Check historical price trends and seasonality for Tsumura & Co. (4540.T).
Tsumura & Co. (4540.T) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +4.47%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Feb 27 for 30 days) is +7.69%.
6 wins 1 losses with a win rate of 85.71%.
1) Overview:
Tsumura & Co. exhibits a distinct seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. The stock tends to decline from early in the year, reaching a low point around March 1 with an average decrease of -3.6%. A strong bullish phase then begins, continuing through October, culminating in a significant rally that peaks around November 12, showing an average increase of +11.1%. The stock then experiences a slight pullback but remains positive, ending the year around December 31 with an average gain of +4.4%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most prominent buy-the-dip opportunity appears in late February and early March, as the stock typically bottoms out around March 1, showing an average decline of -3.6%. This pullback could be attributed to profit-taking after the previous year's gains or general market sentiment. Another potential buying opportunity, although less pronounced, may arise in late November and early December after the peak around November 12 (+11.1%), as the stock consolidates some of those gains.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to Tsumura & Co. could involve accumulating shares during the late February to early March weakness. The most opportune entry point appears to be around March 1, capitalizing on the average -3.6% dip. Investors should consider taking profits or reducing their position around November 12, where the stock historically reaches its peak (+11.1%), and then again near the end of December.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-02-27 | 4,237.0000 | 2025-03-28 | 4,384.0000 | 147.0000 | 3.47 |
| 2024 | 2024-02-27 | 2,756.0000 | 2024-03-27 | 3,854.0000 | 1,098.0000 | 39.84 |
| 2023 | 2023-02-27 | 2,607.0000 | 2023-03-28 | 2,613.0000 | 6.0000 | 0.23 |
| 2020 | 2020-02-27 | 2,579.0000 | 2020-03-27 | 2,798.0000 | 219.0000 | 8.49 |
| 2019 | 2019-02-27 | 3,525.0000 | 2019-03-28 | 3,250.0000 | -275.0000 | -7.80 |
| 2018 | 2018-02-27 | 3,605.0000 | 2018-03-28 | 3,640.0000 | 35.0000 | 0.97 |
| 2017 | 2017-02-27 | 3,315.0000 | 2017-03-28 | 3,600.0000 | 285.0000 | 8.60 |
| Avg | 3,232.0000 | 3,448.4286 | 216.43 | 7.69 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -0.30% | Feb Total -3.01% | Mar Total +6.30% | Apr Total +2.34% | May Total -3.40% | Jun Total +1.00% | Jul Total -0.01% | Aug Total +1.98% | Sep Total +2.11% | Oct Total +0.18% | Nov Total +0.27% | Dec Total -1.67% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.05% | 0.00% | +0.54% | -0.36% | -0.28% | -0.18% | +0.60% | +0.08% | -0.12% | +0.26% | +0.11% | +0.11% | -0.22% |
| 2 Avg -0.02% | 0.00% | +0.41% | +0.65% | -0.16% | -0.21% | -0.02% | +0.11% | -1.28% | -0.17% | +0.28% | +0.60% | -0.46% |
| 3 Avg +0.09% | 0.00% | -0.32% | +0.41% | +0.18% | 0.00% | +0.13% | -0.04% | +0.64% | +0.27% | -0.33% | 0.00% | +0.19% |
| 4 Avg 0.00% | +0.18% | -0.25% | -0.31% | +0.48% | 0.00% | +0.18% | -0.05% | -0.30% | -0.45% | +0.47% | +0.15% | -0.09% |
| 5 Avg +0.06% | -0.11% | +0.05% | +0.55% | -0.25% | 0.00% | +0.30% | -0.37% | -0.24% | +0.16% | +0.19% | +0.38% | +0.03% |
| 6 Avg +0.14% | -0.37% | -0.49% | +1.65% | +0.01% | +0.35% | -0.46% | -0.04% | +1.40% | +0.16% | +0.18% | +0.30% | -0.99% |
| 7 Avg +0.26% | +0.45% | +0.92% | +1.30% | -0.30% | +0.25% | -0.01% | -0.16% | +0.22% | -0.02% | +0.13% | -0.09% | +0.40% |
| 8 Avg +0.00% | +0.10% | -1.38% | -0.59% | +1.01% | +0.14% | +0.20% | -0.26% | +0.17% | +0.27% | +0.15% | -0.08% | +0.30% |
| 9 Avg -0.07% | +0.33% | -1.12% | -0.71% | -0.35% | -0.28% | +0.19% | +0.42% | -0.03% | +0.30% | -0.45% | +0.40% | +0.44% |
| 10 Avg +0.42% | -0.38% | -0.19% | +1.21% | +0.46% | +1.20% | +0.71% | +0.16% | -0.45% | +0.41% | +0.22% | +1.91% | -0.17% |
| 11 Avg +0.14% | +0.21% | 0.00% | +1.00% | +0.15% | -0.57% | +0.20% | +0.29% | +0.35% | +0.28% | -0.35% | +0.26% | -0.11% |
| 12 Avg -0.19% | -0.29% | +0.19% | +0.35% | -0.25% | -2.57% | -0.18% | +0.44% | +0.46% | -0.11% | -0.72% | +0.19% | +0.23% |
| 13 Avg -0.23% | +0.15% | -0.19% | -0.33% | -0.06% | -2.00% | -0.44% | +0.40% | +0.39% | +0.32% | -0.27% | -0.71% | +0.01% |
| 14 Avg -0.03% | -0.35% | -0.62% | +0.26% | +0.44% | -0.10% | +0.02% | +0.33% | -0.10% | -0.06% | +0.05% | -0.52% | +0.22% |
| 15 Avg -0.01% | +0.39% | +1.11% | +0.03% | +0.06% | +0.21% | -0.29% | -0.68% | -0.48% | -0.11% | +0.13% | -0.35% | -0.09% |
| 16 Avg +0.11% | +0.07% | +0.64% | -0.07% | +0.42% | -0.03% | -0.03% | -0.51% | -0.02% | +0.40% | -0.10% | 0.00% | +0.52% |
| 17 Avg -0.09% | -0.28% | -1.08% | +0.87% | +0.25% | +0.60% | -0.36% | +0.15% | -0.04% | +0.01% | -0.36% | -0.71% | -0.16% |
| 18 Avg -0.08% | -0.36% | +0.37% | -0.57% | -0.47% | +0.43% | -0.06% | -0.23% | -0.16% | +0.25% | +0.20% | -0.27% | -0.15% |
| 19 Avg +0.06% | -0.27% | -0.47% | +0.97% | +0.06% | +0.01% | -0.20% | +0.04% | +0.17% | +0.24% | +0.31% | +0.21% | -0.36% |
| 20 Avg 0.00% | -0.05% | +0.04% | -0.36% | +0.06% | -0.10% | +0.02% | +0.16% | +0.20% | -0.11% | +0.28% | -0.14% | -0.03% |
| 21 Avg -0.13% | -0.14% | -0.14% | +0.08% | +0.18% | -0.35% | -0.12% | +0.18% | -0.25% | -0.04% | -0.01% | -0.35% | -0.59% |
| 22 Avg +0.10% | +0.31% | -0.39% | +0.67% | +0.33% | -0.51% | +0.30% | +0.12% | +0.91% | -0.49% | -0.04% | +0.33% | -0.34% |
| 23 Avg +0.16% | -0.05% | +0.41% | +0.18% | +0.13% | +0.78% | +0.19% | +0.34% | +0.32% | -0.11% | -0.09% | 0.00% | -0.15% |
| 24 Avg +0.02% | +0.27% | -0.30% | 0.00% | -0.05% | +0.18% | -0.18% | -0.28% | +0.17% | +0.88% | +0.05% | -0.26% | -0.20% |
| 25 Avg -0.21% | +0.07% | -0.46% | -0.78% | -0.29% | +0.01% | -0.06% | -0.54% | +0.09% | +0.38% | -0.25% | -0.20% | -0.47% |
| 26 Avg +0.20% | +0.10% | -0.21% | +1.50% | +0.27% | -0.84% | +0.42% | +0.31% | -0.66% | +0.60% | +0.34% | -0.15% | +0.66% |
| 27 Avg +0.08% | -0.10% | -0.23% | +0.60% | -0.22% | +0.32% | +0.68% | -0.22% | +0.06% | -0.70% | +0.22% | -0.04% | +0.57% |
| 28 Avg -0.08% | -0.20% | +0.13% | -0.30% | +0.58% | +0.01% | -0.19% | -0.19% | -0.13% | +0.03% | -0.45% | +0.10% | -0.30% |
| 29 Avg +0.01% | +0.30% | - | +0.46% | 0.00% | +0.17% | -0.31% | +0.04% | -0.18% | -0.22% | +0.02% | -0.38% | +0.18% |
| 30 Avg -0.24% | -0.50% | - | -0.78% | -0.06% | -0.24% | -0.19% | +0.10% | +0.59% | -0.53% | -0.06% | -0.44% | -0.54% |
| 31 Avg -0.10% | +0.19% | - | -1.30% | - | -0.09% | - | -0.12% | +0.28% | - | +0.31% | - | 0.00% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
