Check historical price trends and seasonality for Jakarta Composite Index (^JKSE).
Jakarta Composite Index (^JKSE) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +6.92%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -3.91%.
3 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 42.86%.
1) Overview:
The Jakarta Composite Index exhibits a clear seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. The index tends to decline from mid-March, reaching its lowest point around May. A strong bullish phase typically begins in July, continuing through the end of the year, with particularly strong performance in December. Specifically, the index shows an average gain of +7.0% on December 29 and +6.9% on December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most significant pullback period appears to be from mid-March through May, presenting potential buying opportunities. The index tends to bottom out around May 17, showing an average decline of -3.8%. This decline could be attributed to various factors, such as global economic uncertainties or domestic market adjustments. A rebound typically starts in July, making the period between May and June an attractive time to consider entering the market.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach would involve accumulating positions during the weakness observed from March to May. The most opportune time to enter might be around mid-May, capitalizing on the -3.8% dip on May 17. Investors should then consider holding these positions through the year-end rally, particularly targeting the gains typically seen around December 29 and December 31.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 7,107.5190 | 2025-03-16 | 6,515.6309 | -591.8881 | -8.33 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 7,242.7871 | 2024-03-15 | 7,328.0542 | 85.2671 | 1.18 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-16 | 6,688.0571 | 2023-03-16 | 6,565.7280 | -122.3291 | -1.83 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 6,286.0479 | 2020-03-15 | 4,907.5708 | -1,378.4771 | -21.93 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 6,413.3599 | 2019-03-16 | 6,461.1831 | 47.8232 | 0.75 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 6,429.6919 | 2018-03-16 | 6,304.9521 | -124.7398 | -1.94 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-16 | 5,270.0112 | 2017-03-16 | 5,518.2412 | 248.2300 | 4.71 |
| Avg | 6,491.0677 | 6,228.7658 | -262.30 | -3.91 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.25% | Feb Total -0.58% | Mar Total -1.50% | Apr Total +1.08% | May Total -0.62% | Jun Total +0.47% | Jul Total +2.87% | Aug Total +2.14% | Sep Total -0.83% | Oct Total +1.18% | Nov Total +0.55% | Dec Total +2.45% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.07% | 0.00% | +0.46% | +0.34% | -0.25% | 0.00% | +0.09% | -0.08% | +0.50% | -0.18% | +0.14% | -0.36% | +0.19% |
| 2 Avg +0.06% | +0.12% | +0.18% | -0.03% | +0.31% | -0.34% | +0.18% | -0.02% | -0.05% | +0.11% | -0.35% | +0.09% | +0.54% |
| 3 Avg +0.10% | +0.07% | -0.12% | +0.64% | +0.19% | -0.50% | +0.45% | +0.07% | -0.20% | -0.10% | +0.15% | +0.27% | +0.26% |
| 4 Avg +0.05% | +0.31% | +0.31% | -0.07% | +0.19% | -0.22% | +0.08% | -0.11% | +0.07% | -0.18% | +0.01% | -0.09% | +0.34% |
| 5 Avg +0.03% | -0.03% | +0.27% | 0.00% | +0.07% | +0.04% | +0.05% | +0.11% | -0.23% | -0.20% | -0.25% | +0.57% | +0.02% |
| 6 Avg +0.07% | -0.15% | -0.18% | -0.03% | +0.37% | -0.06% | -0.12% | +0.04% | +0.24% | +0.25% | +0.32% | +0.10% | +0.05% |
| 7 Avg +0.01% | +0.11% | +0.05% | -0.31% | -0.03% | +0.18% | +0.12% | -0.07% | +0.15% | 0.00% | -0.17% | -0.09% | +0.21% |
| 8 Avg -0.03% | +0.03% | +0.03% | -0.13% | -1.05% | -0.43% | +0.03% | +0.27% | +0.31% | -0.20% | +0.35% | +0.23% | +0.24% |
| 9 Avg -0.12% | -0.11% | -0.14% | -0.63% | +0.21% | -0.47% | -0.09% | +0.29% | -0.05% | -0.44% | +0.12% | -0.11% | -0.04% |
| 10 Avg +0.03% | +0.03% | -0.30% | +0.19% | +0.55% | -0.03% | +0.01% | +0.18% | -0.04% | -0.31% | -0.04% | +0.06% | +0.03% |
| 11 Avg -0.02% | -0.05% | -0.10% | -0.19% | -0.14% | +0.10% | -0.23% | +0.38% | +0.13% | +0.47% | -0.11% | -0.23% | -0.24% |
| 12 Avg +0.01% | +0.18% | -0.02% | -0.09% | -0.17% | -0.45% | +0.04% | +0.21% | +0.30% | +0.04% | +0.22% | -0.16% | +0.04% |
| 13 Avg -0.05% | +0.05% | -0.07% | +0.02% | -0.11% | -0.27% | -0.27% | -0.01% | -0.20% | +0.02% | +0.02% | +0.05% | +0.17% |
| 14 Avg +0.06% | -0.09% | -0.06% | -0.17% | +0.49% | -0.02% | +0.03% | +0.11% | +0.21% | +0.34% | +0.13% | -0.50% | +0.21% |
| 15 Avg +0.02% | +0.16% | +0.28% | -0.34% | +0.06% | -0.09% | -0.20% | +0.17% | -0.10% | +0.30% | -0.06% | +0.15% | -0.06% |
| 16 Avg +0.03% | +0.22% | +0.12% | -0.30% | -0.44% | -0.14% | +0.22% | -0.01% | +0.17% | -0.42% | +0.26% | +0.50% | +0.15% |
| 17 Avg -0.02% | +0.10% | +0.16% | -0.40% | +0.24% | -0.25% | -0.17% | +0.02% | 0.00% | -0.04% | +0.09% | +0.27% | -0.22% |
| 18 Avg +0.05% | +0.09% | +0.33% | -0.53% | +0.39% | +0.24% | -0.19% | +0.19% | +0.33% | +0.01% | +0.04% | -0.11% | -0.17% |
| 19 Avg 0.00% | -0.04% | -0.07% | -0.39% | -0.18% | +0.30% | -0.03% | +0.10% | -0.33% | +0.44% | -0.12% | +0.37% | -0.07% |
| 20 Avg +0.09% | +0.03% | +0.09% | +0.14% | -0.17% | +0.22% | +0.02% | +0.37% | +0.44% | -0.20% | +0.37% | -0.01% | -0.19% |
| 21 Avg +0.02% | +0.10% | -0.13% | +0.09% | +0.02% | -0.10% | +0.17% | +0.12% | -0.07% | -0.06% | +0.23% | -0.37% | +0.22% |
| 22 Avg -0.01% | +0.10% | -0.20% | -0.14% | +0.08% | +0.07% | 0.00% | +0.09% | -0.11% | +0.09% | -0.03% | +0.17% | -0.26% |
| 23 Avg +0.08% | +0.18% | +0.05% | -0.59% | +0.32% | +0.23% | -0.39% | +0.20% | +0.42% | +0.09% | +0.04% | +0.28% | +0.08% |
| 24 Avg -0.09% | -0.19% | -0.33% | -0.31% | -0.30% | +0.30% | +0.21% | -0.02% | -0.09% | -0.38% | +0.06% | +0.13% | -0.09% |
| 25 Avg -0.02% | -0.18% | -0.07% | -0.14% | -0.34% | +0.17% | -0.07% | +0.07% | +0.34% | 0.00% | 0.00% | +0.04% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.07% | -0.02% | -0.15% | +1.58% | -0.39% | +0.16% | +0.11% | +0.02% | -0.18% | -0.09% | -0.07% | -0.11% | +0.02% |
| 27 Avg +0.10% | -0.01% | -0.41% | +0.31% | +0.08% | +0.37% | +0.05% | +0.22% | +0.26% | +0.07% | -0.17% | -0.04% | +0.48% |
| 28 Avg -0.03% | -0.19% | -0.56% | -0.05% | +0.10% | +0.29% | -0.13% | +0.23% | +0.11% | -0.09% | -0.27% | -0.28% | +0.42% |
| 29 Avg +0.11% | -0.14% | - | +0.19% | +0.38% | +0.02% | +0.37% | -0.08% | -0.25% | +0.11% | +0.13% | +0.26% | +0.25% |
| 30 Avg -0.08% | -0.34% | - | -0.35% | +0.61% | -0.28% | +0.14% | -0.05% | +0.22% | -0.27% | +0.02% | -0.49% | -0.13% |
| 31 Avg +0.04% | -0.06% | - | +0.18% | - | +0.36% | - | -0.14% | -0.16% | - | +0.11% | - | 0.00% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
