Check historical price trends and seasonality for Tobu Railway Co., Ltd. (9001.T).
Tobu Railway Co., Ltd. (9001.T) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +1.15%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jul 17 for 7 days) is -0.66%.
1 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 20.00%.
1) Overview:
The 10-year average seasonality data for Tobu Railway Co., Ltd. reveals a distinct pattern of declines followed by rallies. The stock tends to experience a significant bearish phase from early February, bottoming out around August 6 with an average decline of -3.8%. A strong bullish trend then emerges, culminating around September 25 with an average gain of +3.0%, followed by a gradual increase through December, ending with a smaller gain of +1.1% on December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Several opportunities exist to "buy the dip" based on this seasonality. The most pronounced pullback occurs between February and early August, with the steepest declines typically observed in July and early August. August 6, showing an average decline of -3.8%, represents a potential entry point before the stock begins its upward trend. Another, less pronounced, buying opportunity may arise in October, before the November rally.
3) Summary:
An investment strategy based on this data suggests initiating a long position around August 6 to capitalize on the subsequent rally into late September. Consider holding through December, taking advantage of the year-end increase, and closing the position by December 31. However, be mindful of broader market conditions and company-specific news that could override these seasonal tendencies.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-07-17 | 2,498.5000 | 2025-07-23 | 2,533.0000 | 34.5000 | 1.38 |
| 2024 | 2024-07-17 | 2,660.0000 | 2024-07-23 | 2,626.5000 | -33.5000 | -1.26 |
| 2020 | 2020-07-17 | 3,435.0000 | 2020-07-23 | 3,355.0000 | -80.0000 | -2.33 |
| 2019 | 2019-07-17 | 3,095.0000 | 2019-07-23 | 3,095.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| 2018 | 2018-07-17 | 3,285.0000 | 2018-07-23 | 3,265.0000 | -20.0000 | -0.61 |
| 2017 | 2017-07-17 | 3,020.0000 | 2017-07-23 | 2,985.0000 | -35.0000 | -1.16 |
| Avg | 2,998.9167 | 2,976.5833 | -22.33 | -0.66 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.46% | Feb Total -2.03% | Mar Total +1.54% | Apr Total -0.87% | May Total -0.27% | Jun Total +0.88% | Jul Total -2.88% | Aug Total +1.77% | Sep Total +2.12% | Oct Total -2.18% | Nov Total +3.20% | Dec Total -0.45% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.06% | 0.00% | +0.23% | +0.30% | -1.05% | -1.04% | +0.19% | -0.27% | +0.37% | -0.01% | -0.26% | +1.26% | -0.41% |
| 2 Avg -0.15% | 0.00% | +0.07% | -0.20% | -0.75% | -0.54% | +0.65% | -0.03% | -0.51% | -0.04% | -0.42% | -0.02% | -0.03% |
| 3 Avg +0.03% | 0.00% | -0.14% | +0.22% | -0.10% | 0.00% | +0.18% | -0.35% | -0.09% | +0.65% | -0.40% | 0.00% | +0.34% |
| 4 Avg +0.08% | +0.06% | +0.31% | -0.22% | +0.23% | 0.00% | +0.30% | +0.13% | +0.38% | -0.08% | +0.20% | +0.13% | -0.43% |
| 5 Avg -0.09% | +0.23% | -0.69% | +0.27% | +0.14% | 0.00% | -0.01% | -0.30% | -0.94% | +0.09% | +0.24% | -0.04% | -0.04% |
| 6 Avg +0.07% | +0.06% | -0.26% | -0.51% | -0.34% | +1.11% | +0.32% | -0.02% | -0.07% | 0.00% | -0.02% | +0.87% | -0.33% |
| 7 Avg +0.17% | +0.41% | +0.05% | +0.29% | -0.48% | +0.05% | -0.29% | -0.54% | +0.66% | +0.83% | -0.27% | +0.73% | +0.63% |
| 8 Avg +0.14% | -0.30% | +0.82% | -0.31% | +1.13% | +0.43% | +0.47% | -0.49% | +0.21% | +0.08% | -0.47% | -0.15% | +0.30% |
| 9 Avg -0.24% | -0.02% | -0.79% | -0.47% | -0.50% | -0.29% | +0.13% | +0.18% | -0.10% | -0.30% | -0.28% | -0.49% | +0.10% |
| 10 Avg +0.28% | +0.29% | -0.22% | +0.59% | +0.35% | +0.41% | +0.44% | -0.52% | +0.38% | +0.19% | +0.55% | +1.02% | -0.19% |
| 11 Avg +0.03% | +0.13% | 0.00% | -0.15% | -0.34% | -0.11% | -0.22% | +0.55% | +0.66% | +0.18% | -0.57% | +0.26% | -0.07% |
| 12 Avg +0.00% | -0.53% | -0.13% | -0.09% | +0.20% | -0.52% | -0.17% | +0.07% | +0.35% | +0.83% | -0.45% | +0.19% | +0.30% |
| 13 Avg -0.06% | +0.23% | +0.16% | -0.33% | -0.16% | -0.09% | -0.42% | +0.08% | -0.13% | +0.53% | -0.15% | -0.75% | +0.33% |
| 14 Avg +0.04% | -0.05% | -0.71% | +0.29% | +0.76% | +0.17% | -0.02% | +0.13% | +0.07% | +0.05% | +0.06% | -0.25% | -0.08% |
| 15 Avg +0.12% | +0.15% | +1.01% | +0.61% | +0.22% | -0.10% | -0.17% | -0.23% | +0.11% | -0.45% | +0.25% | -0.05% | +0.10% |
| 16 Avg -0.08% | -0.12% | -0.15% | +0.09% | -0.26% | -0.11% | +0.06% | -0.45% | -0.11% | +0.28% | -0.46% | +0.37% | -0.11% |
| 17 Avg +0.13% | -0.12% | +0.02% | +1.36% | -0.09% | +0.64% | -0.52% | +0.15% | -0.49% | +0.28% | -0.04% | +0.36% | -0.01% |
| 18 Avg -0.04% | -0.04% | +0.04% | +0.47% | -0.17% | +0.21% | -0.36% | -0.38% | -0.23% | +0.14% | +0.24% | +0.05% | -0.40% |
| 19 Avg +0.10% | +0.15% | +0.16% | +0.90% | -0.22% | -0.07% | +0.11% | +0.20% | +0.14% | +0.22% | +0.19% | -0.16% | -0.46% |
| 20 Avg -0.07% | -0.38% | -0.24% | -0.13% | -0.11% | +0.06% | -0.22% | -0.01% | +0.39% | +0.20% | +0.03% | -0.13% | -0.35% |
| 21 Avg -0.08% | 0.00% | -0.54% | -0.07% | +0.07% | -0.22% | +0.05% | +0.05% | -0.43% | +0.20% | 0.00% | +0.24% | -0.26% |
| 22 Avg +0.12% | +0.68% | -0.50% | +0.26% | +0.70% | -0.05% | +0.37% | -0.36% | +0.03% | -0.03% | +0.01% | +0.45% | -0.12% |
| 23 Avg +0.06% | -0.25% | -0.02% | -0.30% | +0.28% | -0.06% | +0.11% | +0.16% | +0.33% | +0.28% | -0.02% | 0.00% | +0.23% |
| 24 Avg -0.19% | -0.54% | +0.18% | -0.37% | -0.03% | -0.69% | -0.61% | -0.31% | -0.14% | 0.00% | 0.00% | +0.21% | -0.04% |
| 25 Avg +0.08% | +0.13% | -0.06% | +0.42% | -0.11% | +0.08% | +0.03% | -0.04% | +0.22% | +0.22% | -0.19% | +0.40% | -0.15% |
| 26 Avg +0.09% | -0.47% | -0.24% | +0.70% | +0.52% | +0.53% | +0.12% | +0.12% | -0.08% | -0.20% | -0.10% | -0.18% | +0.30% |
| 27 Avg +0.13% | +0.29% | -0.08% | +0.93% | -0.24% | -0.17% | +0.78% | +0.72% | -0.36% | -0.52% | +0.04% | -0.49% | +0.62% |
| 28 Avg -0.09% | +0.16% | -0.29% | -1.10% | -0.47% | +0.59% | +0.47% | -0.34% | +0.38% | -0.46% | -0.01% | -0.07% | +0.08% |
| 29 Avg -0.05% | +0.72% | - | +0.04% | 0.00% | -0.27% | -0.45% | +0.07% | -0.01% | -0.47% | -0.02% | -0.43% | +0.29% |
| 30 Avg -0.29% | -0.10% | - | -0.91% | -0.05% | -0.13% | -0.42% | -0.31% | +0.24% | -0.54% | -0.22% | -0.15% | -0.62% |
| 31 Avg -0.17% | -0.32% | - | -1.05% | - | -0.11% | - | -0.54% | +0.53% | - | +0.33% | - | 0.00% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
