Check historical price trends and seasonality for American Airlines Group (AAL).
American Airlines Group (AAL) average YTD return over the past 10 years is -6.48%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -18.56%.
1 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 20.00%.
1) Overview:
American Airlines Group (AAL) exhibits a strong bullish tendency from early January, peaking around February 22 with an average gain of +5.2%. A significant bearish phase follows, starting in early March and extending through October, bottoming out on October 2 with an average loss of -16.5%. The stock then experiences a partial recovery in November and December, but still tends to decline into the end of the year, reaching -6.5% on December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most significant pullback period for AAL is between March and October, presenting multiple buying opportunities. The steepest declines typically occur between March and May, with smaller pullbacks continuing through the summer months. Investors might consider initiating positions during the late spring or summer months, with the most attractive entry point around October 2, where the stock tends to be down -16.5%.
3) Summary:
Based on 10-year average seasonality, a potential investment strategy for AAL involves capitalizing on the pronounced dip in October for entry. The data suggests a strong tendency for gains between January and February, making this a potential exit point. Investors should be aware of the overall market conditions and company-specific news, as seasonality is just one factor to consider.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 18.2900 | 2025-03-16 | 10.8700 | -7.4200 | -40.57 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 13.1900 | 2024-03-15 | 13.9600 | 0.7700 | 5.84 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 28.2300 | 2020-03-15 | 14.3100 | -13.9200 | -49.31 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 32.8400 | 2019-03-16 | 31.4300 | -1.4100 | -4.29 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 57.9800 | 2018-03-16 | 55.4000 | -2.5800 | -4.45 |
| Avg | 30.1060 | 25.1940 | -4.91 | -18.56 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +2.85% | Feb Total -0.35% | Mar Total -6.48% | Apr Total -4.66% | May Total -0.75% | Jun Total +0.58% | Jul Total +0.75% | Aug Total -0.40% | Sep Total -1.94% | Oct Total +3.16% | Nov Total +7.92% | Dec Total +2.61% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.20% | 0.00% | +0.51% | -0.31% | -1.63% | -0.93% | +0.63% | +0.75% | -1.19% | -0.08% | +0.03% | +0.90% | -1.04% |
| 2 Avg -0.18% | -0.02% | -0.63% | -0.28% | -1.18% | +0.60% | +0.76% | -0.26% | -1.88% | +0.30% | -0.48% | -0.33% | +1.22% |
| 3 Avg -0.01% | -1.37% | +0.52% | -0.47% | -1.48% | +0.69% | -0.67% | +0.22% | +0.47% | 0.00% | +0.66% | +1.17% | +0.09% |
| 4 Avg +0.35% | +0.98% | +0.74% | -1.99% | -0.70% | -1.18% | +4.69% | 0.00% | +0.47% | +0.04% | +1.76% | -0.64% | +0.05% |
| 5 Avg +0.35% | +0.43% | -0.81% | -1.40% | -0.25% | -0.38% | +1.37% | +0.64% | +1.53% | -0.25% | -0.20% | +1.78% | +1.72% |
| 6 Avg +0.11% | +0.58% | +0.66% | -1.04% | -0.39% | -0.27% | +0.57% | -0.23% | +0.49% | +0.14% | -0.62% | -0.19% | +1.65% |
| 7 Avg +0.23% | +0.45% | +0.48% | -1.25% | +0.60% | +0.06% | +1.11% | -0.14% | +0.04% | +0.72% | -0.42% | +1.04% | +0.07% |
| 8 Avg +0.50% | +0.46% | -0.01% | +0.73% | +0.18% | +1.73% | +0.67% | +0.21% | +0.94% | -0.15% | +0.50% | +0.47% | +0.30% |
| 9 Avg +0.07% | +0.69% | +0.26% | -0.44% | +3.03% | -0.50% | -1.23% | -0.26% | -1.05% | +0.56% | -1.01% | +0.98% | -0.15% |
| 10 Avg +0.10% | +0.55% | -0.16% | +0.98% | -1.87% | +0.45% | -1.55% | +2.29% | +0.77% | -0.31% | -0.07% | -0.47% | +0.58% |
| 11 Avg -0.39% | +0.93% | -0.60% | -0.98% | +0.91% | -1.08% | -2.18% | -1.80% | -0.02% | +0.86% | +0.15% | -0.31% | -0.54% |
| 12 Avg +0.05% | +0.48% | +0.81% | -2.39% | -1.09% | -1.27% | +1.82% | +2.68% | +0.21% | +0.17% | -0.47% | -0.72% | +0.35% |
| 13 Avg -0.41% | -0.28% | -0.03% | -0.06% | +0.01% | +0.78% | -1.19% | -0.87% | -0.33% | -1.14% | -0.19% | +0.13% | -1.82% |
| 14 Avg +0.12% | +0.63% | -0.08% | -0.11% | +0.37% | +0.43% | -1.03% | +0.66% | -0.46% | +0.04% | +0.57% | +0.46% | -0.03% |
| 15 Avg +0.43% | -0.79% | +0.87% | +0.99% | -0.03% | +0.13% | +0.12% | +1.43% | +0.52% | -0.12% | +0.97% | +0.77% | +0.35% |
| 16 Avg +0.04% | +0.49% | -0.04% | +1.71% | -1.21% | +0.41% | -0.75% | -0.23% | +0.52% | -0.56% | +0.92% | -0.58% | -0.24% |
| 17 Avg +0.07% | -0.05% | -0.07% | +0.28% | +1.56% | +1.11% | +0.21% | -0.74% | -1.98% | +0.65% | -0.03% | -0.16% | +0.06% |
| 18 Avg -0.24% | +0.45% | -0.42% | -2.40% | +0.34% | +0.45% | -0.47% | +0.33% | -0.29% | -0.57% | -0.11% | -0.18% | +0.02% |
| 19 Avg -0.09% | -0.63% | +0.57% | -0.89% | +0.72% | -0.73% | -0.13% | -0.43% | -0.23% | +0.24% | +0.43% | -0.03% | +0.05% |
| 20 Avg -0.23% | +0.05% | -0.07% | +0.26% | -1.13% | -0.82% | -0.49% | -0.26% | -0.12% | +0.06% | -0.18% | -0.46% | +0.40% |
| 21 Avg -0.21% | -0.52% | -0.83% | -0.20% | -0.03% | -0.37% | -0.02% | -0.85% | +0.08% | -1.09% | +0.36% | +0.23% | +0.76% |
| 22 Avg -0.28% | -0.24% | +1.27% | -1.31% | -1.28% | -0.83% | -0.71% | +0.10% | -0.45% | +0.21% | -0.36% | +0.82% | -0.59% |
| 23 Avg -0.08% | -0.68% | -0.30% | -1.31% | +0.43% | -0.45% | -0.39% | +0.62% | -0.09% | -0.77% | +0.13% | +1.56% | +0.24% |
| 24 Avg +0.23% | -0.36% | -0.13% | +3.88% | +0.17% | -0.52% | -0.52% | -1.91% | +1.24% | -0.60% | +0.90% | +1.08% | -0.42% |
| 25 Avg +0.27% | +0.79% | -0.89% | +1.35% | -0.71% | +1.51% | -0.84% | -0.56% | +0.41% | -0.03% | +1.26% | +1.00% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.03% | +0.55% | +0.10% | +0.35% | -1.23% | +2.39% | -0.49% | +0.90% | -1.14% | -0.04% | -1.19% | -0.66% | +0.79% |
| 27 Avg -0.27% | -0.66% | -1.26% | -0.82% | -0.53% | +1.94% | -0.12% | -0.37% | +0.38% | +0.32% | -1.23% | -0.09% | -0.83% |
| 28 Avg +0.30% | +1.18% | -0.83% | +0.12% | +1.63% | -1.53% | +0.62% | +0.60% | +1.00% | +1.05% | -0.12% | -0.12% | +0.04% |
| 29 Avg -0.19% | -0.50% | - | +1.21% | +0.67% | -2.22% | +0.65% | -1.27% | +0.52% | -1.02% | +0.47% | +0.07% | -0.62% |
| 30 Avg -0.18% | -0.91% | - | -0.58% | -0.57% | -0.27% | +0.11% | -0.36% | -0.19% | -0.57% | +0.65% | +0.38% | +0.32% |
| 31 Avg -0.12% | +0.16% | - | -0.12% | - | -0.08% | - | -0.14% | -0.55% | - | +0.08% | - | -0.18% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
