Check historical price trends and seasonality for Apple Inc. (AAPL).
Apple Inc. (AAPL) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +31.01%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Feb 4 for 60 days) is -3.70%.
3 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 50.00%.
1) Overview:
Apple Inc. exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, particularly from February through December. The stock tends to climb steadily from February, reaching a peak around December. From February 15, the stock shows strong growth, reaching +3.9%, and continues its upward trajectory, culminating in significant gains by December, with +31.7% on December 28. However, there is a notable dip in performance around January 7, with an average decrease of -2.2%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Historically, January presents a potential buy-the-dip opportunity, particularly around January 7, where the stock tends to experience a pullback of -2.2%. This dip could be attributed to profit-taking after the holiday season. Investors might consider accumulating shares during this period, anticipating a rebound as the year progresses. The stock generally recovers and begins its upward trend in February.
3) Summary:
A seasonal investment strategy for Apple could involve capitalizing on the dip in early January, specifically around January 7, and holding through the year to capture the significant gains typically seen by the end of December. Given the strong bullish trend, especially in the latter half of the year, holding the stock through December 28 to capture +31.7% is a key consideration. However, investors should be mindful of potential market fluctuations and adjust their strategy accordingly.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-02-04 | 232.8000 | 2025-04-04 | 188.3800 | -44.4200 | -19.08 |
| 2022 | 2022-02-04 | 172.3900 | 2022-04-04 | 178.4400 | 6.0500 | 3.51 |
| 2021 | 2021-02-04 | 137.3900 | 2021-04-04 | 123.0000 | -14.3900 | -10.47 |
| 2020 | 2020-02-04 | 79.7125 | 2020-04-03 | 60.3525 | -19.3600 | -24.29 |
| 2019 | 2019-02-04 | 42.8125 | 2019-04-04 | 48.9225 | 6.1100 | 14.27 |
| 2016 | 2016-02-04 | 24.1500 | 2016-04-03 | 27.4975 | 3.3475 | 13.86 |
| Avg | 114.8758 | 104.4321 | -10.44 | -3.70 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.85% | Feb Total +0.07% | Mar Total +2.31% | Apr Total +0.34% | May Total +2.21% | Jun Total +3.86% | Jul Total +7.08% | Aug Total +6.04% | Sep Total -1.92% | Oct Total +3.28% | Nov Total +2.28% | Dec Total +1.17% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.35% | 0.00% | +0.91% | +0.69% | -0.35% | +0.74% | +0.32% | +0.80% | +0.12% | +0.64% | 0.00% | -0.05% | +0.38% |
| 2 Avg +0.11% | -0.20% | -0.20% | +1.00% | +0.21% | +0.23% | +0.44% | +0.75% | +0.20% | -0.28% | -0.27% | -0.68% | +0.06% |
| 3 Avg -0.13% | -1.29% | -0.13% | -0.26% | -0.77% | +0.99% | -0.36% | -0.09% | +0.74% | -0.80% | +0.42% | -0.17% | +0.10% |
| 4 Avg +0.13% | +0.07% | +1.08% | -0.02% | -0.19% | +0.35% | +0.55% | 0.00% | -0.35% | +0.18% | +0.22% | +0.31% | -0.68% |
| 5 Avg -0.05% | -0.37% | -0.23% | -0.49% | -0.05% | -0.17% | +0.32% | +0.37% | -0.86% | +0.09% | +0.51% | +0.15% | +0.13% |
| 6 Avg +0.20% | -0.07% | +0.57% | -0.12% | +0.59% | -0.06% | +0.41% | +0.64% | +0.94% | -0.69% | -0.13% | +0.28% | +0.02% |
| 7 Avg -0.03% | -0.25% | -0.55% | -0.54% | -0.57% | -0.13% | +0.56% | +0.31% | +0.19% | -0.10% | -0.32% | +0.91% | +0.20% |
| 8 Avg +0.11% | +0.72% | -0.20% | -0.33% | -0.07% | +0.61% | +0.11% | +0.13% | +1.00% | -1.34% | +0.07% | +0.12% | +0.54% |
| 9 Avg +0.19% | +0.49% | +0.08% | -0.03% | +1.95% | -0.24% | -0.43% | +0.46% | +0.11% | +0.19% | +0.56% | -0.76% | -0.11% |
| 10 Avg -0.14% | -0.08% | -0.32% | -0.23% | -0.46% | -0.09% | -0.29% | +0.30% | -0.13% | -1.03% | -0.53% | +0.58% | +0.62% |
| 11 Avg +0.07% | +0.29% | -0.18% | -0.14% | +0.30% | -0.55% | +0.24% | -0.61% | -0.30% | +0.95% | +0.15% | +0.73% | -0.05% |
| 12 Avg +0.26% | +0.23% | +0.87% | -1.00% | +0.26% | -0.18% | +0.33% | +0.55% | +0.92% | +0.43% | +0.96% | -0.46% | +0.25% |
| 13 Avg +0.23% | -0.09% | +0.35% | +0.83% | +1.07% | +0.09% | -0.65% | +0.15% | +1.01% | -0.47% | +0.06% | -0.11% | +0.48% |
| 14 Avg +0.11% | -0.21% | +0.40% | +0.20% | +0.23% | +0.43% | +0.11% | +0.78% | -0.02% | +0.54% | +0.10% | -0.59% | -0.60% |
| 15 Avg +0.27% | -0.02% | +0.70% | +0.99% | -0.32% | 0.00% | +0.18% | +0.42% | +0.24% | +0.40% | -0.03% | +0.37% | +0.30% |
| 16 Avg -0.11% | -0.33% | -0.13% | -0.57% | -0.46% | +0.30% | -0.15% | -0.25% | +0.47% | -0.64% | +0.05% | +0.66% | -0.22% |
| 17 Avg +0.02% | +0.53% | -0.28% | +0.34% | +0.31% | -0.30% | +0.12% | -0.10% | -0.15% | -0.52% | +0.44% | -0.02% | -0.07% |
| 18 Avg -0.09% | +0.15% | -0.56% | -0.26% | -0.24% | -0.07% | +0.07% | -0.17% | -0.23% | +0.02% | +0.02% | +0.40% | -0.20% |
| 19 Avg -0.03% | -0.11% | +0.18% | -0.10% | -0.23% | -0.43% | +0.04% | +0.07% | +0.08% | +0.82% | -0.23% | -0.15% | -0.33% |
| 20 Avg -0.07% | +0.45% | -0.07% | -0.20% | -0.67% | +0.19% | +0.02% | +0.45% | +0.06% | -0.52% | +0.39% | -0.68% | -0.26% |
| 21 Avg 0.00% | -0.20% | -0.49% | +0.02% | -0.74% | -0.12% | +0.36% | -0.10% | +0.61% | -0.24% | +0.45% | +0.20% | +0.20% |
| 22 Avg +0.20% | +0.60% | -0.02% | +0.29% | +0.29% | -0.27% | +0.43% | +0.27% | -0.03% | +0.74% | -0.30% | +0.37% | -0.02% |
| 23 Avg -0.08% | +0.39% | -0.43% | -0.45% | +0.56% | -0.26% | +0.52% | -0.21% | +0.01% | -0.76% | 0.00% | -0.52% | +0.20% |
| 24 Avg +0.10% | -0.30% | -0.31% | +1.16% | +0.56% | +0.20% | -0.27% | -0.10% | -0.22% | +0.16% | +0.11% | +0.24% | 0.00% |
| 25 Avg +0.11% | +0.22% | -0.42% | -0.04% | +0.03% | +0.30% | -0.08% | -0.15% | +0.08% | +0.71% | +0.44% | +0.27% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.04% | +0.15% | +0.06% | +0.78% | -0.52% | +0.36% | +0.10% | -0.01% | -0.06% | -0.16% | -0.72% | -0.14% | +0.64% |
| 27 Avg -0.03% | -0.60% | -0.60% | -0.37% | -0.48% | +0.57% | -0.11% | +0.66% | +0.01% | +0.13% | +0.37% | +0.10% | -0.04% |
| 28 Avg +0.14% | +0.98% | -0.01% | -0.30% | +0.03% | -0.08% | +0.02% | -0.04% | +0.34% | -0.06% | +0.67% | +0.12% | +0.01% |
| 29 Avg +0.11% | -0.12% | - | +0.81% | +0.15% | -0.10% | +0.41% | +0.53% | +0.61% | -0.61% | -0.19% | -0.26% | 0.00% |
| 30 Avg +0.21% | +0.12% | - | +0.36% | -0.07% | +0.24% | +0.53% | -0.04% | +0.34% | +0.31% | -0.25% | +1.04% | -0.30% |
| 31 Avg +0.22% | -0.28% | - | +0.27% | - | -0.33% | - | +1.33% | +0.33% | - | +0.26% | - | -0.06% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
