Apple Inc. (AAPL) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for Apple Inc. (AAPL).

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Apple Inc. (AAPL) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +31.01%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 17 for 7 days) is -0.22%.

5 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 71.43%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

Apple Inc. (AAPL) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

Apple Inc. exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, particularly from February through December. The stock tends to climb steadily from February, reaching a peak around December. From February 15, the stock shows strong growth, reaching +3.9%, and continues its upward trajectory, culminating in significant gains by December, with +31.7% on December 28. However, there is a notable dip in performance around January 7, with an average decrease of -2.2%.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

Historically, January presents a potential buy-the-dip opportunity, particularly around January 7, where the stock tends to experience a pullback of -2.2%. This dip could be attributed to profit-taking after the holiday season. Investors might consider accumulating shares during this period, anticipating a rebound as the year progresses. The stock generally recovers and begins its upward trend in February.

3) Summary:

A seasonal investment strategy for Apple could involve capitalizing on the dip in early January, specifically around January 7, and holding through the year to capture the significant gains typically seen by the end of December. Given the strong bullish trend, especially in the latter half of the year, holding the stock through December 28 to capture +31.7% is a key consideration. However, investors should be mindful of potential market fluctuations and adjust their strategy accordingly.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-03-17 214.0000 2025-03-23 218.2700 4.2700 2.00
2023 2023-03-17 155.0000 2023-03-23 158.9300 3.9300 2.54
2022 2022-03-17 160.6200 2022-03-23 170.2100 9.5900 5.97
2021 2021-03-17 124.7600 2021-03-23 122.5400 -2.2200 -1.78
2020 2020-03-17 63.2150 2020-03-23 56.0925 -7.1225 -11.27
2017 2017-03-17 34.9975 2017-03-23 35.2300 0.2325 0.66
2016 2016-03-17 26.4500 2016-03-23 26.5325 0.0825 0.31
Avg 111.2918 112.5436 1.25 -0.22
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +0.85% Feb Total +0.07% Mar Total +2.31% Apr Total +0.34% May Total +2.21% Jun Total +3.86% Jul Total +7.08% Aug Total +6.04% Sep Total -1.92% Oct Total +3.28% Nov Total +2.28% Dec Total +1.17%
1 Avg +0.35% 0.00% +0.91% +0.69% -0.35% +0.74% +0.32% +0.80% +0.12% +0.64% 0.00% -0.05% +0.38%
2 Avg +0.11% -0.20% -0.20% +1.00% +0.21% +0.23% +0.44% +0.75% +0.20% -0.28% -0.27% -0.68% +0.06%
3 Avg -0.13% -1.29% -0.13% -0.26% -0.77% +0.99% -0.36% -0.09% +0.74% -0.80% +0.42% -0.17% +0.10%
4 Avg +0.13% +0.07% +1.08% -0.02% -0.19% +0.35% +0.55% 0.00% -0.35% +0.18% +0.22% +0.31% -0.68%
5 Avg -0.05% -0.37% -0.23% -0.49% -0.05% -0.17% +0.32% +0.37% -0.86% +0.09% +0.51% +0.15% +0.13%
6 Avg +0.20% -0.07% +0.57% -0.12% +0.59% -0.06% +0.41% +0.64% +0.94% -0.69% -0.13% +0.28% +0.02%
7 Avg -0.03% -0.25% -0.55% -0.54% -0.57% -0.13% +0.56% +0.31% +0.19% -0.10% -0.32% +0.91% +0.20%
8 Avg +0.11% +0.72% -0.20% -0.33% -0.07% +0.61% +0.11% +0.13% +1.00% -1.34% +0.07% +0.12% +0.54%
9 Avg +0.19% +0.49% +0.08% -0.03% +1.95% -0.24% -0.43% +0.46% +0.11% +0.19% +0.56% -0.76% -0.11%
10 Avg -0.14% -0.08% -0.32% -0.23% -0.46% -0.09% -0.29% +0.30% -0.13% -1.03% -0.53% +0.58% +0.62%
11 Avg +0.07% +0.29% -0.18% -0.14% +0.30% -0.55% +0.24% -0.61% -0.30% +0.95% +0.15% +0.73% -0.05%
12 Avg +0.26% +0.23% +0.87% -1.00% +0.26% -0.18% +0.33% +0.55% +0.92% +0.43% +0.96% -0.46% +0.25%
13 Avg +0.23% -0.09% +0.35% +0.83% +1.07% +0.09% -0.65% +0.15% +1.01% -0.47% +0.06% -0.11% +0.48%
14 Avg +0.11% -0.21% +0.40% +0.20% +0.23% +0.43% +0.11% +0.78% -0.02% +0.54% +0.10% -0.59% -0.60%
15 Avg +0.27% -0.02% +0.70% +0.99% -0.32% 0.00% +0.18% +0.42% +0.24% +0.40% -0.03% +0.37% +0.30%
16 Avg -0.11% -0.33% -0.13% -0.57% -0.46% +0.30% -0.15% -0.25% +0.47% -0.64% +0.05% +0.66% -0.22%
17 Avg +0.02% +0.53% -0.28% +0.34% +0.31% -0.30% +0.12% -0.10% -0.15% -0.52% +0.44% -0.02% -0.07%
18 Avg -0.09% +0.15% -0.56% -0.26% -0.24% -0.07% +0.07% -0.17% -0.23% +0.02% +0.02% +0.40% -0.20%
19 Avg -0.03% -0.11% +0.18% -0.10% -0.23% -0.43% +0.04% +0.07% +0.08% +0.82% -0.23% -0.15% -0.33%
20 Avg -0.07% +0.45% -0.07% -0.20% -0.67% +0.19% +0.02% +0.45% +0.06% -0.52% +0.39% -0.68% -0.26%
21 Avg 0.00% -0.20% -0.49% +0.02% -0.74% -0.12% +0.36% -0.10% +0.61% -0.24% +0.45% +0.20% +0.20%
22 Avg +0.20% +0.60% -0.02% +0.29% +0.29% -0.27% +0.43% +0.27% -0.03% +0.74% -0.30% +0.37% -0.02%
23 Avg -0.08% +0.39% -0.43% -0.45% +0.56% -0.26% +0.52% -0.21% +0.01% -0.76% 0.00% -0.52% +0.20%
24 Avg +0.10% -0.30% -0.31% +1.16% +0.56% +0.20% -0.27% -0.10% -0.22% +0.16% +0.11% +0.24% 0.00%
25 Avg +0.11% +0.22% -0.42% -0.04% +0.03% +0.30% -0.08% -0.15% +0.08% +0.71% +0.44% +0.27% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.04% +0.15% +0.06% +0.78% -0.52% +0.36% +0.10% -0.01% -0.06% -0.16% -0.72% -0.14% +0.64%
27 Avg -0.03% -0.60% -0.60% -0.37% -0.48% +0.57% -0.11% +0.66% +0.01% +0.13% +0.37% +0.10% -0.04%
28 Avg +0.14% +0.98% -0.01% -0.30% +0.03% -0.08% +0.02% -0.04% +0.34% -0.06% +0.67% +0.12% +0.01%
29 Avg +0.11% -0.12% - +0.81% +0.15% -0.10% +0.41% +0.53% +0.61% -0.61% -0.19% -0.26% 0.00%
30 Avg +0.21% +0.12% - +0.36% -0.07% +0.24% +0.53% -0.04% +0.34% +0.31% -0.25% +1.04% -0.30%
31 Avg +0.22% -0.28% - +0.27% - -0.33% - +1.33% +0.33% - +0.26% - -0.06%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Mar 17 - Apr 15] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses