Check historical price trends and seasonality for Rakuten ETF-Nikkei 225 Double Inverse Index (1459.T).
Rakuten ETF-Nikkei 225 Double Inverse Index (1459.T) average YTD return over the past 10 years is -29.09%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 3 for 7 days) is +5.41%.
6 wins 1 losses with a win rate of 85.71%.
1) Overview:
The Rakuten ETF-Nikkei 225 Double Inverse Index exhibits a strong bearish trend throughout the majority of the year, particularly from May to December. The most significant decline tends to occur around December 13, with an average drop of -31.3%. A smaller, but still substantial, drop is also observed on December 31, averaging -29.1%. A bullish phase is evident in March, peaking around March 16 with an average gain of +6.3%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, potential buying opportunities emerge during the extended bearish period. The most significant pullback occurs around December 13, presenting a strong buying opportunity before a potential rebound. Another, though less pronounced, buying opportunity arises near December 31. The general downward trend from May through December suggests incremental buying opportunities throughout this period, capitalizing on the consistent declines.
3) Summary:
Investment strategies for the Rakuten ETF-Nikkei 225 Double Inverse Index should consider the pronounced seasonal patterns. A strategic entry point would be around December 13, aiming to capitalize on the historically significant dip. Conversely, investors might consider reducing positions or taking profits around March 16, given the tendency for positive returns during that time.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-03-03 | 505.0000 | 2025-03-09 | 532.0000 | 27.0000 | 5.35 |
| 2023 | 2023-03-03 | 1,355.0000 | 2023-03-09 | 1,288.0000 | -67.0000 | -4.94 |
| 2022 | 2022-03-03 | 1,760.0000 | 2022-03-09 | 2,024.0000 | 264.0000 | 15.00 |
| 2021 | 2021-03-03 | 1,657.0000 | 2021-03-09 | 1,714.0000 | 57.0000 | 3.44 |
| 2020 | 2020-03-03 | 4,240.0000 | 2020-03-09 | 4,835.0000 | 595.0000 | 14.03 |
| 2017 | 2017-03-03 | 7,240.0000 | 2017-03-09 | 7,350.0000 | 110.0000 | 1.52 |
| 2016 | 2016-03-03 | 11,700.0000 | 2016-03-09 | 12,110.0000 | 410.0000 | 3.50 |
| Avg | 4,065.2857 | 4,264.7143 | 199.43 | 5.41 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -0.72% | Feb Total +2.17% | Mar Total -1.17% | Apr Total -3.08% | May Total -4.12% | Jun Total -2.59% | Jul Total -1.50% | Aug Total -2.96% | Sep Total -3.43% | Oct Total -6.13% | Nov Total -5.36% | Dec Total -0.64% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.14% | 0.00% | -1.03% | -1.13% | +1.46% | -0.01% | -0.28% | +0.16% | +0.05% | +0.21% | +0.02% | -0.64% | -0.53% |
| 2 Avg +0.17% | 0.00% | -0.12% | -0.29% | -0.10% | +0.35% | -0.17% | +0.26% | +2.33% | -0.09% | +0.46% | -0.71% | +0.14% |
| 3 Avg -0.15% | 0.00% | +1.32% | -0.84% | +0.50% | 0.00% | -0.71% | -0.61% | +0.31% | -0.36% | -0.50% | 0.00% | -0.89% |
| 4 Avg +0.16% | +0.11% | -0.09% | +0.78% | +0.50% | 0.00% | -0.40% | -0.20% | -0.35% | +0.82% | -0.12% | +0.38% | +0.54% |
| 5 Avg +0.12% | -0.19% | +0.11% | +0.02% | +0.53% | 0.00% | -0.69% | +0.18% | +1.48% | -0.36% | -0.20% | -0.05% | +0.58% |
| 6 Avg -0.19% | +1.53% | +0.27% | 0.00% | +0.25% | -0.46% | -0.33% | +0.39% | -1.19% | -0.42% | -1.18% | -1.53% | +0.38% |
| 7 Avg +0.13% | -1.04% | +0.42% | +1.74% | +1.38% | +0.02% | -0.09% | +0.48% | -0.75% | +0.40% | -0.24% | -0.37% | -0.45% |
| 8 Avg -0.43% | -0.32% | -0.92% | +0.88% | -1.96% | -0.43% | -0.29% | +0.55% | -0.77% | -0.67% | -0.40% | -0.59% | -0.26% |
| 9 Avg +0.10% | -0.75% | +1.31% | +0.69% | +0.38% | +0.29% | -0.39% | -0.62% | +0.18% | +0.24% | -0.15% | +0.81% | -0.86% |
| 10 Avg -0.46% | -0.02% | -0.11% | -1.41% | -1.80% | -0.52% | -0.09% | -0.09% | +0.24% | -0.69% | -0.53% | -1.07% | +0.56% |
| 11 Avg -0.16% | -0.61% | 0.00% | +1.10% | +0.40% | +0.07% | +0.20% | -1.02% | -0.51% | -0.71% | +0.32% | -1.14% | +0.01% |
| 12 Avg -0.28% | +0.11% | +0.21% | -0.22% | +0.26% | +0.38% | +0.40% | -0.08% | -1.24% | -1.31% | -0.14% | -0.52% | -1.14% |
| 13 Avg -0.07% | -0.49% | -0.80% | +1.69% | -0.67% | +0.29% | +1.23% | -1.50% | -0.65% | -0.50% | +0.15% | +1.24% | -0.81% |
| 14 Avg +0.04% | +0.93% | +1.08% | -0.14% | -1.75% | -0.12% | +0.13% | -0.06% | +0.01% | -0.07% | -0.54% | +0.38% | +0.60% |
| 15 Avg -0.34% | +0.09% | -2.16% | -0.06% | -0.11% | -0.19% | +0.57% | -0.44% | -0.66% | +0.07% | -0.80% | -0.53% | +0.19% |
| 16 Avg -0.07% | +0.17% | -1.16% | +0.57% | +0.79% | -0.42% | -0.93% | +0.42% | +0.12% | +0.15% | +0.07% | -0.80% | +0.17% |
| 17 Avg -0.05% | +0.06% | +0.88% | -0.97% | -0.83% | -0.43% | +0.68% | 0.00% | -0.10% | +0.19% | -0.02% | -0.14% | +0.07% |
| 18 Avg +0.04% | -0.28% | -0.51% | -0.72% | +0.35% | -0.89% | +0.08% | +0.94% | +0.61% | -0.58% | -0.22% | +0.99% | +0.69% |
| 19 Avg -0.05% | -0.05% | -0.12% | +0.61% | -0.45% | +0.24% | +0.12% | -0.69% | +0.48% | -0.78% | -0.05% | -0.06% | +0.12% |
| 20 Avg +0.01% | +0.15% | +0.32% | +0.29% | +0.41% | -0.75% | -0.84% | -0.14% | +0.22% | -0.31% | -0.60% | +0.19% | +1.13% |
| 21 Avg +0.16% | +0.57% | +0.01% | -0.26% | +0.11% | +0.01% | +0.10% | -0.34% | +0.19% | +0.35% | +0.30% | +0.50% | +0.41% |
| 22 Avg -0.21% | -1.77% | +0.19% | -0.46% | -0.45% | +0.29% | -0.03% | +0.60% | -0.39% | +0.23% | +0.24% | -0.80% | -0.22% |
| 23 Avg -0.09% | -0.20% | -0.11% | +0.13% | -0.54% | +0.06% | -0.04% | -0.64% | -0.40% | +0.09% | +0.83% | 0.00% | -0.29% |
| 24 Avg -0.16% | +0.01% | +0.73% | -1.11% | -0.81% | +0.91% | +1.11% | -0.41% | -0.47% | -0.43% | -0.77% | -0.64% | -0.09% |
| 25 Avg -0.09% | -0.27% | -0.25% | -1.28% | +0.21% | -0.86% | +0.06% | +0.78% | -0.16% | -0.30% | +0.64% | -0.58% | +0.88% |
| 26 Avg +0.02% | +0.72% | +0.70% | -0.25% | -0.35% | -0.79% | -0.73% | +0.28% | +0.93% | +0.50% | -0.01% | -0.08% | -0.70% |
| 27 Avg -0.54% | +0.52% | +0.18% | -0.70% | -0.26% | -0.63% | -1.02% | -0.75% | -0.41% | -0.86% | -0.87% | -0.25% | -1.43% |
| 28 Avg +0.15% | +0.51% | +1.85% | +0.49% | +0.06% | -0.89% | -0.60% | +0.94% | -0.33% | +0.08% | -0.09% | -0.08% | -0.12% |
| 29 Avg -0.20% | -0.68% | - | -1.21% | 0.00% | -0.04% | +0.27% | -0.21% | +0.10% | -0.50% | -0.54% | +0.50% | +0.13% |
| 30 Avg +0.23% | +0.79% | - | -0.41% | -0.60% | +0.12% | +0.08% | +0.45% | -0.96% | +2.18% | +0.08% | +0.24% | +0.55% |
| 31 Avg -0.14% | -0.34% | - | +1.32% | - | +0.29% | - | -0.11% | -0.87% | - | -1.28% | - | 0.00% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
