Check historical price trends and seasonality for Nikkei 225 (^N225).
Nikkei 225 (^N225) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +11.08%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Feb 9 for 30 days) is +1.24%.
5 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 71.43%.
1) Overview:
The Nikkei 225 exhibits a strong upward trend towards the end of the year. From late May, the index tends to rise steadily, culminating in a significant rally in December. This bullish phase peaks around December 13, showing an average gain of +12.1%. However, the index experiences a notable dip around April 7, with an average decline of -3.5%, indicating a bearish period during the early spring.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A significant buying opportunity appears in early April, specifically around April 7, where the index tends to decline by -3.5%. This pullback could be attributed to various factors, such as the start of the fiscal year in Japan and associated portfolio adjustments. Another potential, though less pronounced, buying opportunity arises in March, with consistent negative returns throughout the month. The index typically rebounds from these dips, presenting an opportunity for investors to capitalize on the lower prices.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach would involve considering entry points during the pullback in early April to capitalize on the subsequent recovery. The strong positive trend in December, peaking around December 13 with a +12.1% gain and remaining high until December 31 with +11.0%, suggests a favorable period for realizing profits. However, investors should remain vigilant and consider broader market conditions and economic indicators alongside these seasonal tendencies.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-02-09 | 36,897.4219 | 2024-03-09 | 39,688.9414 | 2,791.5195 | 7.57 |
| 2023 | 2023-02-09 | 27,584.3496 | 2023-03-10 | 28,143.9707 | 559.6211 | 2.03 |
| 2022 | 2022-02-09 | 27,579.8691 | 2022-03-10 | 25,690.4004 | -1,889.4687 | -6.85 |
| 2021 | 2021-02-09 | 29,505.9297 | 2021-03-10 | 29,036.5605 | -469.3692 | -1.59 |
| 2018 | 2018-02-09 | 21,382.6191 | 2018-03-10 | 21,469.1992 | 86.5801 | 0.40 |
| 2017 | 2017-02-09 | 18,907.6699 | 2017-03-10 | 19,604.6094 | 696.9395 | 3.69 |
| 2016 | 2016-02-09 | 16,085.4404 | 2016-03-09 | 16,642.1992 | 556.7588 | 3.46 |
| Avg | 25,420.4714 | 25,753.6973 | 333.23 | 1.24 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.25% | Feb Total -1.18% | Mar Total -0.32% | Apr Total +1.39% | May Total +1.98% | Jun Total +1.19% | Jul Total +0.64% | Aug Total +1.21% | Sep Total +1.01% | Oct Total +2.94% | Nov Total +2.65% | Dec Total +0.09% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.07% | 0.00% | +0.54% | +0.59% | -0.78% | -0.04% | +0.15% | -0.11% | +0.01% | -0.07% | -0.01% | +0.33% | +0.21% |
| 2 Avg -0.10% | 0.00% | +0.05% | +0.08% | +0.03% | -0.16% | +0.07% | -0.12% | -1.18% | +0.08% | -0.25% | +0.33% | -0.09% |
| 3 Avg +0.07% | 0.00% | -0.65% | +0.40% | -0.23% | 0.00% | +0.36% | +0.32% | -0.15% | +0.14% | +0.25% | 0.00% | +0.44% |
| 4 Avg -0.08% | -0.04% | +0.05% | -0.36% | -0.23% | 0.00% | +0.19% | +0.12% | +0.17% | -0.40% | +0.04% | -0.21% | -0.23% |
| 5 Avg -0.11% | +0.05% | -0.09% | 0.00% | -0.29% | 0.00% | +0.36% | -0.09% | -1.24% | +0.18% | +0.10% | -0.01% | -0.30% |
| 6 Avg +0.13% | -0.74% | -0.12% | -0.01% | -0.17% | +0.22% | +0.16% | -0.21% | +1.00% | +0.20% | +0.54% | +0.86% | -0.20% |
| 7 Avg -0.08% | +0.53% | -0.25% | -0.83% | -0.66% | +0.03% | +0.05% | -0.27% | +0.25% | -0.21% | +0.12% | +0.16% | +0.17% |
| 8 Avg +0.21% | +0.10% | +0.48% | -0.41% | +0.96% | +0.17% | +0.14% | -0.37% | +0.42% | +0.33% | +0.18% | +0.28% | +0.21% |
| 9 Avg -0.06% | +0.42% | -0.68% | -0.38% | -0.20% | -0.13% | +0.18% | +0.34% | -0.12% | -0.14% | +0.06% | -0.43% | +0.39% |
| 10 Avg +0.24% | -0.01% | +0.05% | +0.63% | +1.06% | +0.25% | +0.10% | -0.02% | -0.11% | +0.35% | +0.29% | +0.56% | -0.30% |
| 11 Avg +0.07% | +0.29% | 0.00% | -0.56% | -0.40% | -0.03% | -0.12% | +0.58% | +0.25% | +0.37% | -0.14% | +0.52% | +0.04% |
| 12 Avg +0.12% | -0.06% | -0.12% | +0.08% | -0.11% | -0.22% | -0.21% | +0.06% | +0.61% | +0.63% | +0.03% | +0.27% | +0.53% |
| 13 Avg +0.05% | +0.25% | +0.43% | -0.77% | +0.33% | -0.12% | -0.61% | +0.75% | +0.33% | +0.24% | -0.07% | -0.59% | +0.40% |
| 14 Avg -0.01% | -0.42% | -0.52% | +0.01% | +0.90% | +0.08% | -0.05% | +0.01% | +0.03% | +0.02% | +0.27% | -0.19% | -0.27% |
| 15 Avg +0.16% | +0.04% | +1.05% | +0.01% | +0.04% | +0.08% | -0.31% | +0.22% | +0.31% | -0.04% | +0.38% | +0.24% | -0.14% |
| 16 Avg +0.03% | -0.21% | +0.60% | -0.25% | -0.36% | +0.21% | +0.42% | -0.23% | -0.12% | -0.06% | -0.01% | +0.40% | -0.07% |
| 17 Avg +0.01% | -0.03% | -0.46% | +0.50% | +0.37% | +0.20% | -0.34% | 0.00% | +0.07% | -0.13% | -0.02% | +0.02% | -0.05% |
| 18 Avg -0.02% | +0.14% | +0.24% | +0.32% | -0.17% | +0.41% | -0.02% | -0.44% | -0.31% | +0.30% | +0.13% | -0.48% | -0.34% |
| 19 Avg +0.04% | +0.02% | +0.05% | -0.30% | +0.23% | -0.14% | -0.07% | +0.38% | -0.20% | +0.41% | +0.03% | +0.04% | -0.04% |
| 20 Avg -0.01% | -0.07% | -0.14% | -0.17% | -0.20% | +0.38% | +0.43% | +0.06% | -0.15% | +0.14% | +0.30% | -0.08% | -0.59% |
| 21 Avg -0.09% | -0.28% | -0.04% | +0.15% | -0.07% | -0.02% | -0.05% | +0.17% | -0.10% | -0.20% | -0.18% | -0.26% | -0.19% |
| 22 Avg +0.11% | +0.89% | -0.08% | +0.24% | +0.21% | -0.13% | +0.01% | -0.28% | +0.21% | -0.10% | -0.14% | +0.34% | +0.15% |
| 23 Avg +0.05% | +0.09% | +0.03% | -0.03% | +0.30% | -0.03% | +0.02% | +0.31% | +0.17% | -0.04% | -0.40% | 0.00% | +0.14% |
| 24 Avg +0.08% | -0.04% | -0.34% | +0.53% | +0.41% | -0.44% | -0.50% | +0.20% | +0.26% | +0.19% | +0.37% | +0.34% | +0.01% |
| 25 Avg +0.04% | +0.16% | +0.08% | +0.63% | -0.15% | +0.45% | -0.04% | -0.45% | +0.05% | +0.19% | -0.28% | +0.32% | -0.45% |
| 26 Avg -0.02% | -0.36% | -0.36% | +0.05% | +0.17% | +0.34% | +0.34% | -0.12% | -0.44% | -0.29% | +0.01% | +0.05% | +0.37% |
| 27 Avg +0.25% | -0.26% | -0.13% | +0.55% | +0.13% | +0.29% | +0.52% | +0.37% | +0.19% | +0.18% | +0.43% | +0.10% | +0.64% |
| 28 Avg -0.10% | -0.27% | -0.85% | -0.49% | -0.02% | +0.48% | +0.26% | -0.45% | +0.14% | -0.14% | +0.01% | +0.09% | +0.04% |
| 29 Avg +0.06% | +0.35% | - | +0.50% | 0.00% | +0.02% | -0.17% | +0.12% | -0.09% | -0.04% | +0.31% | -0.26% | -0.09% |
| 30 Avg -0.16% | -0.36% | - | -0.33% | +0.31% | -0.05% | -0.04% | -0.23% | +0.47% | -1.07% | -0.06% | -0.12% | -0.31% |
| 31 Avg +0.04% | +0.10% | - | -0.71% | - | -0.15% | - | 0.00% | +0.44% | - | +0.63% | - | 0.00% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
