Check historical price trends and seasonality for Automatic Data Processing (ADP).
Automatic Data Processing (ADP) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +12.85%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jul 5 for 60 days) is +8.37%.
6 wins 1 losses with a win rate of 85.71%.
1) Overview:
ADP's historical data reveals a distinct seasonal pattern. The stock tends to decline from early January, reaching a low point around March 23 with an average drop of -3.4%. A strong bullish phase follows, starting in April and continuing through the end of the year, culminating in significant gains, with the stock peaking around December 12 (+13.7%) and December 31 (+12.8%). This suggests a consistent year-end rally.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most prominent pullback period appears in March, with the lowest point typically around March 23, presenting a potential buy-the-dip opportunity as the stock declines by -3.4%. This dip is generally followed by a strong recovery starting in April. Investors might consider accumulating shares during this period in anticipation of the subsequent bullish trend.
3) Summary:
Seasonality suggests a strategic entry point for ADP around late March to capitalize on the subsequent rally. Given the historical tendency for significant gains towards the end of the year, investors should consider holding through December. However, be mindful that these are average tendencies and not guarantees of future performance.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-07-05 | 235.5600 | 2024-09-02 | 275.9100 | 40.3500 | 17.13 |
| 2023 | 2023-07-05 | 219.7000 | 2023-09-02 | 255.7500 | 36.0500 | 16.41 |
| 2022 | 2022-07-05 | 212.4800 | 2022-09-02 | 238.4800 | 26.0000 | 12.24 |
| 2019 | 2019-07-05 | 164.8400 | 2019-09-02 | 169.8400 | 5.0000 | 3.03 |
| 2018 | 2018-07-05 | 133.7100 | 2018-09-02 | 146.7500 | 13.0400 | 9.75 |
| 2017 | 2017-07-05 | 104.0700 | 2017-09-02 | 107.3500 | 3.2800 | 3.15 |
| 2016 | 2016-07-05 | 93.3100 | 2016-09-02 | 90.3900 | -2.9200 | -3.13 |
| Avg | 166.2386 | 183.4957 | 17.26 | 8.37 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -1.04% | Feb Total +0.61% | Mar Total +1.78% | Apr Total +0.63% | May Total +1.72% | Jun Total +0.74% | Jul Total +4.47% | Aug Total +1.33% | Sep Total -2.10% | Oct Total +1.67% | Nov Total +4.80% | Dec Total -0.61% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.15% | 0.00% | -0.58% | +0.25% | -0.14% | -0.62% | +0.28% | +0.32% | -0.81% | +0.14% | -0.02% | -0.68% | +0.08% |
| 2 Avg +0.13% | -0.27% | +0.27% | +0.53% | +0.20% | +0.24% | +0.47% | -0.16% | -0.16% | -0.20% | -0.08% | +0.74% | -0.02% |
| 3 Avg -0.13% | -0.27% | -0.04% | -0.33% | -0.72% | -0.19% | -0.34% | +0.14% | +0.29% | -0.39% | +0.51% | -0.06% | -0.13% |
| 4 Avg +0.14% | -0.07% | +0.53% | +0.29% | -0.75% | +0.95% | +0.32% | 0.00% | +0.05% | +0.11% | +0.28% | -0.02% | +0.03% |
| 5 Avg +0.04% | -0.30% | -0.39% | +0.15% | +0.59% | -0.48% | +0.87% | +0.22% | -0.38% | -0.32% | +0.73% | -0.16% | -0.07% |
| 6 Avg +0.20% | -0.08% | +0.02% | -0.31% | +0.58% | -0.01% | +0.38% | +0.30% | +0.57% | +0.06% | +0.07% | +0.74% | +0.09% |
| 7 Avg +0.03% | -0.49% | 0.00% | -0.27% | -0.60% | +0.26% | +0.17% | -0.15% | +0.66% | -0.08% | -0.17% | +1.04% | -0.07% |
| 8 Avg +0.00% | +0.36% | -0.30% | -0.12% | +0.19% | -0.39% | +0.09% | -0.04% | +0.18% | -0.09% | -0.07% | +0.30% | -0.07% |
| 9 Avg +0.05% | +0.01% | +0.39% | -0.14% | +1.15% | +0.02% | -0.71% | +0.03% | +0.19% | -0.34% | +0.47% | +0.02% | -0.51% |
| 10 Avg -0.05% | -0.41% | -0.12% | -0.14% | -0.17% | +0.39% | -0.56% | +0.27% | +0.28% | -0.74% | -0.35% | +0.75% | +0.26% |
| 11 Avg -0.25% | +0.18% | -0.24% | -0.46% | -0.07% | -0.74% | -1.18% | -0.16% | -0.06% | -0.08% | -0.58% | -0.10% | +0.52% |
| 12 Avg +0.07% | +0.29% | +0.39% | -1.10% | +0.12% | -0.26% | +0.86% | +0.10% | -0.09% | +0.04% | +0.20% | -0.05% | +0.30% |
| 13 Avg +0.01% | -0.41% | +0.44% | +1.02% | +0.04% | -0.60% | -0.33% | -0.13% | +0.47% | -0.73% | +0.26% | +0.26% | -0.12% |
| 14 Avg -0.09% | -0.16% | -0.15% | -0.16% | +0.08% | +0.11% | -0.32% | +0.14% | -0.23% | +0.21% | +0.13% | +0.04% | -0.83% |
| 15 Avg +0.27% | +0.07% | +0.66% | +0.76% | -0.49% | +0.54% | +0.47% | +0.48% | +0.39% | -0.21% | +0.11% | +0.38% | +0.04% |
| 16 Avg +0.02% | +0.30% | +0.31% | -1.38% | -0.08% | +0.45% | +0.09% | -0.10% | +0.08% | -0.14% | +0.30% | +0.48% | -0.04% |
| 17 Avg +0.17% | -0.06% | +0.09% | +0.88% | +0.52% | +0.22% | +0.02% | +0.61% | -0.54% | +0.07% | +0.30% | +0.03% | -0.11% |
| 18 Avg -0.17% | -0.12% | +0.26% | -1.07% | -0.06% | -0.01% | -0.12% | -0.02% | -0.17% | -0.22% | 0.00% | -0.09% | -0.46% |
| 19 Avg +0.01% | +0.24% | +0.11% | -0.18% | +0.08% | -0.29% | -0.15% | +0.26% | +0.25% | +0.26% | -0.22% | -0.15% | -0.05% |
| 20 Avg -0.03% | -0.10% | -0.12% | -0.23% | -0.07% | +0.37% | +0.03% | +0.04% | +0.05% | 0.00% | -0.17% | -0.33% | +0.20% |
| 21 Avg -0.05% | -0.07% | -0.26% | +0.05% | -0.90% | +0.06% | +0.58% | +0.20% | -0.06% | -0.49% | +0.12% | +0.53% | -0.40% |
| 22 Avg +0.19% | +0.36% | +0.33% | -0.49% | +0.52% | +0.25% | +0.08% | +0.30% | +0.06% | +0.49% | +0.18% | +0.18% | -0.01% |
| 23 Avg -0.08% | +0.09% | +0.06% | -0.77% | +0.11% | -0.03% | -0.01% | +0.22% | -0.25% | -0.36% | -0.11% | +0.05% | +0.06% |
| 24 Avg +0.18% | -0.07% | +0.41% | +1.52% | +0.26% | +0.32% | -0.24% | -0.20% | +0.08% | +0.16% | -0.01% | -0.05% | -0.08% |
| 25 Avg -0.08% | -0.57% | -0.21% | +0.20% | +0.01% | -0.05% | -0.52% | +0.22% | +0.12% | +0.33% | -0.78% | +0.28% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.17% | -0.81% | -0.27% | +2.23% | -0.25% | +0.60% | -0.56% | +1.11% | -0.28% | -0.06% | -0.53% | +0.18% | +0.68% |
| 27 Avg +0.21% | -0.25% | -0.76% | -0.34% | +0.93% | +1.04% | -0.30% | +1.43% | +0.31% | +0.16% | -0.02% | +0.02% | +0.30% |
| 28 Avg +0.07% | +0.26% | -0.22% | +0.01% | -0.28% | -0.32% | +0.38% | -0.01% | +0.09% | +0.03% | +1.00% | +0.11% | -0.16% |
| 29 Avg -0.04% | -0.31% | - | +0.71% | -0.21% | -0.20% | +0.13% | -0.71% | +0.28% | -0.12% | -0.39% | +0.24% | +0.18% |
| 30 Avg +0.19% | +0.86% | - | +0.33% | 0.00% | +0.10% | +0.84% | -0.50% | +0.05% | +0.44% | +0.34% | +0.12% | -0.48% |
| 31 Avg +0.25% | +0.76% | - | +0.32% | - | 0.00% | - | +0.29% | -0.08% | - | +0.20% | - | +0.28% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
