Check historical price trends and seasonality for Anglo American plc (AAL.L).
Anglo American plc (AAL.L) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +41.58%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 23 for 30 days) is -0.27%.
4 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 57.14%.
1) Overview:
Anglo American plc (AAL.L) demonstrates a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, particularly from February to December. The stock price tends to increase significantly from February, reaching +14.6% by March 5. This upward trend continues through April, peaking around +20.5% by April 20. The stock then consolidates through the summer before experiencing a significant surge in the final months, culminating in gains of +42.8% by December 7 and +41.5% by December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
While the overall trend is positive, there are periods where the stock experiences pullbacks, offering potential buying opportunities. After the strong gains in February and early March, there is a slight dip around March 15, where the average gain is +6.8%. Another potential pullback occurs in early May, with gains decreasing to +13.3% by May 4. These dips could be considered strategic entry points, anticipating a continuation of the broader upward trend, especially leading into the strong performance typically seen in the latter half of the year.
3) Summary:
The seasonality data suggests a buy-and-hold strategy for Anglo American plc (AAL.L), with potential for enhanced returns by timing entries during pullback periods. Consider initiating or adding to positions around March 15 or early May to capitalize on dips before the historically strong performance in the second half of the year. The most significant gains are typically realized in December, making it a crucial period to hold the stock.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-23 | 2,499.3987 | 2025-02-21 | 2,393.4587 | -105.9400 | -4.24 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-23 | 1,755.4647 | 2024-02-21 | 1,685.0342 | -70.4305 | -4.01 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-23 | 3,520.0520 | 2023-02-21 | 3,093.8398 | -426.2122 | -12.11 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-23 | 2,064.1201 | 2020-02-21 | 2,074.8606 | 10.7405 | 0.52 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-23 | 1,758.3101 | 2019-02-21 | 1,942.8506 | 184.5405 | 10.50 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-23 | 1,682.3458 | 2018-02-21 | 1,754.2092 | 71.8634 | 4.27 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-23 | 1,277.6259 | 2017-02-21 | 1,318.6349 | 41.0090 | 3.21 |
| Avg | 2,079.6168 | 2,037.5554 | -42.06 | -0.27 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +3.97% | Feb Total +5.21% | Mar Total +0.94% | Apr Total +4.68% | May Total +0.03% | Jun Total +0.90% | Jul Total +4.37% | Aug Total -4.05% | Sep Total +6.12% | Oct Total +2.08% | Nov Total +5.46% | Dec Total +4.09% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.39% | 0.00% | +0.40% | +2.41% | -0.30% | -0.12% | +0.81% | -0.22% | -1.59% | +0.10% | -0.12% | +1.49% | +1.78% |
| 2 Avg +0.03% | +0.27% | -1.51% | +0.57% | +0.53% | -0.14% | +1.12% | +0.42% | -1.41% | +0.43% | -0.09% | -0.04% | +0.18% |
| 3 Avg +0.05% | -0.90% | +0.54% | +0.93% | -1.35% | -1.23% | +0.40% | +0.44% | +0.89% | -0.47% | +0.33% | +0.09% | +0.97% |
| 4 Avg +0.22% | +0.37% | +2.13% | -0.05% | -0.77% | -1.03% | -0.04% | +0.11% | +0.53% | +0.27% | +0.63% | +0.73% | -0.23% |
| 5 Avg +0.26% | +0.96% | +1.28% | +0.26% | +0.18% | +1.64% | +0.57% | -1.31% | -0.22% | +0.10% | -0.09% | +0.20% | -0.47% |
| 6 Avg +0.06% | +0.64% | +0.36% | -0.40% | +0.45% | -0.58% | +1.99% | -0.75% | -0.13% | -0.36% | -0.53% | +0.23% | -0.15% |
| 7 Avg +0.40% | -0.52% | -0.33% | +0.46% | +0.41% | +0.81% | -0.51% | +1.23% | +0.29% | -0.18% | +1.01% | +0.64% | +1.45% |
| 8 Avg -0.15% | -0.60% | +0.45% | -1.88% | +2.29% | -0.59% | +0.52% | -0.10% | +0.75% | -0.11% | -0.52% | +0.06% | -2.00% |
| 9 Avg -0.26% | +1.14% | -1.43% | -2.15% | -0.10% | -1.55% | -0.90% | +0.15% | -0.16% | +1.29% | +0.81% | +0.33% | -0.51% |
| 10 Avg +0.22% | +0.60% | +0.65% | -0.74% | +1.06% | +1.09% | -0.96% | +0.87% | -0.05% | +0.08% | +0.49% | +0.16% | -0.61% |
| 11 Avg +0.44% | +0.80% | -0.75% | +0.79% | +0.70% | +0.60% | -0.26% | +0.32% | +0.05% | +0.94% | +0.48% | +0.96% | +0.67% |
| 12 Avg +0.16% | +0.91% | +2.79% | -1.85% | +0.73% | -0.64% | -0.07% | +0.82% | -0.39% | +0.76% | -0.09% | -0.49% | -0.62% |
| 13 Avg +0.21% | +0.11% | +0.86% | +1.44% | +1.51% | -0.66% | -0.02% | -0.06% | 0.00% | -0.23% | +0.14% | +0.04% | -0.55% |
| 14 Avg -0.03% | +1.38% | -0.29% | -0.12% | -0.02% | -0.39% | -0.75% | +0.05% | -1.35% | +0.42% | -0.16% | +0.26% | +0.60% |
| 15 Avg -0.46% | -1.79% | +1.23% | -1.88% | -0.87% | +0.59% | -0.88% | -0.24% | -1.36% | +0.05% | -0.28% | -0.04% | -0.01% |
| 16 Avg +0.07% | -0.13% | +0.67% | +0.45% | -0.37% | +1.21% | -0.77% | -0.64% | +0.74% | -0.60% | +0.40% | -0.14% | +0.01% |
| 17 Avg +0.29% | +0.55% | +1.21% | +0.72% | +1.19% | +0.87% | -0.43% | -0.10% | -0.36% | -0.97% | +0.09% | +0.12% | +0.55% |
| 18 Avg -0.11% | +0.84% | -1.18% | -0.63% | +0.75% | +0.19% | -0.29% | +0.68% | -0.69% | +0.04% | -0.74% | -0.54% | +0.20% |
| 19 Avg -0.09% | -0.20% | +0.12% | -1.09% | +0.65% | -0.34% | -0.46% | -0.99% | -0.53% | +1.29% | +0.06% | +0.21% | +0.24% |
| 20 Avg -0.04% | -0.36% | +1.00% | +0.40% | -0.42% | +0.70% | +0.05% | -0.60% | -0.63% | -0.50% | 0.00% | +0.04% | -0.15% |
| 21 Avg +0.12% | +0.56% | -0.26% | +0.65% | -2.75% | +0.29% | -0.02% | +0.88% | +0.46% | +0.37% | +0.10% | +0.04% | +1.08% |
| 22 Avg 0.00% | -1.18% | +1.00% | -0.37% | -0.52% | -0.31% | +0.05% | +0.05% | -0.36% | +0.69% | +0.28% | +0.91% | -0.28% |
| 23 Avg -0.06% | -0.31% | -1.30% | -1.22% | +0.59% | -0.28% | -0.09% | +0.23% | +1.06% | -0.26% | -0.09% | +0.18% | +0.77% |
| 24 Avg +0.20% | +0.43% | -2.34% | +1.95% | +0.04% | -0.12% | -0.05% | +0.42% | +0.22% | +0.70% | -0.03% | +0.86% | +0.26% |
| 25 Avg +0.17% | -0.10% | +0.71% | +0.79% | -0.87% | -0.24% | -0.37% | +1.42% | -0.10% | -0.06% | +0.83% | -0.01% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.42% | +1.78% | +0.48% | +0.51% | +0.40% | +0.74% | +1.01% | +0.48% | +0.18% | +0.01% | +0.21% | -0.75% | 0.00% |
| 27 Avg -0.11% | -1.59% | -0.48% | -0.81% | +0.80% | +0.58% | +0.14% | +0.75% | +0.27% | +0.22% | -0.80% | -0.50% | +0.10% |
| 28 Avg +0.26% | +0.89% | -0.81% | -0.45% | +1.21% | -0.16% | +0.09% | +0.63% | +0.74% | +0.57% | -0.40% | -0.02% | +0.84% |
| 29 Avg +0.50% | +0.02% | - | +0.17% | +1.38% | -0.66% | +1.26% | +0.45% | +0.43% | +1.46% | +0.54% | +0.52% | -0.10% |
| 30 Avg -0.26% | -0.31% | - | +2.19% | -1.89% | +0.35% | -0.21% | -1.21% | -0.96% | +0.08% | -0.81% | -0.09% | -0.03% |
| 31 Avg -0.09% | -0.30% | - | -0.07% | - | -0.60% | - | +0.17% | -0.39% | - | +0.45% | - | +0.10% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
