Check historical price trends and seasonality for Kobe Steel, Ltd. (5406.T).
Kobe Steel, Ltd. (5406.T) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +13.92%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Feb 4 for 30 days) is +6.28%.
4 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 66.67%.
1) Overview:
Kobe Steel exhibits a strong bullish trend from February to September. The stock tends to rise significantly from mid-February, reaching a peak around September 14 with an average gain of +21.7%. A bearish phase then follows, with declines observed from late September through October. The stock experiences a consolidation period in November, before rising again in December, culminating in a +13.9% increase by December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A potential buying opportunity arises around February 3, which shows an average dip of -1.4%. This pullback is followed by a strong rally that lasts until September. Another potential dip occurs from late September into October, offering a chance to enter before the year-end rally. These pullbacks could be attributed to profit-taking after extended bullish periods.
3) Summary:
Seasonality suggests a buy-and-hold strategy from mid-February to mid-September, capitalizing on the strong upward trend. Consider entering around February 3 after the dip. Alternatively, a late-September/October entry could position investors for the December rally, but be mindful of the preceding bearish period.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-02-04 | 1,627.5000 | 2025-03-05 | 1,815.0000 | 187.5000 | 11.52 |
| 2022 | 2022-02-04 | 566.0000 | 2022-03-05 | 618.0000 | 52.0000 | 9.19 |
| 2021 | 2021-02-04 | 521.0000 | 2021-03-05 | 707.0000 | 186.0000 | 35.70 |
| 2020 | 2020-02-04 | 497.0000 | 2020-03-04 | 397.0000 | -100.0000 | -20.12 |
| 2019 | 2019-02-04 | 869.0000 | 2019-03-05 | 854.0000 | -15.0000 | -1.73 |
| 2016 | 2016-02-04 | 960.0000 | 2016-03-04 | 990.0000 | 30.0000 | 3.13 |
| Avg | 840.0833 | 896.8333 | 56.75 | 6.28 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.10% | Feb Total +4.31% | Mar Total -0.40% | Apr Total +1.55% | May Total +1.23% | Jun Total -1.44% | Jul Total +4.63% | Aug Total +0.94% | Sep Total -0.85% | Oct Total -3.96% | Nov Total +3.89% | Dec Total +2.12% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.15% | 0.00% | +0.69% | +0.06% | -1.46% | +0.40% | +0.13% | +0.03% | -0.14% | +0.42% | -0.18% | +1.52% | +0.31% |
| 2 Avg +0.02% | 0.00% | +0.21% | +0.26% | 0.00% | -0.10% | +0.72% | +0.06% | -2.23% | -0.17% | +0.31% | +1.09% | +0.06% |
| 3 Avg -0.09% | 0.00% | -2.62% | +2.01% | +0.02% | 0.00% | -0.19% | +0.48% | -1.01% | +0.17% | -0.57% | 0.00% | +0.67% |
| 4 Avg +0.08% | +0.53% | +0.43% | -0.27% | -1.08% | 0.00% | +0.42% | +0.35% | +0.57% | +0.73% | +0.17% | -0.31% | -0.53% |
| 5 Avg -0.05% | +0.96% | -0.11% | -0.02% | -0.74% | 0.00% | +0.43% | -0.30% | -1.78% | +0.59% | +0.76% | -0.67% | +0.24% |
| 6 Avg +0.46% | -0.11% | -0.04% | -0.06% | +0.14% | +0.56% | +0.73% | +0.62% | +0.20% | -0.26% | +0.18% | +2.70% | +0.86% |
| 7 Avg +0.03% | +0.38% | +0.60% | -0.14% | +0.05% | -0.05% | +0.18% | -0.49% | -0.20% | -0.27% | +0.10% | -0.03% | +0.24% |
| 8 Avg +0.28% | -0.24% | +1.93% | -0.06% | +0.99% | +0.37% | +0.11% | +0.27% | +0.14% | +0.24% | -0.04% | -0.46% | +0.05% |
| 9 Avg -0.10% | -0.08% | -0.39% | -1.43% | -0.43% | -0.25% | -0.14% | -0.40% | +1.84% | +0.23% | -0.38% | -0.46% | +0.70% |
| 10 Avg +0.20% | +0.04% | +2.01% | -0.13% | +1.57% | +0.67% | -0.38% | -0.39% | -0.01% | +0.63% | -1.91% | +0.48% | -0.14% |
| 11 Avg +0.05% | +0.79% | 0.00% | -0.37% | +0.16% | +0.31% | -0.09% | -0.09% | +1.45% | +0.05% | -2.15% | +0.42% | +0.08% |
| 12 Avg +0.18% | -0.33% | -1.05% | -0.04% | +0.16% | +2.18% | -0.17% | +0.96% | +0.19% | -0.13% | +0.08% | +0.02% | +0.28% |
| 13 Avg -0.21% | +0.72% | +0.28% | -0.73% | +0.19% | -1.78% | -1.42% | +1.37% | -0.35% | +0.81% | -1.43% | -0.89% | +0.67% |
| 14 Avg +0.14% | -0.51% | +0.01% | +0.32% | +1.33% | -0.32% | +0.73% | -0.08% | -0.38% | +0.46% | -0.24% | +0.57% | -0.27% |
| 15 Avg -0.05% | -0.40% | +0.63% | +0.64% | -0.18% | -0.28% | -0.88% | +0.60% | +0.02% | -0.86% | +0.38% | -0.12% | -0.10% |
| 16 Avg -0.08% | -0.80% | +0.63% | -0.52% | -0.69% | -0.78% | +0.79% | +0.38% | -0.06% | -0.30% | +0.32% | +0.13% | -0.06% |
| 17 Avg -0.02% | +0.43% | +0.79% | +0.40% | +0.21% | +0.31% | -0.73% | -0.20% | +0.34% | -0.71% | +0.22% | -0.57% | -0.71% |
| 18 Avg -0.11% | -0.74% | +0.38% | +1.11% | +0.07% | +0.32% | -1.16% | -0.26% | -0.78% | +0.05% | -0.17% | -0.13% | +0.03% |
| 19 Avg +0.23% | +0.18% | -0.06% | +0.66% | +0.73% | -0.08% | -0.07% | +0.31% | +0.25% | +0.76% | +0.75% | -0.46% | -0.25% |
| 20 Avg -0.05% | +0.23% | +0.64% | -0.44% | +0.52% | +0.51% | -0.49% | -0.41% | -0.17% | +0.09% | -0.49% | +0.24% | -0.84% |
| 21 Avg -0.13% | -0.46% | 0.00% | -0.14% | -0.65% | -0.03% | -0.41% | -0.37% | +0.19% | +0.12% | +0.58% | -0.31% | -0.08% |
| 22 Avg -0.06% | +0.09% | -0.33% | +0.14% | +0.44% | +0.05% | 0.00% | -0.09% | -0.24% | -0.59% | -0.18% | +0.32% | -0.31% |
| 23 Avg -0.15% | -0.07% | +0.21% | -0.72% | +0.57% | -1.11% | -0.14% | +0.37% | -0.15% | -0.13% | -0.48% | 0.00% | -0.11% |
| 24 Avg -0.03% | -0.12% | -0.56% | -0.24% | -0.49% | +0.11% | -0.87% | +0.58% | -0.61% | -0.17% | +0.29% | +1.49% | +0.25% |
| 25 Avg +0.27% | +0.43% | +0.32% | +1.52% | -1.02% | +0.34% | +0.22% | -0.16% | +1.11% | +0.22% | -0.14% | +0.81% | -0.36% |
| 26 Avg -0.21% | -0.80% | -0.19% | -0.73% | +0.36% | -0.50% | -0.20% | +0.43% | -0.23% | -0.42% | +0.12% | -0.59% | +0.20% |
| 27 Avg +0.33% | +0.04% | +0.41% | +0.24% | +0.48% | +0.57% | +0.69% | +0.40% | +0.23% | -0.33% | +0.20% | +0.25% | +0.76% |
| 28 Avg +0.00% | -0.74% | -0.53% | -0.70% | -0.75% | +0.57% | +0.73% | +0.11% | +0.38% | +0.31% | -0.17% | +0.07% | +0.77% |
| 29 Avg -0.01% | +0.76% | - | +0.41% | 0.00% | -1.02% | -0.14% | -0.14% | +0.72% | -0.71% | +0.69% | -0.43% | -0.25% |
| 30 Avg -0.10% | -0.06% | - | -0.53% | +1.05% | +0.56% | +0.16% | -0.22% | +0.87% | -1.69% | -0.34% | -0.80% | -0.07% |
| 31 Avg +0.04% | -0.03% | - | -0.86% | - | -0.30% | - | +0.94% | +0.77% | - | -0.22% | - | 0.00% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
