Apple Inc. (AAPL) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for Apple Inc. (AAPL).

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Apple Inc. (AAPL) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +31.01%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 25 for 60 days) is +1.27%.

3 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 50.00%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

Apple Inc. (AAPL) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

Apple Inc. exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, particularly from February through December. The stock tends to climb steadily from February, reaching a peak around December. From February 15, the stock shows strong growth, reaching +3.9%, and continues its upward trajectory, culminating in significant gains by December, with +31.7% on December 28. However, there is a notable dip in performance around January 7, with an average decrease of -2.2%.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

Historically, January presents a potential buy-the-dip opportunity, particularly around January 7, where the stock tends to experience a pullback of -2.2%. This dip could be attributed to profit-taking after the holiday season. Investors might consider accumulating shares during this period, anticipating a rebound as the year progresses. The stock generally recovers and begins its upward trend in February.

3) Summary:

A seasonal investment strategy for Apple could involve capitalizing on the dip in early January, specifically around January 7, and holding through the year to capture the significant gains typically seen by the end of December. Given the strong bullish trend, especially in the latter half of the year, holding the stock through December 28 to capture +31.7% is a key consideration. However, investors should be mindful of potential market fluctuations and adjust their strategy accordingly.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-03-25 223.7500 2025-05-23 195.2700 -28.4800 -12.73
2024 2024-03-25 170.8500 2024-05-23 186.8800 16.0300 9.38
2022 2022-03-25 174.7200 2022-05-23 143.1100 -31.6100 -18.09
2021 2021-03-25 120.5900 2021-05-23 125.4300 4.8400 4.01
2020 2020-03-25 61.3800 2020-05-23 79.7225 18.3425 29.88
2019 2019-03-25 47.1850 2019-05-23 44.9150 -2.2700 -4.81
Avg 133.0792 129.2213 -3.86 1.27
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +0.85% Feb Total +0.07% Mar Total +2.31% Apr Total +0.34% May Total +2.21% Jun Total +3.86% Jul Total +7.08% Aug Total +6.04% Sep Total -1.92% Oct Total +3.28% Nov Total +2.28% Dec Total +1.17%
1 Avg +0.35% 0.00% +0.91% +0.69% -0.35% +0.74% +0.32% +0.80% +0.12% +0.64% 0.00% -0.05% +0.38%
2 Avg +0.11% -0.20% -0.20% +1.00% +0.21% +0.23% +0.44% +0.75% +0.20% -0.28% -0.27% -0.68% +0.06%
3 Avg -0.13% -1.29% -0.13% -0.26% -0.77% +0.99% -0.36% -0.09% +0.74% -0.80% +0.42% -0.17% +0.10%
4 Avg +0.13% +0.07% +1.08% -0.02% -0.19% +0.35% +0.55% 0.00% -0.35% +0.18% +0.22% +0.31% -0.68%
5 Avg -0.05% -0.37% -0.23% -0.49% -0.05% -0.17% +0.32% +0.37% -0.86% +0.09% +0.51% +0.15% +0.13%
6 Avg +0.20% -0.07% +0.57% -0.12% +0.59% -0.06% +0.41% +0.64% +0.94% -0.69% -0.13% +0.28% +0.02%
7 Avg -0.03% -0.25% -0.55% -0.54% -0.57% -0.13% +0.56% +0.31% +0.19% -0.10% -0.32% +0.91% +0.20%
8 Avg +0.11% +0.72% -0.20% -0.33% -0.07% +0.61% +0.11% +0.13% +1.00% -1.34% +0.07% +0.12% +0.54%
9 Avg +0.19% +0.49% +0.08% -0.03% +1.95% -0.24% -0.43% +0.46% +0.11% +0.19% +0.56% -0.76% -0.11%
10 Avg -0.14% -0.08% -0.32% -0.23% -0.46% -0.09% -0.29% +0.30% -0.13% -1.03% -0.53% +0.58% +0.62%
11 Avg +0.07% +0.29% -0.18% -0.14% +0.30% -0.55% +0.24% -0.61% -0.30% +0.95% +0.15% +0.73% -0.05%
12 Avg +0.26% +0.23% +0.87% -1.00% +0.26% -0.18% +0.33% +0.55% +0.92% +0.43% +0.96% -0.46% +0.25%
13 Avg +0.23% -0.09% +0.35% +0.83% +1.07% +0.09% -0.65% +0.15% +1.01% -0.47% +0.06% -0.11% +0.48%
14 Avg +0.11% -0.21% +0.40% +0.20% +0.23% +0.43% +0.11% +0.78% -0.02% +0.54% +0.10% -0.59% -0.60%
15 Avg +0.27% -0.02% +0.70% +0.99% -0.32% 0.00% +0.18% +0.42% +0.24% +0.40% -0.03% +0.37% +0.30%
16 Avg -0.11% -0.33% -0.13% -0.57% -0.46% +0.30% -0.15% -0.25% +0.47% -0.64% +0.05% +0.66% -0.22%
17 Avg +0.02% +0.53% -0.28% +0.34% +0.31% -0.30% +0.12% -0.10% -0.15% -0.52% +0.44% -0.02% -0.07%
18 Avg -0.09% +0.15% -0.56% -0.26% -0.24% -0.07% +0.07% -0.17% -0.23% +0.02% +0.02% +0.40% -0.20%
19 Avg -0.03% -0.11% +0.18% -0.10% -0.23% -0.43% +0.04% +0.07% +0.08% +0.82% -0.23% -0.15% -0.33%
20 Avg -0.07% +0.45% -0.07% -0.20% -0.67% +0.19% +0.02% +0.45% +0.06% -0.52% +0.39% -0.68% -0.26%
21 Avg 0.00% -0.20% -0.49% +0.02% -0.74% -0.12% +0.36% -0.10% +0.61% -0.24% +0.45% +0.20% +0.20%
22 Avg +0.20% +0.60% -0.02% +0.29% +0.29% -0.27% +0.43% +0.27% -0.03% +0.74% -0.30% +0.37% -0.02%
23 Avg -0.08% +0.39% -0.43% -0.45% +0.56% -0.26% +0.52% -0.21% +0.01% -0.76% 0.00% -0.52% +0.20%
24 Avg +0.10% -0.30% -0.31% +1.16% +0.56% +0.20% -0.27% -0.10% -0.22% +0.16% +0.11% +0.24% 0.00%
25 Avg +0.11% +0.22% -0.42% -0.04% +0.03% +0.30% -0.08% -0.15% +0.08% +0.71% +0.44% +0.27% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.04% +0.15% +0.06% +0.78% -0.52% +0.36% +0.10% -0.01% -0.06% -0.16% -0.72% -0.14% +0.64%
27 Avg -0.03% -0.60% -0.60% -0.37% -0.48% +0.57% -0.11% +0.66% +0.01% +0.13% +0.37% +0.10% -0.04%
28 Avg +0.14% +0.98% -0.01% -0.30% +0.03% -0.08% +0.02% -0.04% +0.34% -0.06% +0.67% +0.12% +0.01%
29 Avg +0.11% -0.12% - +0.81% +0.15% -0.10% +0.41% +0.53% +0.61% -0.61% -0.19% -0.26% 0.00%
30 Avg +0.21% +0.12% - +0.36% -0.07% +0.24% +0.53% -0.04% +0.34% +0.31% -0.25% +1.04% -0.30%
31 Avg +0.22% -0.28% - +0.27% - -0.33% - +1.33% +0.33% - +0.26% - -0.06%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Mar 25 - Apr 23] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses