Check historical price trends and seasonality for NASDAQ-100 Index (^NDX).
NASDAQ-100 Index (^NDX) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +21.44%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Feb 8 for 30 days) is +1.12%.
5 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 62.50%.
1) Overview:
The NASDAQ-100 Index exhibits a strong upward tendency throughout the year, with a particularly bullish phase from late October through December. The index generally starts the year with gains, accelerating into February, reaching +4.8% by February 15. The index continues to climb through the summer, reaching +17.4% by September 2, before entering a consolidation phase, and then experiences a significant surge in late November and December, peaking at +22.1% on December 26.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Potential buying opportunities may arise during periods of consolidation or slight pullbacks. While the index generally trends upward, there are minor dips in March, around March 7, and again in September, around September 6, which could present chances to enter positions at slightly lower levels. These pullbacks are relatively small compared to the overall upward trend, but they may offer tactical entry points for investors looking to capitalize on the broader bullish seasonality.
3) Summary:
The historical data suggests a strategy of accumulating NASDAQ-100 positions, especially before the strong rally that typically occurs in late November and December. Investors might consider establishing or increasing their positions during the consolidation periods in March or September to benefit from the subsequent upward movements. However, it's crucial to remember that past performance is not indicative of future results, and other market factors should be considered alongside seasonality.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-02-08 | 17,783.1699 | 2024-03-08 | 18,018.4492 | 235.2793 | 1.32 |
| 2023 | 2023-02-08 | 12,495.3799 | 2023-03-09 | 11,995.8799 | -499.5000 | -4.00 |
| 2022 | 2022-02-08 | 14,747.0303 | 2022-03-09 | 13,742.2002 | -1,004.8301 | -6.81 |
| 2021 | 2021-02-08 | 13,695.0195 | 2021-03-09 | 12,794.4902 | -900.5293 | -6.58 |
| 2019 | 2019-02-08 | 6,913.1299 | 2019-03-09 | 7,015.6899 | 102.5600 | 1.48 |
| 2018 | 2018-02-08 | 6,306.1001 | 2018-03-09 | 7,101.1802 | 795.0801 | 12.61 |
| 2017 | 2017-02-08 | 5,196.5801 | 2017-03-09 | 5,363.9800 | 167.3999 | 3.22 |
| 2016 | 2016-02-08 | 3,960.6699 | 2016-03-08 | 4,265.5098 | 304.8399 | 7.70 |
| Avg | 10,137.1350 | 10,037.1724 | -99.96 | 1.12 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +2.53% | Feb Total -0.37% | Mar Total +1.37% | Apr Total +1.13% | May Total +3.13% | Jun Total +2.64% | Jul Total +4.32% | Aug Total +1.73% | Sep Total -1.65% | Oct Total +1.00% | Nov Total +3.86% | Dec Total -0.09% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.15% | 0.00% | +0.62% | +0.55% | +0.12% | -0.12% | +0.29% | +0.34% | -0.39% | +0.19% | +0.06% | +0.35% | -0.21% |
| 2 Avg +0.12% | +0.20% | +0.33% | +0.62% | -0.08% | +0.40% | +0.63% | +0.47% | -0.53% | -0.09% | -0.34% | -0.34% | +0.13% |
| 3 Avg -0.19% | -0.13% | -0.60% | -0.77% | -0.53% | +0.13% | -0.47% | +0.07% | +0.49% | -0.83% | +0.14% | +0.24% | -0.02% |
| 4 Avg +0.16% | +0.02% | +0.72% | +0.03% | -0.48% | +0.38% | +0.51% | 0.00% | +0.27% | +0.05% | +0.31% | +0.50% | -0.38% |
| 5 Avg -0.02% | -0.24% | -0.55% | -0.08% | -0.02% | -0.25% | +0.43% | +0.40% | -0.62% | -0.01% | +0.33% | +0.43% | -0.04% |
| 6 Avg +0.16% | +0.30% | +0.27% | -0.41% | +0.50% | +0.03% | +0.27% | +0.42% | +0.51% | -0.44% | +0.05% | +0.22% | +0.16% |
| 7 Avg +0.03% | -0.25% | -0.17% | -0.44% | -0.13% | +0.13% | +0.05% | +0.18% | +0.02% | +0.14% | -0.34% | +0.92% | +0.30% |
| 8 Avg +0.04% | +0.47% | -0.52% | -0.47% | +0.01% | +0.23% | +0.16% | +0.20% | +0.49% | -0.54% | +0.05% | +0.17% | +0.27% |
| 9 Avg +0.09% | +0.28% | +0.38% | +0.16% | +1.33% | -0.32% | -0.42% | +0.38% | -0.25% | +0.36% | +0.39% | -0.78% | -0.46% |
| 10 Avg +0.02% | +0.02% | 0.00% | -0.10% | -0.23% | +0.26% | -0.02% | +0.35% | -0.12% | -0.19% | -0.72% | +0.71% | +0.25% |
| 11 Avg -0.03% | +0.28% | -0.29% | -0.09% | -0.10% | -0.32% | -0.40% | -0.39% | -0.26% | +0.62% | -0.21% | +0.40% | +0.38% |
| 12 Avg +0.17% | +0.26% | +0.59% | -0.66% | -0.11% | -0.14% | +0.35% | +0.52% | +0.55% | +0.36% | +0.49% | -0.25% | +0.05% |
| 13 Avg +0.14% | -0.35% | +0.23% | +0.79% | +0.68% | +0.12% | -0.42% | -0.05% | +0.52% | -0.48% | +0.40% | -0.15% | +0.33% |
| 14 Avg +0.13% | +0.09% | +0.49% | +0.22% | +0.11% | +0.57% | +0.25% | +0.31% | -0.01% | +0.27% | -0.18% | -0.18% | -0.42% |
| 15 Avg +0.20% | +0.05% | +0.63% | +0.49% | -0.12% | +0.34% | +0.30% | +0.18% | +0.07% | +0.15% | -0.07% | +0.23% | +0.15% |
| 16 Avg -0.05% | 0.00% | -0.15% | -0.46% | +0.01% | +0.24% | -0.19% | -0.21% | +0.02% | -0.32% | +0.35% | +0.16% | -0.06% |
| 17 Avg +0.03% | +0.33% | -0.14% | +0.79% | +0.30% | -0.21% | +0.26% | -0.09% | -0.39% | -0.38% | +0.40% | -0.10% | -0.43% |
| 18 Avg -0.08% | -0.11% | -0.24% | -0.52% | +0.04% | -0.13% | +0.09% | +0.07% | +0.01% | 0.00% | -0.13% | -0.03% | -0.01% |
| 19 Avg +0.01% | +0.18% | +0.10% | +0.19% | -0.23% | -0.09% | +0.17% | +0.01% | -0.07% | +0.36% | -0.29% | -0.06% | -0.18% |
| 20 Avg -0.07% | +0.38% | -0.21% | -0.20% | -0.49% | +0.33% | +0.01% | +0.46% | +0.09% | -0.47% | -0.03% | -0.44% | -0.28% |
| 21 Avg -0.03% | -0.13% | -0.69% | +0.19% | -0.72% | -0.13% | +0.18% | +0.12% | +0.36% | -0.33% | +0.44% | +0.22% | +0.14% |
| 22 Avg +0.09% | +0.32% | +0.19% | -0.15% | +0.17% | +0.11% | +0.27% | +0.16% | -0.14% | +0.30% | -0.21% | +0.14% | -0.09% |
| 23 Avg +0.02% | +0.42% | -0.23% | -0.41% | +0.58% | -0.17% | +0.42% | -0.05% | +0.07% | -0.50% | -0.10% | -0.06% | +0.24% |
| 24 Avg +0.13% | +0.01% | -0.14% | +1.10% | +0.33% | +0.24% | -0.17% | -0.27% | -0.11% | -0.03% | +0.16% | +0.47% | -0.03% |
| 25 Avg +0.09% | -0.11% | -0.47% | -0.13% | +0.12% | +0.58% | -0.17% | -0.05% | +0.28% | +0.28% | +0.46% | +0.22% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.13% | +0.42% | +0.26% | +0.93% | +0.06% | +0.59% | -0.22% | -0.11% | -0.15% | -0.19% | -0.87% | +0.18% | +0.70% |
| 27 Avg -0.09% | -1.03% | -0.80% | -0.86% | +0.27% | +0.65% | -0.33% | +0.34% | +0.20% | +0.08% | +0.39% | +0.09% | -0.02% |
| 28 Avg +0.14% | +0.71% | +0.03% | -0.21% | +0.09% | -0.05% | +0.24% | +0.25% | +0.14% | +0.19% | +0.15% | +0.28% | -0.16% |
| 29 Avg +0.13% | -0.04% | - | +0.81% | +0.01% | -0.04% | +0.16% | +0.31% | +0.31% | -0.28% | +0.09% | +0.02% | +0.08% |
| 30 Avg +0.01% | -0.09% | - | +0.39% | -0.39% | +0.05% | +0.39% | -0.32% | +0.23% | +0.09% | -0.17% | +0.32% | -0.38% |
| 31 Avg +0.06% | +0.27% | - | +0.05% | - | -0.26% | - | +0.30% | +0.15% | - | -0.01% | - | -0.11% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
