Check historical price trends and seasonality for American Electric Power (AEP).
American Electric Power (AEP) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +7.87%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is +2.09%.
4 wins 1 losses with a win rate of 80.00%.
1) Overview:
American Electric Power (AEP) typically experiences a bullish phase from late January through early August, culminating in a peak around August 2 with an average gain of +9.1%. A bearish phase then tends to occur from August through late January. There is a notable dip around January 12, with an average decline of -1.1%. The year concludes with a strong upward movement towards December 31, showing an average gain of +7.8%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
AEP tends to experience a pullback in early January, specifically around January 12, presenting a potential buying opportunity after a slight dip of -1.1%. This dip could be attributed to end-of-year profit-taking or portfolio rebalancing. Another potential buying opportunity arises after the peak in early August, as the stock enters a period of relative weakness. The stock then trends upward again towards the end of the year.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a potential investment strategy for AEP involves accumulating shares during the pullback around January 12, and potentially adding more after the August peak. The stock tends to perform well from late January through early August, and again towards the end of the year. Investors should consider these seasonal tendencies alongside fundamental analysis and broader market conditions for optimal entry and exit timing.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 96.8200 | 2025-03-16 | 105.5600 | 8.7400 | 9.03 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 80.9800 | 2024-03-15 | 82.1100 | 1.1300 | 1.40 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 97.3100 | 2020-03-15 | 86.4700 | -10.8400 | -11.14 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 75.7200 | 2019-03-16 | 83.8100 | 8.0900 | 10.68 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 67.5000 | 2018-03-16 | 67.8100 | 0.3100 | 0.46 |
| Avg | 83.6660 | 85.1520 | 1.49 | 2.09 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1.65% | Feb Total -1.09% | Mar Total +4.12% | Apr Total +1.17% | May Total -0.13% | Jun Total -0.57% | Jul Total +4.02% | Aug Total -1.12% | Sep Total -2.38% | Oct Total +3.16% | Nov Total +0.77% | Dec Total -0.58% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.06% | 0.00% | -0.08% | +0.17% | -0.68% | -0.21% | -0.23% | +0.61% | +0.34% | +0.04% | +0.13% | -0.33% | -0.43% |
| 2 Avg +0.15% | -0.30% | +0.27% | +0.94% | +0.30% | -0.07% | +0.24% | +0.22% | +0.09% | +0.29% | -0.18% | +0.29% | -0.23% |
| 3 Avg +0.07% | -0.16% | +0.03% | +0.59% | -0.54% | +0.14% | +0.39% | +0.29% | -0.17% | +0.15% | +0.10% | +0.10% | -0.09% |
| 4 Avg +0.01% | -0.14% | -0.39% | +0.71% | -0.57% | +0.63% | -0.48% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | +0.57% | -0.12% | -0.13% |
| 5 Avg -0.06% | +0.09% | -0.31% | -0.02% | +0.58% | -0.11% | +0.15% | -0.23% | -0.75% | -0.13% | -0.21% | +0.32% | -0.10% |
| 6 Avg +0.07% | +0.22% | -0.05% | -0.32% | +1.19% | -0.60% | -0.29% | +0.19% | +0.21% | -0.03% | +0.26% | -0.32% | +0.45% |
| 7 Avg +0.02% | -0.24% | -0.03% | +0.28% | -0.44% | -0.12% | +0.18% | -0.16% | +0.39% | +0.26% | -0.28% | +0.08% | +0.30% |
| 8 Avg -0.08% | +0.33% | -0.66% | +0.05% | +0.51% | -0.40% | -0.25% | -0.09% | -0.38% | +0.17% | +0.05% | -0.19% | -0.11% |
| 9 Avg -0.11% | -0.17% | -0.21% | -0.24% | +0.62% | -0.31% | -0.33% | -0.23% | -0.04% | +0.06% | +0.19% | -0.61% | -0.08% |
| 10 Avg +0.12% | -0.11% | +0.31% | +0.33% | -0.30% | +0.43% | -0.03% | +0.60% | +0.11% | -0.32% | +0.29% | +0.46% | -0.28% |
| 11 Avg -0.21% | -0.24% | -0.21% | -0.91% | -0.08% | -0.19% | -0.69% | +0.64% | -0.40% | +0.16% | -0.15% | -0.52% | +0.09% |
| 12 Avg -0.17% | -0.32% | +0.01% | -0.76% | +0.01% | -0.55% | +0.22% | -0.17% | +0.32% | +0.04% | -0.39% | -0.32% | -0.07% |
| 13 Avg +0.16% | +0.03% | +0.19% | +0.86% | -0.29% | +0.32% | -0.63% | -0.04% | +0.22% | -0.23% | +0.52% | -0.01% | +0.95% |
| 14 Avg +0.02% | +0.25% | -0.21% | +0.06% | +0.35% | -0.20% | +0.22% | +0.08% | -0.45% | +0.39% | +0.05% | +0.09% | -0.32% |
| 15 Avg +0.23% | +0.58% | +0.49% | +0.91% | -0.27% | +0.28% | +0.19% | +0.22% | +0.05% | -0.44% | +0.04% | +0.43% | +0.31% |
| 16 Avg +0.02% | +0.24% | +0.15% | -0.45% | -0.11% | -0.16% | -0.23% | +0.22% | +0.12% | -0.11% | +0.70% | +0.03% | -0.18% |
| 17 Avg +0.16% | +0.26% | +0.30% | +0.99% | +0.88% | -0.41% | -0.07% | +0.42% | -0.10% | -0.14% | +0.26% | -0.14% | -0.33% |
| 18 Avg -0.13% | -0.63% | +0.59% | -0.47% | +0.06% | -0.09% | -0.33% | -0.08% | +0.03% | -0.45% | +0.19% | -0.11% | -0.25% |
| 19 Avg -0.10% | -0.10% | -0.15% | -0.75% | +0.28% | -0.20% | +0.03% | -0.22% | +0.17% | -0.16% | +0.20% | -0.15% | -0.21% |
| 20 Avg -0.17% | -0.22% | -0.12% | -1.08% | -0.58% | +0.25% | +0.06% | -0.10% | -0.04% | -0.23% | -0.31% | +0.07% | +0.23% |
| 21 Avg +0.04% | +0.12% | +0.13% | -0.12% | -0.53% | -0.05% | +0.42% | +0.42% | -0.04% | +0.04% | +0.09% | +0.31% | -0.37% |
| 22 Avg +0.14% | +0.36% | -0.01% | +0.06% | +0.37% | +0.17% | -0.02% | +0.74% | -0.16% | -0.09% | +0.15% | +0.15% | -0.08% |
| 23 Avg +0.02% | +0.40% | +0.41% | -0.26% | -0.21% | +0.03% | +0.14% | -0.33% | -0.11% | -0.08% | +0.03% | +0.23% | -0.04% |
| 24 Avg +0.20% | +0.02% | +0.21% | +0.77% | +0.26% | +0.32% | +0.28% | -0.11% | +0.08% | +0.11% | +0.59% | +0.23% | -0.32% |
| 25 Avg -0.01% | +0.03% | +0.20% | +0.03% | +0.22% | -0.25% | -0.07% | +0.20% | -0.04% | -0.25% | -0.37% | +0.20% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.01% | -0.11% | -1.02% | +1.50% | -0.47% | +0.25% | -0.13% | +0.64% | -0.37% | -0.57% | +0.14% | +0.15% | +0.07% |
| 27 Avg +0.04% | +0.37% | -0.56% | +0.60% | +0.43% | +0.26% | +0.26% | -0.57% | -0.12% | -0.48% | -0.25% | +0.14% | +0.34% |
| 28 Avg +0.04% | +0.10% | -0.34% | +0.33% | +0.17% | +0.16% | -0.35% | +0.10% | -0.17% | +0.07% | -0.02% | +0.40% | -0.02% |
| 29 Avg +0.19% | +0.13% | - | +0.42% | -0.05% | -0.08% | +0.24% | +0.45% | +0.48% | -0.37% | +0.62% | +0.03% | +0.22% |
| 30 Avg +0.08% | +0.24% | - | -0.02% | +0.08% | +0.18% | +0.57% | +0.30% | -0.18% | -0.10% | +0.13% | -0.12% | -0.15% |
| 31 Avg +0.16% | +0.61% | - | -0.08% | - | +0.49% | - | +0.02% | -0.18% | - | +0.02% | - | +0.26% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
