Check historical price trends and seasonality for Russell 2000 Index (^RUT).
Russell 2000 Index (^RUT) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +9.11%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -5.08%.
3 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 60.00%.
1) Overview:
The Russell 2000 Index exhibits a strong bullish tendency towards the end of the year, particularly from November through December. From November 5 to December 31, the index tends to climb significantly, reaching an average gain of +9.1% on December 31. However, a notable bearish phase occurs in March and April, with a pronounced dip of -4.2% around March 23, indicating a period of weakness. The index recovers somewhat in late May before entering a bullish phase in June and July.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A significant pullback opportunity typically arises in March and April, with the most pronounced dip around March 23, showing an average decline of -4.2%. This weakness extends into early May, presenting a potential buying opportunity for investors looking to capitalize on the subsequent rebound. Another, albeit smaller, pullback occurs in late May. These pullbacks could be attributed to profit-taking or broader market corrections, setting the stage for potential rallies later in the year.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to investing in the Russell 2000 Index would involve considering entry points during the weakness in March and April, and again in late May, to capitalize on the index's tendency to rebound and rally towards the end of the year. The period from November through December is historically strong, suggesting that holding positions through this period could be beneficial. However, investors should be mindful of broader market conditions and risk tolerance when implementing this strategy.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 2,266.7900 | 2025-03-16 | 2,044.1000 | -222.6900 | -9.82 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 1,927.3000 | 2024-03-15 | 2,039.3199 | 112.0199 | 5.81 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 1,705.2200 | 2020-03-15 | 1,210.1300 | -495.0900 | -29.03 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 1,454.7000 | 2019-03-16 | 1,553.5400 | 98.8400 | 6.79 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 1,572.9700 | 2018-03-16 | 1,586.0500 | 13.0800 | 0.83 |
| Avg | 1,785.3960 | 1,686.6280 | -98.77 | -5.08 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.51% | Feb Total -0.02% | Mar Total -1.83% | Apr Total +0.27% | May Total +1.47% | Jun Total +2.05% | Jul Total +3.60% | Aug Total +0.57% | Sep Total -1.20% | Oct Total -0.19% | Nov Total +5.47% | Dec Total -0.12% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.11% | 0.00% | +0.67% | +0.75% | -0.41% | -0.28% | +0.60% | +0.16% | -0.71% | +0.22% | -0.13% | +0.61% | -0.11% |
| 2 Avg +0.08% | +0.08% | -0.30% | +0.52% | -0.15% | +0.40% | +0.84% | +0.12% | -0.82% | +0.13% | -0.12% | +0.06% | +0.22% |
| 3 Avg -0.05% | -0.18% | -0.08% | -0.51% | -0.85% | +0.19% | +0.16% | +0.34% | +0.31% | -0.82% | +0.21% | +0.60% | +0.03% |
| 4 Avg +0.09% | +0.27% | +0.69% | -0.28% | -0.63% | +0.08% | +0.18% | 0.00% | +0.18% | +0.09% | +0.32% | +0.08% | +0.06% |
| 5 Avg -0.06% | -0.37% | -0.36% | -0.09% | -0.30% | -0.19% | +0.38% | -0.15% | +0.02% | -0.18% | +0.28% | +0.78% | -0.50% |
| 6 Avg +0.07% | +0.51% | -0.11% | -0.61% | +0.69% | -0.17% | +0.52% | -0.28% | +0.31% | -0.40% | -0.05% | +0.21% | +0.24% |
| 7 Avg +0.02% | -0.13% | -0.25% | -0.20% | -0.43% | +0.23% | +0.46% | +0.06% | +0.02% | +0.08% | -0.21% | +0.36% | +0.24% |
| 8 Avg +0.16% | +0.14% | -0.06% | -0.23% | +0.27% | +0.43% | +0.35% | +0.26% | +0.47% | -0.25% | -0.04% | +0.03% | +0.52% |
| 9 Avg -0.05% | -0.08% | +0.42% | -0.59% | +1.25% | -0.31% | -0.52% | +0.15% | -0.49% | +0.13% | +0.04% | -0.06% | -0.49% |
| 10 Avg +0.00% | 0.00% | -0.04% | -0.17% | -0.23% | -0.05% | -0.61% | +0.40% | +0.10% | -0.10% | -0.40% | +1.00% | +0.14% |
| 11 Avg +0.02% | +0.31% | -0.10% | -0.23% | +0.29% | -0.59% | -0.74% | +0.14% | +0.08% | +0.50% | -0.06% | +0.54% | +0.10% |
| 12 Avg +0.00% | +0.22% | +0.58% | -1.01% | -0.20% | -0.34% | +0.43% | +0.53% | +0.33% | +0.32% | -0.13% | -0.56% | -0.13% |
| 13 Avg -0.06% | -0.25% | -0.06% | +0.50% | +0.09% | -0.17% | -0.62% | -0.29% | +0.27% | -0.32% | +0.29% | -0.23% | +0.09% |
| 14 Avg +0.06% | +0.42% | +0.37% | -0.12% | +0.21% | +0.40% | -0.48% | -0.10% | -0.25% | +0.33% | -0.08% | +0.33% | -0.27% |
| 15 Avg +0.22% | 0.00% | +0.94% | 0.00% | -0.53% | +0.56% | +0.38% | +0.47% | -0.07% | +0.15% | +0.33% | +0.15% | +0.23% |
| 16 Avg -0.06% | -0.02% | +0.02% | -0.98% | -0.06% | +0.12% | -0.26% | +0.20% | +0.06% | -0.02% | +0.38% | +0.09% | -0.22% |
| 17 Avg +0.07% | -0.05% | -0.14% | +0.97% | +0.68% | +0.02% | -0.19% | +0.16% | -0.54% | -0.10% | +0.35% | -0.12% | -0.18% |
| 18 Avg -0.17% | -0.32% | -0.30% | -1.23% | -0.05% | +0.33% | +0.02% | -0.10% | +0.04% | +0.19% | -0.22% | -0.06% | -0.29% |
| 19 Avg +0.02% | -0.11% | +0.32% | +0.83% | +0.10% | -0.40% | +0.06% | +0.22% | -0.18% | +0.14% | -0.51% | -0.09% | -0.10% |
| 20 Avg -0.07% | +0.12% | -0.31% | -0.32% | -0.26% | +0.47% | +0.03% | +0.39% | -0.07% | -0.49% | +0.05% | -0.28% | -0.23% |
| 21 Avg -0.04% | -0.18% | -0.69% | +0.03% | -0.52% | -0.06% | +0.14% | +0.19% | +0.25% | -0.53% | +0.05% | +0.49% | +0.36% |
| 22 Avg +0.05% | +0.37% | +0.07% | -1.00% | +0.29% | +0.01% | +0.02% | 0.00% | +0.18% | +0.22% | -0.06% | +0.42% | +0.14% |
| 23 Avg +0.03% | +0.12% | -0.22% | -1.04% | +0.76% | -0.28% | +0.44% | +0.38% | +0.35% | -0.51% | -0.13% | +0.25% | +0.20% |
| 24 Avg +0.14% | +0.14% | +0.13% | +1.20% | +0.40% | +0.20% | -0.23% | -0.40% | +0.15% | -0.32% | -0.06% | +0.48% | -0.06% |
| 25 Avg +0.07% | -0.08% | -0.44% | +0.36% | -0.32% | +0.08% | -0.21% | +0.20% | +0.20% | +0.12% | +0.30% | +0.59% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.14% | +0.08% | +0.01% | +1.01% | +0.11% | +0.78% | 0.00% | +0.38% | -0.34% | -0.40% | -0.38% | -0.23% | +0.66% |
| 27 Avg -0.01% | -0.77% | -0.38% | -0.34% | +0.50% | +1.03% | -0.15% | -0.12% | +0.19% | +0.50% | -0.41% | -0.04% | -0.09% |
| 28 Avg +0.09% | +0.23% | -0.41% | 0.00% | +0.22% | -0.45% | +0.33% | +0.26% | +0.27% | +0.56% | +0.30% | +0.08% | -0.34% |
| 29 Avg +0.08% | +0.17% | - | +0.53% | +0.26% | -0.28% | +0.40% | +0.13% | +0.33% | -0.47% | -0.01% | +0.04% | -0.19% |
| 30 Avg -0.08% | -0.23% | - | +0.28% | -0.90% | +0.07% | +0.31% | -0.07% | -0.05% | +0.02% | -0.13% | -0.06% | -0.15% |
| 31 Avg -0.01% | +0.12% | - | +0.16% | - | -0.35% | - | -0.02% | -0.05% | - | +0.06% | - | 0.00% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
