Daicel Corporation (4202.T) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for Daicel Corporation (4202.T).

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Daicel Corporation (4202.T) average YTD return over the past 10 years is -0.56%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Apr 18 for 7 days) is +2.06%.

8 wins 0 losses with a win rate of 100.00%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

Daicel Corporation (4202.T) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

Daicel Corporation's stock price exhibits a distinct seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. The stock tends to rise from late January, peaking around early February. A significant bearish phase then occurs from March through October, with the most pronounced dip happening around August 5, averaging -6.3%. A bullish recovery phase typically begins in early November, culminating around November 22 with an average gain of +2.1%, before experiencing a slight dip around December 31, averaging -0.6%.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

Several potential buy-the-dip opportunities exist throughout the year. The most significant pullback occurs in August, particularly around August 5, presenting a substantial buying opportunity. Another pullback period is observed from March through April, bottoming out around April 6-9, which could be another entry point. Finally, the period between late December, specifically around December 31, could be considered a minor dip to capitalize on before any potential new year rally.

3) Summary:

An investment strategy for Daicel Corporation should consider the stock's seasonal tendencies. A potential entry point would be around August 5, capitalizing on the significant dip. Another entry point could be around April 6-9. Conversely, consider taking profits around November 22 to capitalize on the seasonal peak.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-04-18 1,183.0000 2025-04-24 1,184.0000 1.0000 0.08
2024 2024-04-18 1,421.0000 2024-04-24 1,454.0000 33.0000 2.32
2023 2023-04-18 1,024.0000 2023-04-24 1,038.0000 14.0000 1.37
2022 2022-04-18 770.0000 2022-04-24 780.0000 10.0000 1.30
2019 2019-04-18 1,245.0000 2019-04-24 1,256.0000 11.0000 0.88
2018 2018-04-18 1,227.0000 2018-04-24 1,257.0000 30.0000 2.44
2017 2017-04-18 1,233.0000 2017-04-24 1,244.0000 11.0000 0.89
2016 2016-04-18 1,348.0000 2016-04-24 1,445.0000 97.0000 7.20
Avg 1,181.3750 1,207.2500 25.88 2.06
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +1.50% Feb Total -2.55% Mar Total -0.11% Apr Total +0.46% May Total +0.62% Jun Total -1.46% Jul Total -0.01% Aug Total +0.46% Sep Total +0.78% Oct Total +0.93% Nov Total +2.09% Dec Total -0.51%
1 Avg -0.02% 0.00% +0.31% +0.27% -1.29% +0.16% -0.02% -0.05% +0.03% -0.13% -0.01% +0.53% -0.10%
2 Avg -0.11% 0.00% -0.56% +0.09% -0.39% -0.78% +0.46% -0.24% -1.56% -0.08% +0.07% +1.94% -0.24%
3 Avg +0.04% 0.00% +0.51% +0.29% -0.20% 0.00% +0.21% -0.13% -0.86% +0.36% -0.41% 0.00% +0.71%
4 Avg -0.10% +0.07% -0.03% -0.17% -0.78% 0.00% +0.49% +0.33% +1.24% -0.37% -0.04% -1.33% -0.68%
5 Avg -0.26% -0.11% -0.99% +0.02% -0.15% 0.00% +0.01% +0.29% -2.64% +0.44% +0.21% -0.02% -0.13%
6 Avg +0.01% -0.55% +0.02% -0.25% -0.49% +0.28% -0.52% -0.62% +0.64% +0.10% +0.48% +0.74% +0.33%
7 Avg +0.16% +0.40% +0.36% -0.60% -0.24% +0.18% +0.40% -0.61% +0.27% +0.11% +0.40% +0.64% +0.60%
8 Avg -0.05% -0.20% -0.03% -0.27% +0.18% +0.11% -0.31% -0.27% +0.05% +0.52% -0.13% -0.13% -0.17%
9 Avg -0.20% +0.25% -1.02% -0.33% -0.56% -0.47% -0.29% -0.05% +0.23% -0.08% -0.28% -0.35% +0.49%
10 Avg +0.17% +0.38% -0.37% +0.92% +1.51% -0.91% +0.05% -0.39% -0.35% +0.36% -0.04% +1.16% -0.26%
11 Avg +0.09% +0.24% 0.00% -0.48% -0.05% +2.08% -0.29% +0.31% +0.01% +0.22% -0.59% -0.36% -0.05%
12 Avg +0.01% -0.02% -0.48% +0.07% -0.47% +0.26% -0.53% +0.14% +0.98% +0.26% -0.17% +0.27% -0.22%
13 Avg -0.12% +0.36% +0.46% -1.03% +0.23% -0.22% -0.77% +1.34% -0.30% +0.15% -0.43% -0.78% -0.46%
14 Avg +0.07% -0.23% -0.55% +0.08% +1.14% +0.36% +0.11% -0.05% -0.44% +0.39% +0.04% +0.27% -0.36%
15 Avg +0.05% -0.46% +1.02% +0.38% -0.06% -0.22% -0.79% +0.25% +0.13% -0.48% +0.38% -0.44% +0.86%
16 Avg -0.10% -0.36% +0.48% -0.61% -0.23% -0.20% +0.45% -0.16% -0.17% -0.29% -0.14% -0.01% 0.00%
17 Avg +0.04% -0.11% -0.08% +0.33% +0.19% -0.08% -0.27% +0.05% -0.07% +0.13% +0.33% +0.42% -0.33%
18 Avg -0.08% -0.38% -0.10% -0.19% -0.36% -0.17% -0.07% -0.57% +0.04% +0.42% +0.38% -0.19% +0.23%
19 Avg +0.08% +0.05% -0.40% +0.66% +0.56% -0.18% -0.19% +0.16% -0.10% +0.73% +0.11% +0.43% -0.83%
20 Avg -0.03% +0.25% +0.32% -0.06% -0.36% +0.02% -0.14% +0.14% +0.04% -0.24% +0.13% -0.21% -0.31%
21 Avg +0.17% -0.11% +0.08% +0.03% -0.07% +0.46% +0.38% +0.30% -0.10% +0.28% +0.33% +0.83% -0.42%
22 Avg +0.03% +0.57% -1.02% -0.03% +0.21% -0.34% +0.26% -0.19% +0.67% +0.03% -0.39% +0.47% +0.08%
23 Avg -0.07% -0.31% -0.11% -0.46% +0.37% -0.44% -0.37% +0.54% +0.03% -0.38% +0.20% 0.00% +0.11%
24 Avg +0.14% +0.23% -0.11% +0.40% +0.34% -0.09% -0.64% +0.09% +0.58% -0.08% +0.90% -0.16% +0.19%
25 Avg +0.07% +0.34% -0.11% +0.90% -0.12% +0.23% -0.34% -0.17% +0.06% +0.30% -0.12% +0.13% -0.32%
26 Avg +0.09% -0.47% +0.03% +0.60% +0.34% +0.29% +0.66% -0.18% -0.56% -0.15% +0.03% -0.02% +0.49%
27 Avg +0.38% +0.59% +0.06% +0.77% +0.46% +0.37% +0.19% +1.00% +0.61% +0.33% -0.09% -0.22% +0.51%
28 Avg -0.13% +0.33% -0.25% -0.29% +0.14% -0.15% -0.07% -0.56% +0.13% -0.23% -0.62% +0.15% -0.13%
29 Avg +0.01% +1.14% - +0.43% 0.00% -0.54% +0.01% -0.19% +0.60% -0.87% +0.32% -1.00% +0.18%
30 Avg -0.18% -0.75% - -0.71% +0.62% +0.21% +0.47% -0.24% +0.57% -0.97% -0.28% -0.68% -0.28%
31 Avg +0.09% +0.32% - -0.89% - +0.42% - -0.29% +0.71% - +0.35% - 0.00%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Apr 18 - May 17] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses