American International Group (AIG) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for American International Group (AIG).

View:

American International Group (AIG) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +6.03%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 3 for 7 days) is -5.25%.

0 wins 7 losses with a win rate of 0.00%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

American International Group (AIG) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

AIG's 10-year average seasonality shows a distinct pattern of weakness in the first half of the year, followed by strength in the second half. The stock tends to decline notably from early March, reaching a low point around March 23 with an average decrease of -5.6%. A bullish phase begins in October and extends through the end of the year, culminating in a peak around December 31 with an average increase of +6.0%.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

The most significant pullback period for AIG, based on the data, occurs in March. Specifically, the period from early March to March 23 shows a consistent downward trend, presenting a potential buying opportunity. This decline might be attributed to market sentiment or sector-specific factors that historically impact AIG around this time. A secondary, less pronounced pullback occurs in April, before a recovery begins in May.

3) Summary:

From a seasonal perspective, consider initiating a long position in AIG around late March to capitalize on the historically weak period. The data suggests holding this position through the end of the year, aiming to capture the gains typically seen into December, particularly around November 10 (+6.7%) and December 31 (+6.0%). However, be mindful of broader market conditions and company-specific news that could override these seasonal tendencies.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-03-03 82.5900 2025-03-09 81.5200 -1.0700 -1.30
2023 2023-03-03 60.2000 2023-03-09 55.8000 -4.4000 -7.31
2022 2022-03-03 60.4100 2022-03-09 58.2800 -2.1300 -3.53
2021 2021-03-03 47.0100 2021-03-09 46.6200 -0.3900 -0.83
2020 2020-03-03 41.4900 2020-03-09 32.8100 -8.6800 -20.92
2017 2017-03-03 64.2200 2017-03-09 63.2100 -1.0100 -1.57
2016 2016-03-03 52.2700 2016-03-09 51.5900 -0.6800 -1.30
Avg 58.3129 55.6900 -2.62 -5.25
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +0.94% Feb Total -0.05% Mar Total -4.18% Apr Total +1.63% May Total +4.78% Jun Total -1.83% Jul Total +2.48% Aug Total -0.32% Sep Total -0.92% Oct Total +2.58% Nov Total +2.59% Dec Total +0.82%
1 Avg -0.07% 0.00% -0.04% -0.08% -0.60% -0.59% +0.44% -0.03% -1.06% +0.21% -0.02% +0.73% +0.25%
2 Avg +0.20% +0.31% -0.11% +0.58% -0.35% +0.38% +0.74% -0.17% -0.29% +0.41% -0.03% +0.74% +0.17%
3 Avg -0.02% -0.23% -0.03% -0.07% -0.48% -0.44% +0.63% +0.52% +0.71% -0.20% +0.15% -0.57% -0.31%
4 Avg +0.12% +0.53% +0.70% -0.61% -1.07% +0.56% +0.60% 0.00% -1.12% +0.69% +1.58% -0.07% -0.31%
5 Avg +0.04% +0.05% -0.15% +0.11% +0.22% +0.93% +0.02% -0.77% +0.37% -0.83% +0.79% -0.15% -0.09%
6 Avg +0.26% +0.99% +0.45% -0.70% +0.51% -0.25% +0.72% +0.07% +0.67% -0.22% +0.27% +0.54% +0.03%
7 Avg +0.11% +0.21% +0.26% -1.05% +0.43% +1.85% +0.01% -0.08% +0.16% 0.00% -0.35% +0.30% -0.43%
8 Avg +0.14% -0.40% -0.49% -0.26% +0.40% +0.56% +0.87% +0.20% +0.76% -0.01% +0.30% -0.21% -0.01%
9 Avg +0.07% +0.09% +0.39% -1.27% +1.37% -0.32% -1.22% +0.26% -0.07% +0.33% -0.04% +1.41% -0.12%
10 Avg +0.07% +0.08% +0.38% +0.27% -0.08% +0.20% -1.45% +0.66% +0.62% -0.68% -0.35% +1.07% +0.13%
11 Avg -0.18% +0.02% -0.49% -0.28% -0.06% -0.29% -1.20% -0.02% +0.66% +0.46% -0.33% -0.46% -0.16%
12 Avg 0.00% +0.09% +0.70% -1.96% +0.16% -0.46% +0.38% +0.31% -0.52% +0.73% +0.35% -0.59% +0.78%
13 Avg -0.07% +0.08% -0.39% +0.69% -0.13% -0.83% -0.45% -0.20% +0.41% -0.30% 0.00% +0.34% -0.04%
14 Avg -0.11% +0.54% -2.03% +0.30% +0.17% +0.54% -0.37% -0.27% -0.20% +0.22% +0.37% -0.13% -0.40%
15 Avg +0.01% -0.13% +0.05% -0.30% -1.01% +0.65% +0.20% +1.01% -0.15% -0.35% -0.15% +0.02% +0.31%
16 Avg -0.05% +0.46% +0.29% -1.51% +0.04% +0.22% -0.11% +0.14% +0.26% -0.22% -0.02% -0.05% -0.07%
17 Avg -0.04% +0.05% +0.38% -0.69% +0.41% +0.88% -0.73% +0.02% -0.87% -0.17% +0.63% -0.22% -0.20%
18 Avg -0.09% -0.09% -0.09% -1.46% +0.34% +0.71% -0.18% +0.08% -0.09% +0.14% -0.29% +0.09% -0.20%
19 Avg +0.01% +0.06% +0.25% +0.67% +0.31% -0.62% -0.14% -0.70% +0.03% +0.27% -0.13% -0.57% +0.64%
20 Avg -0.14% -0.08% +0.10% -0.15% -0.36% -0.40% +0.03% +0.37% -0.19% -0.24% -0.18% -0.30% -0.23%
21 Avg -0.01% -0.68% -0.18% +0.65% -1.13% +0.28% +0.10% +0.26% -0.09% -0.61% +0.60% +0.40% +0.29%
22 Avg -0.06% -0.20% +0.92% -1.02% +0.01% +0.01% -0.29% +0.22% -0.40% +0.24% -0.48% +0.65% -0.37%
23 Avg -0.05% -0.14% -0.10% -0.98% +0.32% +0.22% -0.09% -0.19% -0.12% -0.44% -0.11% +0.60% +0.44%
24 Avg +0.22% +0.19% -0.41% +2.09% +0.49% +0.12% -0.49% -0.07% +0.61% +0.05% 0.00% +0.02% 0.00%
25 Avg +0.14% +0.02% +0.40% +1.72% -0.53% -0.28% -0.05% +0.23% +0.25% +0.08% +0.05% -0.20% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.03% +0.06% -0.38% +1.19% 0.00% +1.12% -0.46% +0.60% -0.72% -0.64% -0.74% -0.05% +0.39%
27 Avg +0.09% -0.93% -0.15% -0.60% +1.37% +0.93% -0.34% -0.08% +0.43% +0.53% -0.25% -0.18% +0.38%
28 Avg -0.01% +0.21% -0.27% +0.14% +0.64% -0.37% +0.06% -0.59% -0.14% +0.21% +0.23% +0.08% -0.31%
29 Avg +0.06% -0.15% - +0.05% +1.04% -0.51% +0.38% +0.86% +0.06% -0.61% -0.28% -0.25% +0.02%
30 Avg +0.11% +0.25% - +0.88% -0.80% +0.65% +0.57% -0.36% -0.23% +0.03% +0.76% -0.42% -0.12%
31 Avg -0.12% -0.32% - -0.52% - -0.70% - +0.21% -0.08% - +0.25% - +0.35%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Mar 3 - Apr 1] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses