Check historical price trends and seasonality for Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG).
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +20.92%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 31 for 60 days) is +2.71%.
6 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 75.00%.
1) Overview:
The stock tends to experience a strong bullish phase from early February, gaining approximately 5.5% by the end of March. This upward trend continues, reaching a peak around November 27, showing an impressive average gain of 23.3%. The stock then maintains a high level, closing the year on December 31 with a substantial 20.9% gain.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Historically, January 2 has presented a potential buying opportunity, with an average dip of -1.4%. Another possible entry point appears in mid-March, where the stock experiences a slight pullback before resuming its upward trajectory. These dips could be attributed to profit-taking after initial rallies, providing strategic moments for investors to consider entering the market.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a potential investment strategy could involve accumulating shares during the early January dip and in mid-March. The data suggests holding through the year, capitalizing on the significant gains typically seen leading up to late November and December. However, investors should always consider other market factors and conduct thorough due diligence before making investment decisions.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-31 | 301.8200 | 2025-03-31 | 345.2400 | 43.4200 | 14.39 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-31 | 232.1600 | 2024-03-30 | 250.0400 | 17.8800 | 7.70 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-31 | 195.7200 | 2023-03-31 | 191.3100 | -4.4100 | -2.25 |
| 2022 | 2022-01-31 | 157.9400 | 2022-03-31 | 174.6000 | 16.6600 | 10.55 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-31 | 102.5700 | 2020-03-30 | 83.2200 | -19.3500 | -18.87 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-31 | 74.7100 | 2019-03-31 | 78.1000 | 3.3900 | 4.54 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-31 | 68.3200 | 2018-03-31 | 68.7300 | 0.4100 | 0.60 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-31 | 53.8300 | 2017-03-31 | 56.5400 | 2.7100 | 5.03 |
| Avg | 148.3838 | 155.9725 | 7.59 | 2.71 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1.24% | Feb Total +3.28% | Mar Total +1.51% | Apr Total +1.62% | May Total +3.10% | Jun Total +0.66% | Jul Total +3.38% | Aug Total +1.93% | Sep Total +0.72% | Oct Total +0.14% | Nov Total +4.53% | Dec Total -1.14% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.05% | 0.00% | +0.33% | +0.20% | -0.30% | -0.07% | +0.05% | +0.34% | -0.04% | +0.13% | +0.22% | -0.21% | 0.00% |
| 2 Avg +0.08% | -0.67% | +0.09% | +0.50% | -0.13% | +0.15% | +0.63% | +0.08% | -0.07% | +0.30% | -0.13% | +0.39% | -0.13% |
| 3 Avg +0.01% | -0.16% | +0.34% | +0.06% | -0.21% | -0.15% | -0.05% | +0.15% | +0.12% | -0.29% | +0.42% | -0.08% | +0.01% |
| 4 Avg +0.15% | +0.22% | +0.36% | +0.34% | -0.90% | +1.01% | -0.06% | 0.00% | -0.22% | +0.07% | +0.49% | +0.64% | -0.18% |
| 5 Avg -0.03% | -0.36% | +0.23% | +0.32% | +0.14% | +0.52% | +0.06% | +0.09% | -0.35% | -0.29% | +0.31% | -0.26% | -0.73% |
| 6 Avg +0.20% | +0.35% | -0.06% | -0.15% | +1.20% | +0.05% | -0.19% | +0.27% | +0.41% | +0.24% | -0.08% | +0.55% | -0.19% |
| 7 Avg +0.08% | -0.23% | +0.34% | -0.90% | -0.28% | +0.75% | +0.26% | +0.04% | +0.37% | +0.30% | -0.33% | +0.67% | -0.06% |
| 8 Avg +0.13% | +0.20% | -0.21% | -0.19% | +0.65% | +0.12% | +0.23% | -0.13% | +0.14% | +0.04% | +0.22% | +0.43% | +0.03% |
| 9 Avg +0.10% | -0.04% | +0.20% | -0.08% | +0.67% | -0.25% | -0.36% | +0.31% | +0.45% | +0.19% | +0.12% | +0.10% | -0.12% |
| 10 Avg +0.11% | +0.12% | +0.38% | +0.31% | +0.02% | +0.51% | -0.44% | +0.27% | +0.11% | -0.54% | -0.41% | +0.98% | +0.01% |
| 11 Avg -0.03% | -0.19% | -0.20% | +0.15% | +0.37% | -0.42% | -0.70% | +0.02% | +0.11% | +0.15% | -0.18% | -0.03% | +0.57% |
| 12 Avg +0.05% | +0.36% | +0.25% | -0.85% | -0.10% | -0.43% | +0.42% | +0.12% | -0.11% | +0.15% | +0.15% | +0.17% | +0.41% |
| 13 Avg +0.00% | -0.41% | +0.47% | +0.25% | -0.05% | +0.02% | -0.28% | -0.21% | +0.16% | -0.28% | +0.04% | +0.37% | -0.07% |
| 14 Avg -0.06% | -0.19% | -0.43% | +0.25% | +0.54% | +0.02% | -0.10% | +0.33% | -0.02% | +0.25% | -0.03% | -0.03% | -1.26% |
| 15 Avg +0.08% | +0.13% | +0.62% | +0.10% | -0.43% | +0.36% | +0.16% | +0.12% | +0.02% | +0.23% | -0.24% | -0.14% | +0.07% |
| 16 Avg +0.09% | +0.20% | +0.23% | -0.38% | -0.17% | +0.35% | -0.30% | +0.13% | +0.47% | -0.16% | -0.10% | +0.69% | +0.13% |
| 17 Avg +0.16% | +0.07% | +0.01% | +1.00% | +0.46% | +0.01% | +0.10% | +0.53% | -0.48% | +0.16% | +0.28% | +0.10% | -0.28% |
| 18 Avg -0.11% | -0.06% | +0.31% | -1.60% | +0.38% | +0.16% | +0.07% | -0.35% | +0.13% | +0.17% | -0.17% | -0.15% | -0.19% |
| 19 Avg -0.10% | -0.05% | +0.18% | -1.13% | -0.08% | -0.02% | -0.41% | -0.08% | +0.31% | +0.11% | +0.12% | -0.27% | +0.12% |
| 20 Avg +0.09% | +0.33% | +0.05% | +0.76% | +0.16% | 0.00% | +0.10% | +0.64% | +0.02% | -0.45% | -0.48% | -0.01% | 0.00% |
| 21 Avg -0.06% | -0.11% | -0.37% | -0.26% | -0.87% | +0.04% | +0.33% | +0.18% | +0.09% | -0.13% | +0.21% | +0.48% | -0.25% |
| 22 Avg +0.10% | -0.08% | +0.22% | -0.45% | +0.04% | +0.08% | +0.43% | +0.29% | +0.03% | +0.27% | +0.11% | +0.18% | +0.09% |
| 23 Avg -0.05% | +0.08% | +0.10% | -0.68% | +0.03% | -0.39% | +0.47% | +0.16% | -0.56% | +0.06% | +0.07% | +0.11% | -0.02% |
| 24 Avg +0.22% | +0.36% | +0.23% | +1.86% | +0.03% | +0.11% | -0.30% | +0.06% | +0.24% | -0.01% | +0.13% | -0.05% | -0.01% |
| 25 Avg -0.01% | -0.23% | +0.06% | +0.08% | -0.13% | -0.05% | -0.23% | +0.46% | +0.20% | -0.03% | -0.48% | +0.27% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.05% | +0.60% | -0.21% | +0.77% | -0.47% | +0.29% | -0.57% | +0.12% | -0.08% | -0.23% | -0.06% | +0.05% | +0.39% |
| 27 Avg +0.11% | -0.56% | -0.19% | 0.00% | +0.90% | +0.70% | -0.07% | -0.10% | +0.26% | -0.02% | -0.26% | +0.17% | +0.45% |
| 28 Avg +0.07% | +0.41% | -0.04% | +0.27% | -0.01% | -0.24% | +0.38% | -0.03% | -0.03% | +0.12% | +0.39% | -0.23% | -0.11% |
| 29 Avg +0.00% | +0.02% | - | +0.61% | -0.13% | -0.28% | +0.31% | -0.49% | +0.26% | -0.12% | -0.14% | -0.13% | +0.14% |
| 30 Avg +0.26% | +0.40% | - | +0.40% | +0.30% | +0.51% | +0.71% | +0.09% | -0.01% | +0.33% | +0.53% | -0.20% | -0.22% |
| 31 Avg +0.01% | +0.74% | - | -0.03% | - | -0.36% | - | -0.02% | 0.00% | - | -0.57% | - | +0.28% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
