Check historical price trends and seasonality for Nippon Shinyaku Co., Ltd. (4516.T).
Nippon Shinyaku Co., Ltd. (4516.T) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +6.46%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 7 days) is -0.38%.
2 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 33.33%.
1) Overview:
Nippon Shinyaku Co., Ltd. exhibits a distinct seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. The stock tends to decline from early January, reaching a significant low around February 28 with an average drop of -7.7%. A bullish phase then begins around September, culminating in a peak around December 16, showing an average increase of +8.1%, with gains sustained until December 31 (+6.4%).
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Several opportunities exist to buy the dip in Nippon Shinyaku. The most pronounced pullback occurs between January and February, with the lowest point typically around February 28 (-7.7%). Another potential buying opportunity arises in July, with a further dip in early August. These pullbacks could be attributed to profit-taking after the December rally or general market sentiment. Rebounds tend to occur starting in September, making this a favorable time to consider entry.
3) Summary:
A seasonal investment strategy for Nippon Shinyaku could involve accumulating shares during the weakness in February, capitalizing on the -7.7% dip. Another opportunity arises in July and August. The goal would be to hold these positions through the bullish period that typically begins in September and peaks around December 16 (+8.1%), with gains sustained until December 31 (+6.4%), before considering taking profits.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 3,820.0000 | 2025-01-22 | 3,763.0000 | -57.0000 | -1.49 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 5,157.0000 | 2024-01-22 | 5,120.0000 | -37.0000 | -0.72 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-16 | 6,750.0000 | 2023-01-22 | 6,690.0000 | -60.0000 | -0.89 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 10,190.0000 | 2020-01-22 | 10,290.0000 | 100.0000 | 0.98 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 6,470.0000 | 2019-01-22 | 6,540.0000 | 70.0000 | 1.08 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 8,180.0000 | 2018-01-22 | 8,050.0000 | -130.0000 | -1.59 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-16 | 5,890.0000 | 2017-01-22 | 5,890.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| Avg | 6,636.7143 | 6,620.4286 | -16.29 | -0.38 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -1.87% | Feb Total -6.04% | Mar Total +5.80% | Apr Total +1.36% | May Total +0.85% | Jun Total -1.17% | Jul Total -0.54% | Aug Total +2.73% | Sep Total +4.63% | Oct Total -0.54% | Nov Total +1.76% | Dec Total +1.16% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.21% | 0.00% | +0.07% | +0.31% | -1.58% | -0.38% | -0.13% | +0.02% | +0.11% | +0.41% | -0.21% | -0.30% | -0.90% |
| 2 Avg -0.15% | 0.00% | +0.41% | +0.94% | -1.09% | +0.06% | -0.22% | -0.36% | -0.86% | -0.24% | -0.32% | -0.02% | -0.13% |
| 3 Avg +0.01% | 0.00% | +0.03% | +0.43% | -0.18% | 0.00% | -0.07% | -0.50% | -0.50% | +0.56% | +0.30% | 0.00% | +0.11% |
| 4 Avg +0.11% | -0.32% | +0.24% | -0.05% | -0.42% | 0.00% | +0.56% | +0.21% | -0.28% | -0.36% | +0.20% | +0.38% | +1.18% |
| 5 Avg -0.13% | -0.04% | -0.41% | -0.34% | +0.22% | 0.00% | -0.06% | -0.07% | -1.56% | -0.21% | -0.68% | +0.17% | +1.43% |
| 6 Avg -0.17% | +0.40% | -1.34% | -0.15% | -0.25% | -0.06% | -0.30% | -0.13% | +0.32% | +0.04% | +0.05% | -0.64% | -0.03% |
| 7 Avg -0.11% | +0.03% | +0.18% | -0.42% | +0.22% | -0.96% | +0.23% | -0.66% | -0.14% | +0.40% | -0.10% | -0.25% | +0.10% |
| 8 Avg +0.41% | +0.75% | +0.18% | -0.06% | +0.74% | -0.21% | -0.01% | -0.55% | +2.34% | +0.61% | +0.03% | +0.49% | +0.64% |
| 9 Avg +0.03% | +0.25% | -0.48% | -0.37% | -0.06% | -0.05% | +0.47% | 0.00% | +0.79% | -0.20% | -0.31% | -0.11% | +0.40% |
| 10 Avg +0.17% | -1.16% | -0.01% | +0.79% | +0.74% | +0.79% | +0.63% | -0.20% | +0.37% | -0.15% | +0.08% | +0.39% | -0.22% |
| 11 Avg -0.06% | -0.47% | 0.00% | -0.41% | -0.36% | +0.04% | +0.15% | +0.57% | +0.47% | +0.25% | -0.58% | +0.15% | -0.49% |
| 12 Avg +0.04% | -0.40% | -0.32% | +0.54% | +0.20% | -1.45% | +0.26% | +0.45% | -0.09% | +0.37% | +0.30% | +0.34% | +0.27% |
| 13 Avg -0.02% | -0.35% | -0.51% | -0.86% | +0.39% | +0.36% | -0.24% | -0.28% | +0.92% | +0.38% | -0.24% | -0.48% | +0.65% |
| 14 Avg +0.07% | -0.18% | -0.31% | +0.21% | +1.19% | -0.30% | +0.31% | -0.65% | +0.20% | +0.44% | +0.05% | -0.04% | -0.03% |
| 15 Avg -0.07% | -0.06% | -0.15% | +0.76% | +0.26% | -0.54% | -0.74% | 0.00% | -0.47% | -0.27% | +0.55% | -0.05% | -0.14% |
| 16 Avg +0.09% | -0.01% | +0.29% | +0.96% | +0.33% | -0.35% | -0.12% | -0.67% | 0.00% | +0.79% | -0.38% | +0.14% | +0.11% |
| 17 Avg -0.06% | -1.27% | -0.81% | +0.45% | -0.60% | +1.10% | +0.09% | +0.86% | -1.07% | -0.07% | +0.08% | +0.64% | -0.11% |
| 18 Avg +0.19% | +0.29% | +0.77% | +0.01% | -0.37% | +1.37% | -0.24% | +0.19% | -0.24% | +0.35% | +0.14% | +0.06% | -0.04% |
| 19 Avg +0.07% | -0.50% | -0.32% | +0.84% | +0.68% | +0.82% | -0.58% | -0.04% | -0.17% | +0.52% | -0.30% | +0.35% | -0.41% |
| 20 Avg -0.02% | +0.05% | -0.46% | -0.02% | +0.52% | +0.31% | -0.81% | +0.55% | +0.90% | -1.09% | -0.09% | +0.32% | -0.40% |
| 21 Avg -0.07% | -0.29% | -0.37% | -0.09% | -0.02% | -0.07% | +0.07% | +0.56% | +0.15% | +0.06% | -0.14% | -0.08% | -0.61% |
| 22 Avg +0.18% | +0.68% | -0.79% | +0.19% | +0.98% | -0.57% | +0.37% | -0.28% | +1.33% | -0.50% | -0.44% | +0.80% | +0.42% |
| 23 Avg -0.03% | +0.01% | -0.05% | +0.34% | -0.14% | +0.84% | -1.39% | +0.79% | +0.26% | -0.02% | -0.09% | 0.00% | -0.92% |
| 24 Avg -0.06% | +0.20% | -0.69% | -0.20% | -0.18% | -0.23% | +0.23% | -0.17% | -0.04% | +0.27% | +0.02% | -0.10% | +0.24% |
| 25 Avg +0.16% | +0.60% | -0.24% | +0.18% | +0.19% | +0.13% | -0.19% | +0.16% | +0.05% | +2.10% | -0.24% | +0.05% | -0.81% |
| 26 Avg +0.13% | +0.08% | -0.50% | +2.13% | -0.55% | -0.28% | -0.02% | +0.63% | -0.81% | +0.47% | +0.03% | +0.46% | -0.03% |
| 27 Avg +0.32% | -0.15% | -0.41% | +0.56% | +0.46% | +0.60% | +0.09% | +0.10% | +0.19% | +0.21% | +0.92% | -0.06% | +1.34% |
| 28 Avg -0.20% | 0.00% | -0.03% | -0.71% | -0.10% | -1.58% | +0.79% | -0.35% | -0.20% | -0.12% | -0.54% | +0.59% | -0.12% |
| 29 Avg -0.05% | +0.13% | - | +0.94% | 0.00% | 0.00% | +0.10% | +0.17% | -0.27% | -0.16% | -0.27% | -1.07% | -0.17% |
| 30 Avg -0.06% | -0.25% | - | -0.40% | +0.11% | +1.23% | -0.41% | -0.60% | +0.43% | -0.21% | -0.06% | -0.38% | -0.15% |
| 31 Avg +0.24% | +0.10% | - | -0.71% | - | +0.20% | - | -0.28% | +0.63% | - | +1.70% | - | 0.00% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
