Check historical price trends and seasonality for AES Corporation (AES).
AES Corporation (AES) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +7.08%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -6.15%.
3 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 60.00%.
1) Overview:
AES Corporation exhibits a clear seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. The stock tends to decline from the beginning of the year until late May, with a notable dip of -5.1% around May 21. A bullish phase then begins, extending through the end of the year, culminating in significant gains of +7.1% by December 15 and +7.0% by December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most pronounced pullback period for AES Corporation occurs between January and May. The stock typically experiences consistent declines during this period, presenting potential buying opportunities. Specifically, the period leading up to May 21, which sees an average decline of -5.1%, could be an attractive entry point. Investors might consider accumulating shares during this period in anticipation of the subsequent rally.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a strategic approach to AES Corporation would involve accumulating shares during the first half of the year, particularly before May 21, to capitalize on the observed dip. The subsequent rally into the end of the year, especially the gains seen around December 15 and December 31, suggests a favorable period for realizing profits. Investors should consider these seasonal tendencies alongside other fundamental and technical factors when making investment decisions.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 12.0000 | 2025-03-16 | 12.3100 | 0.3100 | 2.58 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 17.8900 | 2024-03-15 | 15.0100 | -2.8800 | -16.10 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 20.5700 | 2020-03-15 | 13.0000 | -7.5700 | -36.80 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 15.5100 | 2019-03-16 | 18.3100 | 2.8000 | 18.05 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 10.6800 | 2018-03-16 | 10.8400 | 0.1600 | 1.50 |
| Avg | 15.3300 | 13.8940 | -1.44 | -6.15 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -1.90% | Feb Total -1.98% | Mar Total +5.71% | Apr Total -4.17% | May Total -0.13% | Jun Total +2.42% | Jul Total +3.36% | Aug Total +0.16% | Sep Total +0.16% | Oct Total +1.63% | Nov Total +1.85% | Dec Total +3.39% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.16% | 0.00% | +0.15% | +0.50% | -0.55% | -0.50% | +0.26% | +0.32% | +0.16% | +0.35% | +1.67% | -0.73% | +0.30% |
| 2 Avg +0.21% | +0.10% | -0.19% | +1.50% | +0.19% | +0.68% | +0.51% | +0.28% | -0.87% | +0.52% | -1.21% | +0.45% | +0.56% |
| 3 Avg -0.06% | -0.36% | +0.19% | -0.44% | -0.99% | -0.54% | +0.54% | +0.73% | +0.38% | -0.57% | -0.26% | +0.87% | -0.25% |
| 4 Avg -0.02% | -0.35% | +0.39% | +0.19% | -1.07% | +0.22% | +0.09% | 0.00% | -0.05% | -0.53% | +0.13% | +0.35% | +0.36% |
| 5 Avg +0.01% | -0.63% | -0.53% | -0.11% | -0.01% | +0.12% | +0.88% | -0.42% | -0.46% | +0.11% | -0.09% | +1.42% | -0.19% |
| 6 Avg +0.05% | +0.54% | +0.15% | 0.00% | +1.19% | -0.74% | +0.63% | -0.42% | +0.59% | -0.15% | -0.54% | -0.63% | +0.03% |
| 7 Avg -0.16% | -0.37% | -0.24% | 0.00% | -1.04% | -0.48% | 0.00% | -0.09% | +0.19% | +0.16% | -0.06% | -0.35% | +0.36% |
| 8 Avg +0.12% | +0.35% | -0.06% | -0.31% | +0.37% | +0.12% | +0.09% | -0.05% | +0.74% | -0.15% | +0.17% | -0.43% | +0.54% |
| 9 Avg -0.02% | -0.07% | +0.35% | -0.96% | +1.36% | +0.91% | -1.12% | +1.28% | -0.72% | -0.60% | -0.18% | -0.82% | +0.37% |
| 10 Avg +0.14% | -0.35% | +0.16% | +1.02% | -0.78% | +0.81% | -0.55% | +0.07% | +0.64% | +0.12% | -0.04% | +0.35% | +0.20% |
| 11 Avg +0.05% | +0.39% | -1.17% | 0.00% | +0.40% | -1.00% | -0.62% | +0.95% | -0.67% | +1.49% | -0.04% | +0.74% | +0.12% |
| 12 Avg -0.03% | +0.07% | +0.66% | -1.73% | -0.64% | +0.06% | +0.87% | +0.42% | +0.36% | +0.38% | -0.13% | -0.80% | +0.18% |
| 13 Avg +0.14% | +0.11% | -0.41% | +0.60% | +0.04% | +0.04% | -0.24% | -0.06% | +0.22% | +0.05% | +0.52% | +0.46% | +0.35% |
| 14 Avg +0.01% | +0.32% | -0.34% | -0.42% | -0.19% | +0.75% | -0.35% | -0.28% | -0.56% | +0.42% | -0.37% | +1.11% | -0.03% |
| 15 Avg +0.20% | -0.07% | +0.82% | +0.57% | -1.45% | +0.30% | +0.86% | -0.45% | -0.08% | +0.20% | +0.54% | +0.69% | +0.42% |
| 16 Avg -0.06% | -0.33% | +0.40% | -1.02% | -0.78% | -0.77% | +0.30% | +0.12% | +0.57% | +0.06% | +1.20% | +0.04% | -0.46% |
| 17 Avg -0.05% | -0.36% | -0.20% | +0.98% | +1.08% | +0.09% | -0.80% | +0.18% | -0.14% | +0.31% | -0.31% | -0.24% | -1.12% |
| 18 Avg -0.02% | +0.35% | +0.07% | -2.12% | +0.05% | +0.19% | -0.27% | +0.29% | +0.56% | +0.58% | +0.19% | -0.35% | +0.23% |
| 19 Avg +0.13% | +0.23% | +0.08% | +1.87% | +0.28% | -0.35% | -0.24% | +0.10% | -0.39% | -0.03% | +0.47% | -0.23% | -0.19% |
| 20 Avg -0.15% | -0.15% | -0.07% | +0.82% | -0.68% | -0.10% | -0.01% | -0.36% | +0.31% | -0.26% | -0.18% | -0.89% | -0.25% |
| 21 Avg -0.04% | +0.04% | -0.06% | +0.41% | -1.40% | -1.42% | +0.32% | +0.79% | +0.21% | -0.41% | +0.24% | +0.25% | +0.55% |
| 22 Avg -0.03% | -0.90% | -0.54% | -0.28% | +0.34% | -0.07% | +0.34% | +0.17% | +0.35% | -0.49% | +0.31% | +0.20% | +0.17% |
| 23 Avg +0.06% | +0.48% | -0.04% | -0.68% | +0.64% | +0.31% | -0.23% | +0.01% | -0.06% | -0.23% | +0.17% | -0.08% | +0.45% |
| 24 Avg +0.26% | -0.41% | +0.94% | +1.32% | +0.63% | +0.60% | +0.74% | -0.84% | -0.05% | -0.06% | +0.33% | +0.50% | -0.55% |
| 25 Avg +0.00% | -0.30% | -0.97% | +0.42% | -0.70% | -0.11% | +0.13% | +0.40% | +0.44% | +0.18% | +0.30% | +0.24% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg -0.02% | +0.13% | -0.66% | +0.79% | -0.57% | +0.73% | +0.51% | +0.19% | -0.75% | -0.72% | +0.14% | -0.48% | +0.43% |
| 27 Avg -0.15% | -1.12% | -1.17% | +0.38% | +0.42% | +0.35% | -0.28% | -0.37% | -0.24% | +0.02% | -0.24% | +0.35% | +0.16% |
| 28 Avg +0.10% | +0.48% | +0.33% | +0.84% | +0.26% | -0.24% | -0.62% | +0.61% | -0.17% | -0.31% | -0.18% | +0.36% | -0.21% |
| 29 Avg +0.23% | +0.76% | - | +0.73% | +0.64% | -0.15% | +0.07% | +0.36% | +0.52% | -0.19% | -0.49% | +0.01% | +0.30% |
| 30 Avg -0.16% | -0.51% | - | +0.34% | -1.23% | +0.41% | +0.60% | -0.61% | -0.27% | -0.08% | +0.06% | -0.52% | +0.06% |
| 31 Avg -0.05% | +0.03% | - | +0.51% | - | -0.37% | - | +0.05% | -0.63% | - | -0.47% | - | +0.50% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
