Check historical price trends and seasonality for Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. (5019.T).
Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. (5019.T) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +15.27%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Feb 8 for 30 days) is +7.82%.
7 wins 1 losses with a win rate of 87.50%.
1) Overview:
Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. typically experiences a strong bullish phase from January through March, rising from approximately 0% to around +7.4% by March 31. A bearish trend then appears, bottoming out around August 5 with a -3.3% average return. The stock then enters a strong recovery phase, climbing steadily from late August through December, culminating in significant gains of +16.0% by December 27 and +15.2% by December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A potential buying opportunity arises in early August, specifically around August 5, which shows an average dip of -3.3%. This pullback could be a strategic entry point, anticipating the subsequent recovery and bullish trend that typically begins in late August. Another possible buying opportunity could be considered in late June/early July, although the negative movement is less pronounced.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a potential investment strategy involves capitalizing on the dip in early August around August 5, aiming to benefit from the subsequent rally through the end of the year. The strong positive seasonality in December, particularly around December 27 and December 31, suggests this could be a profitable period. Investors should be aware of broader market conditions and company-specific news that could influence these seasonal trends.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-02-08 | 810.4000 | 2024-03-08 | 984.8000 | 174.4000 | 21.52 |
| 2023 | 2023-02-08 | 636.0000 | 2023-03-09 | 612.0000 | -24.0000 | -3.77 |
| 2022 | 2022-02-08 | 615.0000 | 2022-03-09 | 668.0000 | 53.0000 | 8.62 |
| 2021 | 2021-02-08 | 517.4000 | 2021-03-09 | 580.2000 | 62.8000 | 12.14 |
| 2019 | 2019-02-08 | 715.0000 | 2019-03-09 | 771.0000 | 56.0000 | 7.83 |
| 2018 | 2018-02-08 | 785.0000 | 2018-03-09 | 811.0000 | 26.0000 | 3.31 |
| 2017 | 2017-02-08 | 682.0000 | 2017-03-09 | 768.0000 | 86.0000 | 12.61 |
| 2016 | 2016-02-08 | 375.6000 | 2016-03-08 | 376.6000 | 1.0000 | 0.27 |
| Avg | 642.0500 | 696.4500 | 54.40 | 7.82 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1.42% | Feb Total +2.95% | Mar Total +3.08% | Apr Total -0.79% | May Total -5.54% | Jun Total +1.55% | Jul Total +0.07% | Aug Total +2.96% | Sep Total +4.55% | Oct Total +2.15% | Nov Total +1.33% | Dec Total +2.71% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.06% | 0.00% | +0.56% | +0.49% | -1.33% | -0.14% | +0.58% | -0.33% | +0.03% | -0.04% | +0.02% | +0.10% | +0.82% |
| 2 Avg -0.15% | 0.00% | -1.03% | +0.43% | -0.58% | -0.08% | +0.31% | +0.21% | -0.95% | -0.02% | +0.24% | +0.06% | -0.33% |
| 3 Avg +0.06% | 0.00% | +0.70% | +0.86% | -0.66% | 0.00% | +0.29% | +0.20% | -0.52% | +0.06% | -0.78% | 0.00% | +0.51% |
| 4 Avg +0.02% | +1.00% | +0.51% | +0.92% | -0.46% | 0.00% | +0.34% | -1.56% | -1.03% | -0.41% | +1.11% | +0.23% | -0.41% |
| 5 Avg -0.28% | +0.19% | -0.43% | -0.19% | -0.88% | 0.00% | -0.47% | -0.57% | -1.26% | +0.63% | +0.46% | -0.36% | -0.47% |
| 6 Avg +0.48% | 0.00% | +0.14% | +0.52% | +0.10% | +0.62% | +0.75% | -0.41% | +1.32% | +0.61% | +1.46% | +0.43% | +0.28% |
| 7 Avg 0.00% | +0.27% | +0.12% | +0.93% | -0.38% | -0.68% | +0.84% | -0.71% | +0.48% | -0.13% | -0.03% | -0.54% | -0.20% |
| 8 Avg +0.18% | +0.10% | -0.35% | -1.02% | +1.25% | -0.36% | +0.52% | -0.36% | +0.17% | +0.48% | +0.68% | +0.76% | +0.25% |
| 9 Avg -0.18% | -0.41% | -1.07% | -1.11% | -0.53% | +0.45% | +0.38% | +0.57% | +0.68% | -0.16% | -0.59% | -1.19% | +0.86% |
| 10 Avg +0.53% | -0.24% | -0.04% | +0.78% | +0.76% | +0.33% | +0.05% | +0.88% | +1.03% | +0.43% | +0.47% | +1.50% | +0.46% |
| 11 Avg +0.11% | +0.14% | 0.00% | +0.24% | +0.44% | -1.07% | -0.16% | +1.56% | +0.53% | +0.32% | -0.10% | -0.40% | -0.25% |
| 12 Avg +0.13% | +0.28% | -0.25% | +0.47% | -0.79% | -0.01% | +0.25% | +0.46% | +0.32% | -0.20% | +0.35% | -0.15% | +0.84% |
| 13 Avg -0.04% | +0.65% | +0.63% | -0.94% | -0.24% | +0.04% | -0.65% | -0.03% | -0.23% | +1.03% | -0.78% | -0.31% | +0.37% |
| 14 Avg +0.15% | -0.24% | +0.99% | +0.35% | +0.09% | -0.84% | -0.13% | +0.01% | +0.26% | +1.16% | +0.46% | -0.27% | 0.00% |
| 15 Avg +0.15% | +0.26% | +1.79% | -0.51% | +0.21% | +0.10% | -0.18% | -0.15% | -0.48% | -0.05% | -0.18% | +1.15% | -0.12% |
| 16 Avg -0.13% | +0.06% | +1.33% | -0.33% | -1.27% | -1.17% | -0.10% | +0.05% | -0.27% | +0.70% | -0.37% | -0.15% | -0.07% |
| 17 Avg -0.11% | -0.78% | -0.50% | +0.55% | +0.18% | +0.08% | -0.65% | -0.55% | +0.24% | +0.43% | -0.45% | +0.54% | -0.36% |
| 18 Avg +0.11% | +0.46% | +1.29% | +0.90% | +0.20% | +0.77% | -0.79% | -0.46% | -0.40% | +0.03% | -0.45% | -0.57% | +0.30% |
| 19 Avg +0.15% | +0.39% | +0.17% | +0.72% | +0.99% | -1.27% | +0.14% | +1.06% | +0.34% | +0.79% | -0.58% | -0.14% | -0.79% |
| 20 Avg +0.02% | +0.16% | -0.46% | -0.08% | +0.17% | +1.16% | -0.73% | -0.26% | +0.52% | +0.09% | +0.24% | -0.47% | -0.14% |
| 21 Avg +0.02% | +0.08% | -0.38% | -0.05% | +0.11% | -0.03% | +0.38% | +0.40% | -0.21% | +0.19% | +0.01% | +0.18% | -0.39% |
| 22 Avg +0.09% | +0.32% | -0.42% | +1.43% | -0.54% | -0.42% | -0.13% | -0.43% | +0.64% | +0.34% | -0.35% | +0.55% | +0.14% |
| 23 Avg -0.03% | -0.29% | +0.32% | -0.46% | +0.63% | -1.31% | -0.02% | +0.20% | +0.40% | -0.06% | -0.04% | 0.00% | +0.21% |
| 24 Avg +0.04% | +0.26% | +0.18% | -0.22% | +0.59% | -0.26% | -0.85% | +0.05% | +0.23% | +0.14% | +0.47% | -0.06% | 0.00% |
| 25 Avg +0.12% | +0.88% | -0.12% | +0.69% | -0.57% | -0.09% | +0.03% | -0.11% | +0.24% | -0.03% | +0.18% | +0.46% | -0.17% |
| 26 Avg -0.26% | -1.74% | -0.66% | -0.01% | +0.66% | -0.29% | -0.39% | +0.26% | -0.52% | -0.17% | +0.20% | -0.66% | +0.21% |
| 27 Avg +0.32% | -0.21% | -0.14% | -0.37% | +0.55% | -0.40% | +2.30% | -0.21% | +0.22% | -0.07% | +0.56% | -0.11% | +1.70% |
| 28 Avg -0.12% | -0.44% | +0.09% | -0.60% | +0.11% | -0.55% | +0.74% | +0.16% | -0.16% | -0.01% | -0.80% | +0.16% | -0.20% |
| 29 Avg +0.09% | +1.00% | - | -0.02% | 0.00% | +0.59% | -1.11% | +0.49% | +0.46% | -0.73% | +0.30% | -0.08% | +0.04% |
| 30 Avg -0.09% | -0.46% | - | -0.93% | +0.41% | -0.28% | +0.02% | -0.31% | +0.97% | -0.81% | +0.15% | +0.67% | -0.38% |
| 31 Avg -0.12% | -0.24% | - | -0.34% | - | -0.41% | - | -0.05% | -0.10% | - | +0.31% | - | 0.00% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
