Check historical price trends and seasonality for The Japan Steel Works, Ltd. (5631.T).
The Japan Steel Works, Ltd. (5631.T) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +24.10%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Apr 7 for 30 days) is +12.93%.
7 wins 0 losses with a win rate of 100.00%.
1) Overview:
The Japan Steel Works, Ltd. exhibits a clear seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. The stock tends to decline significantly from early January, reaching its lowest point around April 7 with an average drop of -9.5%. A strong bullish phase then begins, lasting from late May through December, culminating in substantial gains. Notably, December sees strong positive movement, especially around December 4 (+29.9%) and December 31 (+24.0%).
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Several opportunities exist to buy the dip in The Japan Steel Works, Ltd. The most prominent pullback occurs between January and early April, presenting a significant buying opportunity as the stock bottoms out around April 7. Another potential, albeit smaller, dip occurs in May, specifically around May 14 (-4.5%), before the stock begins its ascent. These pullbacks could be attributed to profit-taking after the December rally or broader market corrections, making them attractive entry points.
3) Summary:
An investment strategy for The Japan Steel Works, Ltd. should consider its pronounced seasonality. A potential approach involves accumulating shares during the weakness from January to early April, capitalizing on the dip around April 7. Alternatively, a smaller position could be initiated in mid-May. The goal would be to benefit from the subsequent rally that typically extends through December, with a potential exit strategy before the end of the year to capture gains from the December surge.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-04-07 | 3,866.0000 | 2025-05-06 | 5,761.0000 | 1,895.0000 | 49.02 |
| 2023 | 2023-04-07 | 2,410.0000 | 2023-05-06 | 2,474.0000 | 64.0000 | 2.66 |
| 2022 | 2022-04-07 | 3,360.0000 | 2022-05-06 | 3,725.0000 | 365.0000 | 10.86 |
| 2021 | 2021-04-07 | 2,699.0000 | 2021-05-06 | 2,758.0000 | 59.0000 | 2.19 |
| 2020 | 2020-04-07 | 1,272.0000 | 2020-05-06 | 1,275.0000 | 3.0000 | 0.24 |
| 2017 | 2017-04-07 | 1,773.0000 | 2017-05-06 | 1,824.0000 | 51.0000 | 2.88 |
| 2016 | 2016-04-07 | 1,655.0000 | 2016-05-06 | 2,030.0000 | 375.0000 | 22.66 |
| Avg | 2,433.5714 | 2,835.2857 | 401.71 | 12.93 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -1.31% | Feb Total -3.73% | Mar Total -0.10% | Apr Total +6.03% | May Total +3.35% | Jun Total +1.54% | Jul Total +1.51% | Aug Total +4.09% | Sep Total +5.22% | Oct Total +5.38% | Nov Total +3.23% | Dec Total -2.63% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.15% | 0.00% | +0.18% | +0.32% | -0.67% | -0.65% | +0.69% | +0.87% | -0.05% | -0.46% | +0.61% | +0.51% | +0.42% |
| 2 Avg -0.08% | 0.00% | +0.06% | +0.10% | +0.12% | -0.26% | +0.94% | +0.20% | -1.93% | -0.17% | +0.23% | +0.45% | -0.74% |
| 3 Avg +0.10% | 0.00% | -1.03% | +0.18% | -0.40% | 0.00% | +0.36% | +0.75% | +0.18% | +0.50% | -0.29% | 0.00% | +0.91% |
| 4 Avg +0.06% | +0.36% | +0.70% | -0.05% | -1.48% | 0.00% | +0.84% | -0.25% | +0.32% | -0.35% | +0.08% | -0.07% | +0.66% |
| 5 Avg -0.32% | 0.00% | +0.35% | -0.34% | -1.04% | 0.00% | +0.13% | -0.15% | -1.92% | +0.38% | +0.44% | -0.74% | -0.98% |
| 6 Avg +0.92% | -0.43% | +0.27% | +2.66% | -0.25% | +0.32% | +0.58% | -0.21% | +3.77% | +0.47% | +2.08% | +1.78% | -0.02% |
| 7 Avg +0.07% | +1.30% | -1.21% | -2.73% | -1.36% | +0.01% | +0.09% | -0.06% | +2.67% | +0.10% | +0.26% | +1.58% | +0.16% |
| 8 Avg +0.38% | +0.38% | -0.16% | -0.70% | +1.81% | +0.31% | +0.13% | -0.77% | +1.86% | +0.26% | +1.11% | -0.47% | +0.84% |
| 9 Avg -0.19% | +0.16% | +0.16% | -0.75% | +0.84% | -1.84% | -0.01% | -0.46% | -0.03% | +0.35% | -0.49% | -0.82% | +0.59% |
| 10 Avg -0.10% | +0.42% | -0.65% | +0.18% | +2.00% | -1.48% | +0.02% | -0.68% | -0.18% | -0.12% | -0.50% | +1.05% | -1.22% |
| 11 Avg +0.03% | +0.73% | 0.00% | -1.03% | +1.22% | -0.10% | -0.17% | -0.27% | +0.20% | +0.33% | -0.39% | +0.14% | -0.28% |
| 12 Avg +0.30% | -0.96% | +0.40% | +0.43% | -0.36% | +1.23% | +0.25% | +0.64% | -0.13% | +1.72% | +0.44% | -0.32% | +0.25% |
| 13 Avg -0.09% | +0.44% | -0.37% | -0.71% | +0.55% | -0.17% | -0.64% | +0.85% | -0.84% | +0.25% | -0.14% | -0.38% | 0.00% |
| 14 Avg -0.24% | -0.56% | -0.41% | -0.21% | +0.58% | -1.59% | +0.17% | +0.58% | -0.42% | +0.35% | -0.56% | -0.45% | -0.40% |
| 15 Avg -0.03% | -0.78% | +1.08% | -0.12% | +0.57% | -0.23% | -1.31% | +0.02% | +0.32% | -0.32% | +1.18% | -0.08% | -0.67% |
| 16 Avg +0.06% | -0.46% | +0.47% | -0.94% | -0.22% | -0.28% | +1.44% | +0.62% | -0.53% | -0.39% | +0.07% | +1.25% | -0.35% |
| 17 Avg -0.01% | -0.10% | -1.34% | +0.84% | +1.11% | -0.39% | -0.59% | -0.05% | +0.13% | -0.38% | +0.40% | +0.39% | -0.16% |
| 18 Avg -0.10% | -0.57% | +0.48% | +0.07% | +0.05% | +2.06% | -0.95% | -0.32% | -0.50% | -0.07% | +0.40% | -1.14% | -0.74% |
| 19 Avg +0.42% | +0.59% | -0.17% | +0.02% | +0.78% | +2.77% | +0.07% | +0.22% | -0.75% | +1.29% | +0.39% | +0.17% | -0.28% |
| 20 Avg -0.21% | +0.16% | -0.35% | -0.21% | -0.60% | +0.38% | -0.49% | -0.61% | -0.90% | -0.37% | +0.88% | +0.61% | -1.03% |
| 21 Avg -0.16% | -0.56% | -0.50% | -0.01% | -0.10% | +0.09% | -0.49% | +0.50% | +0.10% | +0.35% | -0.13% | -1.24% | +0.14% |
| 22 Avg +0.21% | +0.68% | -0.36% | +0.71% | -0.11% | -0.55% | +0.78% | +0.29% | +0.23% | -0.97% | +0.31% | +1.05% | +0.50% |
| 23 Avg +0.21% | +0.22% | +0.31% | +0.18% | +0.49% | +0.43% | -0.40% | -0.05% | +0.55% | +1.44% | -0.64% | 0.00% | -0.02% |
| 24 Avg +0.24% | -0.23% | -0.66% | +0.84% | -0.08% | 0.00% | -0.79% | +1.59% | +0.29% | +0.62% | +0.47% | +1.06% | -0.25% |
| 25 Avg +0.06% | +0.03% | -0.50% | +1.31% | -0.14% | +0.54% | +0.03% | -0.74% | +1.06% | +0.80% | -0.38% | -0.04% | -1.25% |
| 26 Avg +0.20% | -0.43% | -0.23% | +0.61% | +1.16% | +1.23% | +0.35% | +0.16% | -0.84% | +0.13% | +0.18% | -0.12% | +0.15% |
| 27 Avg +0.29% | -1.09% | +0.26% | +0.67% | +0.85% | +1.29% | +0.87% | +0.09% | +0.28% | +0.14% | -0.03% | -0.14% | +0.33% |
| 28 Avg -0.27% | -1.21% | -0.51% | -0.58% | +0.07% | +0.34% | -0.06% | -0.42% | -0.20% | -0.75% | -1.05% | +0.05% | +1.08% |
| 29 Avg +0.24% | +0.32% | - | +0.58% | 0.00% | -0.28% | +0.24% | -0.29% | +0.40% | +0.39% | +0.84% | -0.12% | +0.54% |
| 30 Avg -0.17% | -0.43% | - | -0.72% | +0.66% | +0.44% | -0.53% | -0.04% | +1.14% | -0.33% | -0.60% | -0.71% | -0.80% |
| 31 Avg -0.10% | +0.72% | - | -0.71% | - | -0.27% | - | -0.50% | -0.17% | - | +0.21% | - | 0.00% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|