Check historical price trends and seasonality for American International Group (AIG).
American International Group (AIG) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +6.03%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -5.93%.
3 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 60.00%.
1) Overview:
AIG's 10-year average seasonality shows a distinct pattern of weakness in the first half of the year, followed by strength in the second half. The stock tends to decline notably from early March, reaching a low point around March 23 with an average decrease of -5.6%. A bullish phase begins in October and extends through the end of the year, culminating in a peak around December 31 with an average increase of +6.0%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most significant pullback period for AIG, based on the data, occurs in March. Specifically, the period from early March to March 23 shows a consistent downward trend, presenting a potential buying opportunity. This decline might be attributed to market sentiment or sector-specific factors that historically impact AIG around this time. A secondary, less pronounced pullback occurs in April, before a recovery begins in May.
3) Summary:
From a seasonal perspective, consider initiating a long position in AIG around late March to capitalize on the historically weak period. The data suggests holding this position through the end of the year, aiming to capture the gains typically seen into December, particularly around November 10 (+6.7%) and December 31 (+6.0%). However, be mindful of broader market conditions and company-specific news that could override these seasonal tendencies.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 74.6100 | 2025-03-16 | 83.1300 | 8.5200 | 11.42 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 67.2200 | 2024-03-15 | 76.2700 | 9.0500 | 13.46 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 52.3600 | 2020-03-15 | 28.5000 | -23.8600 | -45.57 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 43.1300 | 2019-03-16 | 44.0400 | 0.9100 | 2.11 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 61.0600 | 2018-03-16 | 54.3000 | -6.7600 | -11.07 |
| Avg | 59.6760 | 57.2480 | -2.43 | -5.93 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.94% | Feb Total -0.05% | Mar Total -4.18% | Apr Total +1.63% | May Total +4.78% | Jun Total -1.83% | Jul Total +2.48% | Aug Total -0.32% | Sep Total -0.92% | Oct Total +2.58% | Nov Total +2.59% | Dec Total +0.82% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.07% | 0.00% | -0.04% | -0.08% | -0.60% | -0.59% | +0.44% | -0.03% | -1.06% | +0.21% | -0.02% | +0.73% | +0.25% |
| 2 Avg +0.20% | +0.31% | -0.11% | +0.58% | -0.35% | +0.38% | +0.74% | -0.17% | -0.29% | +0.41% | -0.03% | +0.74% | +0.17% |
| 3 Avg -0.02% | -0.23% | -0.03% | -0.07% | -0.48% | -0.44% | +0.63% | +0.52% | +0.71% | -0.20% | +0.15% | -0.57% | -0.31% |
| 4 Avg +0.12% | +0.53% | +0.70% | -0.61% | -1.07% | +0.56% | +0.60% | 0.00% | -1.12% | +0.69% | +1.58% | -0.07% | -0.31% |
| 5 Avg +0.04% | +0.05% | -0.15% | +0.11% | +0.22% | +0.93% | +0.02% | -0.77% | +0.37% | -0.83% | +0.79% | -0.15% | -0.09% |
| 6 Avg +0.26% | +0.99% | +0.45% | -0.70% | +0.51% | -0.25% | +0.72% | +0.07% | +0.67% | -0.22% | +0.27% | +0.54% | +0.03% |
| 7 Avg +0.11% | +0.21% | +0.26% | -1.05% | +0.43% | +1.85% | +0.01% | -0.08% | +0.16% | 0.00% | -0.35% | +0.30% | -0.43% |
| 8 Avg +0.14% | -0.40% | -0.49% | -0.26% | +0.40% | +0.56% | +0.87% | +0.20% | +0.76% | -0.01% | +0.30% | -0.21% | -0.01% |
| 9 Avg +0.07% | +0.09% | +0.39% | -1.27% | +1.37% | -0.32% | -1.22% | +0.26% | -0.07% | +0.33% | -0.04% | +1.41% | -0.12% |
| 10 Avg +0.07% | +0.08% | +0.38% | +0.27% | -0.08% | +0.20% | -1.45% | +0.66% | +0.62% | -0.68% | -0.35% | +1.07% | +0.13% |
| 11 Avg -0.18% | +0.02% | -0.49% | -0.28% | -0.06% | -0.29% | -1.20% | -0.02% | +0.66% | +0.46% | -0.33% | -0.46% | -0.16% |
| 12 Avg 0.00% | +0.09% | +0.70% | -1.96% | +0.16% | -0.46% | +0.38% | +0.31% | -0.52% | +0.73% | +0.35% | -0.59% | +0.78% |
| 13 Avg -0.07% | +0.08% | -0.39% | +0.69% | -0.13% | -0.83% | -0.45% | -0.20% | +0.41% | -0.30% | 0.00% | +0.34% | -0.04% |
| 14 Avg -0.11% | +0.54% | -2.03% | +0.30% | +0.17% | +0.54% | -0.37% | -0.27% | -0.20% | +0.22% | +0.37% | -0.13% | -0.40% |
| 15 Avg +0.01% | -0.13% | +0.05% | -0.30% | -1.01% | +0.65% | +0.20% | +1.01% | -0.15% | -0.35% | -0.15% | +0.02% | +0.31% |
| 16 Avg -0.05% | +0.46% | +0.29% | -1.51% | +0.04% | +0.22% | -0.11% | +0.14% | +0.26% | -0.22% | -0.02% | -0.05% | -0.07% |
| 17 Avg -0.04% | +0.05% | +0.38% | -0.69% | +0.41% | +0.88% | -0.73% | +0.02% | -0.87% | -0.17% | +0.63% | -0.22% | -0.20% |
| 18 Avg -0.09% | -0.09% | -0.09% | -1.46% | +0.34% | +0.71% | -0.18% | +0.08% | -0.09% | +0.14% | -0.29% | +0.09% | -0.20% |
| 19 Avg +0.01% | +0.06% | +0.25% | +0.67% | +0.31% | -0.62% | -0.14% | -0.70% | +0.03% | +0.27% | -0.13% | -0.57% | +0.64% |
| 20 Avg -0.14% | -0.08% | +0.10% | -0.15% | -0.36% | -0.40% | +0.03% | +0.37% | -0.19% | -0.24% | -0.18% | -0.30% | -0.23% |
| 21 Avg -0.01% | -0.68% | -0.18% | +0.65% | -1.13% | +0.28% | +0.10% | +0.26% | -0.09% | -0.61% | +0.60% | +0.40% | +0.29% |
| 22 Avg -0.06% | -0.20% | +0.92% | -1.02% | +0.01% | +0.01% | -0.29% | +0.22% | -0.40% | +0.24% | -0.48% | +0.65% | -0.37% |
| 23 Avg -0.05% | -0.14% | -0.10% | -0.98% | +0.32% | +0.22% | -0.09% | -0.19% | -0.12% | -0.44% | -0.11% | +0.60% | +0.44% |
| 24 Avg +0.22% | +0.19% | -0.41% | +2.09% | +0.49% | +0.12% | -0.49% | -0.07% | +0.61% | +0.05% | 0.00% | +0.02% | 0.00% |
| 25 Avg +0.14% | +0.02% | +0.40% | +1.72% | -0.53% | -0.28% | -0.05% | +0.23% | +0.25% | +0.08% | +0.05% | -0.20% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.03% | +0.06% | -0.38% | +1.19% | 0.00% | +1.12% | -0.46% | +0.60% | -0.72% | -0.64% | -0.74% | -0.05% | +0.39% |
| 27 Avg +0.09% | -0.93% | -0.15% | -0.60% | +1.37% | +0.93% | -0.34% | -0.08% | +0.43% | +0.53% | -0.25% | -0.18% | +0.38% |
| 28 Avg -0.01% | +0.21% | -0.27% | +0.14% | +0.64% | -0.37% | +0.06% | -0.59% | -0.14% | +0.21% | +0.23% | +0.08% | -0.31% |
| 29 Avg +0.06% | -0.15% | - | +0.05% | +1.04% | -0.51% | +0.38% | +0.86% | +0.06% | -0.61% | -0.28% | -0.25% | +0.02% |
| 30 Avg +0.11% | +0.25% | - | +0.88% | -0.80% | +0.65% | +0.57% | -0.36% | -0.23% | +0.03% | +0.76% | -0.42% | -0.12% |
| 31 Avg -0.12% | -0.32% | - | -0.52% | - | -0.70% | - | +0.21% | -0.08% | - | +0.25% | - | +0.35% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
