Check historical price trends and seasonality for Aflac (AFL).
Aflac (AFL) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +14.75%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 3 for 30 days) is -1.94%.
5 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 71.43%.
1) Overview:
Aflac's stock price tends to increase steadily from early January, entering a strong bullish phase that peaks around late November. The stock experiences a significant pullback around March 23, averaging a -2.1% dip. From late November through December, the stock remains highly bullish, reaching +16.1% by November 25 and maintaining strong gains to close the year at +14.7% on December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most notable dip opportunity appears around March 23, where the stock price typically declines by -2.1%. This pullback could be considered a strategic entry point, as the stock tends to recover and resume its upward trend shortly after. Investors might consider initiating or adding to positions during this period of weakness to capitalize on the subsequent rebound.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a potential investment strategy for Aflac involves capitalizing on the dip around March 23. Given the strong bullish tendency towards the end of the year, particularly around November 25 and December 31, investors could aim to hold through this period to maximize potential gains. However, it's crucial to consider other market factors and conduct thorough due diligence before making any investment decisions.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-03-03 | 110.1400 | 2025-04-01 | 112.4500 | 2.3100 | 2.10 |
| 2023 | 2023-03-03 | 68.4400 | 2023-04-01 | 64.5200 | -3.9200 | -5.73 |
| 2022 | 2022-03-03 | 61.1600 | 2022-04-01 | 64.8400 | 3.6800 | 6.02 |
| 2021 | 2021-03-03 | 48.9400 | 2021-04-01 | 51.4200 | 2.4800 | 5.07 |
| 2020 | 2020-03-03 | 43.3300 | 2020-04-01 | 31.9000 | -11.4300 | -26.38 |
| 2017 | 2017-03-03 | 36.1350 | 2017-04-01 | 36.2100 | 0.0750 | 0.21 |
| 2016 | 2016-03-03 | 30.4900 | 2016-04-01 | 32.0600 | 1.5700 | 5.15 |
| Avg | 56.9479 | 56.2000 | -0.75 | -1.94 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1.84% | Feb Total -1.25% | Mar Total +0.86% | Apr Total +2.48% | May Total +0.68% | Jun Total +0.48% | Jul Total +1.69% | Aug Total +3.60% | Sep Total -0.28% | Oct Total -0.47% | Nov Total +7.30% | Dec Total -0.59% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.07% | 0.00% | -1.33% | -0.17% | -0.40% | -0.59% | +0.32% | +0.28% | +0.42% | +0.09% | +0.04% | +0.61% | -0.13% |
| 2 Avg +0.12% | +0.09% | -0.08% | +0.68% | -0.38% | -0.08% | +0.39% | -0.14% | +0.64% | -0.13% | +0.08% | +0.85% | -0.51% |
| 3 Avg +0.07% | -0.27% | +0.13% | -0.07% | +0.29% | -0.17% | +0.21% | +0.33% | +0.33% | -0.01% | +0.32% | +0.32% | -0.60% |
| 4 Avg +0.05% | +0.18% | +0.29% | -0.33% | -1.24% | +0.01% | +0.23% | 0.00% | -0.13% | +0.70% | +0.68% | +0.28% | -0.02% |
| 5 Avg +0.09% | -0.02% | -0.10% | -0.05% | +0.13% | +0.02% | +0.49% | -0.30% | +0.06% | -0.29% | +0.35% | +0.79% | -0.02% |
| 6 Avg +0.24% | +0.62% | -0.37% | -0.07% | +1.14% | -0.05% | +0.25% | +0.06% | +0.71% | -0.03% | +0.09% | +0.60% | -0.03% |
| 7 Avg +0.08% | -0.01% | +0.49% | -0.47% | -0.13% | +0.42% | +0.37% | -0.38% | +0.54% | +0.03% | -0.38% | +0.36% | +0.08% |
| 8 Avg +0.14% | +0.05% | +0.01% | +0.07% | +0.70% | +0.15% | +0.36% | +0.04% | +0.39% | -0.16% | +0.08% | +0.14% | -0.10% |
| 9 Avg -0.04% | -0.71% | +0.10% | -0.62% | +0.47% | -0.17% | -0.45% | -0.21% | +0.02% | -0.07% | +0.04% | +1.35% | -0.25% |
| 10 Avg +0.11% | +0.32% | -0.14% | +0.19% | +0.28% | +0.46% | -0.87% | +0.30% | +0.42% | -0.34% | +0.22% | +0.58% | -0.05% |
| 11 Avg -0.09% | +0.26% | -0.23% | -0.04% | -0.09% | -0.70% | -1.14% | +0.10% | +0.48% | +0.40% | -0.11% | -0.02% | +0.03% |
| 12 Avg -0.03% | -0.27% | +0.42% | -1.58% | +0.54% | -0.90% | +0.45% | +0.16% | -0.03% | +0.35% | -0.04% | -0.07% | +0.64% |
| 13 Avg +0.10% | +0.23% | +0.50% | +0.93% | -0.10% | -0.56% | -0.43% | -0.28% | +0.35% | -0.19% | -0.15% | +0.44% | +0.46% |
| 14 Avg +0.07% | +0.45% | -0.21% | +0.35% | +0.52% | +0.49% | -0.15% | +0.16% | -0.07% | +0.14% | +0.35% | -0.45% | -0.78% |
| 15 Avg +0.09% | +0.02% | +0.44% | +0.01% | -0.72% | +0.43% | +0.32% | +0.17% | +0.02% | -0.14% | -0.04% | +0.46% | +0.11% |
| 16 Avg 0.00% | +0.44% | +0.06% | -1.21% | +0.05% | +0.12% | -0.04% | 0.00% | +0.30% | +0.08% | -0.08% | +0.49% | -0.24% |
| 17 Avg +0.13% | +0.46% | +0.13% | +0.64% | +0.51% | +0.45% | -0.49% | +0.06% | -0.28% | +0.17% | +0.29% | -0.22% | -0.22% |
| 18 Avg -0.16% | -0.11% | -0.02% | -1.59% | +0.20% | +0.46% | -0.06% | +0.28% | -0.23% | +0.05% | -0.30% | -0.13% | -0.45% |
| 19 Avg +0.00% | -0.14% | +0.10% | +0.46% | +0.36% | -0.56% | -0.02% | -0.49% | 0.00% | +0.34% | -0.01% | -0.05% | +0.07% |
| 20 Avg -0.05% | -0.16% | -0.16% | +0.37% | 0.00% | +0.10% | -0.03% | +0.33% | -0.12% | -0.33% | -0.26% | -0.15% | -0.20% |
| 21 Avg -0.13% | -0.39% | -0.32% | +0.18% | -0.85% | -0.09% | +0.23% | +0.28% | -0.58% | -0.61% | -0.04% | +0.23% | +0.37% |
| 22 Avg -0.02% | +0.08% | +0.21% | -0.58% | +0.18% | -0.17% | -0.22% | +0.30% | -0.16% | -0.09% | +0.09% | +0.24% | -0.12% |
| 23 Avg -0.01% | +0.10% | +0.01% | -0.97% | +0.08% | -0.11% | +0.15% | +0.26% | -0.27% | -0.02% | +0.07% | +0.39% | +0.24% |
| 24 Avg +0.24% | +0.37% | -0.33% | +1.60% | +0.56% | +0.25% | -0.16% | -0.29% | +0.50% | +0.02% | -0.03% | +0.42% | -0.06% |
| 25 Avg +0.36% | +0.25% | +0.25% | +3.12% | -0.22% | +0.19% | +0.14% | +0.25% | +0.10% | +0.14% | -0.15% | +0.21% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg -0.04% | +0.40% | -0.48% | +0.14% | -0.21% | +0.66% | -0.36% | +0.23% | -0.34% | -0.38% | -0.50% | -0.17% | +0.46% |
| 27 Avg +0.17% | -0.18% | -0.28% | -0.12% | +1.21% | +0.72% | -0.06% | +0.25% | +0.26% | +0.31% | -0.47% | -0.01% | +0.39% |
| 28 Avg -0.05% | +0.42% | -0.36% | +0.10% | -0.08% | -0.49% | +0.14% | +0.13% | +0.07% | +0.09% | -0.40% | -0.15% | -0.05% |
| 29 Avg +0.02% | -0.52% | - | +0.09% | +0.32% | -0.12% | +0.32% | +0.20% | +0.52% | -0.57% | -0.21% | +0.09% | +0.10% |
| 30 Avg +0.11% | +0.30% | - | +0.56% | -0.62% | +0.57% | +0.61% | -0.59% | -0.01% | +0.18% | +0.31% | -0.16% | +0.03% |
| 31 Avg -0.20% | -0.41% | - | -0.77% | - | -0.06% | - | +0.20% | -0.32% | - | -0.30% | - | +0.24% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
