Check historical price trends and seasonality for Alaska Air Group (ALK).
Alaska Air Group (ALK) average YTD return over the past 10 years is -1.91%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 3 for 60 days) is -13.89%.
2 wins 5 losses with a win rate of 28.57%.
1) Overview:
Alaska Air Group exhibits a strong bullish tendency from early January, peaking around February 19 with an average gain of 5.0%. Following this high, the stock typically enters a bearish phase, declining steadily through the spring and summer months, reaching its lowest point around October 29 with an average loss of -14.0%. A slight recovery phase occurs in late November and December, but the stock tends to decline again to -2.0% by December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Based on the data, the most significant buy-the-dip opportunity appears around October 29, where the stock experiences its largest average decline of -14.0%. Another potential buying opportunity, though less pronounced, exists near December 31, with an average dip of -2.0%. These pullbacks could be attributed to end-of-year tax loss selling or seasonal travel slowdowns, presenting chances for investors to capitalize on discounted prices before the typical January and February rebound.
3) Summary:
A seasonal investment strategy for Alaska Air Group might involve accumulating shares during the significant dip around October 29, aiming to benefit from the subsequent bullish trend into February. Investors should consider the magnitude of the October decline (-14.0%) and the potential for a 5.0% gain by February 19. Monitoring for fundamental changes in the airline industry is crucial to validate the historical seasonal patterns.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-03-03 | 69.9000 | 2025-05-01 | 44.4000 | -25.5000 | -36.48 |
| 2023 | 2023-03-03 | 48.4400 | 2023-05-01 | 43.4900 | -4.9500 | -10.22 |
| 2022 | 2022-03-03 | 51.4200 | 2022-05-01 | 54.3900 | 2.9700 | 5.78 |
| 2021 | 2021-03-03 | 65.9600 | 2021-05-01 | 69.1400 | 3.1800 | 4.82 |
| 2020 | 2020-03-03 | 47.3700 | 2020-05-01 | 30.1100 | -17.2600 | -36.44 |
| 2017 | 2017-03-03 | 98.9400 | 2017-05-01 | 84.4200 | -14.5200 | -14.68 |
| 2016 | 2016-03-03 | 78.2500 | 2016-05-01 | 70.4300 | -7.8200 | -9.99 |
| Avg | 65.7543 | 56.6257 | -9.13 | -13.89 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.68% | Feb Total +1.28% | Mar Total -7.83% | Apr Total +0.26% | May Total -0.15% | Jun Total -0.93% | Jul Total +0.99% | Aug Total +0.11% | Sep Total -1.35% | Oct Total -2.60% | Nov Total +9.88% | Dec Total +3.89% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.06% | 0.00% | +0.22% | -0.37% | -0.52% | -0.87% | +0.32% | +0.43% | -0.78% | +0.04% | +0.26% | +0.80% | -0.31% |
| 2 Avg -0.06% | +0.12% | +0.21% | -0.55% | -0.98% | +0.42% | +0.35% | +0.18% | -1.17% | +0.54% | -0.48% | -0.19% | +0.86% |
| 3 Avg +0.01% | -1.22% | +0.04% | -0.51% | -0.65% | -0.10% | +0.79% | +0.43% | +0.28% | -0.10% | +0.21% | +0.52% | +0.39% |
| 4 Avg +0.01% | +0.43% | +1.13% | -1.22% | -0.94% | -1.33% | +1.26% | 0.00% | +0.21% | +0.50% | +1.26% | -0.41% | -0.79% |
| 5 Avg +0.11% | -0.07% | -1.16% | -1.22% | +0.69% | +0.27% | +0.01% | -0.10% | +0.31% | +0.24% | -0.49% | +1.76% | +1.03% |
| 6 Avg +0.07% | +0.61% | -0.21% | -0.86% | +0.58% | -0.15% | +0.52% | -0.33% | +0.80% | +0.01% | -0.63% | +0.16% | +0.34% |
| 7 Avg -0.01% | -0.19% | +0.44% | -1.39% | +0.07% | -0.19% | +0.65% | -0.03% | +0.13% | +0.58% | -0.05% | +0.69% | -0.88% |
| 8 Avg +0.40% | -0.46% | +1.22% | +1.09% | -0.69% | +0.97% | +1.60% | +0.07% | +0.39% | +0.20% | +0.20% | +0.13% | +0.12% |
| 9 Avg +0.16% | +0.05% | +0.61% | -0.46% | +2.96% | -0.64% | -1.40% | -0.46% | -0.88% | +0.58% | -0.43% | +1.82% | +0.12% |
| 10 Avg +0.21% | +1.16% | +0.10% | -0.22% | -1.14% | -0.13% | -1.51% | +1.21% | +1.05% | -0.03% | -0.25% | +0.65% | +1.66% |
| 11 Avg -0.17% | +0.80% | -0.35% | +0.01% | +0.66% | -1.34% | -1.96% | -0.54% | -0.06% | +0.56% | +0.09% | -0.09% | +0.13% |
| 12 Avg +0.06% | -0.16% | +0.78% | -1.78% | -0.23% | -1.01% | +1.26% | +1.59% | +0.53% | +0.05% | +0.09% | -0.57% | +0.13% |
| 13 Avg -0.01% | -0.15% | +0.10% | +1.25% | +0.48% | +0.42% | -1.32% | -1.02% | -0.17% | -0.13% | +0.30% | +0.47% | -0.39% |
| 14 Avg +0.15% | +0.94% | +0.48% | -1.19% | +0.45% | +0.62% | -0.59% | -0.09% | -0.45% | +0.42% | +0.39% | +0.64% | +0.17% |
| 15 Avg +0.18% | -0.39% | +0.51% | +0.78% | -0.40% | -0.38% | -0.13% | +0.60% | +0.39% | -0.67% | +0.17% | +1.16% | +0.55% |
| 16 Avg -0.15% | -0.31% | +0.15% | -1.00% | -0.57% | +0.04% | -0.35% | +0.07% | -0.13% | -0.74% | +0.91% | -0.03% | +0.10% |
| 17 Avg -0.05% | -0.62% | +0.07% | +0.20% | +1.46% | +0.85% | -0.36% | -0.19% | -1.47% | -0.08% | -0.21% | -0.20% | -0.02% |
| 18 Avg -0.30% | -0.07% | -0.10% | -2.83% | +0.47% | +1.00% | +0.27% | -0.35% | -0.37% | -1.19% | -0.88% | -0.15% | +0.58% |
| 19 Avg -0.01% | -0.17% | +0.25% | -0.27% | +0.55% | -0.35% | -0.14% | +0.20% | -0.58% | +0.18% | -0.27% | +0.04% | +0.42% |
| 20 Avg -0.12% | +0.25% | -0.04% | -0.24% | -0.40% | +0.10% | -0.64% | -0.40% | +0.04% | +0.06% | +0.24% | -0.52% | +0.05% |
| 21 Avg +0.02% | +0.46% | -0.90% | -0.09% | -0.34% | 0.00% | +0.95% | +0.43% | -0.38% | -1.28% | +0.62% | +0.12% | +0.69% |
| 22 Avg -0.28% | -0.37% | -0.03% | -0.84% | -1.06% | -0.32% | -0.38% | +0.18% | -0.04% | -0.52% | -0.31% | +0.46% | -0.14% |
| 23 Avg +0.28% | +0.72% | 0.00% | -0.67% | +1.41% | +0.12% | -0.03% | +0.63% | 0.00% | +0.08% | -0.09% | +0.74% | +0.49% |
| 24 Avg -0.12% | -0.49% | +0.29% | +2.49% | -1.73% | -0.19% | -0.05% | -1.69% | +0.95% | -0.79% | -0.86% | +0.80% | -0.19% |
| 25 Avg -0.01% | -0.54% | -0.60% | +0.80% | -0.52% | +0.90% | -0.41% | -0.36% | +0.67% | +0.04% | -0.63% | +0.56% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.07% | +0.59% | -0.30% | +1.12% | -0.80% | +1.82% | -0.42% | +1.59% | -0.79% | -0.31% | -1.68% | -0.43% | +0.44% |
| 27 Avg -0.07% | -0.98% | -0.84% | -0.16% | -0.32% | +1.04% | -0.03% | -0.23% | +1.14% | +0.60% | -0.23% | -0.10% | -0.79% |
| 28 Avg +0.27% | +0.43% | -0.79% | +0.28% | +1.69% | -1.01% | +0.01% | +0.88% | +0.98% | +0.79% | -0.34% | +0.67% | -0.30% |
| 29 Avg +0.01% | +0.49% | - | +0.43% | +0.50% | -0.60% | +0.70% | -0.67% | +0.22% | -0.76% | -0.16% | +0.41% | -0.49% |
| 30 Avg -0.14% | -0.42% | - | -0.20% | -0.40% | -0.28% | +0.12% | -0.57% | -0.20% | -0.20% | +0.73% | -0.05% | -0.09% |
| 31 Avg -0.13% | +0.20% | - | -0.23% | - | +0.18% | - | -0.44% | -0.53% | - | -0.08% | - | -0.02% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
