Check historical price trends and seasonality for Nikkei225 Bear -2x ETF (1360.T).
Nikkei225 Bear -2x ETF (1360.T) average YTD return over the past 10 years is -29.28%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 3 for 7 days) is +5.43%.
6 wins 1 losses with a win rate of 85.71%.
1) Overview:
The Nikkei225 Bear -2x ETF (1360.T) exhibits a strong bearish tendency throughout the majority of the year, particularly from May to December. The most significant declines typically occur in the second half of the year, culminating in substantial drops in December, with a notable -31.5% around December 13 and -29.3% by December 31. In contrast, there is a pronounced bullish phase in March, peaking around March 16 with an average gain of +6.4%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Given the ETF's inverse relationship with the Nikkei 225, periods of decline represent potential buying opportunities. The most significant pullback occurs from May through December, with consistent drops throughout this period. Specifically, the sharp declines leading up to December 13 (-31.5%) and December 31 (-29.3%) could be considered strategic entry points, anticipating a potential rebound or a continuation of the Nikkei 225's upward trend.
3) Summary:
An investment strategy for the Nikkei225 Bear -2x ETF (1360.T) should consider its strong seasonal tendencies. A potential approach involves accumulating positions during the significant declines in December, particularly around December 13 and December 31, to capitalize on possible short-term rebounds or to hedge against broader market corrections in the Nikkei 225. However, investors should carefully monitor the Nikkei 225 index and adjust their positions accordingly, as the ETF's performance is directly tied to the index's movements.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-03-03 | 308.2000 | 2025-03-09 | 323.5000 | 15.3000 | 4.96 |
| 2023 | 2023-03-03 | 824.4000 | 2023-03-09 | 782.7000 | -41.7000 | -5.06 |
| 2022 | 2022-03-03 | 1,074.0000 | 2022-03-09 | 1,235.0000 | 161.0000 | 14.99 |
| 2021 | 2021-03-03 | 1,012.0000 | 2021-03-09 | 1,050.0000 | 38.0000 | 3.75 |
| 2020 | 2020-03-03 | 2,597.0000 | 2020-03-09 | 2,967.0000 | 370.0000 | 14.25 |
| 2017 | 2017-03-03 | 4,530.0000 | 2017-03-09 | 4,595.0000 | 65.0000 | 1.43 |
| 2016 | 2016-03-03 | 7,340.0000 | 2016-03-09 | 7,610.0000 | 270.0000 | 3.68 |
| Avg | 2,526.5143 | 2,651.8857 | 125.37 | 5.43 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -0.74% | Feb Total +2.10% | Mar Total -1.24% | Apr Total -2.99% | May Total -4.10% | Jun Total -2.63% | Jul Total -1.62% | Aug Total -2.80% | Sep Total -3.41% | Oct Total -6.17% | Nov Total -5.44% | Dec Total -0.60% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.12% | 0.00% | -1.03% | -1.09% | +1.57% | +0.05% | -0.30% | +0.16% | +0.06% | +0.20% | -0.02% | -0.59% | -0.48% |
| 2 Avg +0.17% | 0.00% | -0.12% | -0.33% | -0.13% | +0.34% | -0.18% | +0.23% | +2.36% | -0.12% | +0.52% | -0.72% | +0.16% |
| 3 Avg -0.14% | 0.00% | +1.30% | -0.81% | +0.54% | 0.00% | -0.68% | -0.60% | +0.31% | -0.33% | -0.53% | 0.00% | -0.91% |
| 4 Avg +0.15% | +0.07% | -0.10% | +0.78% | +0.45% | 0.00% | -0.37% | -0.26% | -0.36% | +0.81% | -0.10% | +0.38% | +0.53% |
| 5 Avg +0.17% | -0.15% | +0.14% | +0.02% | +0.55% | 0.00% | -0.69% | +0.19% | +2.01% | -0.37% | -0.23% | -0.06% | +0.60% |
| 6 Avg -0.23% | +1.54% | +0.27% | -0.05% | +0.25% | -0.47% | -0.32% | +0.38% | -1.63% | -0.41% | -1.12% | -1.57% | +0.37% |
| 7 Avg +0.12% | -1.07% | +0.47% | +1.73% | +1.37% | +0.01% | -0.10% | +0.47% | -0.59% | +0.37% | -0.35% | -0.46% | -0.47% |
| 8 Avg -0.43% | -0.29% | -0.96% | +0.84% | -1.86% | -0.45% | -0.29% | +0.52% | -0.86% | -0.68% | -0.35% | -0.49% | -0.29% |
| 9 Avg +0.08% | -0.83% | +1.23% | +0.73% | +0.34% | +0.28% | -0.36% | -0.65% | +0.20% | +0.28% | -0.12% | +0.72% | -0.82% |
| 10 Avg -0.46% | +0.03% | 0.00% | -1.30% | -2.07% | -0.56% | -0.15% | -0.04% | +0.26% | -0.68% | -0.55% | -1.09% | +0.60% |
| 11 Avg -0.13% | -0.57% | 0.00% | +1.00% | +0.72% | +0.07% | +0.26% | -0.99% | -0.50% | -0.76% | +0.29% | -1.00% | -0.07% |
| 12 Avg -0.27% | +0.05% | +0.14% | -0.17% | +0.25% | +0.43% | +0.30% | -0.09% | -1.24% | -1.25% | -0.06% | -0.54% | -1.07% |
| 13 Avg -0.06% | -0.42% | -0.72% | +1.56% | -0.71% | +0.28% | +1.26% | -1.44% | -0.65% | -0.46% | +0.15% | +1.24% | -0.82% |
| 14 Avg 0.00% | +0.88% | +0.97% | -0.13% | -1.78% | -0.11% | +0.09% | -0.10% | -0.01% | -0.11% | -0.56% | +0.31% | +0.56% |
| 15 Avg -0.32% | +0.03% | -2.12% | +0.03% | -0.08% | -0.17% | +0.62% | -0.46% | -0.63% | +0.12% | -0.82% | -0.51% | +0.21% |
| 16 Avg -0.08% | +0.19% | -1.19% | +0.64% | +0.74% | -0.46% | -0.86% | +0.42% | +0.10% | +0.11% | +0.03% | -0.80% | +0.12% |
| 17 Avg -0.04% | +0.11% | +0.90% | -1.11% | -0.78% | -0.42% | +0.61% | +0.02% | -0.13% | +0.23% | +0.08% | -0.06% | +0.10% |
| 18 Avg +0.02% | -0.27% | -0.55% | -0.68% | +0.35% | -0.85% | +0.10% | +0.89% | +0.60% | -0.62% | -0.29% | +0.94% | +0.66% |
| 19 Avg -0.05% | -0.06% | -0.06% | +0.51% | -0.48% | +0.27% | +0.11% | -0.71% | +0.50% | -0.81% | -0.05% | -0.03% | +0.18% |
| 20 Avg -0.01% | +0.10% | +0.29% | +0.31% | +0.38% | -0.79% | -0.84% | -0.12% | +0.23% | -0.27% | -0.61% | +0.11% | +1.11% |
| 21 Avg +0.16% | +0.62% | 0.00% | -0.28% | +0.17% | +0.04% | +0.10% | -0.38% | +0.16% | +0.37% | +0.34% | +0.46% | +0.37% |
| 22 Avg -0.21% | -1.80% | +0.19% | -0.37% | -0.51% | +0.27% | -0.06% | +0.64% | -0.37% | +0.19% | +0.27% | -0.70% | -0.25% |
| 23 Avg -0.09% | -0.20% | -0.09% | +0.12% | -0.53% | +0.10% | 0.00% | -0.68% | -0.42% | +0.07% | +0.82% | 0.00% | -0.27% |
| 24 Avg -0.17% | +0.07% | +0.70% | -1.12% | -0.80% | +0.87% | +1.02% | -0.37% | -0.46% | -0.41% | -0.83% | -0.68% | -0.05% |
| 25 Avg -0.09% | -0.26% | -0.21% | -1.32% | +0.23% | -0.90% | +0.07% | +0.82% | -0.15% | -0.32% | +0.63% | -0.63% | +0.91% |
| 26 Avg +0.03% | +0.72% | +0.73% | -0.10% | -0.33% | -0.73% | -0.74% | +0.24% | +0.91% | +0.60% | +0.04% | -0.11% | -0.80% |
| 27 Avg -0.54% | +0.51% | +0.14% | -0.78% | -0.22% | -0.66% | -1.01% | -0.72% | -0.39% | -0.81% | -0.93% | -0.19% | -1.42% |
| 28 Avg +0.14% | +0.51% | +1.79% | +0.45% | +0.01% | -0.91% | -0.54% | +0.86% | -0.33% | +0.08% | -0.08% | -0.15% | -0.02% |
| 29 Avg -0.22% | -0.73% | - | -1.19% | 0.00% | -0.04% | +0.24% | -0.18% | +0.11% | -0.59% | -0.61% | +0.54% | +0.08% |
| 30 Avg +0.23% | +0.76% | - | -0.38% | -0.63% | +0.11% | +0.10% | +0.43% | -0.97% | +2.18% | +0.14% | +0.22% | +0.58% |
| 31 Avg -0.14% | -0.26% | - | +1.22% | - | +0.29% | - | -0.11% | -0.90% | - | -1.26% | - | 0.00% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
