Check historical price trends and seasonality for Nifty 50 Index (^NSEI).
Nifty 50 Index (^NSEI) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +12.86%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 7 days) is -0.25%.
3 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 42.86%.
1) Overview:
The Nifty 50 Index, based on 10-year average seasonality, exhibits a generally positive trend throughout the year, punctuated by a significant dip in March and a strong surge towards the year's end. The index tends to decline notably in March, bottoming out around March 23 with an average decrease of -2.9%. From there, the index gradually recovers and enters a strong bullish phase, culminating in a substantial rise by December 31, showing an average gain of +12.9% from the beginning of the year.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A potential buying opportunity arises in late February and throughout March, as the index experiences a significant pullback, reaching its lowest point around March 23 with a -2.9% dip. This decline could be attributed to end-of-financial-year selling pressures. Another minor dip occurs in early May, offering a less pronounced, but still viable, entry point before the index resumes its upward trajectory. Investors might consider accumulating positions during these periods of weakness, anticipating a rebound and continuation of the overall bullish trend.
3) Summary:
The 10-year average seasonality suggests a strategic investment approach for the Nifty 50. Investors could consider establishing positions during the weakness in late February and March, capitalizing on the index's tendency to rebound strongly in the subsequent months. The optimal entry point appears to be around March 23, given the historical data. However, it's crucial to consider other market factors and individual risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 23,311.8008 | 2025-01-22 | 23,155.3496 | -156.4512 | -0.67 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 22,032.3008 | 2024-01-22 | 21,622.4004 | -409.9004 | -1.86 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-16 | 17,894.8496 | 2023-01-22 | 18,027.6504 | 132.8008 | 0.74 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 12,355.5000 | 2020-01-22 | 12,106.9004 | -248.5996 | -2.01 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 10,890.2998 | 2019-01-22 | 10,922.7500 | 32.4502 | 0.30 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 10,700.4502 | 2018-01-22 | 10,966.2002 | 265.7500 | 2.48 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-16 | 8,412.7998 | 2017-01-22 | 8,349.3496 | -63.4502 | -0.75 |
| Avg | 15,085.4287 | 15,021.5144 | -63.91 | -0.25 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -0.36% | Feb Total -1.83% | Mar Total +0.63% | Apr Total +3.17% | May Total +1.42% | Jun Total +1.61% | Jul Total +2.99% | Aug Total +1.44% | Sep Total -0.24% | Oct Total +0.89% | Nov Total +1.86% | Dec Total +1.54% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.21% | 0.00% | +0.78% | +0.80% | -0.20% | 0.00% | +0.17% | +0.26% | -0.06% | +0.14% | +0.16% | +0.31% | +0.16% |
| 2 Avg +0.06% | +0.13% | +0.10% | +0.01% | +0.20% | -0.03% | +0.32% | +0.09% | -0.26% | +0.19% | 0.00% | +0.06% | -0.05% |
| 3 Avg +0.01% | -0.11% | -0.27% | +0.60% | -0.18% | -0.23% | +0.53% | +0.32% | -0.11% | -0.19% | -0.32% | +0.13% | -0.08% |
| 4 Avg -0.05% | +0.06% | +0.51% | -0.28% | +0.01% | -0.86% | -0.72% | +0.26% | +0.46% | -0.22% | -0.09% | -0.04% | +0.36% |
| 5 Avg +0.07% | +0.26% | +0.10% | +0.03% | -0.03% | -0.11% | +0.52% | -0.08% | -0.23% | +0.08% | -0.12% | +0.22% | +0.18% |
| 6 Avg +0.00% | -0.66% | +0.05% | -0.01% | -0.01% | -0.17% | +0.06% | +0.36% | +0.10% | +0.19% | +0.25% | +0.34% | -0.47% |
| 7 Avg +0.06% | -0.06% | -0.30% | -0.33% | +0.39% | -0.05% | +0.44% | +0.07% | +0.10% | +0.08% | +0.01% | 0.00% | +0.33% |
| 8 Avg +0.09% | +0.16% | -0.01% | +0.17% | +0.27% | +0.02% | -0.08% | -0.34% | +0.06% | +0.16% | +0.23% | +0.01% | +0.45% |
| 9 Avg +0.04% | +0.29% | -0.07% | -0.23% | +0.42% | -0.18% | -0.17% | +0.18% | +0.13% | +0.02% | +0.17% | -0.04% | +0.03% |
| 10 Avg +0.01% | +0.06% | -0.17% | +0.01% | -0.01% | +0.19% | -0.04% | +0.03% | -0.22% | +0.11% | +0.22% | +0.22% | -0.34% |
| 11 Avg +0.03% | +0.18% | -0.54% | +0.13% | +0.43% | -0.08% | -0.10% | +0.22% | +0.06% | +0.04% | -0.26% | -0.03% | +0.27% |
| 12 Avg +0.00% | +0.22% | +0.02% | -0.63% | -0.39% | +0.06% | -0.04% | +0.09% | +0.01% | +0.23% | +0.46% | -0.05% | +0.02% |
| 13 Avg -0.01% | +0.05% | 0.00% | +0.09% | +0.13% | -0.15% | -0.30% | +0.14% | -0.17% | +0.16% | -0.10% | -0.16% | +0.24% |
| 14 Avg +0.03% | 0.00% | -0.40% | +0.34% | 0.00% | -0.12% | -0.08% | -0.07% | +0.15% | +0.12% | +0.31% | -0.03% | +0.18% |
| 15 Avg +0.06% | +0.05% | +0.69% | -0.37% | +0.13% | +0.18% | -0.10% | +0.21% | 0.00% | +0.13% | -0.09% | -0.07% | -0.02% |
| 16 Avg +0.03% | -0.03% | -0.14% | -0.61% | +0.22% | +0.21% | -0.08% | +0.12% | +0.41% | 0.00% | +0.29% | +0.15% | -0.13% |
| 17 Avg +0.05% | -0.06% | -0.04% | -0.05% | +0.42% | +0.53% | -0.25% | +0.30% | +0.17% | -0.34% | -0.01% | +0.08% | -0.09% |
| 18 Avg -0.07% | -0.27% | -0.09% | -0.35% | -0.27% | -0.47% | +0.23% | -0.05% | +0.16% | -0.02% | +0.37% | -0.13% | +0.06% |
| 19 Avg -0.06% | +0.32% | -0.03% | -0.23% | -0.22% | -0.35% | +0.08% | -0.21% | -0.04% | -0.11% | -0.17% | +0.08% | +0.17% |
| 20 Avg +0.15% | -0.37% | +0.10% | +0.64% | +0.09% | +0.64% | +0.48% | +0.28% | -0.04% | +0.52% | +0.02% | +0.07% | -0.58% |
| 21 Avg -0.09% | -0.29% | -0.05% | +0.28% | -0.06% | +0.13% | +0.06% | +0.09% | -0.02% | -0.36% | -0.03% | -0.38% | -0.48% |
| 22 Avg -0.06% | +0.09% | -0.31% | -0.01% | +0.13% | -0.01% | -0.06% | +0.12% | -0.41% | -0.28% | -0.31% | +0.10% | +0.25% |
| 23 Avg -0.03% | +0.03% | -0.08% | -1.38% | +0.18% | 0.00% | +0.11% | +0.20% | +0.29% | +0.26% | -0.16% | +0.15% | +0.07% |
| 24 Avg -0.07% | -0.04% | -0.76% | +0.14% | +0.14% | +0.16% | -0.20% | -0.10% | +0.15% | -0.49% | +0.13% | +0.08% | -0.08% |
| 25 Avg +0.09% | -0.10% | +0.31% | +0.38% | -0.20% | +0.45% | +0.21% | -0.05% | -0.13% | +0.06% | -0.24% | +0.36% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.13% | 0.00% | -0.39% | +0.64% | +0.53% | +0.56% | +0.34% | +0.18% | +0.25% | -0.22% | -0.33% | -0.01% | +0.06% |
| 27 Avg +0.10% | -0.62% | -0.15% | +0.10% | +0.30% | +0.55% | +0.11% | +0.06% | +0.21% | -0.27% | +0.26% | +0.14% | +0.50% |
| 28 Avg +0.00% | -0.24% | -0.73% | +0.05% | +0.37% | +0.28% | -0.05% | +0.28% | +0.07% | -0.05% | -0.22% | -0.01% | +0.29% |
| 29 Avg +0.11% | +0.43% | - | +0.16% | +0.23% | 0.00% | +0.08% | +0.03% | -0.32% | -0.15% | +0.34% | +0.29% | +0.14% |
| 30 Avg +0.09% | -0.20% | - | +0.11% | +0.16% | +0.18% | +0.15% | -0.13% | +0.73% | -0.03% | -0.06% | +0.04% | +0.02% |
| 31 Avg +0.17% | +0.36% | - | +0.43% | - | +0.08% | - | +0.16% | -0.07% | - | +0.16% | - | +0.09% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
