |
| 8 Avg +0.08% | +0.06% | +0.05% | +0.05% | -0.18% | +0.15% | +0.05% | -0.28% | +0.05% | -0.02% | +0.07% | +0.30% | +0.64% |
| 9 Avg +0.06% | +0.37% | +1.09% | -0.15% | +0.61% | +0.47% | -0.59% | +0.09% | -0.66% | -0.60% | -0.13% | +0.52% | -0.32% |
| 10 Avg +0.11% | -0.62% | +0.15% | +0.10% | -0.43% | +0.13% | -0.35% | +0.56% | +0.24% | +0.22% | -0.53% | +1.88% | -0.09% |
| 11 Avg +0.04% | +0.64% | +0.51% | -0.82% | +0.33% | -0.49% | -0.85% | +0.20% | +0.49% | +0.77% | -0.23% | -0.25% | +0.22% |
| 12 Avg +0.11% | +0.08% | +0.55% | -0.75% | -0.06% | -0.19% | +0.76% | +0.63% | +0.35% | +0.16% | +0.40% | -0.22% | -0.34% |
| 13 Avg -0.08% | -0.38% | -0.14% | +0.72% | +0.19% | -0.41% | -0.45% | -0.47% | +0.26% | -0.52% | -0.26% | +0.33% | +0.18% |
| 14 Avg +0.01% | +0.13% | +0.01% | -0.03% | +0.28% | +0.05% | -0.27% | +0.44% | -0.15% | -0.22% | +0.30% | -0.52% | +0.15% |
| 15 Avg +0.16% | -0.28% | +0.58% | -0.06% | -0.36% | +0.29% | +0.40% | +0.37% | +0.17% | +0.23% | +0.40% | +0.27% | -0.09% |
| 16 Avg -0.03% | +0.15% | -0.79% | -0.50% | +0.03% | +0.06% | -0.08% | +0.55% | +0.05% | -0.03% | +0.60% | +0.25% | -0.64% |
| 17 Avg +0.10% | +0.06% | -0.02% | +0.64% | +0.78% | -0.03% | -0.49% | +0.43% | -0.08% | -0.09% | +0.44% | -0.11% | -0.29% |
| 18 Avg -0.15% | +0.29% | -1.06% | -0.39% | -0.04% | +0.21% | -0.12% | -0.17% | -0.01% | +0.23% | -0.42% | -0.20% | -0.12% |
| 19 Avg -0.12% | -0.05% | -0.47% | -0.34% | +0.15% | -0.12% | -0.02% | -0.02% | +0.10% | +0.60% | -0.78% | -0.10% | -0.40% |
| 20 Avg -0.12% | -0.26% | +0.26% | -0.96% | -0.02% | +0.17% | +0.21% | +0.65% | -0.51% | -0.52% | -0.05% | -0.29% | -0.06% |
| 21 Avg -0.07% | +0.12% | -0.14% | +0.01% | -0.77% | -0.24% | -0.03% | +0.03% | +0.23% | -0.74% | -0.10% | +0.50% | +0.31% |
| 22 Avg +0.10% | +0.38% | +0.09% | -0.63% | +1.13% | -0.11% | -0.24% | +0.40% | +0.17% | +0.28% | -0.36% | +0.10% | -0.02% |
| 23 Avg -0.14% | +0.06% | -0.35% | -1.44% | +0.73% | -0.48% | +0.46% | -0.45% | -0.09% | +0.07% | -0.16% | -0.05% | +0.05% |
| 24 Avg +0.28% | +0.30% | +0.36% | +1.05% | +0.87% | +0.16% | -0.38% | +0.67% | +0.22% | -0.13% | +0.34% | +0.20% | -0.25% |
| 25 Avg +0.02% | -0.12% | +0.14% | +0.52% | -0.09% | -0.08% | -0.42% | +0.02% | +0.21% | +0.01% | -0.27% | +0.31% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.10% | -0.03% | +0.20% | +1.48% | +0.19% | +0.72% | -0.05% | -0.37% | -0.44% | -0.08% | -0.95% | -0.12% | +0.59% |
| 27 Avg +0.19% | +0.43% | -0.48% | -0.41% | +1.08% | +0.74% | +0.19% | +0.21% | +0.19% | +0.09% | +0.08% | -0.07% | +0.26% |
| 28 Avg 0.00% | -0.28% | -0.85% | +0.32% | -0.07% | -0.21% | +0.63% | -0.35% | +0.17% | +0.63% | +0.18% | +0.01% | -0.23% |
| 29 Avg +0.04% | +0.22% | - | +0.65% | -0.10% | -0.26% | +0.48% | -0.01% | +0.17% | -0.32% | -0.29% | -0.39% | +0.26% |
| 30 Avg +0.15% | 0.00% | - | +0.20% | -0.57% | +0.22% | +0.63% | +0.15% | +0.33% | +0.27% | +0.66% | +0.03% | -0.32% |
| 31 Avg -0.06% | +0.10% | - | -0.31% | - | -0.90% | - | +0.23% | -0.10% | - | +0.31% | - | +0.23% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
